{"id":104235,"date":"2026-04-11T00:12:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T22:12:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104235"},"modified":"2026-04-10T11:12:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T09:12:00","slug":"evropa-zacina-s-pridelovym-systemem-dodavek-energie-protoze-krize-se-promita-do-kazdodenniho-zivota","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/11\/evropa-zacina-s-pridelovym-systemem-dodavek-energie-protoze-krize-se-promita-do-kazdodenniho-zivota\/","title":{"rendered":"Evropa za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 s p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fdm syst\u00e9mem dod\u00e1vek energie, proto\u017ee krize se prom\u00edt\u00e1 do ka\u017edodenn\u00edho \u017eivota"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Evropa nyn\u00ed neponech\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pochybnosti o z\u00e1va\u017enosti t\u00e9to krize, proto\u017ee vl\u00e1dy ne\u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed milion\u016fm lid\u00ed, aby pracovali z domova, pokud se pod povrchem nevyv\u00edj\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00fd nedostatek. Evropsk\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/markets-by-sector\/energy\/europe-begins-energy-rationing-as-the-crisis-moves-into-daily-life\/\" rel=\"nofollow\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/markets-by-sector\/energy\/europe-begins-energy-rationing-as-the-crisis-moves-into-daily-life\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">unie za\u010dala<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0v r\u00e1mci nouzov\u00e9 reakce na \u0161ok zp\u016fsoben\u00fd v\u00e1lkou v \u00cdr\u00e1nu nal\u00e9hat na ob\u010dany, aby pracovali z domova, m\u00e9n\u011b \u0159\u00eddili, sni\u017eovali rychlostn\u00ed limity a sni\u017eovali celkovou spot\u0159ebu energie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z formulace pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady jasn\u011b vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee se nejedn\u00e1 o do\u010dasn\u00fd probl\u00e9m. Evropsk\u00e9 agentury varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed \u201evelmi v\u00e1\u017enou situac\u00ed\u201c, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 konec v dohledu, a to se shoduje s t\u00edm, co vid\u00edme na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, jeliko\u017e uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu p\u0159eru\u0161ilo jednu z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch energetick\u00fdch tepen sv\u011bta. Touto trasou obvykle proch\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20 % celosv\u011btov\u00e9 p\u0159epravy ropy a plynu a samotn\u00e1 Evropa je na n\u00ed siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1, v\u010detn\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 7 % sv\u00e9 ropy, 8,5 % LNG a a\u017e 40 % leteck\u00e9ho paliva a nafty. Pokud dojde k naru\u0161en\u00ed tohoto toku, nebude k dispozici \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 rychl\u00e1 n\u00e1hrada.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vl\u00e1dy se nyn\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eit popt\u00e1vku, proto\u017ee nemohou dostate\u010dn\u011b rychle zv\u00fd\u0161it nab\u00eddku. Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 agentura dokonce nast\u00ednila opat\u0159en\u00ed, jako je sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed rychlosti na d\u00e1lnic\u00edch, omezen\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed soukrom\u00fdch automobil\u016f, podpora ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 dopravy a p\u0159esun pr\u00e1ce do dom\u00e1c\u00edch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, kdekoli je to mo\u017en\u00e9. Nejde o environment\u00e1ln\u00ed politiku, ale o p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fd syst\u00e9m pod jin\u00fdm n\u00e1zvem. Je to stejn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, jak\u00fd jsme vid\u011bli v 70. letech, jen nyn\u00ed je implementov\u00e1n prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm modern\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, nikoli zjevn\u00fdch benz\u00ednov\u00fdch potrub\u00ed a nedostatku na \u010derpac\u00edch stanic\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Posun k pr\u00e1ci z domova je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdmluvn\u00fd, proto\u017ee ukazuje, jak hluboce je energie zako\u0159en\u011bna v ekonomice. Doj\u00ed\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed, kancel\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 budovy, dopravn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b \u2013 to v\u0161e spot\u0159ebov\u00e1v\u00e1 energii a omezen\u00edm fyzick\u00e9ho pohybu se vl\u00e1dy sna\u017e\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eit celkovou popt\u00e1vku, ani\u017e by v\u00fdslovn\u011b vyhl\u00e1sily p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fd syst\u00e9m. N\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b dokonce p\u0159ech\u00e1zej\u00ed na \u010dty\u0159denn\u00ed pracovn\u00ed t\u00fdden a omezuj\u00ed cestov\u00e1n\u00ed na nezbytn\u00e9 \u010dinnosti, co\u017e op\u011bt ukazuje, \u017ee probl\u00e9m nen\u00ed teoretick\u00fd, ale ji\u017e ovliv\u0148uje ka\u017edodenn\u00ed realitu ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To p\u0159\u00edmo souvis\u00ed s velk\u00fdm \u0161okem v dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch plynu, kter\u00fd je ozna\u010dov\u00e1n za nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v modern\u00ed historii. Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 agentura varovala, \u017ee tato krize je hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u0161oky z let 1973, 1979 a dokonce i ne\u017e ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 v\u00fdpadky dohromady, proto\u017ee dne\u0161n\u00ed syst\u00e9m je mnohem propojen\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a z\u00e1visl\u00fd na nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00fdch toc\u00edch energie. Evropa vstoupila do t\u00e9to krize s ji\u017e tak n\u00edzkou \u00farovn\u00ed z\u00e1sob plynu, kter\u00e1 se po krut\u00e9 zim\u011b odhaduje na zhruba 30 %, co\u017e ji \u010din\u00ed obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zranitelnou v dob\u011b r\u016fstu cen a zu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed dod\u00e1vek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ve\u0159ejnost si zat\u00edm pln\u011b neuv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 pouze o po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed f\u00e1zi. Ropa a plyn, kter\u00e9 byly v tranzitu ji\u017e p\u0159ed naru\u0161en\u00edm, se st\u00e1le pohybuj\u00ed syst\u00e9mem, co\u017e zpozdilo jeho pln\u00fd dopad. Vl\u00e1dy se sna\u017e\u00ed tomuto okam\u017eiku p\u0159edej\u00edt t\u00edm, \u017ee nyn\u00ed sni\u017euj\u00ed popt\u00e1vku, proto\u017ee jakmile se tyto toky d\u00e1le sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed, rozd\u00edl mezi nab\u00eddkou a popt\u00e1vkou nebude mo\u017en\u00e9 ignorovat. Pak se p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fd syst\u00e9m stane nevyhnuteln\u00fdm, nebude to u\u017e jen doporu\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Existuje tak\u00e9 sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed efekt, kter\u00fd se ji\u017e za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 projevovat: dopad na pr\u016fmysl. Energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed v cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b chemick\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu a v\u00fdroby, \u010del\u00ed rostouc\u00edm n\u00e1klad\u016fm a v n\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech sni\u017euj\u00ed produkci nebo zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed p\u0159ir\u00e1\u017eky a\u017e do v\u00fd\u0161e 30 %, jen aby mohla pokra\u010dovat v provozu. Energetick\u00e1 krize se tak st\u00e1v\u00e1 kriz\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159skou, proto\u017ee jakmile produkce klesne, ceny rostou a r\u016fst za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 stagnovat, zat\u00edmco inflace se zvy\u0161uje \u2013 klasick\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 stagflace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159edstava, \u017ee ekonomiky mohou i nad\u00e1le fungovat na plnou kapacitu, i kdy\u017e jsou dod\u00e1vky energie omezen\u00e9, je jednodu\u0161e nere\u00e1ln\u00e1. Kdy\u017e se energie stane vz\u00e1cnou, v\u0161e nad n\u00ed se mus\u00ed zmen\u0161it, a p\u0159esn\u011b to nyn\u00ed vid\u00edme se zkr\u00e1cenou pracovn\u00ed dobou, povinnou prac\u00ed z domova a dopravn\u00edmi omezen\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vl\u00e1dy se sna\u017e\u00ed zvl\u00e1dnout p\u0159echod tak, aby se vyhnuly panice, ale samotn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed ukazuj\u00ed z\u00e1va\u017enost situace. Jakmile za\u010dnete po\u017eadovat po cel\u00fdch lidech, aby zm\u011bnili zp\u016fsob pr\u00e1ce, cestov\u00e1n\u00ed a spot\u0159eby energie, u\u017e jste v krizov\u00e9m re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto se samo od sebe rychle nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed. \u00da\u0159edn\u00edci ji\u017e varuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u0161ok bude dlouhodob\u00fd, a nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed jsou pouze prvn\u00edm krokem. Pokud bude naru\u0161en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch energetick\u00fdch tok\u016f p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat, tato do\u010dasn\u00e1 \u00faprava se prom\u011bn\u00ed ve formalizovan\u00e1 omezen\u00ed a to, co je nyn\u00ed prezentov\u00e1no jako dobrovoln\u00e1 doporu\u010den\u00ed, se stane povinnou politikou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Energie tvo\u0159\u00ed z\u00e1klad cel\u00e9 ekonomiky a jakmile je tento z\u00e1klad naru\u0161en, v\u0161e kolem n\u00ed se za\u010dne m\u011bnit. Evropa nyn\u00ed vstupuje do t\u00e9to f\u00e1ze a p\u0159echod k pr\u00e1ci z domova a sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed spot\u0159eby je pouze prvn\u00edm viditeln\u00fdm sign\u00e1lem, \u017ee syst\u00e9m je pod tlakem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Martin Armstrong<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/markets-by-sector\/energy\/europe-begins-energy-rationing-as-the-crisis-moves-into-daily-life\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Evropa nyn\u00ed neponech\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pochybnosti o z\u00e1va\u017enosti t\u00e9to krize, proto\u017ee vl\u00e1dy ne\u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed milion\u016fm lid\u00ed, aby&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66290,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[285,283,371,10792],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104235"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104235"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104235\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66290"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104235"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104235"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104235"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}