{"id":104713,"date":"2026-04-17T00:20:47","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T22:20:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104713"},"modified":"2026-04-16T12:20:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T10:20:55","slug":"pravda-o-riziku-po-infekci-covid-19-u-ockovane-a-neockovane-populace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/17\/pravda-o-riziku-po-infekci-covid-19-u-ockovane-a-neockovane-populace\/","title":{"rendered":"Pravda o riziku po infekci COVID-19 u o\u010dkovan\u00e9 a neo\u010dkovan\u00e9 populace"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed tato data je\u0161t\u011b nevid\u011bla.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Anal\u00fdza dat CDC o pe\u010dovatelsk\u00fdch domech \u2013 kter\u00e1 byla mezit\u00edm smaz\u00e1na z vl\u00e1dn\u00edch server\u016f \u2013 ukazuje, \u017ee o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed proti COVIDu selhalo a m\u011blo nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinky na star\u0161\u00ed lidi, tedy pr\u00e1v\u011b na skupinu, kterou m\u011bly tyto \u201evakc\u00edny\u201c chr\u00e1nit.<\/span><\/em><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/@nichulscher\/note\/p-194097106?utm_source=notes-share-action\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/@nichulscher\/note\/p-194097106?utm_source=notes-share-action\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zde je odkaz na video.<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/esmed.org\/MRA\/mra\/article\/view\/7380\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">recenzovan\u00e1 studie<\/span><\/strong><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a015 022 domov\u016f d\u016fchodc\u016f v USA zjistila, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">obyvatel\u00e9 o\u010dkovan\u00ed proti COVID-19 m\u011bli ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s neo\u010dkovan\u00fdmi obyvateli zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 riziko \u00famrt\u00ed po infekci.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Soubor dat pou\u017eit\u00fd v t\u00e9to anal\u00fdze poch\u00e1z\u00ed z N\u00e1rodn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b pro bezpe\u010dnost zdravotn\u00ed p\u00e9\u010de (NHSN) Centra pro kontrolu a prevenci nemoc\u00ed (CDC) a je zalo\u017een na zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch z pe\u010dovatelsk\u00fdch dom\u016f certifikovan\u00fdch pro Medicare a Medicaid. Kupodivu\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/data.cms.gov\/covid-19\/covid-19-nursing-home-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">byl tento soubor dat sta\u017een z ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch webov\u00fdch str\u00e1nek CMS<\/span><\/strong><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a ji\u017e nen\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b p\u0159\u00edstupn\u00fd. Na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed se autor\u016fm poda\u0159ilo data z\u00edskat d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e vl\u00e1da webov\u00e9 str\u00e1nky zru\u0161ila. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b je tato\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/zenodo.org\/records\/19193433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">archivovan\u00e1 verze<\/span><\/strong><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0jedin\u00fdm ve\u0159ejn\u011b dostupn\u00fdm zdrojem t\u011bchto dat.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!MEIY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10b5cfdf-f045-4eea-93be-ece2ea704555_1682x760.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"713\" height=\"322\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">S vyu\u017eit\u00edm nyn\u00ed smazan\u00fdch t\u00fddenn\u00edch dat Medicare\/CDC na \u00farovni za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed od kv\u011btna 2022 do \u010dervna 2023 zkoumali \u00famrtnost ze v\u0161ech p\u0159\u00ed\u010din spojenou s potvrzen\u00fdmi infekcemi SARS-CoV-2, rozd\u011blenou podle o\u010dkovac\u00edho statusu. Anal\u00fdza se op\u00edrala o sm\u00ed\u0161en\u00e9 Poissonovy regresn\u00ed modely upraven\u00e9 o \u010dasov\u011b nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 i \u010dasov\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9 matouc\u00ed prom\u011bnn\u00e9, jako\u017e i o modely s opo\u017ed\u011bn\u00fdm a reverzn\u00edm opo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm pro posouzen\u00ed \u010dasov\u00e9ho sm\u011bru.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00damrtnost se po infekci zv\u00fd\u0161ila ve v\u0161ech skupin\u00e1ch \u2013 ale\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">d\u00e9lka trv\u00e1n\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9ho rizika \u00famrt\u00ed se dramaticky li\u0161ila<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Neo\u010dkovan\u00ed jedinci:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0~1 t\u00fdden vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00famrtnost<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b o\u010dkovan\u00e1:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0~3 t\u00fddny<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Pln\u011b o\u010dkovan\u00e1:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0~5 t\u00fddn\u016f<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!GpLO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff303dc0b-030e-4b34-8c57-1d3a01c604d9_1472x1388.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"613\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jin\u00fdmi slovy,\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010d\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed je m\u00edra proo\u010dkovanosti populace, t\u00edm del\u0161\u00ed je obdob\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9ho rizika \u00famrt\u00ed po infekci<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dr. M. Nathaniel Mead, \u010dlen Nadace McCullough a spoluautor studie, se mnou analyzoval tato data a d\u016fsledky t\u011bchto v\u00fdsledk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jak vysv\u011btlil Dr. Mead, studie m\u011bla odpov\u011bd\u011bt na z\u00e1kladn\u00ed ot\u00e1zku:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sn\u00ed\u017eilo o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed proti COVIDu skute\u010dn\u011b \u00famrtnost u nejzraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed skupiny obyvatel \u2013 star\u0161\u00edch obyvatel domov\u016f d\u016fchodc\u016f?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na z\u00e1klad\u011b tohoto souboru dat se zd\u00e1, \u017ee odpov\u011b\u010f zn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">ne<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Zat\u00edmco vlny infekce p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b vedly k n\u00e1r\u016fstu \u00famrt\u00ed ve v\u0161ech skupin\u00e1ch, o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed NESN\u00cd\u017dILO \u00famrtnost po infekci. Data m\u00edsto toho ukazuj\u00ed p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed sign\u00e1l \u00famrtnosti u o\u010dkovan\u00fdch jedinc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle epidemiologa a hlavn\u00edho autora studie, Dr. Krise Denhaeryncka:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eBez dal\u0161\u00edho zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed na individu\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovni nem\u016f\u017eeme z t\u011bchto \u00fadaj\u016f p\u0159\u00edmo vyvodit z\u00e1v\u011br, \u017ee zem\u0159el v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed po\u010det o\u010dkovan\u00fdch jedinc\u016f. Pokud jsou v\u0161ak vakc\u00edny skute\u010dn\u011b ur\u010deny ke sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed po\u010dtu z\u00e1va\u017en\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f COVID-19 a \u00famrtnosti, pln\u011b o\u010dkovan\u00ed obyvatel\u00e9 s pozitivn\u00edm testem na SARS-CoV-2 by nem\u011bli vykazovat zv\u00fd\u0161enou \u00famrtnost. Toto je bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nelze jednodu\u0161e zavrhnout jako artefakt agregovan\u00fdch nebo jinak zkreslen\u00fdch dat. Naopak, vy\u017eaduje si nal\u00e9hav\u00e9 vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed; a pokud by se uk\u00e1zalo jako spolehliv\u00e9, z\u00e1sadn\u011b by zpochybnilo sou\u010dasn\u00e9 p\u0159edpoklady o \u00fa\u010dinnosti vakc\u00edny u k\u0159ehk\u00fdch star\u0161\u00edch jedinc\u016f. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee takov\u00e1 longitudin\u00e1ln\u00ed data jsou b\u011b\u017en\u011b opom\u00edjena, nazna\u010duje, \u017ee d\u016fkladn\u00e9 vy\u0161et\u0159en\u00ed t\u00e9to mo\u017enosti je pova\u017eov\u00e1no za nepohodln\u00e9, ne-li zcela ne\u017e\u00e1douc\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 praktick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza domov\u016f d\u016fchodc\u016f v USA poskytuje jeden z dosud nejjasn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch \u010dasov\u00fdch ukazatel\u016f toho, \u017ee vakc\u00edna proti COVID-19 nesn\u00ed\u017eila, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e prodlou\u017eila riziko \u00famrt\u00ed po infekci u k\u0159ehk\u00fdch star\u0161\u00edch lid\u00ed \u2013 p\u0159esn\u011b t\u00e9 skupiny, kterou m\u011bly tyto \u201evakc\u00edny\u201c chr\u00e1nit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek se p\u016fvodn\u011b objevil na Focal Points a je publikov\u00e1n s jeho svolen\u00edm.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010cl\u00e1nek od<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Nicolase Hulschera, MPH<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vigilantfox.com\/p\/the-truth-about-post-covid-risk-in\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed tato data je\u0161t\u011b nevid\u011bla. Anal\u00fdza dat CDC o pe\u010dovatelsk\u00fdch domech \u2013 kter\u00e1 byla&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104714,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,23,523,651],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104713"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104713"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104713\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}