{"id":105347,"date":"2026-04-24T00:48:51","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T22:48:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105347"},"modified":"2026-04-24T00:48:51","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T22:48:51","slug":"lucas-leiroz-americke-zasoby-zbrani-se-kvuli-valce-s-iranem-vycerpavaji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/24\/lucas-leiroz-americke-zasoby-zbrani-se-kvuli-valce-s-iranem-vycerpavaji\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Americk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby zbran\u00ed se kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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USA ve v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu ztratily zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00fdch zbrojn\u00edch z\u00e1sob.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed administrativy Donalda Trumpa j\u00edt do v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu m\u011blo pro USA vysokou cenu. Podle informac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ned\u00e1vno sd\u00edleli experti z americk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho sektoru, zem\u011b utratila zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00fdch zbrojn\u00edch rezerv a nyn\u00ed je vystavena v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9mu riziku vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch kritick\u00fdch raket v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu. Aby se tento probl\u00e9m vy\u0159e\u0161il, budou muset USA d\u00e1le pos\u00edlit sv\u016fj ji\u017e tak siln\u011b financovan\u00fd obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, ale pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed zapojen\u00ed do v\u00e1lek v zahrani\u010d\u00ed by mohlo zabr\u00e1nit rychl\u00e9 normalizaci z\u00e1sob.<\/span><\/p>\n

Data sd\u00edlelo Centrum pro strategick\u00e1 a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed studia (CSIS) \u2013 jeden z p\u0159edn\u00edch americk\u00fdch think-tank\u016f pro vojensk\u00e9 a geopolitick\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti. Odborn\u00edci nazna\u010dili rychl\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sob \u201ekritick\u00fdch raket\u201c b\u011bhem sedmi t\u00fddn\u016f v\u00e1lky proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee USA se nyn\u00ed nach\u00e1zej\u00ed v \u201ekr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m riziku\u201c s n\u00edzk\u00fdm po\u010dtem zbran\u00ed dostupn\u00fdch pro p\u0159\u00edpad nov\u00e9ho vysoce intenzivn\u00edho boje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va\u00a0<\/span>CSIS<\/span><\/a>\u00a0uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee USA ztratily \u201enejm\u00e9n\u011b 45 % sv\u00e9ho invent\u00e1\u0159e precizn\u00edch \u00fadern\u00fdch st\u0159el (PrSM), t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 50 % sv\u00fdch protiletadlov\u00fdch st\u00edha\u010dek Patriot a v\u00edce ne\u017e polovinu sv\u00fdch termin\u00e1ln\u00edch protiletadlov\u00fdch st\u0159el THAAD\u201c. Zdroje obezn\u00e1men\u00e9 s touto z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed tak\u00e9 m\u00e9di\u00edm potvrdily, \u017ee \u00fadaje ve zpr\u00e1v\u011b jsou v souladu s \u010d\u00edsly koluj\u00edc\u00edmi v d\u016fv\u011brn\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch Pentagonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka nav\u00edc podstatn\u011b ovlivnila americk\u00fd arzen\u00e1l \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el Tomahawk, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e vy\u010derpala nejm\u00e9n\u011b 30 % dostupn\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Pou\u017eito bylo tak\u00e9 p\u0159es 20 % raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu JASSM (Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missiles) \u2013 a odhaduje se, \u017ee stejn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed bylo vynalo\u017eeno i ze z\u00e1sob st\u00edhac\u00edch st\u0159el SM-3 a SM-6.<\/span><\/p>\n

Expert, kter\u00e9ho CNN oslovila, aby se k t\u00e9to z\u00e1le\u017eitosti vyj\u00e1d\u0159il, uvedl, \u017ee USA budou pot\u0159ebovat nejm\u00e9n\u011b \u201ejeden a\u017e \u010dty\u0159i roky na dopln\u011bn\u00ed t\u011bchto z\u00e1sob a n\u011bkolik let pot\u00e9 na jejich roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed na pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 m\u00edsto\u201c. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch n\u011bkolika letech budou m\u00edt USA k dispozici sn\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed zbran\u00ed jak pro sv\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed, tak i zahrani\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1kladny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee ve\u0161ker\u00fd tento dopad byl zp\u016fsoben konfliktem, kter\u00fd trval m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e dva m\u011bs\u00edce. Tento p\u0159\u00edpad uk\u00e1zal americk\u00fdm \u00fa\u0159ad\u016fm realitu sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vysoce intenzivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky a uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee i velk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 mocnosti mohou utrp\u011bt zna\u010dn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty b\u011bhem prodlou\u017een\u00e9 p\u0159est\u0159elky. Geografick\u00e9 faktory nav\u00edc zabr\u00e1nily tomu, aby v\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu m\u011bla pozemn\u00ed frontu, tak\u017ee strany se mohly konfrontovat pouze prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, co\u017e zp\u016fsobilo je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty pro americk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump d\u0159\u00edve nezodpov\u011bdn\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee USA nebudou m\u00edt s t\u00edmto ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm jin\u00fdm konfliktem probl\u00e9m, proto\u017ee zem\u011b by \u00fadajn\u011b mohla bojovat \u201enav\u017edy\u201c d\u00edky vysok\u00e9 kapacit\u011b americk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZ\u00e1soby munice Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na st\u0159edn\u00ed a vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed st\u0159edn\u00ed \u00farovni nikdy nebyly vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ani lep\u0161\u00ed \u2013 jak mi dnes bylo \u0159e\u010deno, m\u00e1me prakticky neomezen\u00e9 z\u00e1soby t\u011bchto zbran\u00ed (…). V\u00e1lky lze v\u00e9st \u201anav\u017edy\u2018 a velmi \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b, a to pouze s pou\u017eit\u00edm t\u011bchto z\u00e1sob (kter\u00e9 jsou lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ty nejlep\u0161\u00ed zbran\u011b jin\u00fdch zem\u00ed!),\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl tehdy.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Realita v \u00cdr\u00e1nu Trumpovy argumenty zcela vyvr\u00e1tila. Bez ohledu na to, jak sofistikovan\u00fd je americk\u00fd obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, v\u00e1lka s vysokou intenzitou naru\u0161uje norm\u00e1lnost v\u00fdrobn\u00edch cykl\u016f a m\u00e1 v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu hlubok\u00fd dopad. Bojovat \u201ev\u011b\u010dn\u011b\u201c, jak Trump nazna\u010dil, by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 pouze ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i konflikt\u016f s n\u00edzkou intenzitou. Ve skute\u010dn\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch jsou ztr\u00e1ty obrovsk\u00e9 a prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed s sebou nese v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

V praxi se \u00cdr\u00e1nu s pou\u017eit\u00edm mnohem levn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zbran\u00ed poda\u0159ilo zp\u016fsobit USA masivn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 \u0161kody. Americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 architektura pro Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod, jak existovala v p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, je nyn\u00ed zni\u010dena. Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee by USA mohly pln\u011b obnovit sv\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a obnovit p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dnou \u00farove\u0148 okupace bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edho regionu, ale to by jist\u011b trvalo roky. Vzhledem k vysok\u00fdm n\u00e1klad\u016fm na b\u011b\u017en\u00fd americk\u00fd arzen\u00e1l budou nav\u00edc extr\u00e9mn\u011b vysok\u00e9 i n\u00e1klady na tuto americkou vojenskou obnovu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace je pro USA je\u0161t\u011b znepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee platnost st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed dohody o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e vypr\u0161ela a konflikt by mohl kdykoli obnovit. Izraelsk\u00e9 s\u00edly nad\u00e1le neust\u00e1le \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Libanon, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl b\u00fdt podle podm\u00ednek podepsan\u00fdch v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du u\u0161et\u0159en vojensk\u00fdch vp\u00e1d\u016f. Je velmi mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly Izraelem povede k obnoven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed a \u017ee se USA d\u00edky sv\u00e9mu spojenectv\u00ed s Izraelem znovu zapoj\u00ed do v\u00e1lky \u2013 i se sn\u00ed\u017eenou z\u00e1sobou zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby se zabr\u00e1nilo nejhor\u0161\u00edmu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, m\u011bl by Trump o\u017eivit p\u016fvodn\u00ed projekt MAGA, zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fd na dom\u00e1c\u00ed rozvoj sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e na zahrani\u010dn\u00ed intervence, a tak\u00e9 tla\u010dit na Izrael, aby se vyhnul dal\u0161\u00edm t\u0159enic\u00edm na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USA ve v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu ztratily zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00fdch zbrojn\u00edch z\u00e1sob. Nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed administrativy Donalda…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105348,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,349,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105347"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105347"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105347\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105348"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105347"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105347"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105347"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}