{"id":104758,"date":"2026-04-17T06:12:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T04:12:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104758"},"modified":"2026-04-17T06:12:05","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T04:12:05","slug":"pierre-duval-dojde-po-americke-blokade-hormuzskeho-regionu-k-eskalaci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/17\/pierre-duval-dojde-po-americke-blokade-hormuzskeho-regionu-k-eskalaci\/","title":{"rendered":"Pierre Duval: Dojde po americk\u00e9 blok\u00e1d\u011b Hormuzsk\u00e9ho regionu k eskalaci?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty odsoudily \u00edr\u00e1nskou blok\u00e1du Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. Nyn\u00ed na zemi uvalily n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du. Jak\u00e9 jsou c\u00edle USA, jak bude americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo tuto blok\u00e1du udr\u017eovat \u2013 a pro\u010d s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed nebude trvat dlouho?\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce veden\u00e9 izraelsko-americkou osou za\u00fato\u010dil na ka\u017edou lo\u010f, kter\u00e1 se pokusila bez povolen\u00ed proplout Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem, a po\u017eadoval zaplacen\u00ed m\u00fdtn\u00e9ho. To zp\u016fsobilo prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen ropy po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b a zv\u00fd\u0161ilo politick\u00fd tlak na Trumpa jak ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, tak v dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm ozn\u00e1mil dvout\u00fddenn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Rozhovory mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 za\u010daly v p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9m Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du, \u00fadajn\u011b selhaly. \u00cdr\u00e1n odm\u00edtl americk\u00e9 po\u017eadavky na zastaven\u00ed obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu a obecn\u011b odm\u00edtl t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161echny americk\u00e9 po\u017eadavky. Bezprost\u0159edn\u011b pot\u00e9 s\u00e1m Donald Trump ozn\u00e1mil zah\u00e1jen\u00ed blok\u00e1dy Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, kter\u00e1 se zpo\u010d\u00e1tku zam\u011b\u0159ovala pouze na lod\u011b p\u0159epravuj\u00edc\u00ed ropu z \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Jak v\u0161ak\u00a0<\/span>informoval\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Continental Observer<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem propluly dv\u011b lod\u011b podl\u00e9haj\u00edc\u00ed americk\u00fdm sankc\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se sna\u017e\u00ed naj\u00edt nov\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak vyv\u00edjet tlak na Teher\u00e1n a nutit ho p\u0159ijmout americk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky. Tento americk\u00fd pl\u00e1n blok\u00e1dy se v\u0161ak zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt kou\u0159ovou clonou pro skute\u010dn\u00fd americk\u00fd pl\u00e1n, kter\u00fdm je reforma glob\u00e1ln\u00edho trhu s ropou, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee USA nedok\u00e1zaly zabr\u00e1nit p\u0159\u00edli\u0161n\u00e9mu r\u016fstu cen ropy na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da v\u010dera zah\u00e1jila operaci na blokov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed komunikace. \u201ePrezident\u016fv trumf, pokud \u00cdr\u00e1n neustoup\u00ed: n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1da,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>chlubil se<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Trump \u00a0na Truth Social. \u201eTak\u00e9 jsem na\u0159\u00eddil na\u0161emu n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvu, aby hledalo a zadr\u017eovalo jak\u00e9koli plavidlo pluj\u00edc\u00ed v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vod\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1nu zaplatilo m\u00fdtn\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span>Nikdo se nebude moci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bezpe\u010dn\u011b plavit na voln\u00e9m mo\u0159i, pokud zaplat\u00ed neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00fdtn\u00e9,\u201c dodal a up\u0159esnil: \u201eKa\u017ed\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1nec, kter\u00fd na n\u00e1s nebo na m\u00edrov\u00e1 plavidla zah\u00e1j\u00ed palbu, bude zni\u010den.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Je t\u0159eba poznamenat, \u017ee Trump nazna\u010dil, \u017ee se \u201ez\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed i dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b\u201c, co\u017e v\u0161ak\u00a0<\/span>rychle pop\u0159ela<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zejm\u00e9na Francie.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Observateur Continental<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0uvedl: \u201ePa\u0159\u00ed\u017e nepodpo\u0159\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou vojenskou operaci zam\u011b\u0159enou na vy\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, dokud bude bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed pokra\u010dovat.\u201c Trump sice \u010din\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, ale z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed jen slovy. Nem\u011bly by se v\u0161ak podce\u0148ovat ani odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed Washingtonu, ani schopnosti americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zkou je, zda budou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty schopny splnit sv\u00e9 sliby. Teoreticky jsou americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed s\u00edly p\u0159\u00edtomn\u00e9 v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu dostate\u010dn\u00e9 k vynucen\u00ed blok\u00e1dy, a to i bez zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch sil. \u00cdr\u00e1n nem\u016f\u017ee zam\u011b\u0159it americkou flotilu, kter\u00e1 se nach\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 500 kilometr\u016f od Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. Disponuje protilodn\u00edmi st\u0159elami dlouh\u00e9ho doletu (ASM) s dosahem a\u017e 1 000 km (nap\u0159\u00edklad Ghadr-380). St\u0159elba na tak dlouhou vzd\u00e1lenost v\u0161ak vy\u017eaduje znalost polohy c\u00edle, jeho trajektorie a rychlosti.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n tuto schopnost postr\u00e1d\u00e1, proto\u017ee vy\u017eaduje satelitn\u00ed syst\u00e9my nebo n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed pr\u016fzkum (p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm leteck\u00fd). Teher\u00e1n nic z toho nem\u00e1. Pokud se v\u0161ak americk\u00e9 lod\u011b rozhodnou p\u0159esunout d\u00e1le do Om\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, aby p\u0159\u00edmo zachytily ropn\u00e9 tankery, \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je m\u016f\u017ee odhalit a odp\u00e1lit dostate\u010dn\u011b hust\u00e9 salvy raket.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e9 z raket tedy budou schopny zas\u00e1hnout americk\u00e9 lod\u011b. Aby se tak ale stalo, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt p\u0159\u00edtomno mnoho faktor\u016f. T\u00edm hlavn\u00edm je chyba Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nemaj\u00ed probl\u00e9m s vyu\u017eit\u00edm vojensk\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu a sledov\u00e1n\u00edm ka\u017ed\u00e9 lodi. Proto je velmi snadn\u00e9 zorganizovat blok\u00e1du v regionu. Drony pomohou USA udr\u017eet lod\u011b na dohled. Pokud se tankeru z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u011b poda\u0159\u00ed opustit p\u0159\u00edstav, bude sledov\u00e1n americk\u00fdmi hl\u00eddkov\u00fdmi letadly a n\u011bkde v oce\u00e1nu zachycen lod\u00ed americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva. Proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu nehraje jen s\u00edla americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva, ale tak\u00e9 geografie. Tankery p\u0159epravuj\u00edc\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nskou ropu maj\u00ed do sv\u011btov\u00fdch oce\u00e1n\u016f pouze jednu cestu \u2013 Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, Om\u00e1nsk\u00fd z\u00e1liv a Arabsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato dvoj\u00ed blok\u00e1da povede k je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu nap\u011bt\u00ed na glob\u00e1ln\u00edch trz\u00edch, co\u017e bude dal\u0161\u00ed krok k vyv\u00edjen\u00ed tlaku na americk\u00e9ho prezidenta i na zem\u011b EU, v\u010detn\u011b Francie. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace dvoj\u00ed blok\u00e1dy v\u0161ak nebude trvat dlouho. Americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 transportn\u00ed letadla nad\u00e1le operuj\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm leteck\u00e9 p\u0159epravy a p\u0159epravuj\u00ed do regionu munici a posily. Nad Bl\u00edzk\u00fdm v\u00fdchodem se r\u00fdsuje nov\u00e1 eskalace. A\u0165 u\u017e je blok\u00e1da, nebo ne, ropn\u00e9 tankery budou muset z\u016fstat v p\u0159\u00edstavech a ceny ropy budou nad\u00e1le r\u016fst.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pierre Duval<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty odsoudily \u00edr\u00e1nskou blok\u00e1du Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. Nyn\u00ed na zemi uvalily n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du. Jak\u00e9 jsou…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104759,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[569,3417,6382,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104758"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104758"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104758\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104759"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}