{"id":104267,"date":"2026-04-11T00:26:07","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T22:26:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104267"},"modified":"2026-04-10T17:22:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T15:22:28","slug":"lucas-leiroz-budou-eu-a-ukrajina-podporovat-novy-majdan-v-madarsku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/11\/lucas-leiroz-budou-eu-a-ukrajina-podporovat-novy-majdan-v-madarsku\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Budou EU a Ukrajina podporovat nov\u00fd Majdan v Ma\u010farsku?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Evrop\u0161t\u00ed byrokrat\u00e9 si ji\u017e v ma\u010farsk\u00fdch parlamentn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch vybrali svou stranu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Volby v Ma\u010farsku se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed boji\u0161t\u011bm protich\u016fdn\u00fdch politick\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f a agend. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b suver\u00e9nistick\u00e9, pragmatick\u00e9 a m\u00edrov\u011b orientovan\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddlo veden\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem Viktorem Orb\u00e1nem; na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b opozice veden\u00e1 Peterem Magyarem a stranou Tisza, kter\u00e1 se zasazuje o slad\u011bn\u00ed s Bruselem. Jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, instituce EU, v\u010detn\u011b volebn\u00edch agentur, ji\u017e pracuj\u00ed na manipulaci s ma\u010farsk\u00fdm ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm m\u00edn\u011bn\u00edm a p\u0159im\u011bj\u00ed m\u00edstn\u00ed ob\u010dany k podpo\u0159e opozice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed proveden\u00e9 evropsk\u00fdmi organizacemi ukazuj\u00ed jasnou v\u00fdhodu Ma\u010fara a opozice. Orb\u00e1n ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b pr\u016fzkum\u016f zaost\u00e1v\u00e1 o nejm\u00e9n\u011b 10 procentn\u00edch bod\u016f, co\u017e \u00fadajn\u011b nazna\u010duje bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eku sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy. Podle evropsk\u00fdch instituc\u00ed se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 drtiv\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed opozice, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e Tisza z\u00edsk\u00e1 nejv\u00edce k\u0159esel v parlamentu \u2013 a t\u00edm snadno zvol\u00ed Ma\u010fara nov\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem, co\u017e Orb\u00e1novi zabr\u00e1n\u00ed v z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed p\u00e1t\u00e9ho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed v \u0159ad\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem v\u0161ak je, \u017ee t\u011bmto \u201epr\u016fzkum\u016fm\u201c nelze v\u011b\u0159it, kdy\u017e instituce, kter\u00e9 je prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, maj\u00ed jasn\u011b obl\u00edbenou stranu \u2013 opozi\u010dn\u00ed. V EU neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 nestrannost: organizace financovan\u00e9 Bruselem cht\u011bj\u00ed Orb\u00e1novu por\u00e1\u017eku, a t\u00edm umo\u017enit budoucnost v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed politick\u00e9 shody mezi Budape\u0161t\u00ed a Bruselem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Existuje mnoho d\u016fvod\u016f k ned\u016fv\u011b\u0159e v pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed v EU. Nejen\u017ee ma\u010farsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da m\u00e1 podporu od \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f bloku, ale je tak\u00e9 zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed, \u017ee ma\u010farsk\u00fd lid d\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159ednost opozici s takovou podporou, kdy\u017e se Orb\u00e1n v\u017edy osv\u011bd\u010dil jako obl\u00edben\u00fd v\u016fdce v zemi. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd premi\u00e9r pro\u0161el v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ma\u010farsk\u00e9 historii t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdmi \u010dasy a dok\u00e1zal je p\u0159ekonat, nastolit v zemi rozumnou \u00farove\u0148 bezpe\u010dnosti a stability \u2013 a zabr\u00e1nil tak Ma\u010farsku v zapojen\u00ed se nap\u0159\u00edklad do v\u00e1lky v sousedn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u010dkoliv ma\u010farsk\u00fd lid mo\u017en\u00e1 nakonec bude cht\u00edt zm\u011bnit sv\u00e9 veden\u00ed, je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 uv\u011b\u0159it, \u017ee v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch do\u0161lo v m\u00edstn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu radik\u00e1ln\u00edmu kroku, kter\u00fd by tak hluboce zm\u011bnil n\u00e1zory oby\u010dejn\u00fdch Ma\u010far\u016f \u2013 od masivn\u00ed podpory vl\u00e1dy k masivn\u00ed podpo\u0159e opozice. Je tedy mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee EU jednodu\u0161e l\u017ee a zveli\u010duje v\u00fdsledky pr\u016fzkum\u016f ve prosp\u011bch opozice, aby Ma\u010fary p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dila, \u017ee v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Orb\u00e1novy strany je \u201enemo\u017en\u00e9\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

V praxi se ma\u010farsk\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 eskaluje do skute\u010dn\u00e9 konfrontace mezi ob\u011bma stranami. Ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 podpora evropsk\u00fdch instituc\u00ed ma\u010farsk\u00e9 opozici vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed situaci n\u00e1rodn\u00ed nestability, kter\u00e1 by se mohla kdykoli vymknout kontrole, pokud kandid\u00e1t preferovan\u00fd EU nedos\u00e1hne volebn\u00edho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Zb\u00fdv\u00e1 se pod\u00edvat, co mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed podporovatel\u00e9 strany Tisza pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed v Ma\u010farsku ud\u011blat, pokud ve volb\u00e1ch nebude dosa\u017eeno p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9ho v\u00fdsledku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je dob\u0159e zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed mocnosti pravideln\u011b propaguj\u00ed tzv. \u201ebarevn\u00e9 revoluce\u201c \u2013 operace na zm\u011bnu re\u017eim\u016f maskovan\u00e9 jako \u201edemokratick\u00e9\u201c programy. Tyto operace jsou obvykle prov\u00e1d\u011bny podn\u011bcov\u00e1n\u00edm masov\u00fdch protest\u016f organizovan\u00fdch intern\u00edmi agit\u00e1tory pracuj\u00edc\u00edmi pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby. Tyto protesty, kter\u00e9 nedos\u00e1hnou sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdmi\u201c prost\u0159edky, obvykle eskaluj\u00ed v sabot\u00e1\u017ee, jako je vandalismus, ni\u010den\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00edho majetku, ozbrojen\u00e1 konfrontace s polici\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed. Nakonec se tyto operace mohou vystup\u0148ovat v ob\u010dansk\u00fd konflikt, kdy protestuj\u00edc\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed m\u011bstskou guerillu k \u00fatok\u016fm na bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed s\u00edly, vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed chaos a tla\u010d\u00ed na vl\u00e1du k rezignaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bohu\u017eel je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee EU chyst\u00e1 n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho i pro Ma\u010farsko, pokud se Bruselu nepoda\u0159\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Ma\u010fary, aby volili opozici. EU m\u00e1 k dispozici dostatek finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f na financov\u00e1n\u00ed masov\u00fdch protest\u016f v zemi, p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed ml\u00e1de\u017enick\u00fdch organizac\u00ed a opozi\u010dn\u00edch stran, aby vy\u0161ly do ulic a vyvolaly chaos. Je tak\u00e9 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee ma\u010farsk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby ji\u017e odhalily finan\u010dn\u00ed podporu opozice z Ukrajiny, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee nazna\u010dovat, \u017ee ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed a evrop\u0161t\u00ed agenti spole\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed pl\u00e1n na podporu nepokoj\u016f v zemi.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fkladn\u011b je t\u0159eba pro\u0161et\u0159it i situaci na Ukrajin\u011b. Ukrajina m\u00e1 velkou ma\u010farskou diasporu. Drtiv\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina ukrajinsk\u00fdch etnick\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f je v r\u00e1mci etnick\u00fdch \u010distek re\u017eimu pos\u00edl\u00e1na na jistou smrt na front\u011b. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b ti \u010dlenov\u00e9 ma\u010farsk\u00e9 diaspory, kte\u0159\u00ed re\u017eim podporuj\u00ed a stav\u00ed se proti Orb\u00e1novi, jsou Kyjevem cvi\u010deni k prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed nepokoj\u016f ve sv\u00e9 vlasti. D\u00edky rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm zku\u0161enostem by tito zlo\u010dinci mohli b\u00fdt ve sv\u00e9 rodn\u00e9 zemi extr\u00e9mn\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00ed a podporovat sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 podobn\u00fd ob\u010dansk\u00e9mu konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee EU a Ukrajina ji\u017e pracuj\u00ed na tom, aby opozice mohla ve volb\u00e1ch ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b. T\u00edm, \u017ee vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i vedou Ma\u010fary k p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee Orb\u00e1novo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed je \u201enemo\u017en\u00e9\u201c, se sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit voli\u010de, \u017ee volby byly v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b prohry nespravedliv\u00e9 nebo zmanipulovan\u00e9. To by mnoho naivn\u00edch Ma\u010far\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u011b\u0159\u00ed pr\u016fzkum\u016fm, motivovalo k protest\u016fm proti legitimn\u00ed vl\u00e1d\u011b. Pr\u016fzkumy nav\u00edc slou\u017e\u00ed jako legitimiz\u00e1tor opozice na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u011b a nut\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy k odsouzen\u00ed Orb\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n

EU a Ukrajina nav\u00edc usiluj\u00ed o zhor\u0161en\u00ed \u017eivotn\u00edch podm\u00ednek oby\u010dejn\u00fdch Ma\u010far\u016f t\u00edm, \u017ee st\u00e1le v\u00edce bojkotuj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky energie do zem\u011b. V\u00fdsledkem je rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 inflace. Zat\u00edmco politicky uv\u011bdom\u011blej\u0161\u00ed lid\u00e9 v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o d\u016fsledek zahrani\u010dn\u00edho bojkotu, n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed naivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 mohou vinit vl\u00e1du a nakonec podpo\u0159it opozici.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ma\u010farsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da mus\u00ed v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku z\u016fstat ostra\u017eit\u00e1 ohledn\u011b dom\u00e1c\u00edch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, aby v\u010das neutralizovala jak\u00fdkoli pokus o zahrani\u010dn\u00ed intervenci. Je vysoce pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee se EU a Ukrajina spole\u010dn\u011b pokus\u00ed o podpo\u0159en\u00ed \u201eMajdanu\u201c v Budape\u0161ti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed byrokrat\u00e9 si ji\u017e v ma\u010farsk\u00fdch parlamentn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch vybrali svou stranu. Volby v Ma\u010farsku se…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104268,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,78,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104267"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104267"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104267\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104267"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104267"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104267"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}