{"id":103949,"date":"2026-04-07T06:12:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T04:12:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103949"},"modified":"2026-04-07T06:13:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T04:13:12","slug":"michael-svatos-nejblizsi-perspektivy-americke-invaze-do-iranu-analyza-mapy-fotky-a-stabni-kalkulace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/07\/michael-svatos-nejblizsi-perspektivy-americke-invaze-do-iranu-analyza-mapy-fotky-a-stabni-kalkulace\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed perspektivy americk\u00e9 invaze do Ir\u00e1nu. Anal\u00fdza, mapy, fotky, a \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed kalkulace"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Pokud USA zah\u00e1j\u00ed pozemn\u00ed invazi do Ir\u00e1nu, budou \u010delit stejn\u011b nel\u00edtostn\u00e9mu probl\u00e9mu, jako dnes ukrajinsk\u00e1 \u010di rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Nej\u010dast\u011bji se spekuluje, \u017ee USA se pokus\u00ed vylodit na mal\u00e9m ostrov\u011b Charg, p\u0159es kter\u00fd Ir\u00e1n vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed naprostou v\u011bt\u0161inu sv\u00e9 ropy. A\u010dkoli nen\u00ed pochyb, \u017ee americk\u00e9 letectvo dok\u00e1\u017ee s p\u0159ijateln\u00fdmi vlastn\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami \u201csrovnat ostrov Charg se zem\u00ed\u201d, a z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vyhubit tamn\u00ed ir\u00e1nskou vojenskou pos\u00e1dku.\u00a0 A zdatn\u00ed US Mari\u0148\u00e1ci potom jej\u00ed \u201cbombami nevyhuben\u00fd\u201d zbytek v pom\u011brn\u011b kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 bitv\u011b definitivn\u011b zlikviduj\u00ed. A na ostrov\u011b triumf\u00e1ln\u011b vzty\u010d\u00ed svoji vlajku. A do Ameriky se v\u0161\u00ed \u00factou p\u0159evezou na v\u011b\u010dn\u00fd odpo\u010dinek p\u00e1r sv\u00fdch padl\u00fdch hrdin\u016f. Probl\u00e9m ostrova Charg to nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed, n\u00fdbr\u017e teprve pro Ameri\u010dany probl\u00e9m p\u0159edstavovat za\u010dne.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_24636\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 1051px;\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24636\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/charg4.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1198px) 100vw, 1198px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/charg4.jpg 1198w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/charg4-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/charg4-1030x561.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/charg4-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/charg4-705x384.jpg 705w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/charg4-450x245.jpg 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1051\" height=\"573\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24636\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24636\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ostrov Charg v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, o kter\u00e9m se nej\u010dast\u011bji spekuluje jako s prvn\u00edm c\u00edlem chystan\u00e9 americk\u00e9 invaze do Ir\u00e1nu. Bez ostrova je Ir\u00e1n tak\u0159ka bez mo\u017enosti vyv\u00e1\u017eet ropu. Ostrov je mal\u00fd, a \u017eije na n\u011bm 9000 Ir\u00e1nc\u016f. Pro Ameri\u010dany se v\u0161ak invaze na n\u011bj m\u00e1 prom\u011bnit v d\u011bsivou no\u010dn\u00ed m\u016fru. Pro\u010d, v anal\u00fdze.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Podle \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00edch propo\u010dt\u016f bude t\u0159eba, po dobyt\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ostrova Charg, na n\u011bm zanechat trvalou pos\u00e1dku nejm\u00e9n\u011b 2000 americk\u00fdch sold\u00e1t\u016f. Jeden ka\u017ed\u00fd americk\u00fd sold\u00e1t spot\u0159ebuje podle \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00edch propo\u010dt\u016f v klimatick\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed ostrova Charg na ka\u017ed\u00fd den, kdy bude ostrov okupovat a br\u00e1nit, celkem 2kg speci\u00e1ln\u00edch potravin, (=3 d\u00e1vky MRE), a 8 a\u017e 12 litr\u016f vody, a 10kg munice a dal\u0161\u00edch bojov\u00fdch pot\u0159eb. Celkem tedy americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da bude muset ka\u017ed\u00fd den na ostrov Charg po jeho okupaci dod\u00e1vat 40 tun z\u00e1sob a munice, a to p\u0159edstavuje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 10 p\u0159ist\u00e1n\u00ed vrtuln\u00edk\u016f UH-60 Black Hawk na ostrov\u011b denn\u011b jen pro pot\u0159eby okupa\u010dn\u00edch sil, a dal\u0161\u00edch 10 p\u0159ist\u00e1n\u00ed vrtuln\u00edk\u016f UH-60 denn\u011b s vodou a potravinami pro 9000 ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch civilist\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed na ostrov\u011b \u017eij\u00ed a pracuj\u00ed. Celkem tedy bude muset US arm\u00e1da uskute\u010d\u0148ovat ka\u017ed\u00fd den na ostrov Charg p\u0159es 20 let\u016f vrtuln\u00edky UH-60 ka\u017ed\u00fd den, jinak by okupa\u010dn\u00ed pos\u00e1dka i civilist\u00e9 rychle zem\u0159eli \u017e\u00edzn\u00ed, nebo pozd\u011bji hladem, a US sold\u00e1ti by nav\u00edc nem\u011bli \u010d\u00edm odr\u00e1\u017eet \u00fatoky ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raket a dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 na n\u011b budou zhusta \u00fato\u010dit.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_24639\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 946px;\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24639\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Israeli_Air_Force_UH-60_Black_Hawk.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Israeli_Air_Force_UH-60_Black_Hawk.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Israeli_Air_Force_UH-60_Black_Hawk-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Israeli_Air_Force_UH-60_Black_Hawk-1030x773.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Israeli_Air_Force_UH-60_Black_Hawk-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Israeli_Air_Force_UH-60_Black_Hawk-705x529.jpg 705w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Israeli_Air_Force_UH-60_Black_Hawk-450x338.jpg 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"946\" height=\"710\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24639\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24639\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">UH-60 Black Hawk. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b americk\u00e9 invaze na ir\u00e1nsk\u00fd ostrov Charg, kter\u00fd je podle analytik\u016f nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm invazn\u00edm c\u00edlem, budou USA jen k z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9 okupa\u010dn\u00ed pos\u00e1dky, pod dobyt\u00ed ostrova, pot\u0159ebovat 40 vrtuln\u00edk\u016f UH-60 denn\u011b. A t\u00edm za\u010dnou pro USA velmi v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 probl\u00e9my. Jak\u00e9 v anal\u00fdze.(Autor foto: Yuvalr)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Pln\u011b nalo\u017een\u00fd vrtuln\u00edk UH-60 Black Hawk m\u00e1 dolet 590km. Ir\u00e1nsk\u00fd ostrov Charg je p\u0159itom vzd\u00e1len 270km od nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny Ali Al-Salem Air Base v Kuvajtu, kter\u00e1 by se pro jeho z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed dala pou\u017e\u00edt, ale ta je p\u0159itom pod trval\u00fdmi \u00fatoky ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch dron\u016f a raket, a byla u\u017e z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vyklizena. A ostrov Charg je ov\u0161em\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/maps\/@29.1733651,50.5537123,97333m\/data=!3m1!1e3?entry=ttu&amp;g_ep=EgoyMDI2MDQwMS4wIKXMDSoASAFQAw%3D%3D\">naopak jen\u00a0 34km<\/a>\u00a0od ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, a tud\u00ed\u017e bude okam\u017eit\u011b po sv\u00e9m obsazen\u00ed Ameri\u010dany ter\u010dem n\u00e1let\u016f ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch dron\u016f a raket\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00edch ne\u017e proti z\u00e1kladn\u011b Ali Al-Salem. Ukrajinci ned\u00e1vno dronem sest\u0159elili ve frontov\u00e9m p\u00e1smu rusk\u00fd bitevn\u00ed vrtuln\u00edk Ka-52. Rusov\u00e9 za\u010dali na drony Shahed nakl\u00e1dat protileteck\u00e9 rakety R-73, a rovn\u011b\u017e tak se chlub\u00ed, \u017ee dos\u00e1hli jednoho nebo dvou sest\u0159el\u016f ukrajinsk\u00fdch st\u00edha\u010dek a vrtuln\u00edk\u016f. Naprost\u00e1 nutnost vypravovat 40 americk\u00fdch vrtuln\u00edk\u016f UH-60 denn\u011b, jen aby ostrov Charg po jeho okupaci z\u00e1sobovaly, by p\u0159edstavovala pro ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 Ajatoll\u00e1hy doslovn\u00fd dar z nebes, a americk\u00e9 letectvo by brzy dopadlo jako G\u00f6ringova Luftwaffe p\u0159i z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00e9ho Stalingradu.<\/p>\n<p>Nejspolehliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed odhady nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pucara.org\/post\/invadir-o-no-invadir-ir%C3%A1n-esa-es-la-cuesti%C3%B3n\">\u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 k dispozici na 6 000 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch min, 300 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch dron\u016f, p\u0159es 20 000 vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch\u00a0 dron\u016f, v\u00edce ne\u017e 1000 protilodn\u00edch st\u0159el, a okolo 2 000 balistick\u00fdch st\u0159el kr\u00e1tk\u00e9ho dosahu SRBM<\/a>, a i kdyby proti americk\u00fdm okupa\u010dn\u00edm sil\u00e1m na ostrov\u011b Charg pou\u017eil jen 10% t\u00e9to kapacity, ztr\u00e1ty americk\u00fdch vrtuln\u00edk\u016f by byly enormn\u00ed, a ztr\u00e1ty americk\u00fdch pilot\u016f, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edk\u016f i mari\u0148\u00e1k\u016f jakbysmet.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Kharg_Island\">Ostrov Charg m\u00e1 plochu pouh\u00fdch 20km2<\/a>, a p\u0159esto by USA nyn\u00ed nebyly schopny trvale z\u00e1sobovat jeho okupa\u010dn\u00ed pos\u00e1dku, ani\u017e by se sm\u00ed\u0159ily s vlastn\u00edmi vysok\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami sv\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch vrtuln\u00edk\u016f, i voj\u00e1k\u016f. Dokud nebude Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv prora\u017een americk\u00fdm lo\u010fstvem, je americk\u00e1 invaze na ostrov Charg strategick\u00e1 sebevra\u017eda. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 logistick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9 okupa\u010dn\u00ed pos\u00e1dky na ostrov\u011b Charg z\u0159eteln\u011b nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da nem\u00e1 v oblasti kolem Hormuzk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu dostate\u010dn\u00e9 siln\u00e9 arm\u00e1dn\u00ed uskupen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by bylo schopno prov\u00e9st invazi na v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ostrovy v \u00fazk\u00e9m hrdle Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, a nebo dokonce k proveden\u00ed invaze na ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed okolo Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. Pot\u0159eby pro z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto n\u011bkolikan\u00e1sobn\u00fdch americk\u00fdch invazn\u00edch sil, kter\u00e9 by se vylodily na ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9m pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed okolo Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu by byly astronomick\u00e9. Nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed odhady po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b s minim\u00e1ln\u00ed invazn\u00ed silou \u201cn\u011bkolika des\u00edtek tis\u00edc\u201d mu\u017e\u016f, a vzdu\u0161n\u00e1 flotila pot\u0159ebn\u00e1 pro jejich leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed po invazi, by \u010dinila n\u011bkolik set vrtuln\u00edk\u016f UH-60 denn\u011b.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_24648\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 737px;\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24648\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/mapa-irania-isles.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 731px) 100vw, 731px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/mapa-irania-isles.png 731w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/mapa-irania-isles-300x145.png 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/mapa-irania-isles-705x341.png 705w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/mapa-irania-isles-450x218.png 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"737\" height=\"357\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24648\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24648\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Mapa ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch ostrov\u016f, na kter\u00e9 se mohou nyn\u00ed USA pokusit prov\u00e9st pozemn\u00ed invazi. Pouze jedin\u00fd z t\u011bchto ostrov\u016f Abu Musa odpov\u00edd\u00e1 svou geografickou polohou i charakteristikou aspo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b americk\u00fdm \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00edm pou\u010dk\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 definuj\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost \u00fasp\u011bchu ka\u017ed\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 operace skute\u010dnost\u00ed, zda se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v rozumn\u00e9m rozmez\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy trvale zabezpe\u010dit v\u0161echny jej\u00ed nezbytn\u00e9 logistick\u00e9 pot\u0159eby.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>USA sice teoreticky disponuj\u00ed 2135 vrtuln\u00edky UH-60, 500 lehk\u00fdmi transportn\u00edmi vrtuln\u00edky UH-72 Lakota, a 400 t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdmi transportn\u00edmi vrtuln\u00edky H-47 Chinook, ov\u0161em jejich trval\u00e1 opera\u010dn\u00ed dostupnost z d\u016fvod\u016f oprav, \u00fadr\u017eby, \u010di nedostatku pos\u00e1dek, atd,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/publication\/60683\">\u010din\u00ed pouze 68%<\/a>. Pro z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed invazn\u00edho uskupen\u00ed na ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9m pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed by bylo t\u0159eba uskute\u010dnit zhruba 300 let\u016f UH-60 denn\u011b v d\u00e9lce jednoho letu 4 hodiny, a to p\u0159edstavuje 36 000 letov\u00fdch hodin m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, tedy 432 000 letov\u00fdch hodin ro\u010dn\u011b. Americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da p\u0159itom v posledn\u00edch letech dok\u00e1zala odl\u00e9t\u00e1vat pouze okolo 310 000 letov\u00fdch hodin UH-60 ro\u010dn\u011b, a jen v dob\u011b jednoho z vrchol\u016f v\u00e1lky v Afganist\u00e1nu v letech 2012\/13 dok\u00e1zala kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b tento po\u010det letov\u00fdch hodin zvednout na 450 000 ro\u010dn\u011b, ov\u0161em se stroji, kter\u00e9 tehdy byly o n\u011bkolik let mlad\u0161\u00ed, a proti nesrovnateln\u011b slab\u0161\u00edmu protivn\u00edkovi, a v dob\u011b bez dominance v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_24644\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 810px;\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24644\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig11_aircraft-fleet-flying-hours.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 825px) 100vw, 825px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig11_aircraft-fleet-flying-hours.png 825w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig11_aircraft-fleet-flying-hours-300x136.png 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig11_aircraft-fleet-flying-hours-768x349.png 768w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig11_aircraft-fleet-flying-hours-705x320.png 705w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig11_aircraft-fleet-flying-hours-450x205.png 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"810\" height=\"368\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24644\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24644\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Letov\u00e9 hodiny vrtuln\u00edk\u016f a dron\u016f americk\u00e9ho letectva, (v tis\u00edc\u00edch ro\u010dn\u011b). Zdroj: Congressional Budget Office, publikace 60683.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_24645\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 870px;\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24645\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig0_aircraft-diagrams.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1050px) 100vw, 1050px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig0_aircraft-diagrams.png 1050w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig0_aircraft-diagrams-300x196.png 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig0_aircraft-diagrams-1030x674.png 1030w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig0_aircraft-diagrams-768x502.png 768w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig0_aircraft-diagrams-705x461.png 705w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/60313-fig0_aircraft-diagrams-450x294.png 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"870\" height=\"569\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24645\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24645\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Diagramy typ\u016f vrtuln\u00edk\u016f, (UH-60, UH-72, H-47), kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee US Army nasadit pro z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch vojsk v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b invaze na ir\u00e1nsk\u00fd ostrov Charg v severn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, nebo v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b invaze proti ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed a ostrov\u016fm v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu, (m\u011b\u0159\u00edtko 10 stop\/feet = 3.28 metru). Zdroj: Congressional Budget Office, publikace 60683.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 logistick\u00e1 vrtuln\u00edkov\u00e1 kapacita USA soust\u0159ed\u011bn\u00e1 v zem\u00edch okolo Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu nesta\u010d\u00ed ani k z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9 okupa\u010dn\u00ed pos\u00e1dky ostrova Charg, (24km2, a 9000 obyvatel). Bez prora\u017een\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed okupa\u010dn\u00ed pos\u00e1dky na ostrov\u011b Charg. Ztr\u00e1ty vrtuln\u00edk\u016f i lod\u00ed by byly na pov\u00e1\u017eenou, a probl\u00e9m otev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu by invaze na ostrov Charg nevy\u0159e\u0161ila, sp\u00ed\u0161e naopak by se Ir\u00e1nci je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce zatvrdili. Prorazit Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv v\u0161ak pro USA znamen\u00e1 p\u0159evz\u00edt kontrolu na 1700km ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed okolo pr\u016flivu. Jen samotn\u00fd ostrov\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Ke%C5%A1m\">Ke\u0161m<\/a>,\u00a0na horn\u00ed map\u011b ozna\u010den Qeshm m\u00e1 rozlohu 1420km2, a \u017eije na n\u011bm 110 000 obyvatel. Na pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by USA musely okupovat p\u0159itom le\u017e\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed m\u011bsta\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bandar_Abb%C3%A1s\">Bandar Abb\u00e1s<\/a>\u00a0(750 000),\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%C3%81b%C3%A1d%C3%A1n\">Abadan<\/a>\u00a0(420 000),\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/B%C3%BA%C5%A1ehr\">B\u00fa\u0161ehr<\/a>\u00a0(250 000),\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Chabahar_Port\">Bandar \u010cabahar<\/a>\u00a0(200 000),\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bandar-e_Mahshahr\">Bandar Mah\u0161\u00e1r<\/a>\u00a0(180 000),\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Chorram%C5%A1ahr\">Chorram\u0161\u00e1r<\/a>\u00a0(150 000),\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Asaluyeh\">Asaluja<\/a>\u00a0(100 000) a dal\u0161\u00edmi m\u011bsty jako\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/de.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bandar-e_Dschask\">Ds\u017eask<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bandar_Lengeh\">Bandar Lengeh<\/a>\u00a0s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 30 000 obyvateli. USA maj\u00ed \u0161patn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti z Ir\u00e1ku po por\u00e1\u017ece Sadd\u00e1ma, a te\u010f si p\u0159edstavte n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 milice vyzbrojen\u00e9 drony? USA na por\u00e1\u017eku Sadd\u00e1ma pou\u017eily invazn\u00ed arm\u00e1du\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pucara.org\/post\/invadir-o-no-invadir-ir%C3%A1n-esa-es-la-cuesti%C3%B3n\">150 000 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edk\u016f<\/a>, ale po povst\u00e1n\u00ed po por\u00e1\u017ece Sadd\u00e1ma\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pucara.org\/post\/invadir-o-no-invadir-ir%C3%A1n-esa-es-la-cuesti%C3%B3n\">musely nasadit 466 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/a>, aby Ir\u00e1k ovl\u00e1dly, a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.yenisafak.com\/world\/drone-attack-targets-us-base-near-baghdad-airport-3716721\">u\u017e na n\u011b op\u011bt \u010d\u00e1st Ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch sil napojen\u00e1 na Ir\u00e1n nemilosrdn\u011b \u00fato\u010d\u00ed<\/a>. Ergo tedy nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 ne\u017e se pokusit Ir\u00e1n vybombardovat do doby kamenn\u00e9, jak vyhl\u00e1sil Trump, a spol\u00e9hat, \u017ee to bude Ajatoll\u00e1h\u016f sta\u010dit, aby kapitulovali. A nebo celou kampa\u0148 odtroubit. A nebo prov\u00e9st soust\u0159ed\u011bn\u00ed sil v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch ne\u017e proti Ir\u00e1ku p\u0159ed lety. V\u0161echna t\u0159i \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v\u0161ak znamenaj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst sv\u011btov\u00fdch cen ropy, \u017ee?<\/p>\n<p>Z hlediska logistick\u00fdch princip\u016f zaveden\u00fdch admir\u00e1lem Chesterem Nimitz do americk\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed praxe za II. sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky nemaj\u00ed tedy nyn\u00ed USA k p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 dispozici dostate\u010dn\u00e9 kapacity, aby provedly \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou invazi proti Ir\u00e1nu, a hlavn\u011b udr\u017eely jej\u00ed z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed. Logistika v dob\u011b \u00e9ry dominance dron\u016f na boji\u0161ti za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 pro ka\u017edou stranu ka\u017ed\u00e9ho konfliktu p\u0159edstavovat probl\u00e9m. Nov\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 drony Geranium-2 osazen\u00e9 optick\u00fdmi kamerami jen letos zni\u010dily na Ukrajin\u011b 81 lokomotiv, 145 n\u00e1kladn\u00edch a 40 osobn\u00edch vagon\u016f, a 12 \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00edch stanic, krom toho provedly 472 dal\u0161\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f proti \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed infrastruktu\u0159e Ukrajiny, a p\u0159i nich zni\u010dily nebo po\u0161kodily dal\u0161\u00edch celkem 1128 prvk\u016f \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed infrastruktury a \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00edch budov. D\u00edky optick\u00fdm kamer\u00e1m a p\u0159ipojen\u00ed p\u0159es satelity, (u\u017e rusk\u00e9 satelity), dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed rusk\u00e9 drony Geranium-2 zasahovat pohybliv\u00e9 c\u00edle jako n\u00e1kladn\u00ed auta, vlaky a lod\u011b, a to a\u017e v Od\u011bse, nebo v Kyjev\u011b. Zas\u00e1hnout tedy dronem lo\u010f, a nebo vrtuln\u00edk, kter\u00fd se pr\u00e1v\u011b vykl\u00e1d\u00e1, ve vzd\u00e1lenosti do 40km od ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed nebude p\u0159edstavovat nep\u0159ekonateln\u00fd probl\u00e9m. (Fotografie n\u011bkolika vyp\u00e1len\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch vlak\u016f v Kyjev\u011b, Charkov\u011b a dal\u0161\u00edch m\u011bstech\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/as-russian-attacks-on-ukraines-railways-intensify-passenger-trains-now-targets-for-drones\/\">najdete zde<\/a>\u00a0i s dal\u0161\u00edmi statistikami. A angli\u010dtin\u011b.)<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00edtra ve st\u0159edu 8. dubna ve 02:00 r\u00e1no \u010desk\u00e9ho \u010dasu vypr\u0161\u00ed Trumpovo ultim\u00e1tum Ir\u00e1nu, tak uvid\u00edme. Dnes ve 4 hodiny r\u00e1no Ajatoll\u00e1hov\u00e9 vyhro\u017eovali USA dal\u0161\u00ed eskalac\u00ed konfliktu, pokud USA nebo Izrael za\u010dnou opravdu Ir\u00e1n \u201cbombardovat do doby kamenn\u00e9\u201d. Podle rann\u00edch zpr\u00e1v Izrael na vypr\u0161en\u00ed Trumpova ultim\u00e1ta ani ne\u010dekal,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/aje.news\/9k7fl9?update=4468043\">a napadl ir\u00e1ck\u00e1 plynov\u00e1 pole Ji\u017en\u00ed Pars<\/a>, a\u00a0Ir\u00e1nci u\u017e sl\u00edbili velkou odvetu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/map-2573-nejblizsi-perspektivy-americke-invaze-do-iranu-analyza-mapy-fotky-a-stabni-kalkulace\/\">Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27204\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"180\" height=\"180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos.png 180w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 180px) 100vw, 180px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pokud USA zah\u00e1j\u00ed pozemn\u00ed invazi do Ir\u00e1nu, budou \u010delit stejn\u011b nel\u00edtostn\u00e9mu probl\u00e9mu, jako dnes ukrajinsk\u00e1&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":75642,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1900,38,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103949"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103949"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103949\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}