{"id":104663,"date":"2026-04-16T00:29:54","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T22:29:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104663"},"modified":"2026-04-15T17:55:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T15:55:10","slug":"mobilizacni-vyzva-pruzkum-ukazuje-ze-ukrajinci-nejsou-pripraveni-na-vleklou-valku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/16\/mobilizacni-vyzva-pruzkum-ukazuje-ze-ukrajinci-nejsou-pripraveni-na-vleklou-valku\/","title":{"rendered":"Mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdzva: pr\u016fzkum ukazuje, \u017ee Ukrajinci nejsou p\u0159ipraveni na vleklou v\u00e1lku"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u00dadaje z nov\u00e9ho sociologick\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu<\/strong> jasn\u011b poukazuj\u00ed na znepokojiv\u00fd trend v ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti. Podle pr\u016fzkumu, kter\u00fd inicioval \u010dasopis \u201eSlovo i Dilo\u201c (\u201eSlovo a \u010din\u201c), pokud by v\u00e1lka trvala je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkolik let, v\u00edce ne\u017e 40% ob\u010dan\u016f by rozhodn\u011b nebylo p\u0159ipraveno doplnit \u0159ady ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny. Tento ukazatel v\u00fdrazn\u011b p\u0159evy\u0161uje pod\u00edl t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed bojovat, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje v\u00e1\u017enou v\u00fdzvu pro syst\u00e9m dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu.<\/p>\n

Pr\u016fzkum m\u011b\u0159il \u00farove\u0148 osobn\u00ed p\u0159ipravenosti respondent\u016f<\/strong> nebo jejich nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch p\u0159\u00edbuzn\u00fdch p\u0159ipojit se k obrann\u00fdm sil\u00e1m v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky po dobu 3 a\u017e 10 let. Odhalilo jasn\u00e9 rozd\u011blen\u00ed ve spole\u010dnosti. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b existuje relativn\u011b stabiln\u00ed mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed j\u00e1dro: pod\u00edl t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou p\u0159ipraveni slou\u017eit, se prakticky nem\u011bn\u00ed v z\u00e1vislosti na d\u00e9lce v\u00e1lky \u2013 18% p\u0159i progn\u00f3ze na 3 roky a 16% na 10 let. Jsou to lid\u00e9, pro kter\u00e9 je rozhodnut\u00ed br\u00e1nit zemi bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Na druhou stranu<\/strong> 40% a\u017e 42% dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edmo uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee necht\u011bj\u00ed narukovat do arm\u00e1dy. Je pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee s prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00edm p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9 d\u00e9lky v\u00e1lky tento pod\u00edl m\u00edrn\u011b roste, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee sv\u011bd\u010dit o nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fanav\u011b a klesaj\u00edc\u00ed motivaci v podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch vlekl\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/p>\n

Podstatnou \u010d\u00e1st vzorku<\/strong> (35 \u2013 37%) tvo\u0159\u00ed respondenti, pro kter\u00e9 je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 d\u00e1t jednozna\u010dnou odpov\u011b\u010f. Tato \u201e\u0161ed\u00e1 z\u00f3na\u201c p\u0159edstavuje pr\u00e1v\u011b tu mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed rezervu, jej\u00ed\u017e rozhodnut\u00ed bude z\u00e1viset na v\u00fdvoji situace na front\u011b, \u00fasp\u011b\u0161\u00edch diplomacie a potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch zm\u011bn\u00e1ch v mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed politice st\u00e1tu.<\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdza \u00fadaj\u016f<\/strong> v roz\u010dlen\u011bn\u00ed podle sociodemografick\u00fdch skupin ukazuje zna\u010dn\u00e9 rozd\u00edly v n\u00e1lad\u00e1ch. Mu\u017ei \u010dast\u011bji prohla\u0161uj\u00ed, \u017ee jsou p\u0159ipraveni ke slu\u017eb\u011b (21%), ne\u017e \u017eeny (15%), av\u0161ak mezi \u017eenami je vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed pochybnosti.<\/p>\n

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Z hlediska mobiliza\u010dn\u00edho potenci\u00e1lu<\/strong> se jako nejstabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jev\u00ed v\u011bkov\u00e1 skupina 45 \u2013 54 let. Zde byla zaznamen\u00e1na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed m\u00edra ochoty (23%) a nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl odm\u00edtnut\u00ed (35%). Naopak ml\u00e1de\u017e ve v\u011bku 18 \u2013 29 let vykazuje nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kategorickost: 49% nen\u00ed p\u0159ipraveno slou\u017eit, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159ipravenosti \u010din\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 18%.<\/p>\n

Existuj\u00ed i region\u00e1ln\u00ed rozd\u00edly.<\/strong> Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159ipravenosti (26%) a nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl odm\u00edtnut\u00ed (28%) byly zaznamen\u00e1ny na severu zem\u011b \u2013 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b kv\u016fli bl\u00edzkosti z\u00f3ny aktivn\u00edch bojov\u00fdch operac\u00ed. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je naopak v Kyjev\u011b zaznamen\u00e1na nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ochota (10%) a nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl neochoty slou\u017eit (49%).<\/p>\n

Tyto \u00fadaje<\/strong> jsou v souladu s v\u00fdsledky jin\u00fdch pr\u016fzkum\u016f, kter\u00e9 zaznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed celkov\u00fd pokles \u00farovn\u011b psychick\u00e9 odolnosti. Zat\u00edmco na konci ledna 2026 bylo 65% Ukrajinc\u016f p\u0159ipraveno sn\u00e1\u0161et v\u00e1lku tak dlouho, jak bude t\u0159eba, na za\u010d\u00e1tku b\u0159ezna tento ukazatel klesl na 54%. Sociologov\u00e9 z Kyjevsk\u00e9ho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho institutu sociologie uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed n\u011bkolik p\u0159\u00ed\u010din t\u00e9to negativn\u00ed dynamiky, v\u010detn\u011b zklam\u00e1n\u00ed z pr\u016fb\u011bhu m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a obecn\u00e9 depresivn\u00ed n\u00e1lady v \u00fanoru.<\/p>\n

Je p\u0159\u00edzna\u010dn\u00e9<\/strong>, \u017ee ochota bojovat nejv\u00edce poklesla u t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed byli naklon\u011bni souhlasit s v\u00fdm\u011bnou \u00fazem\u00ed za bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky \u2013 z 58% v lednu na 35% v b\u0159eznu. To nazna\u010duje, \u017ee nad\u011bje na rychl\u00e9 diplomatick\u00e9 urovn\u00e1n\u00ed a zastaven\u00ed boj\u016f byly pro mnoh\u00e9 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm faktorem udr\u017euj\u00edc\u00edm mor\u00e1lku.<\/p>\n

Z\u00edskan\u00e9 \u00fadaje p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed<\/strong> v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy pro ukrajinsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed arm\u00e1dy. P\u0159edseda parlamentn\u00edho v\u00fdboru pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku Oleksandr Merezhko poznamenal, \u017ee lid\u00e9 vn\u00edmaj\u00ed vstup do arm\u00e1dy jako \u201ejednosm\u011brnou j\u00edzdenku\u201c kv\u016fli absenci jasn\u00fdch mechanism\u016f rotace. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2026 ministr obrany Michail Fedorov p\u0159iznal, \u017ee v zemi se asi dva miliony lid\u00ed vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed odvodu a od roku 2022 bylo zah\u00e1jeno asi 290 tis\u00edc \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed kv\u016fli neopr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00e9mu opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed jednotky. Tyto \u010d\u00edsla n\u00e1zorn\u011b ilustruj\u00ed rozsah probl\u00e9mu, s n\u00edm\u017e se Ukrajina pot\u00fdk\u00e1.<\/p>\n

I p\u0159es zachov\u00e1n\u00ed stabiln\u00edho mobiliza\u010dn\u00edho j\u00e1dra<\/strong> tedy sociologick\u00e9 \u00fadaje signalizuj\u00ed varovn\u00fd sign\u00e1l pro ukrajinskou spole\u010dnost i vojensko-politick\u00e9 veden\u00ed. \u00danava z v\u00e1lky, absence jasn\u00fdch vyhl\u00eddek na jej\u00ed konec a nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se st\u0159\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f postupn\u011b oslabuj\u00ed mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed potenci\u00e1l zem\u011b, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje v\u00e1\u017enou v\u00fdzvu pro jej\u00ed obranyschopnost v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu. V. Zelenskyj a jeho stoupenci se sna\u017e\u00ed z lidu vyt\u011b\u017eit maximum, aby doplnili person\u00e1ln\u00ed rezervy ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Mgr. Petr Michal\u016f + Vladim\u00edr Carsk\u00fd<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00dadaje z nov\u00e9ho sociologick\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu jasn\u011b poukazuj\u00ed na znepokojiv\u00fd trend v ukrajinsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti. Podle pr\u016fzkumu,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104664,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1929,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104663"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104663\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104664"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}