{"id":104155,"date":"2026-04-09T07:00:37","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T05:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=104155"},"modified":"2026-04-09T07:00:37","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T05:00:37","slug":"izrael-vitezstvi-ktere-povede-k-jeho-konci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/09\/izrael-vitezstvi-ktere-povede-k-jeho-konci\/","title":{"rendered":"Izrael: V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 povede k jeho konci"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Drtiv\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla, trval\u00e1 podpora USA, schopnost ude\u0159it bez okam\u017eit\u00fdch n\u00e1sledk\u016f: Izrael po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed zt\u011bles\u0148oval formu nedotknuteln\u00e9 moci. Za hromad\u011bn\u00edm taktick\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f se v\u0161ak skr\u00fdv\u00e1 hlub\u0161\u00ed oslaben\u00ed. Pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed osidlovac\u00ed \u010dinnost, prodlou\u017een\u00e9 blok\u00e1dy, opakovan\u00e9 \u00fadery a absence politick\u00e9ho horizontu: s\u00edla se prom\u011bnila v logiku vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. Dnes u\u017e se nejedn\u00e1 pouze o vojenskou ot\u00e1zku. T\u00fdk\u00e1 se legitimity, narativu a m\u00edsta Izraele ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde samotn\u00e1 moc ji\u017e nesta\u010d\u00ed k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n hraje dlouhodobou hru a Z\u00e1pad zji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee podpora mocnosti, kter\u00e1 se stala zdrojem chaosu, m\u00e1 svou cenu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ijde \u010das \u2013 a mo\u017en\u00e1 u\u017e je tady \u2013 kdy Izrael u\u017e nebude vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako mocnost, ale jako historick\u00fd okam\u017eik. Intenzivn\u00ed, n\u00e1siln\u00fd, rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed okam\u017eik.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ale p\u0159esto okam\u017eik.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Klam ideologi\u00ed nadvl\u00e1dy<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ideologie dominance jsou slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky, a\u0165 u\u017e poch\u00e1zej\u00ed kdekoli. Jejich rozbit\u00ed nep\u0159ijde ani z pomsty, ani z \u00fadajn\u00e9 mor\u00e1ln\u00ed nad\u0159azenosti, ale z \u00fanavy lid\u00ed a jejich odm\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed nekone\u010dn\u00e9ho n\u00e1sil\u00ed. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 moc se toti\u017e nebuduje na drcen\u00ed druh\u00fdch, ani\u017e by se nakonec nezhroutila.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 proklamovan\u00e1 nad\u0159azenost nem\u016f\u017ee odolat realit\u011b<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Izrael nen\u00ed z tohoto pravidla v\u00fdjimkou.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdchod skrze d\u016fstojnost a sou\u017eit\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ijde \u010das, kdy n\u00e1stroje s\u00edly budou muset ustoupit star\u0161\u00edmu a hlub\u0161\u00edmu imperativu: imperativu lidsk\u00e9 d\u016fstojnosti. \u010cas, kdy se logika konfrontace vy\u010derp\u00e1 a neprodukuje nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e n\u00e1sil\u00ed. Takov\u00fd posun bude vy\u017eadovat jasnoz\u0159iv\u00e9 n\u00e1rody a obnoven\u00fd z\u00e1vazek k z\u00e1kladn\u00ed pravd\u011b: nikoli nadvl\u00e1d\u011b, ale sou\u017eit\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Iluze moci<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">St\u00e1ty ne v\u017edy miz\u00ed ve st\u0159etu zbran\u00ed. N\u011bkdy miz\u00ed jin\u00fdmi zp\u016fsoby: opot\u0159eben\u00edm, izolac\u00ed nebo postupnou ztr\u00e1tou v\u00fdznamu v o\u010d\u00edch sv\u011bta. Navenek st\u00e1le existuj\u00ed, ale n\u011bco uvnit\u0159 se ji\u017e st\u00e1hlo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael byl dlouho vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako obl\u00e9han\u00e1 pevnost, pot\u00e9 jako nepostradateln\u00e1 mocnost. Za t\u00edmto obrazem s\u00edly se v\u0161ak postupn\u011b uchytila \u200b\u200bjin\u00e1 realita: syst\u00e9m, kde se s\u00edla st\u00e1v\u00e1 odpov\u011bd\u00ed na v\u0161echno, kde politika miz\u00ed za arm\u00e1dou a kde \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed konfliktu nahrazuje jeho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Maska sebeobrany spadla<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Odhaluje st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd si zvolil trvalou nadvl\u00e1du jako sv\u016fj jedin\u00fd horizont.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed kolonizace. Dlouhotrvaj\u00edc\u00ed blok\u00e1dy. Opakovan\u00e9 n\u00e1lety. Ni\u010den\u00ed civiln\u00ed infrastruktury. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 epizoda, posuzovan\u00e1 jednotliv\u011b, je prezentov\u00e1na jako bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed nutnost. Ale dohromady odhaluj\u00ed ne\u00faprosnou logiku: logiku neomezen\u00e9 akumulace, kde \u010derven\u00e9 linie, znovu a znovu p\u0159ekra\u010dovan\u00e9, p\u0159est\u00e1vaj\u00ed existovat.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Nen\u00ed oslaben jen z\u00e1kon. Je oslabena samotn\u00e1 legitimita.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdjimka se stala pravidlem<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rostouc\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st sv\u011btov\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed ji\u017e nevn\u00edm\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed jako bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategii, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e jako projev mocnosti p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00e9, \u017ee se m\u016f\u017ee trvale vyhnout v\u0161em pr\u00e1vn\u00edm a politick\u00fdm omezen\u00edm. Opakovan\u00fdm p\u0159ekra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00edm hranic bez p\u0159ijet\u00ed d\u016fsledk\u016f Izrael podporuje nebezpe\u010dnou p\u0159edstavu, \u017ee se pova\u017euje za nad\u0159azen\u00fd norm\u00e1m, kter\u00fdch se jinak dovol\u00e1v\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdjimka se stala pravidlem<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. A toto pravidlo se naz\u00fdv\u00e1: s\u00edla pro s\u00edlu, ani\u017e by se kdy zab\u00fdvala ot\u00e1zkou m\u00edru.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tuto trajektorii po dlouhou dobu umo\u017e\u0148ovalo specifick\u00e9 politick\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed: desetilet\u00ed vojensk\u00e9, finan\u010dn\u00ed a diplomatick\u00e9 podpory ze strany Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f; vysoce strukturovan\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 politick\u00e9ho vlivu, v\u010detn\u011b Americko-izraelsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdboru pro ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti, jedn\u00e9 z nejvlivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch washingtonsk\u00fdch lobbistick\u00fdch skupin; a v Evrop\u011b slovn\u00ed odsouzen\u00ed, ale konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed ne\u010dinnost. Des\u00edtky rezoluc\u00ed OSN odsuzovaly okupaci a poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va. Hromadily se zpr\u00e1vy, mno\u017eily se varov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 a p\u0159esto se nic ve skute\u010dnosti nezm\u011bnilo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Probl\u00e9m nen\u00ed v nedostatku informac\u00ed. Probl\u00e9m je v absenci d\u016fsledk\u016f.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">S\u00edla jako syst\u00e9m<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale s\u00edla, kdy\u017e se stane syst\u00e9mem, se nakonec obr\u00e1t\u00ed proti sob\u011b sam\u00e9. Nebo\u0165 nic ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed. Pozastavuje. Odpuzuje. Hromad\u00ed se. A jednoho dne se t\u00edha toho, co nikdy nebylo vy\u0159e\u0161eno, stane t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v\u0161echna v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael u\u017e nehled\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. S nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my zach\u00e1z\u00ed jako se zp\u016fsobem \u017eivota<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. To je jeho skute\u010dn\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed: zam\u011bnil si p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed s \u200b\u200btrvalou okupac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1lka v Gaze znamenala rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed zlom: krom\u011b p\u0159edkl\u00e1dan\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed hluboce zm\u011bnily obrazy masov\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed a civiln\u00edch ob\u011bt\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed Izraele ve velk\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech sv\u011btov\u00e9ho ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed. Pro st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st sv\u011bta\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">ji\u017e Gaza nen\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 epizoda, ale jako symbol extr\u00e9mn\u00ed nerovnov\u00e1hy mezi vojenskou silou a civiln\u00ed zranitelnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bt se zm\u011bnil bez varov\u00e1n\u00ed. V minulosti sta\u010dila vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159evaha k vnucen\u00ed reality. Dnes u\u017e ani nezaru\u010duje kontrolu. V\u00e1lky se u\u017e nevyhr\u00e1vaj\u00ed, vle\u010dou se. Nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 u\u017e nezmiz\u00ed, ale p\u0159izp\u016fsobuj\u00ed se. A ve v\u011bku digit\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00ed se v\u00e1lka vede i na mor\u00e1ln\u00ed a symbolick\u00e9 front\u011b: obrazy koluj\u00ed nefiltrovan\u00e9 a vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed nespravedlnosti se hluboce zako\u0159e\u0148uje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Posun v podpo\u0159e<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pak p\u0159i\u0161el ten nepost\u0159ehnuteln\u00fd posun. Okam\u017eik, kdy podpora p\u0159estala b\u00fdt automatick\u00e1. Kdy\u017e se ml\u010den\u00ed stalo trapn\u00fdm. Kdy\u017e i hlavn\u00ed ochr\u00e1nce \u2013 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty \u2013 za\u010dal projevovat sv\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed omezen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento posun odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed posun samotn\u00fdch Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f: mocnosti, kter\u00e1 si zachov\u00e1v\u00e1 svou vojenskou p\u0159evahu, ale zji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee zah\u00e1jen\u00ed nebo podpora v\u00e1lky j\u00ed ji\u017e nezaru\u010duje ani kontrolu, ani trval\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A pr\u00e1v\u011b v t\u00e9to souvislosti doch\u00e1z\u00ed k ud\u00e1losti, kter\u00e1 by mohla b\u00fdt rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm zlomem.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jiskra: za\u00fato\u010dit na \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dne 28. \u00fanora 2026 zah\u00e1jil Izrael v \u00fazk\u00e9 koordinaci se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty masivn\u00ed vojenskou kampa\u0148 proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. \u00dader byl velkolep\u00fd. Odehr\u00e1l se b\u011bhem m\u011bs\u00edce Ramad\u00e1nu. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty provedly ni\u010div\u00e9 \u00fadery: d\u00edv\u010d\u00ed \u0161kola byla zni\u010dena, stejn\u011b jako nemocnice, univerzity a pokojn\u00e1 shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed. Ob\u011bti civilist\u016f se po\u010d\u00edtaly v \u0159\u00e1du stovek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento \u010din nen\u00ed zoufalou obrannou operac\u00ed. Odhaluje hluboce zako\u0159en\u011bnou doktr\u00ednu sd\u00edlenou ob\u011bma spojenci: doktr\u00ednu, kter\u00e1 up\u0159ednost\u0148uje systematick\u00e9 ni\u010den\u00ed, a to i za cenu \u017eivot\u016f civilist\u016f, p\u0159ed jak\u00fdmkoli politick\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Tyto \u00fatoky svou povahou a c\u00edli p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 zlo\u010diny.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm tento \u010din odhaluje n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bn\u011bco mnohem znepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00edho pro samotn\u00fd Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Proto\u017ee t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n Izrael \u2013 s aktivn\u00ed podporou Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f \u2013 nejen ni\u010d\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle. Aktivuje protivn\u00edka, kter\u00fd p\u0159esn\u011b prom\u011b\u0148uje izraelskou s\u00edlu ve slabost. Nebezpe\u010d\u00ed pro Izrael ji\u017e nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v prohran\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Izrael nad\u00e1le v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 vyhraje, ho p\u0159ibli\u017euj\u00ed k bezpe\u010dnosti \u2013 i kdy\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n d\u00edky sv\u00e9 odolnosti a schopnostem politick\u00e9 projekce prom\u011b\u0148uje tato \u201ev\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c ve strategick\u00e9 pasti.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Bl\u00e1zniv\u00fd sp\u011bch<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Gaza zdevastovan\u00e1 a srovn\u00e1n\u00e1 s troskami. Libanon bu\u0161il. S\u00fdrie bombardov\u00e1na dle libosti. A nyn\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n za\u00fato\u010dil \u010deln\u011b s neb\u00fdval\u00fdm n\u00e1sil\u00edm. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 krize si \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 stejnou mechanickou reakci: v\u00edce s\u00edly, v\u00edce ob\u011bt\u00ed, dal\u0161\u00ed eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato strategie m\u00e1 okam\u017eit\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky v podob\u011b destrukce. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v\u0161ak odhaluje chronickou neschopnost p\u0159edstavit si cokoli jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e n\u00e1sil\u00ed jako jedin\u00fd jazyk.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael nic nestabilizuje<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. V\u011bdom\u011b udr\u017euje cyklus nestability, vykresluje se jako ob\u011b\u0165 a slep\u011b s\u00e1z\u00ed na svou technologickou p\u0159evahu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 tomu \u00cdr\u00e1n nemus\u00ed vojensky vyhr\u00e1t. Mus\u00ed prost\u011b vytrvat, odol\u00e1vat a prom\u011bnit ka\u017ed\u00fd izraelsk\u00fd \u00fader v dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkaz agrese.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A pr\u00e1v\u011b zde spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 strategick\u00fd posun:\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael jedn\u00e1. \u00cdr\u00e1n to t\u011b\u017e\u00ed z kapit\u00e1lu<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Konflikt se toti\u017e z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnil: neodehr\u00e1v\u00e1 se ji\u017e pouze v prostoru, ale tak\u00e9 v \u010dase. A v t\u00e9to tich\u00e9 v\u00e1lce nakonec v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed schopnost vytrvat nad schopnost\u00ed ude\u0159it. T\u00edm, \u017ee Izrael reaguje na ka\u017edou v\u00fdzvu hrubou silou, odhaluje svou nejhlub\u0161\u00ed slabinu: absenci politick\u00e9 vize, kterou nahradila\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">z\u00e1vislost na neust\u00e1l\u00e9 v\u00e1lce<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed vlastn\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1tele<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kampa\u0148 tohoto rozsahu, veden\u00e1 b\u011bhem Ramad\u00e1nu a doprov\u00e1zen\u00e1 viditeln\u00fdm ni\u010den\u00edm civiln\u00edho obyvatelstva, nelze pova\u017eovat za technickou operaci.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Je vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako akt agrese<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. A pr\u00e1v\u011b v t\u00e9to oblasti je \u00cdr\u00e1n nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael nejen \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na protivn\u00edka. Nab\u00edz\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu obrovskou strategickou p\u00e1ku: p\u00e1ku vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Elity v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, p\u0159\u00edmo posti\u017een\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi odvetn\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi, zp\u0159\u00eds\u0148uj\u00ed svou r\u00e9toriku v\u016f\u010di Teher\u00e1nu. Jejich spole\u010dnosti v\u0161ak vid\u00ed n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho: muslimskou zemi pod velkolep\u00fdm \u00fatokem. Toto odd\u011blen\u00ed je \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm. Proto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nikdy nepot\u0159eboval sjednocovat muslimsk\u00fd sv\u011bt silou. Pot\u0159eboval spou\u0161t\u011b\u010d.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael mu ho poskytuje<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vnit\u0159n\u00ed rozpory \u2013 sunnit\u00e9 versus \u0161\u00edit\u00e9 \u2013 miz\u00ed za jednoduch\u00fdm, ale siln\u00fdm narativem. \u010ceho se nepoda\u0159ilo prosadit ani radik\u00e1l\u016fm, ani struktur\u00e1m jako Organizace isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce, \u00cdr\u00e1n dosahuje nep\u0159\u00edmo prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm samotn\u00e9ho Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Paradox je do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed: \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce Izrael \u00fato\u010d\u00ed, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed strategickou hloubku z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Ka\u017ed\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed prom\u011b\u0148uje vojenskou p\u0159evahu v politick\u00e9 a narativn\u00ed p\u0159ehnan\u00e9 zd\u016fraz\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Od odrazov\u00e1n\u00ed k nadm\u011brn\u00e9 expozici<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izraelsk\u00e1 doktr\u00edna je zalo\u017eena na odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Ale v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu se tato logika obrac\u00ed. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 demonstrace s\u00edly se st\u00e1v\u00e1 demonstrac\u00ed odhalen\u00ed. Izrael ji\u017e neodstra\u0161uje; odhaluje se s\u00e1m. A \u00cdr\u00e1n tohoto odhalen\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 k roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed rozsahu konfliktu: vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed, diplomacie, ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed a ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael se st\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm. Proto zraniteln\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael zji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee si dok\u00e1\u017ee udr\u017eet vojenskou p\u0159evahu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 postupn\u011b prohr\u00e1vat bitvu o legitimitu. Izolace se stup\u0148uje, rozhodnut\u00ed za rozhodnut\u00edm, proto\u017ee s\u00edla p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako obrann\u00e1 a v o\u010d\u00edch sv\u011bta se st\u00e1v\u00e1 struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">To, co dnes rozkl\u00e1d\u00e1, nen\u00ed jen spojenectv\u00ed, ale historick\u00e1 tolerance.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Narativ o Izraeli jako \u201eobl\u00e9han\u00e9m st\u00e1t\u011b\u201c se hrout\u00ed. Ji\u017e v listopadu 1967, n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f po \u0161estidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lce, vydal Charles de Gaulle varov\u00e1n\u00ed. Prohl\u00e1sil dnes ji\u017e slavnou fr\u00e1z\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eN\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed se dokonce ob\u00e1vali, \u017ee \u017did\u00e9, dosud rozpt\u00fdlen\u00ed, ale kte\u0159\u00ed z\u016fstali t\u00edm, k\u00fdm v\u017edy byli, tedy elitn\u00edm lidem, sebev\u011bdom\u00fdm a dominantn\u00edm, by se mohli, jakmile se shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed na m\u00edst\u011b sv\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed velkoleposti, prom\u011bnit v v\u00e1\u0161nivou a dobyvatelskou ambici ve velmi dojemn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e1 si formovali po devaten\u00e1ct stolet\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Gener\u00e1l varoval: pokud Izrael za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed, dos\u00e1hne vojensk\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f, ale pot\u00e9 se vystav\u00ed \u201erostouc\u00edm obt\u00ed\u017e\u00edm\u201c, \u201eokupaci, kter\u00e1 nem\u016f\u017ee existovat bez \u00fatlaku, repres\u00ed a vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c, a odporu, kter\u00fd s\u00e1m nazval \u201eterorismem\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jin\u00fdmi slovy, popsal \u010dty\u0159icet let p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e k n\u011bmu do\u0161lo, trajektorii v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 izoluje, a moci, kter\u00e1 vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 toho, kdo ji dr\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dnes tato intuice nab\u00fdv\u00e1 strategick\u00e9ho rozm\u011bru. Izrael se jev\u00ed jako str\u016fjce region\u00e1ln\u00edho chaosu, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n se \u2013 obratn\u011b \u2013 stav\u00ed do role p\u00f3lu odporu. Kv\u016fli hromad\u011bn\u00ed nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00fdch kriz\u00ed a v\u00fdhradn\u011b vojensk\u00fdm reakc\u00edm se Izrael stal sp\u00ed\u0161e \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm faktorem nestability ne\u017e stabilizuj\u00edc\u00ed silou. T\u00edm, \u017ee Izrael nahradil \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu jeho neust\u00e1l\u00fdm \u0159\u00edzen\u00edm, p\u0159isp\u011bl k nastolen\u00ed trval\u00e9ho nepo\u0159\u00e1dku, jeho\u017e d\u016fsledky nyn\u00ed trp\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 bitvy. \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed v narativu<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Tam, kde Izrael vid\u011bl demonstraci odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u010d\u00e1st sv\u011bta nyn\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1 demonstraci dominance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Nadvl\u00e1da se stala c\u00edlem sama o sob\u011b<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. A tento c\u00edl v pr\u016fb\u011bhu d\u011bjin v\u017edycky pohlt\u00ed toho, kdo ji uplat\u0148uje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">To je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed past izraelsk\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0: \u010d\u00edm demonstrativn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a destruktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, t\u00edm v\u00edce roz\u0161i\u0159uje boji\u0161t\u011b na ter\u00e9n, kde se \u00cdr\u00e1n c\u00edt\u00ed nejpohodln\u011bji \u2013 na ter\u00e9n \u010dasu, odolnosti a glob\u00e1ln\u00edho vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1pad \u010del\u00ed sv\u00fdm rozpor\u016fm<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy nad\u00e1le podporuj\u00ed Izrael. Jejich spole\u010dnosti se v\u0161ak m\u011bn\u00ed. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumy ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee 56 a\u017e 59 procent Ameri\u010dan\u016f v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee tato v\u00e1lka prosp\u00edv\u00e1 Izraeli v\u00edce ne\u017e Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm a \u017ee za\u0161la p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 daleko. V Evrop\u011b je ve\u0159ejn\u00fd odpor pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ale jen t\u011b\u017eko se mu da\u0159\u00ed prom\u00edtat se do politick\u00fdch akc\u00ed, brzd\u00ed ho vliv proizraelsk\u00fdch s\u00edt\u00ed, autocenzura m\u00e9di\u00ed a st\u00e1le velmi roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e1 interpretace kritiky Izraele jako antisionismu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato zm\u011bna p\u0159edstavuje pro \u00cdr\u00e1n strategickou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost. \u010c\u00edm v\u00edce se Izrael jev\u00ed jako zdroj chaosu, t\u00edm politicky zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed jeho spojenci.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael ze sv\u00fdch spojenc\u016f d\u011bl\u00e1 komplice. \u00cdr\u00e1n zase tuto spolu\u00fa\u010dast prom\u011b\u0148uje v politickou z\u00e1vazek.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Washington a Tel Aviv spole\u010dn\u011b zji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed, \u017ee vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159evaha ji\u017e nechr\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed pomalou eroz\u00ed: eroz\u00ed rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 trp\u011blivosti, transak\u010dn\u00edch alianc\u00ed a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed legitimity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izolace se st\u00e1v\u00e1 hmatatelnou. Investice jsou opatrn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Spolupr\u00e1ce je oslabena. Talenty v\u00e1haj\u00ed. Izrael se postupn\u011b st\u00e1v\u00e1 rizikem. Proto\u017ee kdy\u017e se n\u00e1klady stanou struktur\u00e1ln\u00edmi, p\u0159est\u00e1vaj\u00ed b\u00fdt d\u016fsledkem a st\u00e1vaj\u00ed se hnac\u00ed silou. Strategi\u00ed u\u017e netrp\u00ed jen ekonomika; za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 si definovat sv\u00e9 limity. A zde \u00cdr\u00e1nu op\u011bt nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 nic jin\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bne\u017e nechat dynamiku plynout.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edm v\u00edce Izrael \u00fato\u010d\u00ed, t\u00edm n\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed se to st\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nap\u011bt\u00ed v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu, ekonomick\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 tlaky: to v\u0161e zvy\u0161uje cenu izraelsk\u00e9 strategie. Izrael ji\u017e eskalaci nekontroluje; nese n\u00e1sledky. A v t\u00e9to situaci hraje \u00cdr\u00e1n dlouhodobou hru.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e9 zrcadlo<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1lka v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu v 90. letech st\u00e1le demonstrovala americkou mocnost schopnou rychle a \u010dist\u011b vyhr\u00e1t. Dnes to u\u017e nemohou sl\u00edbit ani Washington, ani Tel Aviv.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Stejn\u011b jako Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ed n\u00edm, i Izrael disponuje skute\u010dnou vojenskou moc\u00ed, ale ta mu u\u017e neumo\u017e\u0148uje definovat, co znamen\u00e1 \u201ev\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde vytrvalost, narativ a geoekonomie maj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1hu ne\u017e p\u0159esn\u00e9 \u00fadery.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sm\u011brem k trajektorii vyvrhele<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Status vyvrhele se neobjevuje. Je konstruov\u00e1n. V t\u00e9to konstrukci \u00cdr\u00e1n vystupuje jako odhalova\u010d: ne ni\u010den\u00edm Izraele, ale odhalov\u00e1n\u00edm jeho rozpor\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael sleduje trajektorii, kterou n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159irovn\u00e1vaj\u00ed k Jihoafrick\u00e9 republice z doby apartheidu: siln\u00e1 mocnost, kter\u00e1 se v\u0161ak postupn\u011b st\u00e1v\u00e1 neudr\u017eitelnou. Toto srovn\u00e1n\u00ed ji\u017e nen\u00ed provokativn\u00ed, ale popisn\u00e9. Stejn\u011b jako Jihoafrick\u00e1 republika i\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael zji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9 b\u00fdt vojensky siln\u00fd a politicky neudr\u017eiteln\u00fd<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. A \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce \u00fato\u010d\u00ed, t\u00edm v\u00edce se tato trajektorie zrychluje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael nepadne vojenskou por\u00e1\u017ekou. Mohl by v\u0161ak b\u00fdt pora\u017een i jin\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem: protivn\u00edkem, kter\u00fd usiluje nejen o vojenskou konfrontaci, ale tak\u00e9 o transformaci strategick\u00e9 situace. \u00cdr\u00e1n nepot\u0159ebuje vyhr\u00e1t v\u00e1lku; sta\u010d\u00ed, aby izraelsk\u00e1 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed prom\u011bnil v politick\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky. P\u0159esn\u011b to se d\u011bje. Ale krom\u011b t\u00e9to rovnov\u00e1hy sil vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zka:\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">m\u016f\u017ee Izrael nad\u00e1le existovat ve sv\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 podob\u011b, pokud zmiz\u00ed podm\u00ednky, kter\u00e9 mu umo\u017enily existenci?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V ur\u010dit\u00fdch historick\u00fdch konfigurac\u00edch se ot\u00e1zka ji\u017e neklade z hlediska moci, ale cykl\u016f. Nast\u00e1v\u00e1 toti\u017e bod, kdy st\u00e1ty ji\u017e ne\u010del\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm, ale sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm omezen\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Tento okam\u017eik nikdy nen\u00ed dramatick\u00fd<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Neza\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 ani por\u00e1\u017ekou, ani kolapsem. Za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 posunem. Pomal\u00fdm, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nepost\u0159ehnuteln\u00fdm posunem: podpora kol\u00eds\u00e1, jistoty se hrout\u00ed, ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed svou samoz\u0159ejmost. Co bylo tolerov\u00e1no, u\u017e tolerov\u00e1no nen\u00ed. Co bylo obhajov\u00e1no, se st\u00e1v\u00e1 diskutabiln\u00edm. Co bylo podporov\u00e1no, se st\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u00e1kladn\u00fdm.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V ka\u017ed\u00e9 trajektorii existuje neviditeln\u00fd pr\u00e1h, za kter\u00fdm ji\u017e nelze zvr\u00e1tit rozpoutan\u00fd pohyb.<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Ot\u00e1zkou u\u017e nen\u00ed, zda situaci napravit, ale zda tento pr\u00e1h ji\u017e byl p\u0159ekro\u010den.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Moc tedy nad\u00e1le jedn\u00e1 \u2013\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">ale p\u016fsob\u00ed ve vakuu<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Ude\u0159\u00ed, ale u\u017e nep\u0159esv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed. Prosad\u00ed se, ale u\u017e nesjednot\u00ed. Vytrv\u00e1, ale u\u017e neinspiruje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i Izrael nezmiz\u00ed. Vstupuje do jin\u00e9 \u010dasov\u00e9 roviny: \u010dasov\u00e9 roviny \u00fabytku. Aliance se nerozpadaj\u00ed \u2013 eroduj\u00ed. Obchod neust\u00e1v\u00e1 \u2013 st\u00e1v\u00e1 se podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdm. Sv\u011bt se proti n\u011bmu neobrac\u00ed \u2013 odvrac\u00ed se. A v tomto tich\u00e9m odvracen\u00ed se hraje rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed roli zbytek sv\u011bta: ne t\u00edm, \u017ee se s n\u00edm postav\u00ed \u010delem, ale t\u00edm, \u017ee uprav\u00ed sv\u00e9 volby, partnerstv\u00ed a priority. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto diskr\u00e9tn\u00ed zm\u011bny z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska p\u0159ekresluj\u00ed skute\u010dnou rovnov\u00e1hu sil.\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Toto odvracen\u00ed se je hroziv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed: nevytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed frontu, ale odstup.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Uvnit\u0159 se tak\u00e9 n\u011bco m\u011bn\u00ed. Nen\u00ed to trhlina, ale \u00fanava. \u00danava z p\u0159\u00edtomnosti bez horizontu. \u00danava z bezpe\u010d\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nep\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed m\u00edr. \u00danava z neust\u00e1l\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nevede k trval\u00e9 stabilit\u011b. Tato \u00fanava nen\u00ed pouze soci\u00e1ln\u00ed; st\u00e1v\u00e1 se politickou a struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed. Vnit\u0159n\u00ed trhliny \u2013 mezi vizemi budoucnosti, mezi imperativem bezpe\u010d\u00ed a horizontem spole\u010dnosti \u2013 p\u0159est\u00e1vaj\u00ed b\u00fdt uzav\u00edr\u00e1ny a za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed syst\u00e9m redefinovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">K t\u00e9to \u00fanav\u011b se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed, ti\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ale stejn\u011b rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed realita: vztah k \u00fazem\u00ed. V obdob\u00edch prodlou\u017een\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed si n\u011bkter\u00e9 z nejmobiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch populac\u00ed \u2013 zako\u0159en\u011bn\u00e9 v globalizovan\u00fdch prostorech \u2013 zachov\u00e1vaj\u00ed mo\u017enost odej\u00edt, pozastavit svou p\u0159\u00edtomnost a ustoupit jinam. Tento diskr\u00e9tn\u00ed, ale opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se jev zav\u00e1d\u00ed hlubokou asymetrii se sousedn\u00edmi spole\u010dnostmi, jejich\u017e zako\u0159en\u011bnost je mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b vratn\u00e1. Jak se krize opakuj\u00ed, tento rozd\u00edl se st\u00e1v\u00e1 strategick\u00fdm faktorem: schopnost vydr\u017eet ji\u017e nez\u00e1vis\u00ed pouze na vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edle, ale tak\u00e9 na zako\u0159en\u011bnosti, p\u0159ijet\u00ed ceny a mo\u017enosti \u2013 \u010di nemo\u017enosti \u2013 uniknout konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pak se za\u010dala vyno\u0159ovat ot\u00e1zka, dlouho dr\u017een\u00e1 od sebe:\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">u\u017e ne jak vyhr\u00e1t, ale jak dlouho takto vydr\u017eet.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Past moci<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V s\u00e1zce dnes nen\u00ed jen dal\u0161\u00ed krize. Je to mo\u017en\u00fd konec modelu: modelu mocnosti schopn\u00e9 se trvale prosadit pouze prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159evahy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento model fungoval. Dlouho. Ale nyn\u00ed ukazuje sv\u00e1 omezen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Skute\u010dn\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 inovace \u00cdr\u00e1nu nen\u00ed vojensk\u00e1, ale dialektick\u00e1: u\u010dinit z izraelsk\u00e9 s\u00edly zbra\u0148, kter\u00e1 urychluje jeho vlastn\u00ed nep\u0159izp\u016fsobivost budouc\u00edmu sv\u011btu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nyn\u00ed sd\u00edlej\u00ed stejnou past: jejich moc z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nedot\u010dena, ale u\u017e nesta\u010d\u00ed k definov\u00e1n\u00ed toho, co znamen\u00e1 \u201ev\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Verdikt d\u011bjin<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Historick\u00e9 knihy zaznamenaj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u0161echno bylo viditeln\u00e9. \u017de znamen\u00ed tam byla. \u017de moc byla st\u00e1le nedot\u010den\u00e1, ale u\u017e nedostate\u010dn\u00e1. A \u017ee\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">n\u011bkdy to nejsou nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9, kdo ni\u010d\u00ed st\u00e1ty, ale volby, kter\u00e9 tvrdohlav\u011b opakuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tak\u00e9 bude naps\u00e1no, \u017ee nic nebylo skute\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9. \u017de varov\u00e1n\u00ed existovala. \u017de alternativy byly zn\u00e1my, ale \u017ee byly systematicky odm\u00edt\u00e1ny ve prosp\u011bch logiky, kter\u00e1 se stala reflexivn\u00ed: logiky s\u00edly bez horizontu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Proto\u017ee v ka\u017ed\u00e9 historick\u00e9 trajektorii nastane bod, kdy jasnost u\u017e nesta\u010d\u00ed. Bod, kdy porozum\u011bn\u00ed u\u017e neumo\u017e\u0148uje korekci. Bod, kdy se dynamika uveden\u00e1 do pohybu st\u00e1v\u00e1 autonomn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto je bod, kter\u00fd n\u011bkter\u00e9 mocnosti odm\u00edtaj\u00ed uznat. St\u00e1le se chovaj\u00ed, jako by \u010das st\u00e1le pat\u0159il jim. Jako by nad\u0159azenost mohla donekone\u010dna kompenzovat nedostatek sm\u011bru.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ale historie neopravuje. Rozhoduje.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A kdy\u017e se rozhoduje, nehled\u00ed ani na nashrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bnou moc, ani na minul\u00e1 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Zva\u017euje pouze jednu v\u011bc: schopnost \u2013 nebo neschopnost \u2013 zm\u011bnit kurz.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pr\u00e1v\u011b na tomto m\u00edst\u011b se nyn\u00ed rozhoduje o budoucnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Proto\u017ee p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed \u010das, kdy o osudu st\u00e1tu ji\u017e nerozhoduj\u00ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hrozby, ale jeho odm\u00edtnut\u00ed se vyv\u00edjet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A kdy\u017e je tohoto okam\u017eiku dosa\u017eeno, ot\u00e1zkou u\u017e nen\u00ed, zda nastane bod zlomu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jedinou zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou je, v jak\u00e9 form\u011b se tak stane \u2013 a za jakou cenu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.charles-de-gaulle.org\/blog\/2021\/10\/20\/charles-de-gaulle-conference-de-presse-du-27-novembre-1967\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.charles-de-gaulle.org\/blog\/2021\/10\/20\/charles-de-gaulle-conference-de-presse-du-27-novembre-1967\/<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0(s videem INA a pln\u00fdm textem pas\u00e1\u017ee o Izraeli z 27&#8217;30&#8220;).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><em><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/reseauinternational.net\/author\/mounir-kilani\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Mounir Kilani<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Drtiv\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla, trval\u00e1 podpora USA, schopnost ude\u0159it bez okam\u017eit\u00fdch n\u00e1sledk\u016f: Izrael po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104156,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,178,107,6431],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104155"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104155"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104155\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104156"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104155"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104155"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104155"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}