{"id":104711,"date":"2026-04-17T00:19:21","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T22:19:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104711"},"modified":"2026-04-16T12:17:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T10:17:55","slug":"plukovnik-douglas-macgregor-nemuzeme-kontrolovat-hormuzsky-pruliv","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/17\/plukovnik-douglas-macgregor-nemuzeme-kontrolovat-hormuzsky-pruliv\/","title":{"rendered":"Plukovn\u00edk Douglas Macgregor: \u201eNem\u016f\u017eeme kontrolovat Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V podrobn\u00e9m rozhovoru s vojensk\u00fdm analytikem a b\u00fdval\u00fdm poradcem ministerstva obrany plukovn\u00edkem Douglasem Macgregorem analyzuje moder\u00e1tor Daniel Davis sou\u010dasnou americkou blok\u00e1du Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. Macgregor, vysoce vyznamen\u00e1van\u00fd v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd veter\u00e1n a jeden z nejhlasit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch kritik\u016f americk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky, podrobn\u011b vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d je tato operace odsouzena k ne\u00fasp\u011bchu z vojensk\u00e9ho, strategick\u00e9ho i ekonomick\u00e9ho hlediska \u2013 a jak\u00e9 zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed d\u016fsledky by mohla m\u00edt pro USA a sv\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Plukovn\u00edk Doug Macgregor: Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv nem\u016f\u017eeme ovl\u00e1dat\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/yFXGmJqU0Z4?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Blok\u00e1da a jej\u00ed historick\u00e1 srovn\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zavedly blok\u00e1du Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, aby vyvinuly tlak na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Prezident Trump toto opat\u0159en\u00ed na\u0159\u00eddil, p\u0159esto\u017ee je historicky pova\u017eov\u00e1no za v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd akt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 situaci ke kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krizi v roce 1962: Tehdy bylo p\u0159ipraveno osm letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed, \u0161est a\u017e deset k\u0159i\u017en\u00edk\u016f a obrovsk\u00e1 flotila torp\u00e9doborc\u016f \u2013 v\u0161echny v dom\u00e1c\u00edch vod\u00e1ch s kr\u00e1tk\u00fdmi z\u00e1sobovac\u00edmi trasami. Dnes m\u00e1 americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo v\u00fdrazn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b lod\u00ed. Letadlov\u00e1 lo\u010f George Bush je st\u00e1le daleko a sou\u010dasn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost je omezena na asi tucet v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Blok\u00e1da vypad\u00e1 na pap\u00ed\u0159e impozantn\u011b, ale ve skute\u010dnosti je to logistick\u00e1 no\u010dn\u00ed m\u016fra.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Praktick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my implementace<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor popisuje praktick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my z pohledu velitele lodi: Kterou lo\u010f zastavit? Kterou ignorovat? Maj\u00ed mari\u0148\u00e1ci povoleno nalodit se bez p\u0159edchoz\u00ed p\u0159est\u0159elky? Pravidla boje jsou nejasn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 lo\u010f \u201eRich Stari\u201c nav\u00edc ji\u017e prolomila blok\u00e1du bez jak\u00e9koli reakce ze strany USA. Konfrontace s \u010c\u00ednou \u2013 kter\u00e1 disponuje siln\u00fdmi ponorkami \u2013 by byla sebevra\u017eedn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor poukazuje na to, \u017ee ji\u017e v 90. letech 20. stolet\u00ed neokonzervativci jako Richard Perle a Paul Wolfowitz vn\u00edmali Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod jako p\u00e1ku proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b, ale v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku jde p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm o strategickou dominanci Izraele v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vn\u00ed situace a politick\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Macgregora se mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vn\u00ed r\u00e1mec stal pr\u00e1zdn\u00fdm. Samotn\u00e9 USA opustily koncept \u201eliber\u00e1ln\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du\u201c \u2013 na Ukrajin\u011b, v Ir\u00e1ku a nyn\u00ed i v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Si \u0164in-pching hovo\u0159il o \u201ez\u00e1konech d\u017eungle\u201c. Macgregor souhlas\u00ed: Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed normy plat\u00ed pouze tehdy, kdy\u017e je chce Washington vym\u00e1hat. Blok\u00e1da bez mand\u00e1tu OSN tento dvoj\u00ed metr podtrhuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vojensk\u00e1 situace a strategick\u00e9 hranice<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Macgregorovy anal\u00fdzy je operace vojensky neudr\u017eiteln\u00e1. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed je poseto p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdmi st\u0159elami s plochou dr\u00e1hou letu, balistick\u00fdmi raketami a drony. Jejich dolet je 500 a\u017e 800 kilometr\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Neust\u00e1l\u00fd vesm\u00edrn\u00fd pr\u016fzkum a mobiln\u00ed odpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed raket d\u011blaj\u00ed z ve\u0161ker\u00e9 lodn\u00ed dopravy v \u00fazk\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch c\u00edl. Macgregor to srovn\u00e1v\u00e1 s kampan\u00ed u Gallipoli v roce 1915: Britsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo tehdy selhalo ne kv\u016fli nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm lod\u00edm, ale kv\u016fli min\u00e1m, pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edm d\u011bl\u016fm a nep\u0159\u00edstupn\u00e9mu ter\u00e9nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 obrana je dnes mnohem modern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. I kdyby spojenci NATO Japonsko a Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea vyslali sv\u00e9 flotily \u2013 co\u017e ned\u011blaj\u00ed \u2013 cesta by st\u00e1le z\u016fstala uzav\u0159en\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aby USA skute\u010dn\u011b ovl\u00e1dly Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv, musely by obsadit cel\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed a vnitrozem\u00ed \u2013 \u00fakol, kter\u00fd by vy\u017eadoval miliony voj\u00e1k\u016f a trval by roky, podobn\u011b jako japonsk\u00e1 expanze v ji\u017en\u00edm Pacifiku b\u011bhem druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Logistick\u00e9 p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00ed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Logisticky jsou USA p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9. Chyb\u00ed z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed lod\u011b, vrtuln\u00edky, mal\u00e9 \u010dluny a munice. N\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo je ji\u017e tak p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">B\u011bhem boj\u016f musely USA dopl\u0148ovat sv\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 z\u00e1soby \u2013 transportn\u00ed letadla C-17 a C-5 l\u00e9tala nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u011b. \u00cdr\u00e1n z\u00e1rove\u0148 dost\u00e1v\u00e1 podporu od Ruska a \u010c\u00edny. Toto klidn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed umo\u017e\u0148uje ob\u011bma stran\u00e1m p\u0159ezbrojit se.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor varuje: Z\u00e1soby vydr\u017e\u00ed jen na n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f intenzivn\u00edch boj\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ekonomicky se r\u00fdsuje katastrofa. Petrodolar je na konci sv\u00e9ho \u017eivota. \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e po\u017eaduje platby v juanech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud dolar ztrat\u00ed svou dominantn\u00ed roli v obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s ropou, financov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho feder\u00e1ln\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm zahrani\u010dn\u00ed popt\u00e1vky po st\u00e1tn\u00edch dluhopisech se zhrout\u00ed. Ceny ropy ji\u017e vzrostly o 21 procent \u2013 \u200b\u200bco\u017e je nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst od roku 1967 \u2013 a topn\u00e9ho oleje o 31 procent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Chemik\u00e1lie, hnojiva, plasty a mikro\u010dipy jsou celosv\u011btov\u011b nedostatkov\u00e9. Tov\u00e1rny v Asii stoj\u00ed. V Evrop\u011b, zejm\u00e9na v Irsku, hroz\u00ed nedostatek nafty a odst\u00e1vky n\u00e1kladn\u00edch vozidel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor popisuje Irsko jako \u201ekan\u00e1rka v uheln\u00e9m dole\u201c: nedostatek je tam poci\u0165ov\u00e1n jako prvn\u00ed, n\u00e1sledov\u00e1n Franci\u00ed, N\u011bmeckem, It\u00e1li\u00ed a \u0160pan\u011blskem. D\u016fsledky: kolaps dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f, nedostatek potravin, rostouc\u00ed nezam\u011bstnanost a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed nepokoje, kter\u00e9 zhor\u0161uje velk\u00fd po\u010det migrant\u016f soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edch o vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zdroje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kritika politick\u00e9ho veden\u00ed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor ost\u0159e kritizuje rozhodovac\u00ed proces v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b. Prezident Trump se nekonzultoval s \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdmi experty z n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva, ale pouze vydal rozkazy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Druh\u00e1 f\u00e1ze \u2013 odminov\u00e1n\u00ed, zabezpe\u010den\u00ed silnice a doprovod lod\u00ed \u2013 je pod nep\u0159\u00e1telskou palbou nemo\u017en\u00e1. Tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee 90 procent \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raket bylo zni\u010deno, je nepravdiv\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ve skute\u010dnosti st\u00e1le existuj\u00ed des\u00edtky tis\u00edc dron\u016f a tis\u00edce raket a \u010c\u00edna a Rusko dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00e1soby rychleji, ne\u017e USA dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed z\u00e1sobovat lod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a geopolitick\u00e1 dynamika<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Macgregora jsou jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du fra\u0161kou. Po\u017eadavky USA \u2013 p\u0159ed\u00e1n\u00ed obohacen\u00e9ho uranu a \u00fapln\u00fd z\u00e1kaz obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu \u2013 poru\u0161uj\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nskou suverenitu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dohodu JCPOA z Obamovy \u00e9ry Trump ukon\u010dil pod tlakem izraelsk\u00e9 lobby. Washington nyn\u00ed po\u017eaduje v\u00edce ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 strategickou iniciativu: Nepot\u0159ebuje velk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 kontingenty k ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed ulic. Sv\u011bt se obrac\u00ed proti USA. Koalice proti Washingtonu je p\u0159edstaviteln\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vliv politick\u00fdch s\u00edt\u00ed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor jde je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1l: Skute\u010dnou hnac\u00ed silou t\u00e9to politiky nen\u00ed s\u00e1m Trump, ale izraelsk\u00e1 lobby a sionisti\u010dt\u00ed miliard\u00e1\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9m n\u00e1rodn\u00edm shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed v roce 2024 se otev\u0159en\u011b skandovalo heslo \u201eIzrael na prvn\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b\u201c. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo cht\u011bl b\u00fdt ve vl\u00e1d\u011b, se musel tomuto prim\u00e1tu pod\u0159\u00eddit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump si nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159iznat por\u00e1\u017eku \u2013 postoj, kter\u00fd p\u0159evzal od sv\u00e9ho mentora Roye Cohna: nikdy nic nep\u0159izn\u00e1vejte, nikdy neselhejte. Proto se tato fikce udr\u017euje, i kdy\u017e se realita u\u017e d\u00e1vno zm\u011bnila.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u016fsledky jsou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed. P\u0159echod od hojnosti k nedostatku za\u010dal. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo st\u00e1le v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee USA mohou konflikt vyhr\u00e1t vojensky nebo ekonomicky p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt, ignoruje historii a logistiku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor uzav\u00edr\u00e1 jasnou v\u00fdzvou: Prezident Trump mus\u00ed jednat jako prezident Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a up\u0159ednost\u0148ovat americk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy p\u0159ed z\u00e1jmy Izraele. Pokud to nedok\u00e1\u017ee, m\u011bl by rezignovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bt se nedok\u00e1\u017ee vyrovnat s kolapsem glob\u00e1ln\u00edho energetick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu \u2013 a USA to rozhodn\u011b nedok\u00e1\u017eou.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Plukovn\u00edk Douglas Macgregor vykresluje drsn\u00fd obraz: Blok\u00e1da Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu je nejen vojensky neudr\u017eiteln\u00e1, ale tak\u00e9 urychluje \u00fapadek americk\u00e9 nadvl\u00e1dy a \u017eene sv\u011bt do nov\u00e9 \u00e9ry nedostatku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zda Washington tuto ho\u0159kou pravdu \u010dasem uzn\u00e1, se teprve uvid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V podrobn\u00e9m rozhovoru s vojensk\u00fdm analytikem a b\u00fdval\u00fdm poradcem ministerstva obrany plukovn\u00edkem Douglasem Macgregorem analyzuje&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104712,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,6382,38,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104711"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104711"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104711\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104712"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}