{"id":105452,"date":"2026-04-27T00:33:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-26T22:33:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105452"},"modified":"2026-04-26T14:53:21","modified_gmt":"2026-04-26T12:53:21","slug":"melkulangara-k-bhadrakumar-trump-potrebuje-vuci-iranu-projevit-duveru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/27\/melkulangara-k-bhadrakumar-trump-potrebuje-vuci-iranu-projevit-duveru\/","title":{"rendered":"Melkulangara K. Bhadrakumar: Trump pot\u0159ebuje v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu projevit d\u016fv\u011bru"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Podle Pentagonu americk\u00e9 jednotky 21. dubna 2026 v indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu zadr\u017eely tanker M\/T Tifani, kter\u00fd byl ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve sankcionov\u00e1n a je obvin\u011bn z pa\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy po cel\u00e9 Asii.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Co motivovalo americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa k na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy \u00cdr\u00e1nu? Rusk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov ned\u00e1vno v rozhovoru pro francouzskou ve\u0159ejnopr\u00e1vn\u00ed televizi uvedl, \u017ee Trumpova administrativa\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/mid.ru\/en\/foreign_policy\/news\/2089000\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">sm\u011b\u0159uje k p\u0159evzet\u00ed kontroly nad \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi z\u00e1sobami ropy a plynu<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eVenezuela je jasn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem. Tvrdilo se, \u017ee re\u017eim drogov\u00fdch dealer\u016f mus\u00ed b\u00fdt svr\u017een. Ve v\u00fdsledku Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159eb\u00edraj\u00ed kontrolu nad venezuelsk\u00fdm ropn\u00fdm pr\u016fmyslem. To sam\u00e9 se nyn\u00ed d\u011bje s \u00cdr\u00e1nem,\u201c tvrdil Lavrov.<\/p>\n<p>To byla chytr\u00e1 pozn\u00e1mka, vzhledem k hlubok\u00e9mu z\u00e1jmu Ruska o partnerstv\u00ed s \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm ropn\u00fdm a plyn\u00e1rensk\u00fdm sektorem, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e o konkurenci. Klesaj\u00edc\u00ed cena ropy p\u0159inesla Rusku na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 zisky v \u0159\u00e1du des\u00edtek miliard dolar\u016f, zat\u00edmco na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b donutila Washington zm\u00edrnit sankce, aby usnadnil dal\u0161\u00ed tok rusk\u00e9 ropy, co\u017e bylo pro trh prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Teher\u00e1n si vzal venezuelskou analogii k srdci. V rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9m televizn\u00edm rozhovoru vys\u00edlan\u00e9m v\u010dera mocn\u00fd p\u0159edseda \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho Majlis Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 postava v \u010dele zem\u011b, mimo jin\u00e9 poznamenal: \u201e<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tasnimnews.ir\/en\/news\/2026\/04\/19\/3569221\/qalibaf-iran-negotiating-but-ready-for-war\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Nep\u0159\u00edtel v\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je jako Venezuela<\/a>, a p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal, \u017ee po n\u011bkolika dnech bude moci zabavit na\u0161i ropu a umo\u017enit komukoli, kdo si to p\u0159eje, p\u0159epravovat ropu z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Jak daleko od pravdy jsou indi\u010dt\u00ed analytici, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u00fdmluvn\u011b tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee v ot\u00e1zce Hormuzu jde v\u00fdhradn\u011b o\u00a0<i>Pax Americana<\/i>\u00a0\u2013 \u0159\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech, svobodu plavby a otev\u0159en\u00fd obchod, otev\u0159en\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cesty, stabiln\u00ed obchodn\u00ed trasy. \u010cist\u00e1 naivita!<\/p>\n<p>Geopolitika Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu je zcela z\u0159ejm\u00e1. Nejprve je t\u0159eba ujasnit si n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed pr\u00e1vo, kter\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b zaru\u010duje svobodu plavby teritori\u00e1ln\u00edmi vodami. Nesm\u00edme v\u0161ak z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b ignorovat, \u017ee tato svoboda mus\u00ed b\u00fdt uplat\u0148ov\u00e1na v souladu s p\u0159edpisy pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch stran, tedy st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 na tuto vodn\u00ed cestu soused\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cdr\u00e1n tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee prosazuje sv\u00e9 p\u0159edpisy. V m\u00edstech, kudy proch\u00e1zej\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy, se nenach\u00e1zej\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vody a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 teritori\u00e1ln\u00ed vody sahaj\u00ed a\u017e do st\u0159edu vodn\u00ed cesty \u2013 a dokonce i za ni, kde se p\u0159ekr\u00fdvaj\u00ed s teritori\u00e1ln\u00edmi vodami Om\u00e1nu. (Odtud pramen\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00fd z\u00e1jem \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Om\u00e1nu na Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu.)<\/p>\n<p>\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed se t\u00fdkaj\u00ed po\u010dtu lod\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vodn\u00ed cestou proplouvaj\u00ed, poplatk\u016f, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed tyto lod\u011b uhradit (co\u017e je b\u011b\u017en\u00e1 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed praxe), m\u011bny, v n\u00ed\u017e maj\u00ed b\u00fdt tyto platby provedeny, povahy n\u00e1kladu lod\u00ed atd. Nic z toho nebr\u00e1n\u00ed \u201esvobod\u011b plavby\u201c jako takov\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee blok\u00e1da, kterou uvalily USA, nem\u00e1 podle mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va \u017e\u00e1dnou platnost. Jedn\u00e1 se o loupe\u017e, diplomacii d\u011blov\u00fdch \u010dlun\u016f, \u201eukazov\u00e1n\u00ed sval\u016f\u201c nebo jakkoli to lze nazvat. Ve skute\u010dnosti jde o sou\u010d\u00e1st takzvan\u00e9 \u201ev\u00e1lky tanker\u016f\u201c, kterou Z\u00e1pad vede v n\u00e1vaznosti na sankce proti Rusku vyvolan\u00e9 konfliktem na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fdm z\u00e1m\u011brem je omezit tok ropy do \u010c\u00edny. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy Americko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 komise pro ekonomiku a bezpe\u010dnost z b\u0159ezna pro americk\u00fd Kongres \u201eje \u010c\u00edna nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm obchodn\u00edm partnerem \u00cdr\u00e1nu a hlavn\u00edm odb\u011bratelem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy tvo\u0159\u00ed zhruba 90 procent \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 do zahrani\u010d\u00ed.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Strategick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky \u201ev\u00e1lky tanker\u016f\u201c jsou z\u0159ejm\u00e9. Americk\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 odhaduje, \u017ee \u201ePeking zachov\u00e1v\u00e1 opatrn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup, aby neohrozil vztahy s dal\u0161\u00edmi partnery na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, jako jsou Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty\u201c, a dokonce \u201epo americk\u00fdch a izraelsk\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch omezil svou ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed podporu \u00cdr\u00e1nu na diplomatick\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00edna m\u00e1 naprostou pravdu, kdy\u017e tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee s \u00cdr\u00e1nem m\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed a energetick\u00e9 vazby na z\u00e1klad\u011b bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch dohod a \u017ee z\u00e1sahy USA jsou nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9. Naru\u0161en\u00ed toku \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy nav\u00edc naru\u0161uje \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd dodavatelsk\u00fd \u0159et\u011bzec.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd dovoz ropy v\u0161ak v r\u00e1mci pe\u010dliv\u011b vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 politiky poch\u00e1z\u00ed tak\u00e9 z pozoruhodn\u011b \u0161irok\u00e9 \u0161k\u00e1ly region\u016f. Hlavn\u00edm zdrojem \u010c\u00edny je \u201eostatn\u00ed Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod\u201c (\u00cdr\u00e1n, Om\u00e1n, Katar a Bahrajn) s 2,4 miliony barel\u016f denn\u011b, t\u011bsn\u011b n\u00e1sledovan\u00fd Ruskem s 2,2 miliony, Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed s 1,6 miliony a Ir\u00e1kem s 1,3 miliony.<\/p>\n<p>M\u016f\u017ee se zd\u00e1t, \u017ee pro Trumpa neexistuje snadn\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed h\u00e1danky Hormuzu. Ve skute\u010dnosti tomu tak ale nen\u00ed \u2013 za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee USA opust\u00ed svou koncepci \u201erevolu\u010dn\u00edho \u00cdr\u00e1nu\u201c z roku 1979, kter\u00e1 je dnes ve skute\u010dnosti zastaral\u00e1. Vlivn\u00ed \u010dinitel\u00e9 v Teher\u00e1nu jsou r\u016fzn\u00e9ho ra\u017een\u00ed, ale panuje mezi nimi obecn\u00e1 shoda, \u017ee zlep\u0161en\u00ed vztah\u016f s USA pom\u016f\u017ee zlep\u0161it ekonomick\u00e9 podm\u00ednky. Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee s\u00e1m miliard\u00e1\u0159 a politik Qalibaf je toho vynikaj\u00edc\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud se USA nezbav\u00ed star\u00fdch dogmat o \u00cdr\u00e1nu, nemohou se snadno sm\u00ed\u0159it s novou realitou, kter\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1nu umo\u017e\u0148uje generovat z Hormuzu poh\u00e1dkovou \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f dosahuj\u00edc\u00ed stovek miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b, co\u017e m\u00e1 potenci\u00e1l osvobodit jeho ekonomiku ze sp\u00e1r\u016f z\u00e1padn\u00edch sankc\u00ed a stabilizovat jeho politickou ekonomiku.<\/p>\n<p>Jako jedin\u00fd \u010dlov\u011bk zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd za zni\u010den\u00ed jadern\u00e9 dohody z roku 2015 (JCOPA) m\u016f\u017ee dnes takovou roli sehr\u00e1t pouze Trump, a to s progresivn\u00ed agendou co nejrychlej\u0161\u00ed integrace \u00cdr\u00e1nu do sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomiky.<\/p>\n<p>Zda je takov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b, se d\u00e1 zjistit pouze tehdy, pokud se o n\u011bj skute\u010dn\u011b pokus\u00ed. Pros\u00edm, u\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed podvody. Dal\u0161\u00ed kolo boj\u016f bude zlomov\u00fdm bodem, kter\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n radikalizuje. Strategie izraelsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Benjamina Netanjahua zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 na svr\u017een\u00ed re\u017eimu byla katastrofou.<\/p>\n<p>Zm\u011bna re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu za \u00fa\u010delem vytvo\u0159en\u00ed proamerick\u00e9ho re\u017eimu je \u0161\u00edlen\u00fdm kone\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem. Pokud v\u016fbec n\u011bco, pak se v \u00cdr\u00e1nu dramaticky zmen\u0161uje skupina obyvatel, kter\u00e1 usilovala o dobr\u00e9 vztahy s USA. Kdokoli, kdo byl sv\u011bdkem obdob\u00ed isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revoluce, pochop\u00ed hlubok\u00fd v\u00fdznam vide\u00ed, kter\u00e1 v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b koluj\u00ed a kter\u00e1 ukazuj\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nce, jak se noc co noc hrnou do ulic Teher\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u016fv krok k prodlou\u017een\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed je krokem spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm sm\u011brem. Co je zapot\u0159eb\u00ed, je skok v\u00edry. Trump by m\u011bl p\u0159ijmout radu p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu, poln\u00edho mar\u0161\u00e1la Asima Munira, a odvolat n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du. Je myln\u00e1 p\u0159edstava, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n lze donutit k vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed pod hrozbou zbran\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed hrdost je civiliza\u010dn\u00edm rysem a jeho hlubok\u00e1 ned\u016fv\u011bra v\u016f\u010di USA je d\u016fsledkem historie.<\/p>\n<p>Nenechte se m\u00fdlit, situace ne\u00faprosn\u011b dosp\u011bla k bodu zlomu. P\u0159esto je v Teher\u00e1nu na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rozhodovac\u00ed \u00farovni dost lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou st\u00e1le ochotni vyjedn\u00e1vat, pokud Trump dok\u00e1\u017ee vytvo\u0159it spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky pro to, aby vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nabylo vlastn\u00ed dynamiku.<\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.indianpunchline.com\/trump-needs-a-leap-of-faith-towards-iran\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Trump needs a leap of faith towards Iran<\/a>\u00a0vy\u0161el 22.4.2026 na indianpunchline.com<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Podle Pentagonu americk\u00e9 jednotky 21. dubna 2026 v indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu zadr\u017eely tanker M\/T Tifani, kter\u00fd&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105453,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,1503,310,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105452"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105452"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105452\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105453"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105452"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105452"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105452"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}