{"id":104568,"date":"2026-04-15T00:11:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T22:11:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104568"},"modified":"2026-04-14T10:58:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:58:14","slug":"andrew-korybko-pujcka-eu-ukrajine-ve-vysi-90-miliard-eur-ma-koupit-cas-na-navrat-demokratu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/15\/andrew-korybko-pujcka-eu-ukrajine-ve-vysi-90-miliard-eur-ma-koupit-cas-na-navrat-demokratu\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: P\u016fj\u010dka EU Ukrajin\u011b ve v\u00fd\u0161i 90 miliard eur m\u00e1 koupit \u010das na n\u00e1vrat demokrat\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Nevyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00fdm c\u00edlem bloku je protahovat konflikt nejm\u00e9n\u011b do roku 2029 v nad\u011bji, \u017ee demokrat\u00e9 znovu z\u00edskaj\u00ed kontrolu nad B\u00edl\u00fdm domem a obnov\u00ed americkou politiku v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b z doby Bidena.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee Orb\u00e1novo \u201e\u00a0<\/span>demokratick\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><\/a>sesazen\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>\u201c odstran\u00ed procedur\u00e1ln\u00ed odpor Ma\u010farska k pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 p\u016fj\u010dce EU Ukrajin\u011b ve v\u00fd\u0161i 90 miliard eur, kter\u00e1 bude financov\u00e1na spole\u010dn\u00fdm dluhem \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. RT publikoval podrobn\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek o tomto pl\u00e1nu\u00a0v\u00a0<\/a>prosinci lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku. Tento pl\u00e1n p\u0159edstavoval kompromis pro financov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to p\u016fj\u010dky pot\u00e9, co se bloku nepoda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout konsensu bu\u010f na \u00fapln\u00e9 konfiskaci n\u011bkter\u00fdch zmrazen\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch aktiv za \u00fa\u010delem poskytnut\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b, nebo na pou\u017eit\u00ed alespo\u0148 n\u011bkter\u00fdch z nich jako z\u00e1stavy za p\u016fj\u010dku Ukrajin\u011b. \u010cten\u00e1\u0159i se mohou dozv\u011bd\u011bt v\u00edce\u00a0zde\u00a0<\/a>a\u00a0zde\u00a0<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud v\u0161e p\u016fjde podle pl\u00e1nu a\u00a0<\/span>agentura Bloomberg\u00a0<\/span><\/a>uvedla, \u017ee blok pl\u00e1nuje jednat rychle pot\u00e9, co Ma\u010farsko v\u0161e ji\u017e n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f brzd\u00ed, pak tento krok riskuje financov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u011b\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Nad\u011bje na vojensk\u00fd pr\u016flom na front\u011b nebo diplomatick\u00fd pr\u016flom v\u00a0<\/span>rozhovorech zprost\u0159edkovan\u00fdch USA\u00a0<\/span><\/a>se zat\u00edm nenaplnily, tak\u017ee tempo rusk\u00e9ho pozemn\u00edho postupu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pomal\u00e9, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee dosa\u017een\u00ed \u00fadajn\u00e9ho minim\u00e1ln\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho c\u00edle, kter\u00fdm je z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed kontroly nad cel\u00fdm Donbasem, by mohlo trvat roky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Financov\u00e1n\u00ed dvou t\u0159etin ukrajinsk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu na p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed dva roky\u00a0<\/span>v souladu s c\u00edlem EU\u00a0<\/span><\/a>by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vedlo k dohod\u011b o dal\u0161\u00edm dvoulet\u00e9m obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by USA povzbudilo k pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 pomoci. Od lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho l\u00e9ta USA ji\u017e zbran\u011b Ukrajin\u011b nedod\u00e1vaj\u00ed, ale prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed je NATO, kter\u00e9 je tam n\u00e1sledn\u011b p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017e\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span>I kdyby\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Trump tyto prodeje pozastavil, pokud bude ukrajinsk\u00fd rozpo\u010det financov\u00e1n a nic se z\u00e1sadn\u011b nezm\u011bn\u00ed, mohlo by to vydr\u017eet dostate\u010dn\u011b dlouho na to, aby\u00a0<\/span>si to znovu rozmyslel\u00a0<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jist\u011b, Ukrajina nem\u016f\u017ee bojovat v\u011b\u010dn\u011b, proto\u017ee i nov\u00fd n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk Zelensk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Kirill Budanov\u00a0<\/span>ned\u00e1vno p\u0159ipustil\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee \u010del\u00ed \u201eobrovsk\u00e9mu, obrovsk\u00e9mu probl\u00e9mu\u201c pot\u00e9, co nov\u00fd ministr obrany Michail Fjodorov\u00a0<\/span>odhalil\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee se odvodu vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 p\u0159es 2 miliony Ukrajinc\u016f, co\u017e v\u00e1\u017en\u011b komplikuje operace na front\u011b. Existuje tak\u00e9 v\u017edy mo\u017enost, \u017ee Putin prom\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operaci\u00a0<\/span><\/a>ve form\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku, ve kter\u00e9 by se u\u017e nestaral o civiln\u00ed ob\u011bti, ve snaze rozhodn\u011b ukon\u010dit konflikt za rusk\u00fdch podm\u00ednek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Existuj\u00ed dva protich\u016fdn\u00e9 n\u00e1zorov\u00e9 sm\u011bry na to, pro\u010d tak dosud neu\u010dinil. Jeden spekuluje, \u017ee nechce ne\u00famysln\u011b riskovat eskalaci s USA, kter\u00e1 by se snadno mohla p\u0159em\u011bnit ve t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku, zat\u00edmco druh\u00fd tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee st\u00e1le skute\u010dn\u011b pova\u017euje Rusy a Ukrajince za jeden n\u00e1rod, jak podrobn\u011b vysv\u011btlil ve sv\u00e9m\u00a0<\/span>vrcholn\u00e9m d\u00edle z l\u00e9ta 2021\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, a proto se zdr\u00e1h\u00e1 vid\u011bt trp\u011bt jejich civilisty. Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 v\u011b\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee to Putin neud\u011bl\u00e1, co\u017e nelze br\u00e1t jako samoz\u0159ejmost.<\/span><\/p>\n

EU nicm\u00e9n\u011b funguje za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee tak neu\u010din\u00ed, co\u017e vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d pl\u00e1nuje urychlen\u011b schv\u00e1lit p\u016fj\u010dku Ukrajin\u011b ve v\u00fd\u0161i 90 miliard eur a st\u00e1le nakupuje zbran\u011b od USA pro transfer do t\u00e9to zem\u011b. To nejen\u017ee zvy\u0161uje riziko, \u017ee se nap\u011bt\u00ed vymkne kontrole, ale tak\u00e9 prohlubuje energetickou nejistotu EU uprost\u0159ed prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed krize zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lkou v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, proto\u017ee ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu\u00a0<\/span>by hypoteticky mohlo v\u00e9st\u00a0<\/span><\/a>k obnoven\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu energie do EU ve prosp\u011bch jej\u00edch ob\u010dan\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nevysloven\u00fdm c\u00edlem EU je protahovat konflikt nejm\u00e9n\u011b do roku 2029 v nad\u011bji, \u017ee demokrat\u00e9 znovu z\u00edskaj\u00ed kontrolu nad B\u00edl\u00fdm domem a obnov\u00ed americkou politiku v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b z \u00e9ry Bidena. I kdy\u017e Evropan\u00e9 do t\u00e9 doby ekonomicky str\u00e1daj\u00ed, nemluv\u011b o dal\u0161\u00edch \u00famrt\u00edch Rus\u016f a Ukrajinc\u016f, blok je ochoten tyto n\u00e1klady zaplatit ve snaze o sv\u016fj ideologicky motivovan\u00fd c\u00edl, kter\u00fdm je zp\u016fsobit Rusku strategickou por\u00e1\u017eku. Nakonec by v\u0161ak konflikt mohl sp\u00ed\u0161e strategicky porazit EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nevyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00fdm c\u00edlem bloku je protahovat konflikt nejm\u00e9n\u011b do roku 2029 v nad\u011bji, \u017ee demokrat\u00e9 znovu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104569,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,460,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104568"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104568"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104568\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104569"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}