{"id":10402,"date":"2022-05-09T02:00:11","date_gmt":"2022-05-09T00:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=10402"},"modified":"2022-05-08T17:50:04","modified_gmt":"2022-05-08T15:50:04","slug":"dusledky-sankci-silny-rubl-a-rostouci-chudoba-v-nemecku-a-eu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/05\/09\/dusledky-sankci-silny-rubl-a-rostouci-chudoba-v-nemecku-a-eu\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u016fsledky sankc\u00ed: siln\u00fd rubl a rostouc\u00ed chudoba v N\u011bmecku a EU"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

P\u0159es v\u0161echny sankce a navzdory v\u0161em progn\u00f3z\u00e1m z\u00e1padn\u00edch \u201eexpert\u016f\u201c rusk\u00fd rubl pos\u00edlil v\u016f\u010di euru nejv\u00edce za posledn\u00edch 12 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pamatujete si, co ozn\u00e1mily z\u00e1padn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy na za\u010d\u00e1tku rusk\u00e9 intervence na Ukrajin\u011b a co p\u0159edpov\u00eddali z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u201eexperti\u201c?\u00a0\u0158ekli, \u017ee rychle zni\u010d\u00ed ruskou ekonomiku a m\u011bnu.\u00a0A v m\u00e9di\u00edch – je\u0161t\u011b jednou – se v\u0161ichni takzvan\u00ed experti p\u0159ed\u010dili v p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed tot\u00e1ln\u00edho kolapsu rusk\u00e9 m\u011bny, bankrotu rusk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu a rychl\u00e9ho konce rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

A skute\u010dn\u011b, rubl v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch t\u00fddnech klesal, proto\u017ee finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy t\u011bmto poh\u00e1dk\u00e1m v\u011b\u0159ily.\u00a0Ale o n\u011bco pozd\u011bji rubl znovu vzrostl a dnes m\u00e1 mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed cenu ne\u017e p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm rusk\u00e9 intervence.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdo je po\u0161kozen rusk\u00fdmi sankcemi<\/span><\/h3>\n

P\u0159ekvapilo m\u011b, \u017ee to Focus ze v\u0161ech m\u00edst\u00a0\u0159e\u0161il v \u010dl\u00e1nku s titulkem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Rubl nejv\u00edce roste \u2013 euro klou\u017ee: Jak m\u016f\u017eeme do N\u011bmecka p\u0159in\u00e9st je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed inflaci \u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/a>V \u010dl\u00e1nku se dozv\u00edme, \u017ee rusk\u00fd rubl je m\u011bnou, kter\u00e1 v\u016f\u010di euru nejv\u00edce zhodnotila od kv\u011btna 2021, tedy za posledn\u00edch 12 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f.\u00a0Za posledn\u00edch 12 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f rubl v\u016f\u010di euru pos\u00edlil o cel\u00fdch 27,9 procenta, tedy t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o t\u0159etinu.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Vid\u00edme to ve v\u0161ech oblastech: sankce po\u0161kozuj\u00ed Rusko, ale mnohem v\u00edce \u0161kod\u00ed evropsk\u00fdm zem\u00edm.\u00a0Ceny v Evrop\u011b rostou, Der Spiegel pr\u00e1v\u011b napsal pod titulkem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Strach ze soci\u00e1ln\u00edch nepokoj\u016f kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce a pandemii \u2013 jde N\u011bmecko na barik\u00e1dy?\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c zve\u0159ejnil podrobn\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek o rychle rostouc\u00ed chudob\u011b v N\u011bmecku d\u00edky rostouc\u00edm cen\u00e1m.\u00a0\u010cl\u00e1nek byl o tom, jak se zdvojn\u00e1sobil po\u010det lid\u00ed z\u00e1visl\u00fdch na j\u00eddle zdarma z potravinov\u00fdch bank.\u00a0A m\u016f\u017eete si tam p\u0159e\u010d\u00edst nap\u0159.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eCeny raj\u010dat a okurek v N\u011bmecku od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2020 vzrostly zhruba o 44 procent.\u00a0Slune\u010dnicov\u00fd olej a podobn\u00e9 oleje zdra\u017eily t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o 36 procent.\u00a0Vejce nyn\u00ed stoj\u00ed o 20 procent v\u00edce.\u00a0N\u00e1klady na vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed explodovaly.\u00a0Benzin stoj\u00ed dv\u011b eura a v\u00edce, nafta je je\u0161t\u011b dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed.\u201c<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, provl\u00e1dn\u00ed m\u00e9dia najednou moc dob\u0159e v\u00ed, kdo za to m\u016f\u017ee:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Putinova v\u00e1lka n\u00e1s v\u0161echny u\u010dinila chud\u0161\u00edmi – z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska,“ \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Andreas Peichl, kter\u00fd se zab\u00fdv\u00e1 v\u00fdzkumem distribuce bohatstv\u00ed v Ifo Institute.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u0159ev\u00e1d\u011bjte vinu na ostatn\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n

To je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nesmysl, proto\u017ee \u201ePutinova v\u00e1lka\u201c nikoho v N\u011bmecku nezchudla.\u00a0N\u011bmci za to vd\u011b\u010d\u00ed v\u00fdhradn\u011b Evropsk\u00e9 komisi, kter\u00e1 se o zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed postarala sv\u00fdmi sankcemi.<\/strong>\u00a0Zejm\u00e9na sankce v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00fdm bank\u00e1m vedly k t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zastaven\u00ed obchodu mezi EU a Ruskem.\u00a0D\u016fvodem je, \u017ee nikdo nep\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1 objedn\u00e1vky na zbo\u017e\u00ed, kdy\u017e nev\u00ed, zda je lze n\u00e1sledn\u011b zaplatit, nebo zda budou platby zak\u00e1z\u00e1ny nov\u00fdmi sankcemi.\u00a0A nikdo neplat\u00ed za zbo\u017e\u00ed p\u0159edem, kdy\u017e nev\u00ed, zda toto zbo\u017e\u00ed bude doru\u010deno nebo zda p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed t\u00fdden skon\u010d\u00ed na sank\u010dn\u00edm seznamu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Poh\u00e1dka o \u00fadajn\u011b slab\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 ekonomice se moment\u00e1ln\u011b vytr\u00e1c\u00ed ve vzduchu, proto\u017ee Rusko je jedn\u00edm z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dodavatel\u016f pro mnoho zbo\u017e\u00ed v Evrop\u011b.\u00a0To se t\u00fdk\u00e1 mnoha potravin, jako je slune\u010dnicov\u00fd olej nebo p\u0161enice, ale tak\u00e9 hnojiva, kter\u00e1 zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed v EU nal\u00e9hav\u011b pot\u0159ebuje.\u00a0A proto\u017ee v\u00fdroba hnojiv je velmi energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1 a Rusko je tak\u00e9 jedn\u00edm z nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch dodavatel\u016f energie, nem\u016f\u017ee to EU kompenzovat ani z\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm vlastn\u00edho pr\u016fmyslu hnojiv, proto\u017ee evropsk\u00e1 hnojiva by byla kv\u016fli rostouc\u00edm cen\u00e1m energi\u00ed cenov\u011b nedostupn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee b\u00eddu, kterou ka\u017ed\u00fd v Evrop\u011b c\u00edt\u00ed ve sv\u00fdch pen\u011b\u017eenk\u00e1ch, si vytvo\u0159il s\u00e1m a zl\u00fd Putin za ni nem\u016f\u017ee.\u00a0A pokud nyn\u00ed nam\u00edt\u00e1te, \u017ee z mor\u00e1ln\u00edho hlediska EU nem\u011bla jinou mo\u017enost ne\u017e sankcionovat Rusko a \u017ee lid\u00e9 nyn\u00ed mus\u00ed b\u00fdt ochotni zaplatit \u201enevyhnutelnou\u201c cenu v boji za \u201ez\u00e1padn\u00ed hodnoty\u201c, pak m\u00e1m ot\u00e1zka: Kde byl boj za tyto \u201ez\u00e1padn\u00ed hodnoty\u201c, kdy\u017e USA zah\u00e1jily v\u00e1lku proti Ir\u00e1ku, kter\u00e1 byla zalo\u017eena na l\u017ei a poru\u0161ovala mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo a povra\u017edila a\u017e milion ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch civilist\u016f?\u00a0Pro\u010d pak EU neuvalila tvrd\u00e9 sankce na USA, nevyhostila americk\u00e9 diplomaty a fakticky nezastavila obchod s USA?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Tento jednoduch\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad ukazuje, jak fale\u0161n\u00fd je argument, \u017ee za v\u0161echno m\u016f\u017ee \u201ePutinova v\u00e1lka\u201c<\/strong>.\u00a0Evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Evropsk\u00e1 komise mohou za b\u00eddu, kter\u00e1 p\u0159inesla do Evropy raketov\u00fd r\u016fst cen elekt\u0159iny a tepla je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u201ePutinovy \u200b\u200bv\u00e1lky\u201c zkr\u00e1cen\u00edm dlouhodob\u00fdch kontrakt\u016f na dod\u00e1vky plynu z Ruska resp. burza m\u00e1 nastaveno obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s plynem.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed se Evropsk\u00e1 komise nenechala odradit a zav\u00e1d\u00ed sankce proti Rusku, kter\u00fdmi EU trp\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e Rusko.\u00a0Jin\u00fdmi slovy, sankce EU uvalila sama na sebe.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak snadno se tomu v\u0161emu dalo zabr\u00e1nit<\/span><\/h3>\n

Hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem rusk\u00e9 intervence na Ukrajin\u011b bylo to, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad cht\u011bl p\u0159iv\u00e9st Ukrajinu do NATO a pod rou\u0161kou \u201ev\u00fdcvikov\u00fdch mis\u00ed\u201c a \u201evojensk\u00fdch poradc\u016f\u201c u\u017e na Ukrajin\u011b um\u00edstil tis\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f NATO.\u00a0Rusko v polovin\u011b prosince po\u017eadovalo od USA a NATO\u00a0<\/span>vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, v\u010detn\u011b toho, \u017ee Ukrajina nebude p\u0159ijata do NATO a \u017ee v zemi nebudou um\u00edst\u011bny jednotky NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko tehdy dalo velmi jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ne\u00fasp\u011bchu jedn\u00e1n\u00ed bude reagovat \u201evojensky\u201c.\u00a0Pot\u00e9, co zejm\u00e9na NATO\u00a0<\/span>arogantn\u011b odm\u00edtlo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0by\u0165 jen vyjedn\u00e1vat, nemohlo se nikdo divit, \u017ee Rusko vojensky zas\u00e1hlo.\u00a0Arogantn\u00ed odm\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed NATO bylo d\u00edlem i evropsk\u00fdch politik\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo dnes v Evrop\u011b trp\u00ed rostouc\u00edmi cenami, si mus\u00ed polo\u017eit ot\u00e1zku (a zejm\u00e9na jejich vl\u00e1dy), zda mu \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v NATO st\u00e1lo za to.\u00a0Skon\u010dil by sv\u011bt, kdyby Ukrajina z\u016fstala neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed zem\u00ed?<\/span><\/p>\n

Sotva, ale pot\u00e9, co Z\u00e1pad odm\u00edtl o tomto probl\u00e9mu s Ruskem by\u0165 jen diskutovat, n\u00e1s poslech z\u00e1padn\u00edch politik\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed mluv\u00ed o pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, p\u0159ibli\u017euje mo\u017en\u00fd soudn\u00fd den o velk\u00fd krok.\u00a0A ano, i kdy\u017e z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia tvrd\u00ed opak, ru\u0161t\u00ed politici nemluv\u00ed o mo\u017enosti pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed,\u00a0<\/span>z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici ano<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdybychom m\u011bli skute\u010dn\u00fd tisk…<\/span><\/h3>\n

To v\u0161e zn\u00e1 ka\u017ed\u00fd odborn\u00edk, ale z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia to vykresluj\u00ed \u00fapln\u011b jinak. Kdyby v N\u011bmecku existoval svobodn\u00fd a kritick\u00fd tisk, tisk by ka\u017ed\u00fd den vl\u00e1d\u011b kladl n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed ot\u00e1zky: St\u00e1lo to za to? Pro\u010d vl\u00e1da sv\u00fdmi rozhodnut\u00edmi ni\u010d\u00ed skromn\u00fd blahobyt lid\u00ed v N\u011bmecku?\u00a0Je to v\u0161echno skute\u010dn\u011b v z\u00e1jmu lid\u00ed v N\u011bmecku?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nebo by bylo v z\u00e1jmu lid\u00ed v N\u011bmecku (a mimochodem i na Ukrajin\u011b) trvale zabr\u00e1nit Ukrajin\u011b ve vstupu do NATO a zabr\u00e1nit tak \u201ePutinov\u011b v\u00e1lce\u201c?\u00a0Pak by se nic z toho nestalo, proto\u017ee kdyby na Ukrajin\u011b a v N\u011bmecku neum\u00edrali \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed lid\u00e9, nem\u011bli bychom takovou b\u00eddu, jakou pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f vid\u00edme r\u016fst.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale bohu\u017eel v N\u011bmecku nem\u00e1me svobodn\u00fd a kritick\u00fd tisk, m\u00e1me synchronizovan\u00fd tisk, pro kter\u00fd jsou\u00a0<\/span>geopolitick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy USA<\/span><\/a> mnohem d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e z\u00e1jmy lid\u00ed v N\u011bmecku, tedy ne\u017e z\u00e1jmy jejich vlastn\u00edch \u010dten\u00e1\u0159\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

To sam\u00e9 plat\u00ed i \u010ceskou republiku a ostatn\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty EU!<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u0159es v\u0161echny sankce a navzdory v\u0161em progn\u00f3z\u00e1m z\u00e1padn\u00edch \u201eexpert\u016f\u201c rusk\u00fd rubl pos\u00edlil v\u016f\u010di euru nejv\u00edce…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10403,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2155,41,84,102,22,125],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10402"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10402"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10402\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10404,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10402\/revisions\/10404"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10403"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}