{"id":105354,"date":"2026-04-25T00:16:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T22:16:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105354"},"modified":"2026-04-24T19:25:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T17:25:18","slug":"ani-mir-ani-valka-jednani-mezi-spojenymi-staty-a-iranem-pozastavena","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/25\/ani-mir-ani-valka-jednani-mezi-spojenymi-staty-a-iranem-pozastavena\/","title":{"rendered":"Ani m\u00edr, ani v\u00e1lka: jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1nem pozastavena"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee platnost sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed vypr\u0161\u00ed 22. dubna, B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm zintenzivnil sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edru. Vyj\u00e1d\u0159il d\u016fv\u011bru, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017ee p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit \u00cdr\u00e1nce k p\u0159ijet\u00ed americk\u00fdch podm\u00ednek. Donald Trump dokonce prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee dohoda bude podeps\u00e1na 20. dubna. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda k americko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm dojde. Situace \u201eani m\u00edr, ani v\u00e1lka\u201c, kter\u00e1 zp\u016fsobuje chaotick\u00e9 kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed cen ropy, mezit\u00edm nen\u00ed vhodn\u00e1 pro \u017e\u00e1dnou ze zem\u00ed zapojen\u00fdch do konfliktu. To objektivn\u011b hraje ve prosp\u011bch m\u00edru.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nad\u011bje vkl\u00e1dan\u00e9 do procesu vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du byly do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry rozmaz\u00e1ny ud\u00e1lostmi posledn\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejen\u017ee prvn\u00ed kolo skon\u010dilo patovou situac\u00ed, ale nemohly b\u00fdt dodr\u017eeny ani podm\u00ednky p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty obvi\u0148uj\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n z poru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed uzav\u0159en\u00edm Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n obvi\u0148uje Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty z poru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed svou blok\u00e1dou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Je p\u0159\u00edzna\u010dn\u00e9, \u017ee v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b se vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed net\u00fdk\u00e1 m\u00edru ani z\u00e1sadn\u00edho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu. V s\u00e1zce je nyn\u00ed to, zda k jedn\u00e1n\u00edm v\u016fbec dojde, \u010di nikoli.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Trumpov\u00fdm c\u00edlem je vyvinout maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed tlak na ji\u017e tak zni\u010denou \u00edr\u00e1nskou ekonomiku (blok\u00e1dou a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b dal\u0161\u00edmi \u00fadery), aby Teher\u00e1n ustoupil jeho po\u017eadavk\u016fm ohledn\u011b jadern\u00e9ho programu i Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Historie v\u0161ak ukazuje, \u017ee Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika na otev\u0159en\u00fd tlak nereaguje. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b tento tlak pouze pos\u00edlil pozici \u00cdr\u00e1nu v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Je mo\u017en\u00fdch n\u011bkolik v\u00fdsledk\u016f. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by mohly zintenzivnit sv\u00e9 \u00fadery proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a splnit tak sv\u016fj slib zni\u010dit mosty a elektr\u00e1rny, nebo jednodu\u0161e pokra\u010dovat v blok\u00e1d\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch tanker\u016f. Mohly by tak\u00e9 prodlou\u017eit p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a d\u00e1t jedn\u00e1n\u00edm dal\u0161\u00ed \u0161anci. Pak ho znovu prodlou\u017eit a d\u00e1t jim dal\u0161\u00ed \u0161anci. A znovu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

20. duben se mohl zapsat do historie jako den, kdy skon\u010dila v\u00e1lka mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Alespo\u0148 to Trump sl\u00edbil. \u201eDohoda\u00a0<\/span>bude podeps\u00e1na<\/span><\/a>\u00a0dnes ve\u010der,\u201c p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl v pond\u011bl\u00ed r\u00e1no b\u011bhem rozhovoru pro\u00a0<\/span>Fox Business<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump d\u0159\u00edve v telefonick\u00e9m rozhovoru s den\u00edkem\u00a0<\/span>New York Post<\/span><\/em>\u00a0uvedl, \u017ee americk\u00e1 delegace ji\u017e odcestovala do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n se v procesu vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ujal role prost\u0159edn\u00edka.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle Trumpa je v americk\u00e9 delegaci zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vyslanec prezidenta pro Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod Steve Witkoff, viceprezident J. D. Vance a Jared Kushner, kter\u00fd sice v administrativ\u011b B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu nezast\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed pozici, ale je prezidentov\u00fdm zet\u011bm. V americk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch se objevovaly m\u00e9n\u011b povzbudiv\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Stanice CNN\u00a0<\/span>s<\/span><\/em>\u00a0odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na sv\u00e9 zdroje ozna\u010dila Trumpovy koment\u00e1\u0159e ohledn\u011b odjezdu delegace do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du za \u201ep\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9\u201c. Vance \u00fadajn\u011b pl\u00e1noval odlet\u011bt do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du a\u017e v \u00fater\u00fd ve\u010der.\u00a0<\/span>CNN<\/span><\/em>\u00a0tak p\u0159edpov\u00eddala, \u017ee pokud by dohody skute\u010dn\u011b bylo dosa\u017eeno, do\u0161lo by k n\u00ed doslova n\u011bkolik hodin p\u0159ed vypr\u0161en\u00edm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Mimochodem, ot\u00e1zka, kdy p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed vypr\u0161\u00ed, je tak\u00e9 p\u0159edm\u011btem debaty. Kdy\u017e Trump 7. dubna ozn\u00e1mil do\u010dasn\u00e9 dvout\u00fddenn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, neup\u0159esnil, zda skon\u010d\u00ed o p\u016flnoci nebo r\u00e1no 22. dubna.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f tak\u00e9 nenab\u00edzela mnoho d\u016fvod\u016f k optimismu ohledn\u011b rychl\u00e9ho ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. A\u010dkoli kategoricky neodm\u00edtli jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, v p\u0159edve\u010der Trumpov\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed dohod\u011b Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 za\u00fato\u010dili na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ropn\u00fd tanker v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu. Teher\u00e1n to interpretoval jako d\u016fkaz, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nejsou ochotny vyjedn\u00e1vat. \u201eV sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b, tedy ne\u017e p\u0159edstoup\u00edm p\u0159ed v\u00e1s, nepl\u00e1nujeme\u00a0<\/span>druh\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kolo jedn\u00e1n\u00ed,\u201c uvedl mluv\u010d\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed Esmail Baghaei 20. dubna b\u011bhem tiskov\u00e9 konference v s\u00eddle ministerstva, kterou vys\u00edlala \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady nejednaj\u00ed o zru\u0161en\u00ed blok\u00e1dy Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, nato\u017e o jak\u00e9koli dohod\u011b t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se jejich jadern\u00e9ho programu. Baghaei se k ot\u00e1zce mo\u017en\u00e9ho transferu obohacen\u00e9ho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho uranu do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f vyj\u00e1d\u0159il slovy: \u201ePro n\u00e1s tato mo\u017enost ani nen\u00ed na po\u0159adu dne.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm v pond\u011bl\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady p\u0159edlo\u017eily Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm a Izraeli z\u00fa\u010dtov\u00e1n\u00ed: zve\u0159ejnily\u00a0<\/span>ztr\u00e1ty<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zem\u011b b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky. \u0158editel Organizace pro soudn\u00ed l\u00e9ka\u0159stv\u00ed Abb\u00e1s Masjedi uvedl, \u017ee k 10. dubnu zem\u0159elo 3 375 lid\u00ed. Neup\u0159esnil, kolik bojovn\u00edk\u016f je v tomto \u010d\u00edsle zahrnuto, ale poskytl nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 \u00fadaje nazna\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed rozsah civiln\u00edch ob\u011bt\u00ed. Podle Masjediho bylo z 3 375 mrtv\u00fdch 7 d\u011bt\u00ed mlad\u0161\u00edch jednoho roku, 255 bylo ve v\u011bku od jednoho do dvan\u00e1cti let a 121 bylo ve v\u011bku od t\u0159in\u00e1cti do osmn\u00e1cti let. \u0160edes\u00e1t ob\u011bt\u00ed bylo ve v\u011bku 71 let a v\u00edce. \u00cdr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t prohl\u00e1sili, \u017ee budou od Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f po\u017eadovat od\u0161kodn\u011bn\u00ed za ztracen\u00e9 \u017eivoty a \u0161kody zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 zemi. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tyto platby jsou jednou z \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch podm\u00ednek pro jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Podm\u00ednka, kterou B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm nepochybn\u011b za \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed nebude pova\u017eovat za p\u0159ijatelnou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedin\u00e9, co by v tuto chv\u00edli mohlo situaci zachr\u00e1nit, je Trumpova originalita. Nap\u0159\u00edklad by mohl af\u00e9ru jednodu\u0161e ukon\u010dit bez jak\u00e9koli dohody, a\u0165 u\u017e m\u00edru nebo v\u00e1lky. Je pravda, \u017ee takov\u00fd krok by Trumpovi v o\u010d\u00edch voli\u010d\u016f nezachr\u00e1nil reputaci a \u00cdr\u00e1n by se Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu tak snadno nevzdal.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, pracovn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em nov\u00e9 reality v regionu, charakterizovan\u00e9 blok\u00e1dami, uzav\u00edrkami a pomal\u00fdm \u0161krcen\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu s c\u00edlem p\u0159em\u011bnit ho v selh\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed st\u00e1t. Jak s t\u00edm sv\u011bt bude \u017e\u00edt, je jin\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd z\u00e1stupce zat\u00edm nedorazil do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Washingtonem ani nikdo neopustil zemi do P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu, uvedla \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 st\u00e1tn\u00ed televizn\u00ed stanice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle televize \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 delegace \u2013 \u201eani hlavn\u00ed, ani sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed, ani p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e1, ani dopl\u0148kov\u00e1\u201c \u2013 v t\u00e9to f\u00e1zi do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du necestovala. Televize kategoricky pop\u00edr\u00e1 jak\u00e9koli zpr\u00e1vy m\u00e9di\u00ed o odjezdu nebo p\u0159\u00edjezdu \u010dlen\u016f \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 delegace do P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

CNN<\/span><\/em>\u00a0ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee druh\u00e9 kolo jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se uskute\u010dn\u00ed v \u00fater\u00fd r\u00e1no 22. dubna a americkou delegaci povede viceprezident J. D. Vance.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zdroj z televize\u00a0<\/span>Al-Hadath<\/span><\/em>\u00a0zm\u00ednil sou\u010dasn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edjezd obou delegac\u00ed v \u00fater\u00fd do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du, zat\u00edmco\u00a0<\/span>Al Jazeera<\/span><\/em>\u00a0tvrdila, \u017ee do P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu ji\u017e dorazila \u201ep\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e1 delegace\u201c z \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alexandre Lemoine<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee platnost sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed vypr\u0161\u00ed 22. dubna, B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm zintenzivnil sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105355,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,1060,1503,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105354"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105354"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105354\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105355"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105354"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105354"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105354"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}