{"id":105493,"date":"2026-04-29T00:16:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T22:16:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105493"},"modified":"2026-04-28T19:16:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T17:16:55","slug":"sven-r-larson-demograficky-pokles-a-politicka-patova-situace-v-evrope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/29\/sven-r-larson-demograficky-pokles-a-politicka-patova-situace-v-evrope\/","title":{"rendered":"Sven R. Larson: Demografick\u00fd pokles a politick\u00e1 patov\u00e1 situace v Evrop\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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EU \u010del\u00ed demografick\u00e9 katastrof\u011b. Podle progn\u00f3z se do roku 2100 po\u010det obyvatel \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f aliance sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 53 milion\u016f lid\u00ed. Politick\u00e9 elity mezit\u00edm vn\u00edmaj\u00ed jednotlivce pouze jako n\u00e1stroje k dosa\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch ideologick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f a kritizuj\u00ed Rusko za to, \u017ee se pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s podobn\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Socialist\u00e9 a konzervativci se neshoduj\u00ed v tom, jak \u0159e\u0161it klesaj\u00edc\u00ed po\u010det obyvatel. To je v\u0161ak nezbavuje politick\u00e9 odpov\u011bdnosti tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 tomuto probl\u00e9mu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z t\u011bchto probl\u00e9m\u016f je debata o demografick\u00e9 budoucnosti Evropy. V posledn\u00edch letech p\u0159itahuje ot\u00e1zka n\u00edzk\u00e9 porodnosti v zem\u00edch EU st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pozornost, a to i ze strany politick\u00fdch elit. Ironie je n\u011bkdy ho\u0159k\u00e1, jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u0161v\u00e9dsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Ulfa Kristerssona. Loni na ja\u0159e za\u00fato\u010dil na Rusko a obvinil prezidenta Putina z nedbalosti, kter\u00e1 zp\u016fsobila\u00a0<\/span>prudk\u00fd pokles porodnosti . P\u0159itom sotva \u0161est m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f p\u0159edt\u00edm Kristersson s\u00e1m\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v projevu vys\u00edlan\u00e9m v celost\u00e1tn\u00ed televizi<\/span><\/a>\u00a0upozornil na prudk\u00fd pokles porodnosti ve \u0160v\u00e9dsku\u00a0. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kristersson, jm\u00e9nem konzervativec, zdaleka nen\u00ed jedin\u00fdm politick\u00fdm l\u00eddrem v Evrop\u011b, kter\u00fd nedok\u00e1\u017ee formulovat jasn\u00fd postoj k demografick\u00e9mu poklesu kontinentu. V\u00a0<\/span>analytick\u00e9 pozn\u00e1mce z roku 2024<\/span><\/a>\u00a0se Evropsk\u00e1 komise velmi sna\u017eila vzbudit dojem, \u017ee se nejedn\u00e1 o probl\u00e9m, co\u017e samo o sob\u011b vypov\u00edd\u00e1 o opaku.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco z\u00e1padoevrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i ml\u010deli, p\u0159edn\u00ed nacion\u00e1ln\u011b-konzervativn\u00ed politik kontinentu, ma\u010farsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Viktor Orb\u00e1n, vedl ne\u00fanavnou kampa\u0148 proti porodnosti. Jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat,\u00a0<\/span>toto do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed ignorov\u00e1n\u00ed ma\u010farsk\u00fdch v\u00fdsledk\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v t\u00e9to oblasti nijak nezlep\u0161ilo porodnost ve zbytku Evropy. Naopak, demografick\u00fd pokles dos\u00e1hl katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edch rozm\u011br\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

16. dubna\u00a0se tedy v \u010dl\u00e1nku na\u00a0EUBusiness.com objevilo\u00a0<\/em><\/span>pochmurn\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: \u201ePodle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch demografick\u00fdch projekc\u00ed Eurostatu se populace EU mezi lety 2025 a 2100 sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed o 11,7 %. V d\u016fsledku toho bude na za\u010d\u00e1tku p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho stolet\u00ed populace EU o 53 milion\u016f m\u00e9n\u011b.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee do roku 2100 bude m\u00edt sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 27 zem\u00ed EU t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o 50 milion\u016f obyvatel m\u00e9n\u011b a celkov\u00fd po\u010det obyvatel cel\u00e9 Unie klesne pod 400 milion\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Demografick\u00fd pokles je dnes jedn\u00edm z nejtrvalej\u0161\u00edch trend\u016f v cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b, p\u0159esto v\u011bt\u0161ina politick\u00fdch v\u016fdc\u016f kontinentu k tomuto probl\u00e9mu p\u0159istupuje se stejnou ambivalentn\u00ed neohrabanost\u00ed jako k ekonomick\u00e9 stagnaci, chronicky se zhor\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edm ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm financ\u00edm a do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry i k neschopnosti pos\u00edlit vlastn\u00ed obranu. Jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f je, \u017ee mnoho evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed je \u0159\u00edzeno\u00a0<\/span>\u201efrankensteinovsk\u00fdmi\u201c koalicemi<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, jejich\u017e jedin\u00fdm c\u00edlem je zabr\u00e1nit konzervativc\u016fm a nacionalist\u016fm v n\u00e1stupu k moci.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto um\u011bl\u00e9 koalice se systematicky ocitaj\u00ed v politick\u00e9 slep\u00e9 uli\u010dce v nejz\u00e1sadn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, zejm\u00e9na v boji proti demografick\u00e9mu poklesu. To nen\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9, jeliko\u017e socialistick\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddlo politick\u00e9ho spektra se ani vnit\u0159n\u011b nedok\u00e1\u017ee shodnout na tom, zda demografick\u00fd pokles p\u0159edstavuje probl\u00e9m.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zna\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st levice je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dena, \u017ee popula\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst je z\u00e1sadn\u011b \u0161kodliv\u00fd pro \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed a jeho pokles vn\u00edm\u00e1 pouze jako prost\u0159edek k zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed abstraktn\u00ed katastrof\u011b, kter\u00e1 je tak \u010di onak spojena se zm\u011bnou klimatu. Jin\u00ed zauj\u00edmaj\u00ed opa\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup, ale m\u00edsto toho, aby prosazovali zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed porodnosti p\u016fvodn\u00edho evropsk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva, navrhuj\u00ed jako univerz\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed imigraci.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edlo\u017eili t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed argumenty:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

1 – Rasismus: levice opovrhuje p\u016fvodn\u00edmi Evropany do t\u00e9 m\u00edry, \u017ee si p\u0159eje, aby je nahradili imigranti;\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

2 – Trh pr\u00e1ce: imigrace je prezentov\u00e1na jako z\u00e1sadn\u00ed faktor pro zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed po\u010dtu pracovn\u00edch sil;\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

3 – Da\u0148ov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy: ti, kte\u0159\u00ed se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edho rozm\u011bru, se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee pokles populace sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy a povede k rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm v nejbohat\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Konzervativci zauj\u00edmaj\u00ed radik\u00e1ln\u011b odli\u0161n\u00fd pohled na demografii. Pro n\u011b je \u00fabytek populace s\u00e1m o sob\u011b problematick\u00fd: podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 samotnou podstatu n\u00e1roda, kter\u00e1 je neodd\u011bliteln\u00e1 od jeho p\u016fvodn\u00edho obyvatelstva. D\u011bti, kter\u00e9 vyr\u016fstaj\u00ed v kulturn\u00edm, soci\u00e1ln\u00edm, historick\u00e9m a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9m kontextu sv\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda, si ho v pr\u016fb\u011bhu v\u00fdvoje osvojuj\u00ed. Jejich \u017eivoty, a dokonce i jejich identity, jsou utv\u00e1\u0159eny v souladu s n\u00e1rodn\u00edm kulturn\u00edm k\u00f3dem. B\u011bhem cel\u00e9ho \u017eivota k n\u011bmu p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed, zachov\u00e1vaj\u00ed ho a obohacuj\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1rody jsou z\u00e1kladn\u00edmi kameny lidsk\u00e9 civilizace. Domorod\u00e9 obyvatelstvo je ned\u00edlnou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda, proto je rostouc\u00ed, nebo alespo\u0148 stabiln\u00ed populace z\u00e1rukou budoucnosti samotn\u00e9 lidsk\u00e9 civilizace.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, konzervativci se na z\u00e1klad\u011b sv\u00e9ho p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed zasazuj\u00ed o r\u016fst a prosperitu domorod\u00e9ho obyvatelstva. Pro socialisty je domorod\u00e9 obyvatelstvo pouze n\u00e1strojem, kter\u00fd lze pou\u017e\u00edt k podkop\u00e1n\u00ed nebo podpo\u0159e ur\u010dit\u00fdch politick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f. Tato odli\u0161nost komplikuje dohody mezi politick\u00fdmi v\u016fdci na obou stran\u00e1ch.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Je v\u0161ak t\u0159eba naj\u00edt spole\u010dnou \u0159e\u010d. Je t\u0159eba uznat, \u017ee mezi konzervativci a nep\u0159\u00e1teli civilizace v r\u00e1mci levice, t\u011bmi, kte\u0159\u00ed chovaj\u00ed rasistick\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di p\u016fvodn\u00edmu evropsk\u00e9mu obyvatelstvu nebo si p\u0159ej\u00ed vyhynut\u00ed lidstva, aby zachr\u00e1nili planetu, nen\u00ed a nebude mo\u017en\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 dohoda. Krom\u011b nejextr\u00e9mn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch extremist\u016f v\u0161ak maj\u00ed konzervativci a socialist\u00e9 d\u016fvody k debat\u011b, aby vy\u0159e\u0161ili tak existencion\u00e1ln\u00ed probl\u00e9m, jako je nevyhnuteln\u00fd demografick\u00fd pokles Evropy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Sven R.\u00a0<\/span><\/em>Larson\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>PhD v oboru ekonomie,\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0politick\u00fd ekonom a novin\u00e1\u0159\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EU \u010del\u00ed demografick\u00e9 katastrof\u011b. Podle progn\u00f3z se do roku 2100 po\u010det obyvatel \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f aliance…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105494,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,1503,371],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105493"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105493"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105493\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105494"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105493"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105493"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105493"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}