{"id":105382,"date":"2026-04-26T00:20:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-25T22:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105382"},"modified":"2026-04-25T05:44:31","modified_gmt":"2026-04-25T03:44:31","slug":"iran-usa-zhrouceni-strategickeho-limbu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/26\/iran-usa-zhrouceni-strategickeho-limbu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n-USA: Zhroucen\u00ed strategick\u00e9ho limbu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Blok\u00e1da se st\u00e1v\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed. Dal\u0161\u00ed zast\u00e1vkou je Malack\u00fd pr\u016fliv.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 seri\u00f3zn\u00ed anal\u00fdza nem\u016f\u017ee vz\u00edt v \u00favahu ment\u00e1ln\u011b retardovan\u00e9 bla bla bla Epsteinova syndik\u00e1tu o tom, co se d\u011bje v mocensk\u00fdch chodb\u00e1ch v Teher\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jako by m\u011bli n\u011bjak\u00e9 informovan\u00e9 znalosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nic nen\u00ed \u201erozd\u011blen\u00e9\u201c (snad krom\u011b psychiky pavi\u00e1na z Barbarie). Existuj\u00ed samoz\u0159ejm\u011b odli\u0161n\u00e9 koncep\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupy a \u017eiv\u00e1 celost\u00e1tn\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 debata. Ale na vysok\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed je cel\u00fd syst\u00e9m siln\u011b jednotn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

V prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b se jedn\u00e1 o zcela nov\u00fd syst\u00e9m uprost\u0159ed kompletn\u00ed transformace. V jeho j\u00e1dru m\u00e1me vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed kvarteto zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na bezpe\u010dnost: n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard Ahmada Vahidiho, p\u0159edsedu parlamentu Mohammada Baghera Ghalibafa, tajemn\u00edka Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti Mohammada Zolghadra a tajemn\u00edka Rady pro \u00fa\u010delnost Mohsena Rez\u00e1\u00edho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed imperativ koexistuje s p\u0159edchoz\u00edm hybridn\u00edm \u0159\u00e1dem, zt\u011blesn\u011bn\u00fdm \u201ereform\u00e1tory\u201c, v\u010detn\u011b prezidenta Mas\u00fada Peze\u0161kiana a ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1se Arag\u010d\u010d\u00edho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z 13 \u010dlen\u016f Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti jsou pouze 2 \u201ereform\u00e1to\u0159i\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nad t\u00edm v\u0161\u00edm stoj\u00ed rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed autorita v\u016fdce ajatoll\u00e1ha Mojt\u00e1by Chamene\u00edho \u2013 tradi\u010dn\u011b velmi \u00fazce spjat\u00e9ho s IRGC.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161e je nepochopiteln\u00e9 pro propagandisty Epsteinova syndik\u00e1tu nebo pro jak\u00e9hokoli lacin\u00e9ho sa\u00fadsk\u00e9ho \u201eexperta\u201c, kter\u00fd vypr\u00e1v\u00ed fantazii o \u201erevolu\u010dn\u00edm p\u0159evratu\u201c, kter\u00fd IRGC \u00fadajn\u011b pou\u017eila k um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed Ghalibafa, Pezeshkiana a Araghchiho do dom\u00e1c\u00edho v\u011bzen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1n se jak na diplomatick\u00e9, tak na vojensk\u00e9 front\u011b d\u016fsledn\u011b vyjad\u0159uje velmi jasn\u011b. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s pir\u00e1tskou \u0159\u00ed\u0161\u00ed v r\u00e1mci n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy \u2013 co\u017e je fakticky v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd akt. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, dokud jsou jejich lod\u011b napad\u00e1ny \u2013 co\u017e je fakticky poru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Aragh\u010di \u0161el rovnou k v\u011bci. Tak\u017ee je\u0161t\u011b jednou: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zru\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n ani nemrkne. Za \u017e\u00e1dnou cenu. Odpov\u011bdnost za zni\u010den\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky le\u017e\u00ed v\u00fdhradn\u011b na Barbarii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nez\u00e1konn\u00e1 blok\u00e1da a koncept \u201enevinn\u00e9ho pr\u016fjezdu\u201c<\/span><\/h2>\n

Vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed strategie pavi\u00e1na z Barbarie \u2013 stravovan\u00e9ho demenc\u00ed a nen\u00e1vist\u00ed \u2013 je zalo\u017eena na t\u0159ech primitivn\u00edch principech: maxim\u00e1ln\u00edm tlaku, nekone\u010dn\u00fdch term\u00ednech a nekone\u010dn\u00fdch hlasit\u00fdch hrozb\u00e1ch zni\u010den\u00edm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 infrastruktury.<\/span><\/p>\n

V o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du 2 se Teher\u00e1n proto rozhodl pro strategick\u00e9 ml\u010den\u00ed. Teher\u00e1n barbarsk\u00e9ho pavi\u00e1na zcela ignoroval. Zcela dezorientovan\u00fd, zjevn\u011b zu\u0159iv\u011b mrkal. Nyn\u00ed u\u017e nestanovuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed term\u00edny. U\u017e nevyhro\u017euje zni\u010den\u00edm civiln\u00ed infrastruktury. Velkou ot\u00e1zkou je, co se stane s n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dou.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010cl\u00e1nek 3(c) rezoluce Valn\u00e9ho shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed OSN \u010d. 3314 (Definice agrese) to p\u0159\u00edmo uv\u00e1d\u00ed: \u201eBlok\u00e1da p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f nebo pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed st\u00e1tu ozbrojen\u00fdmi silami jin\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu\u201c je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za akt agrese.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedn\u00e1 se tedy o jasn\u00e9 poru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co d\u011bl\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159i tranzitu Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem, je \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n nezablokoval \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavy ani nezavedl plo\u0161nou blok\u00e1du. Vybral v\u0161ak m\u00fdtn\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm lod\u00edm proplouvaj\u00edc\u00edm pr\u016flivem, kter\u00fd prot\u00e9k\u00e1 jeho vlastn\u00edmi teritori\u00e1ln\u00edmi vodami.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je v r\u00e1mci pr\u00e1va na sebeobranu naprosto leg\u00e1ln\u00ed \u2013 jako reakce na jednostrannou, neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed ozbrojenou bleskovou v\u00e1lku imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed supervelmoci.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n d\u00e1le v souladu s \u017denevskou \u00famluvou o teritori\u00e1ln\u00edm mo\u0159i a p\u0159ilehl\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b z roku 1958 a sv\u00fdmi vlastn\u00edmi vnitrost\u00e1tn\u00edmi pr\u00e1vn\u00edmi p\u0159edpisy (z\u00e1kon o n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch oblastech \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky z roku 1993) d\u016fsledn\u011b zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee pr\u00e1vo \u201ene\u0161kodn\u00e9ho pr\u016fjezdu\u201c se nevztahuje na plavidla, kter\u00e1 ohro\u017euj\u00ed jeho bezpe\u010dnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je zt\u011blesn\u011bn\u00edm strategick\u00e9ho \u00fazk\u00e9ho bodu. Prot\u00edn\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 teritori\u00e1ln\u00ed vody. Teher\u00e1n m\u00e1 proto p\u0159irozen\u011b suver\u00e9nn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo regulovat plavbu lod\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nejsou nevinn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato \u0159\u00ed\u0161e chaosu, l\u017e\u00ed, drancov\u00e1n\u00ed a pir\u00e1tstv\u00ed p\u0159irozen\u011b ignoruje ve\u0161kerou legalitu. Zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kdy\u017e je ji\u017e zavedena de facto glob\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1da \u2013 uvalen\u00e1 na \u00cdr\u00e1n, Rusko, samoz\u0159ejm\u011b \u010c\u00ednu a d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji na ka\u017edou dal\u0161\u00ed zemi glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 blok\u00e1da ni\u010d\u00ed sv\u011btovou ekonomiku<\/span><\/h2>\n

V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a nyn\u00ed i n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1da p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed nemilosrdn\u00fd \u00fatok na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky energie se ji\u017e propadly na ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch 60 procent \u2013 \u200b\u200bza m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e dva m\u011bs\u00edce. Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed hr\u016fzy sahaj\u00ed od lockdown\u016f a bezpo\u010dtu zru\u0161en\u00fdch let\u016f kv\u016fli nedostatku petroleje a\u017e po nedostatek potravin p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed l\u00e9to kv\u016fli v\u00fdbuchu hnojiv, potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed potravinov\u00e9 nepokoje a dokonce i mo\u017en\u00e9 zaveden\u00ed CBDC pro p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fd syst\u00e9m potravin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rocky Horror Show je ka\u017edou minutou hlasit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Tankery doslova p\u0159estaly proplouvat Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem; nav\u00edc pir\u00e1tsk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e odpaluje na r\u016fzn\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 lod\u011b p\u011btipalcov\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed rakety. Pojistn\u00e9 na tankery v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu vzrostlo za pouh\u00fd t\u00fdden o ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch 400 procent.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nikdy nep\u0159ijme trvalou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du. Proto dojde k odvet\u011b. A\u0165 se stane cokoli d\u00e1l, cena ropy Brent pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vystoup\u00ed nad 120 dolar\u016f za barel. Dod\u00e1vky petroleje se do konce p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho t\u00fddne v\u00fdrazn\u011b zp\u0159\u00edsn\u00ed. Ceny nafty a benzinu budou n\u00e1sledovat do dvou t\u00fddn\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

V re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase jsme sv\u011bdky toho, jak se glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trh s energi\u00ed zastavuje. Stejn\u011b jako \u00cdr\u00e1n v r\u00e1mci p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed zm\u00edrnil syst\u00e9m m\u00fdtn\u00e9ho v Hormuzsk\u00e9 oblasti, Barbaria zah\u00e1jila svou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee je to Barbaria, kter\u00e1 ve skute\u010dnosti ni\u010d\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku, proto\u017ee popt\u00e1vka po um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligenci, petrolej, nafta, lodn\u00ed doprava \u2013 to v\u0161e je v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zasa\u017eeno znehybn\u011bnou ropnou tsunami.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158e\u0161en\u00edm \u2013 prozat\u00edm \u2013 je odklonit dopravu p\u0159es Bab al-Mandeb, kter\u00fd je zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd za 12 procent celkov\u00e9ho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu a 10 procent celosv\u011btov\u011b obchodovan\u00e9 ropy: jedin\u00e9 spojen\u00ed mezi Asi\u00ed, Afrikou a Evropou p\u0159es Suezsk\u00fd pr\u016fplav.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud Ansarall\u00e1h uzav\u0159e Bab al-Mandeb v Jemenu, jedinou zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed cestou je p\u0159es Mys Dobr\u00e9 nad\u011bje: a\u017e dva t\u00fddny nav\u00edc na mo\u0159i, spolu s prudce rostouc\u00edmi n\u00e1klady na dopravu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00e1 hlavn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasa je v provozu t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 na pln\u00e9 obr\u00e1tky. N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1da Barbarie se ji\u017e roz\u0161i\u0159uje a\u017e do INDOPACOM. Ani tato hollywoodsk\u00e1 produkce nebude sta\u010dit k zastaven\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho exportu. Barbaria by musela sledovat ka\u017ed\u00fd jednotliv\u00fd tanker ve st\u00ednov\u00e9 flotile, v\u010detn\u011b tanker\u016f z Ir\u00e1ku, a uvalit dal\u0161\u00ed tvrd\u00e9 sankce na Malajsii a \u010c\u00ednu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Peking zat\u00edm ml\u010d\u00ed. Krom\u011b obecn\u00fdch v\u00fdzev k otev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu nebylo zaujato \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed stanovisko. D\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji by v\u0161ak drak mohl p\u0159esko\u010dit plot a zas\u00e1hnout do konfliktu, t\u0159eba vysl\u00e1n\u00edm opera\u010dn\u00ed jednotky do z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Venezuela. \u00cdr\u00e1n. Blok\u00e1da se st\u00e1v\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed. Dal\u0161\u00ed zast\u00e1vkou je Malack\u00fd pr\u016fliv.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato strategick\u00e1 nejistota nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159etrvat. Hra Barbarie se redukuje na n\u00e1vrat k p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu status quo: \u00cdr\u00e1n je pod maxim\u00e1ln\u00edm ekonomick\u00fdm tlakem a z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u010del\u00ed neust\u00e1l\u00e9 hrozb\u011b n\u00e1vratu k v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abych to zopakoval: I kdy\u017e Teher\u00e1n proti v\u0161em o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm zp\u016fsobil Washingtonu zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed strategickou por\u00e1\u017eku, d\u016fsledn\u011b po\u017eadoval \u00fapln\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, nikoli tuto zamrzlou, limbu podobnou situaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cel\u00e1 planeta v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase vid\u011bla, jak se suver\u00e9nn\u00ed odpor dok\u00e1\u017ee postavit imp\u00e9riu po 47 letech ni\u010div\u00fdch sankc\u00ed a za stra\u0161livou cenu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Extr\u00e9mn\u011b k\u0159ehk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed se neudr\u017e\u00ed. Krok k prolomen\u00ed blok\u00e1dy Barbarie je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nevyhnuteln\u00fd \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad pokud bude zabaveno p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch lod\u00ed. Seznam c\u00edl\u016f ji\u017e byl ozn\u00e1men: ropovod Yanbu v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, kter\u00fd obch\u00e1z\u00ed Hormuz; termin\u00e1l Fujairah ve Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech; a uzav\u0159en\u00ed ropovodu Bab al-Mandeb. To by okam\u017eit\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eilo celosv\u011btov\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky ropy o v\u00edce ne\u017e 32 procent.<\/span><\/p>\n

A za to bude zodpov\u011bdn\u00e1 pir\u00e1tsk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pepe Escobar<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Blok\u00e1da se st\u00e1v\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed. Dal\u0161\u00ed zast\u00e1vkou je Malack\u00fd pr\u016fliv. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 seri\u00f3zn\u00ed anal\u00fdza nem\u016f\u017ee vz\u00edt v…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105383,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,6382,38,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105382"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105382"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105382\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105383"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}