{"id":105569,"date":"2026-04-30T00:18:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T22:18:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105569"},"modified":"2026-04-29T18:37:57","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T16:37:57","slug":"iran-planuje-v-nadchazejicich-dnech-predlozit-usa-revidovany-navrh-pricemz-se-objevuje-mozny-scenar-kolapsu-a-ocekavaji-se-dalsi-aktualizace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/30\/iran-planuje-v-nadchazejicich-dnech-predlozit-usa-revidovany-navrh-pricemz-se-objevuje-mozny-scenar-kolapsu-a-ocekavaji-se-dalsi-aktualizace\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n pl\u00e1nuje v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch dnech p\u0159edlo\u017eit USA revidovan\u00fd n\u00e1vrh, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e se objevuje mo\u017en\u00fd \u201esc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 kolapsu\u201c a o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed se dal\u0161\u00ed aktualizace"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Shrnut\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n
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  • Trump na Twitteru prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n Washingtonu sd\u011blil, \u017ee je ve\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u201estavu kolapsu\u201c a \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1nci cht\u011bj\u00ed, aby USA \u201eotev\u0159ely Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013\u00a0<\/span>zat\u00edmco se r\u00fdsuje \u201esc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 s tankovou st\u0159echou\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Trump se nezd\u00e1 b\u00fdt otev\u0159en\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu n\u00e1vrhu<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0, kter\u00fd je podm\u00edn\u011bn ukon\u010den\u00edm americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy a odlo\u017een\u00edm jadern\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky na budouc\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed (CNN). Teher\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span><\/em>pracuje na revidovan\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl b\u00fdt p\u0159edlo\u017een \u201eb\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u016f<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0\u201c .<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • Prvn\u00ed japonsk\u00fd tanker nalo\u017een\u00fd ropou ze sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstavu<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b opustil Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv bez \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho zasahov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n
  • \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd analytik vysv\u011btluje, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span><\/em>v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017ee<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt Trumpa a konfrontaci s USA v Hormuzsk\u00e9 oblasti, a poukazuje na\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u201ez\u00e1soby munice, trhy a volby v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    ***<\/span><\/p>\n

    O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee revidovan\u00fd pl\u00e1n bude k dispozici \u201ev p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch n\u011bkolika dnech\u201c.<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

    Tak\u017ee alespo\u0148 doch\u00e1z\u00ed k n\u011bjak\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bn\u011b n\u00e1zor\u016f. Trump \u00fadajn\u011b odm\u00edtl p\u016fvodn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh, kter\u00fd se zam\u011b\u0159oval na otev\u0159en\u00ed \u00fa\u017einy ze strany USA, ale odlo\u017een\u00ed jadern\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky na budouc\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 a to a\u017e po skon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Teher\u00e1n \u00fadajn\u011b n\u00e1vrh reviduje a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch dnech p\u0159edlo\u017e\u00ed revidovan\u00fd n\u00e1vrh dohody. CNN informuje o aktu\u00e1ln\u00edm stavu n\u00ed\u017ee:<\/span><\/p>\n

    Medi\u00e1to\u0159i v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch dnech obdr\u017e\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>od \u00cdr\u00e1nu revidovan\u00fd n\u00e1vrh<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0na ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky pot\u00e9, co americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump nazna\u010dil, \u017ee d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed verzi nep\u0159ijme, uvedly zdroje bl\u00edzk\u00e9 media\u010dn\u00edmu procesu pro CNN. Podle zdroj\u016f se m\u011bl dnes do Teher\u00e1nu vr\u00e1tit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1s Arag\u010d\u00ed po n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b Ruska; dodali, \u017ee se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee se porad\u00ed s v\u016fdci re\u017eimu. Tento proces postupuje pomalu, uvedly zdroje, proto\u017ee je\u00a0<\/span>obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 komunikovat s nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm v\u016fdcem Mod\u017et\u00e1bou Chamene\u00edm, jeho\u017e m\u00edsto pobytu je utajeno<\/span><\/strong>.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

    V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b se mezi laiky \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed mnoho spekulac\u00ed a dohad\u016f o \u201ezast\u00e1nc\u00edch tvrd\u00e9 linie\u201c versus \u201eum\u00edrn\u011bn\u00fdch\u201c v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a o tom, kdo ve skute\u010dnosti dr\u017e\u00ed moc, zat\u00edmco zpr\u00e1vy nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee IRGC nechce m\u00edt \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd kontakt s nespolehliv\u00fdm Washingtonem. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 nen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>pochyb o tom, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 prodlou\u017een\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed k p\u0159ezbrojen\u00ed a vojensk\u00e9mu p\u0159eskupen\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Trump tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1nci jsou ve \u201estavu kolapsu\u201c.<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

    Doslova minutu p\u0159ed otev\u0159en\u00edm akciov\u00e9ho trhu prezident Trump u\u010dinil toto z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed: \u0158ekl, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n informoval Washington, \u017ee je ve \u201estavu kolapsu\u201c a \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1nci cht\u011bj\u00ed, aby USA \u201eotev\u0159ely Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv\u201c. I kdyby\u00a0<\/span>to<\/span><\/em>\u00a0byla pravda, pro\u010d by \u00cdr\u00e1nci p\u0159izn\u00e1vali n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho sv\u00e9mu nep\u0159\u00edteli b\u011bhem v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho stavu?<\/span><\/p>\n

    A\u010dkoli se objevily ur\u010dit\u00e9 n\u00e1znaky politick\u00fdch rozpor\u016f \u2013 zejm\u00e9na nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi IRGC a civiln\u00edm veden\u00edm \u2013 dosavadn\u00ed d\u016fkazy jsou p\u0159inejlep\u0161\u00edm neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b se zd\u00e1, \u017ee se vnit\u0159n\u00ed debata v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b to\u010d\u00ed kolem toho, zda zah\u00e1jit dialog s USA \u2013 ale i zde plat\u00ed stejn\u00fd princip: uprost\u0159ed mlhy v\u00e1lky mohou z\u00e1padn\u00ed mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia pouze spekulovat, s v\u00fdjimkou vz\u00e1cn\u00e9ho \u201eanonymn\u00edho\u201c \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho zdroje, kter\u00fd by mohl report\u00e9rovi n\u011bco po\u0161eptat.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n

    Cena ropy roste na t\u0159\u00edt\u00fddenn\u00ed maximum, Trump se zjevn\u011b nel\u00edb\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu n\u00e1vrhu.<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

    Podle zpr\u00e1v z pond\u011bln\u00edho ve\u010dera a noci se zd\u00e1, \u017ee prezident Trump nen\u00ed ochoten p\u0159ijmout nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh na ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. Tento n\u00e1vrh po\u017eaduje zru\u0161en\u00ed americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy, ale \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed jadern\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky odkl\u00e1d\u00e1 na pozd\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. V d\u016fsledku toho ceny ropy nad\u00e1le rostou a\u00a0<\/span>v \u00fater\u00fd r\u00e1no p\u0159ekro\u010dily 110 dolar\u016f za barel<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e je t\u0159\u00edt\u00fddenn\u00ed maximum \u2013 uprost\u0159ed obav z dlouhodob\u00e9ho uzav\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu. Pokud jde o posledn\u00ed tankery, kter\u00fdm se poda\u0159ilo pr\u016fliv proplout, stanice CBS popisuje:<\/span><\/p>\n

    V \u00fater\u00fd opustily Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem \u010dty\u0159i civiln\u00ed lod\u011b, zjevn\u011b bez \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho zasahov\u00e1n\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b\u00a0<\/span><\/em>japonsk\u00e9ho ropn\u00e9ho tankeru p\u0159epravuj\u00edc\u00edho zhruba dva miliony barel\u016f ropy ze Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

    Panamsk\u00fd ropn\u00fd tanker \u201eIdemitsu Maru\u201c pluj\u00edc\u00ed pod vlajkou dorazil do pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstavu Juamyah v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii za\u010d\u00e1tkem b\u0159ezna, jak vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 z ve\u0159ejn\u011b dostupn\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f z webu pro sledov\u00e1n\u00ed lod\u00ed MarineTraffic. Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden kotvil u pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu a\u017e do pozdn\u00edch pond\u011bln\u00edch hodin, kdy vyplul na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ostrov Larak v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

    V \u00fater\u00fd r\u00e1no sledovac\u00ed data uk\u00e1zala\u00a0<\/span><\/em>, \u017ee lo\u010f proplula ji\u017en\u011b od \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ostrova Larak<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0, kter\u00fd podle analytik\u016f\u00a0<\/span><\/em>re\u017eim vyu\u017e\u00edval jako \u201em\u00fdtnou stanici\u201c k<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0v\u00fdb\u011bru poplatk\u016f od n\u011bkter\u00fdch lod\u00ed, ne\u017e vojensk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady minul\u00fd t\u00fdden pr\u016fliv pro dopravu znovu zcela uzav\u0159ely.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

    B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 budouc\u00ed dohod\u011b nen\u00ed stanoveno, \u017ee by \u00cdr\u00e1n mohl vyb\u00edrat m\u00fdtn\u00e9, ale \u00cdr\u00e1nci z\u0159ejm\u011b v t\u00e9to ot\u00e1zce vyv\u00edjej\u00ed tlak s t\u00edm, \u017ee finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky by p\u0159isp\u011bly k obnov\u011b zem\u011b po devastaci zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 americko-izraelsk\u00fdmi n\u00e1lety.<\/span><\/p>\n

    T\u0159i M<\/span><\/h2>\n

    Nez\u00e1visl\u00e1 tiskov\u00e1 agentura\u00a0<\/span>Drop Site<\/span><\/em>\u00a0uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n si nyn\u00ed stanovuje vlastn\u00ed podm\u00ednky pro ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, zat\u00edmco vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed strategie prezidenta Trumpa stagnuje. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd analytik vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee m\u00e1 na sv\u00e9 stran\u011b t\u0159i kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 slova:\u00a0<\/span>\u201eMunice, trhy a volby v polovin\u011b obdob\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

    Zpr\u00e1va cituje Hassana Ahmadiana, zn\u00e1m\u00e9ho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho analytika a docenta na Teher\u00e1nsk\u00e9 univerzit\u011b, kter\u00fd vysv\u011btluje: \u201e\u00a0<\/span>\u00cdr\u00e1nci \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee \u010das hraje v n\u00e1\u0161 prosp\u011bch,<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0pokud jde o t\u0159i \u201eM\u201c: munici, trhy a volby v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed. Tato t\u0159i \u201eM\u201c posiluj\u00ed pozici \u00cdr\u00e1nu a oslabuj\u00ed pozici USA.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u201eJe z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee USA cht\u011bj\u00ed m\u00edt co uk\u00e1zat, n\u011bco, \u010d\u00edm by mohly \u0159\u00edct: \u201aVyvinuli jsme tlak na \u00cdr\u00e1n a dos\u00e1hli jsme toho.\u2018\u00a0<\/span>Podle m\u00e9ho odhadu jsou \u00cdr\u00e1nci odhodl\u00e1ni USA p\u0159esn\u011b tohle odep\u0159\u00edt \u2013 Trumpovi by nedali to, co pova\u017euje za v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0,\u201c dodal.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

    Dal\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd p\u0159edstavitel, kter\u00fd je zasv\u011bcen do jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, a proto si p\u0159eje z\u016fstat v anonymit\u011b, uvedl: \u201eV sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b sledujeme vlastn\u00ed koncept a pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed pova\u017eujeme za zbyte\u010dn\u00e9, dokud americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nezru\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u201eKonflikt eskaloval a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b u\u017e se nejedn\u00e1 jen o jadernou ot\u00e1zku,\u201c dodal \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk. Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1vrh p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed od Teher\u00e1nu se skute\u010dn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159uje na to, aby americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo ukon\u010dilo blok\u00e1du, a jadernou ot\u00e1zku ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159enou pro pozd\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, jeliko\u017e se v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du uk\u00e1zala jako patov\u00e1 situace.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Washington si ale<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0upevnil sv\u016fj vliv:<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n