{"id":104638,"date":"2026-04-16T00:16:48","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T22:16:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104638"},"modified":"2026-04-15T09:54:48","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T07:54:48","slug":"alastair-crooke-iranske-odhodlani-vymanit-se-z-360-zapadniho-panoramatu-zadrzovani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/16\/alastair-crooke-iranske-odhodlani-vymanit-se-z-360-zapadniho-panoramatu-zadrzovani\/","title":{"rendered":"Alastair Crooke: \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed vymanit se z 360\u00b0 z\u00e1padn\u00edho panoramatu zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zd\u00e1 se pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nepovedou k dohod\u011b.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Do\u010dasn\u00e9 zastaven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii je nyn\u00ed v ohro\u017een\u00ed. P\u016fvodn\u011b se m\u011blo zastavit vojensk\u00e9 akce na \u201ev\u0161ech front\u00e1ch\u201c, v\u010detn\u011b Libanonu \u2013 to byl jeden z deseti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159edpoklad\u016f pro jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o trval\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Trump proto potvrdil, \u017ee desetibodov\u00fd r\u00e1mec \u00cdr\u00e1nu poskytuje \u201efunk\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1klad\u201c pro zah\u00e1jen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n v\u0161ak tyto body vn\u00edmal jako p\u0159edpoklady, nikoli jako v\u00fdchoz\u00ed body, od kter\u00fdch by m\u011bla za\u010d\u00edt jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stanice CBS uvedla, \u017ee Trump byl informov\u00e1n, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, kter\u00e9 ve \u010dtvrtek p\u0159ijal, se budou vztahovat na cel\u00fd region Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu \u2013 a souhlasil s t\u00edm, \u017ee se to t\u00fdk\u00e1 i Libanonu. Medi\u00e1to\u0159i uvedli, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed se bude vztahovat na Libanon, a ozn\u00e1men\u00ed p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra \u0160ehb\u00e1ze \u0160ar\u00edfa ho tak\u00e9 zahrnovalo. Ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Aragh\u010di rovn\u011b\u017e potvrdil, \u017ee se p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed vztahuje i na Libanon.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump\u016fv postoj se v\u0161ak po telefon\u00e1tu s Netanjahuem zm\u011bnil. Podle izraelsk\u00e9ho korespondenta Ronana Bergmana, kter\u00fd p\u00ed\u0161e v den\u00edku Jediot Aharonot, Netanjahu situaci vyhrotil n\u00e1hle a opo\u017ed\u011bn\u011b: V Izraeli dostaly vojensk\u00e9 i politick\u00e9 org\u00e1ny pokyn, aby prok\u00e1zaly, \u017ee Hizball\u00e1h nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, proveden\u00edm masivn\u00edho \u00fatoku na hust\u011b os\u00eddlen\u00e9 obytn\u00e9 oblasti v Libanonu \u2013 co\u017e m\u011blo za n\u00e1sledek v\u00edce ne\u017e 1 000 mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch, v\u011bt\u0161inou civilist\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u011b s \u00fatoky na Libanon Izrael ozn\u00e1mil politickou iniciativu \u2013 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 rozhovory s libanonskou vl\u00e1dou zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na odzbrojen\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu a normalizaci vztah\u016f mezi Libanonem a Izraelem \u2013 na podporu Netanjahuova po\u017eadavku na \u201ekr\u00e1tk\u00e9 obdob\u00ed pro dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky na Hizball\u00e1h, ne\u017e se Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 pokus\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it stejn\u00fd duch klidu na Libanon,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161e Anna Barsky v Ma’arivu. \u201eHodnocen\u00ed v Izraeli nazna\u010duj\u00ed \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e9 americk\u00e9 pochopen\u00ed t\u00e9to pot\u0159eby; ale to v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nen\u00ed jist\u00e9.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Alon Ben David, prominentn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd zpravodaj, poznamenal, \u017ee iniciativa premi\u00e9ra by mohla v\u00e9st k ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce v Libanonu, a v z\u00e1vorce dodal, \u017ee \u201eto byl v\u017edy c\u00edl\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd postoj je v\u0161ak v rozporu s \u201erevidovan\u00fdm\u201c postojem USA, podle kter\u00e9ho Libanon nikdy nebyl ned\u00edlnou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed po\u017eadavku na \u201ev\u0161echny fronty\u201c. Pro Teher\u00e1n je to p\u0159\u00edpad \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pro v\u0161echny nebo p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pro nikoho\u201c. Je to tak jednoduch\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed by se m\u011bla uskute\u010dnit pouze tehdy, pokud bude Trump schopen vetovat Netanjahuovo prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch kol bezohledn\u00e9ho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed Libanonu. M\u00e1 Trump skute\u010dn\u011b mo\u017enost ovl\u00e1dat Netanjahua \u2013 kter\u00fd (spolu s n\u011bkter\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, jak se p\u00ed\u0161e v \u00favodu) st\u00e1le chce, aby Trump \u201eza\u0161el do extr\u00e9mu, ke svr\u017een\u00ed zl\u00e9ho re\u017eimu\u201c, jak zd\u016fraz\u0148uje Ronen Bergman?<\/span><\/p>\n

Realita pro USA je ale bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00e1:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eUSA ztratily svou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost a vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu; cel\u00fd jejich arzen\u00e1l zbran\u00ed dlouh\u00e9ho doletu je prakticky vy\u010derpan\u00fd, stejn\u011b jako jejich protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana, kter\u00e1 se uk\u00e1zala jako \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

„Takhle vypad\u00e1 rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed strategick\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak to vyj\u00e1d\u0159il Ben Rhodes, b\u00fdval\u00fd z\u00e1stupce poradce USA pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost: \u201eJe t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 prohr\u00e1t tak kr\u00e1tkou v\u00e1lku tak komplexn\u011b.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Co Trumpa p\u0159im\u011blo k tomu, aby se od \u00fatern\u00edho ve\u010dern\u00edho p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku, v n\u011bm\u017e napsal \u201eDnes ve\u010der zem\u0159e cel\u00e1 civilizace\u201c, vydal k souhlasu s jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi zalo\u017een\u00fdmi na desetibodov\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu \u00cdr\u00e1nu jen o n\u011bkolik hodin pozd\u011bji, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 spekulac\u00ed. Mo\u017en\u00e1 v\u0161ak vedle sebe stoj\u00ed z\u00e1b\u011bry sest\u0159elen\u00e9ho vrtuln\u00edku z ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho pokusu prezidenta Cartera v roce 1980 o osvobozen\u00ed americk\u00fdch rukojm\u00edch z \u00cdr\u00e1nu a trosky americk\u00e9ho letadla pobl\u00ed\u017e Isfah\u00e1nu ze sobotn\u00edho (4. dubna) ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho pokusu o z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed obohacen\u00e9ho uranu z tunelu pobl\u00ed\u017e Isfah\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 jeden koment\u00e1tor, jedin\u00e9, co na pozd\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u011b v roce 1980 chyb\u00ed, je p\u0159\u00edtomnost zavra\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce Al\u00edho Chamene\u00edho. Prezident Carter se, jak je dob\u0159e zn\u00e1mo, stal politickou ob\u011bt\u00ed t\u00e9to ud\u00e1losti.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ipome\u0148me si tak\u00e9, \u017ee tato sou\u010dasn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka za\u010dala p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fdm \u00fatokem s c\u00edlem zab\u00edt nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce Al\u00edho Chamene\u00edho \u2013 a p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo se, \u017ee to bude kr\u00e1tk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka trvaj\u00edc\u00ed jen n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed. Zpr\u00e1va New York Times o sch\u016fzce z 11. \u00fanora 2026, na kter\u00e9 Netanjahu p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dil Trumpa, aby se p\u0159ipojil k \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n, potvrzuje, \u017ee \u201eprezident si z\u0159ejm\u011b myslel, \u017ee to bude velmi kr\u00e1tk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka\u2026 a v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m okam\u017eiku b\u011bhem jedn\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159edseda [gener\u00e1l Caine] prezidentovi p\u0159\u00edmo ne\u0159ekl, \u017ee v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem je hrozn\u00fd n\u00e1pad\u2026 [gener\u00e1l Caine] se st\u00e1le ptal: \u201aA co potom?\u2018 P\u0159esto se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee pan Trump \u010dasto sly\u0161\u00ed jen to, co sly\u0161et chce.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

A to, co cht\u011bl Trump na briefingu 11. \u00fanora sly\u0161et, \u00fazce souviselo s hluboce zako\u0159en\u011bn\u00fdmi ambicemi Netanjahua: \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1n vynikal\u201c \u2013 jak pro Trumpa, tak pro Netanjahua. \u201e[Trump] pova\u017eoval \u00cdr\u00e1n za jedine\u010dn\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho protivn\u00edka a byl p\u0159ipraven podstoupit velk\u00e1 rizika, aby splnil svou touhu rozb\u00edt \u00edr\u00e1nskou teokracii,\u201c uvedl The New York Times.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ani Trump, ani Netanjahu \u2013 navzdory t\u0159\u00edhodinov\u00e9mu ofici\u00e1ln\u00edmu briefingu 11. \u00fanora \u2013 nep\u0159edpokl\u00e1dali silnou \u00edr\u00e1nskou reakci v podob\u011b okam\u017eit\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1sledovaly po zabit\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce, a\u010dkoli tato mo\u017enost byla jasn\u011b nazna\u010dena v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch varov\u00e1n\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cel\u00fd pl\u00e1n \u00fatoku z 11. \u00fanora, schv\u00e1len\u00fd v situa\u010dn\u00ed m\u00edstnosti B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu, byl zalo\u017een na \u00faderech s dekapitac\u00ed, leteck\u00fdch \u00faderech na dlouhou vzd\u00e1lenost a sp\u00ed\u0161e intuitivn\u00ed (sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e na d\u016fkazech podlo\u017een\u00e9) v\u00ed\u0159e, \u017ee bude n\u00e1sledovat vnit\u0159n\u00ed povst\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 takov\u00e9, kter\u00e9 svrhne st\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed proto divu, \u017ee Trump nyn\u00ed zoufale hled\u00e1 cestu z izraelsk\u00e9ho debaklu, kter\u00fd mu byl zp\u016fsoben. Stejn\u011b jako Carter \u010del\u00ed politick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 zk\u00e1ze. Jak\u00e1koli seri\u00f3zn\u00ed cesta ven by v\u0161ak vy\u017eadovala zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fastupky \u2013 \u00fastupky, kter\u00e9 jsou v rozporu s jeho ho\u0159k\u00fdmi city v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu lidu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nepovedou k dohod\u011b. \u00cdr\u00e1n pr\u00e1v\u011b bo\u0159\u00ed 70 let star\u00e9 paradigma t\u00edm, \u017ee nut\u00ed USA \u2013 pod hrozbou ekonomick\u00fdch a tr\u017en\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f \u2013 souhlasit s dohodou, kter\u00e1 by znamenala \u201eosvobozen\u00ed\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1nu z panoptiku americk\u00e9ho a izraelsk\u00e9ho \u00fatlaku. Bude to znamenat v\u00edce utrpen\u00ed a smrti (v\u00edce v\u00e1lky), nebo m\u00e9n\u011b? To je ot\u00e1zka.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zd\u00e1 se pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nepovedou k dohod\u011b. Do\u010dasn\u00e9 zastaven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104639,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,1060,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104638"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104638\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}