{"id":103813,"date":"2026-04-05T00:25:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-04T22:25:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103813"},"modified":"2026-04-04T15:42:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T13:42:12","slug":"jiri-weigl-pet-procent-hdp-na-obranu-a-nato-pod-otaznikem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/05\/jiri-weigl-pet-procent-hdp-na-obranu-a-nato-pod-otaznikem\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Weigl: P\u011bt procent HDP na obranu a NATO pod otazn\u00edkem"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>V\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b se v\u00a0debat\u00e1ch na n\u00e1rodn\u00ed i mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u011b stejn\u011b jako v\u00a0medi\u00e1ln\u00edm prostoru za\u010dala \u0161\u00ed\u0159it tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee \u201eEvropa si v\u00a0oblasti zbrojen\u00ed neplnila dom\u00e1c\u00ed \u00fakoly\u201c a \u017ee mus\u00ed b\u00fdt schopna se v\u00a0r\u00e1mci NATO (nebo mimo n\u011bj???) br\u00e1nit potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed hrozb\u011b z\u00a0V\u00fdchodu sama atd. T\u00edm je tak\u00e9 zd\u016fvod\u0148ov\u00e1no Trumpov\u00fdch slavn\u00fdch 5% HDP na zbrojen\u00ed, jako povinn\u00fd z\u00e1vazek pro v\u0161echny \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty NATO do roku 2035, s\u00a0n\u00edm\u017e jako se svat\u00fdm gr\u00e1lem operuj\u00ed i ti, kte\u0159\u00ed americk\u00e9mu prezidentovi nemohou p\u0159ij\u00edt na jm\u00e9no.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00a0t\u00e9to v\u011bci v\u0161ak panuje \u0159ada nejasnost\u00ed, nad nimi\u017e se m\u00e1lokdo zam\u00fd\u0161l\u00ed, v\u00e1\u017en\u011b se nediskutuj\u00ed a nedom\u00fd\u0161lej\u00ed souvislosti.<\/p>\n<p>Za prv\u00e9 je nejasn\u00e9, co se mysl\u00ed onou \u201eEvropou\u201c, o n\u00ed\u017e v\u0161ichni v\u00a0t\u00e9to souvislosti tak r\u00e1di hovo\u0159\u00ed. Z\u0159ejm\u011b to nen\u00ed EU, proto\u017ee ta nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou vojenskou instituc\u00ed a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly nem\u00e1. Mysl\u00ed se t\u00edm snad evrop\u0161t\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO? Mo\u017en\u00e1, ale pak vstupujeme do daleko podstatn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed debaty, ne\u017e jsou pouh\u00e1 procenta HDP vy\u010dlen\u011bn\u00e1 v\u00a0jednotliv\u00fdch zem\u00edch na obranu. Mus\u00edme v\u00e9st z\u00e1sadn\u00ed diskusi o budoucnosti NATO a nezakr\u00fdvat jeho probl\u00e9my nesmysln\u00fdmi h\u00e1dkami o utr\u00e1cen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>NATO nikdy nebylo alianc\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by m\u011bla n\u011bjakou svou specifickou od USA odd\u011blenou evropskou \u010d\u00e1st. Je to obrann\u00fd pakt, jeho\u017e j\u00e1drem jsou USA a americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da. Ta v\u017edy byla a je jeho rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed vojenskou i velitelskou silou, j\u00e1drem, jeho\u017e dopl\u0148kem byly a jsou ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly ostatn\u00edch zem\u00ed. Americk\u00fd jadern\u00fd arzen\u00e1l i konven\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly jsou hlavn\u00ed odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed silou, je\u017e v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b st\u00e1le nem\u00e1 konkurenci. NATO v\u017edy bylo vedeno a \u0159\u00edzeno Ameri\u010dany a fungovalo podle jejich pot\u0159eb.<\/p>\n<p>Diskuse o n\u00e1hle se vyno\u0159iv\u0161\u00ed odpov\u011bdnosti \u201eEvropy\u201c za svou obranu, \u201eevropsk\u00fdch dom\u00e1c\u00edch \u00fakolech\u201c v\u00a0navy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f na zbrojen\u00ed atd. vyjad\u0159uje v\u00fdraznou zm\u011bnu podm\u00ednek. Probl\u00e9m nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v nedostate\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i v\u00fddaj\u016f na zbrojen\u00ed. Americk\u00fd rozpo\u010det na obranu se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed 1 bili\u00f3nu USD, co\u017e je v\u00edce ne\u017e sou\u010det v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu deseti dal\u0161\u00edch velk\u00fdch zem\u00ed sv\u011bta dohromady v\u010detn\u011b \u010c\u00edny a Ruska, nota bene vedouc\u00edho v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b. Jenom samotn\u00e9 N\u011bmecko, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie, Francie, It\u00e1lie a Polsko vynakl\u00e1daj\u00ed dohromady na obranu dvakr\u00e1t tolik, co Rusko, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 b\u00fdt onou hrozbou a v\u011b\u010dn\u00fdm nep\u0159\u00edtelem, kv\u016fli n\u011bmu\u017e se m\u00e1 d\u00e1le hore\u010dn\u011b zbrojit. NATO m\u00e1 zcela zjevn\u011b v\u00a0tomto ohledu nad Ruskem drtivou p\u0159evahu, s\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e Rusko nem\u016f\u017ee soupe\u0159it. Zcela jinou v\u011bc\u00ed je, jak jsou tyto prost\u0159edky vyu\u017eity, \u010di sp\u00ed\u0161e vypl\u00fdtv\u00e1ny, ale to je \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00e1 debata ne\u017e vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed a vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed utr\u00e1cen\u00ed procent HDP.<\/p>\n<p>Zakopan\u00fd pes le\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0tezi, \u017ee by se \u201eEvropa\u201c m\u011bla b\u00fdt schopna br\u00e1nit sama, bez USA. To nen\u00ed prim\u00e1rn\u011b o v\u00fd\u0161i zbrojn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f, to je z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka o budoucnosti NATO. Implicitn\u011b z\u00a0t\u00e9to teze vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee pro USA ji\u017e obrana evropsk\u00fdch \u010dlen\u016f Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance prioritn\u00edm n\u00e1rodn\u00edm z\u00e1jmem nen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Ve vzduchu tato skute\u010dnost vis\u00ed ji\u017e velmi dlouho, prakticky od rozpadu SSSR a rozpu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed Var\u0161avsk\u00e9 smlouvy. Rusko p\u0159estalo b\u00fdt supervelmoc\u00ed a glob\u00e1ln\u00edm vyzyvatelem USA, \u010d\u00edm\u017e NATO pro Ameri\u010dany ztratilo sv\u016fj p\u016fvodn\u00ed smysl a v\u00fdznam. P\u0159e\u017eilo sice dal\u0161\u00edch v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 let a slou\u017eilo USA jako platforma pro vojenskou spolupr\u00e1ci, kter\u00e1 d\u00e1vala r\u016fzn\u00fdm americk\u00fdm operac\u00edm (Ir\u00e1k, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n atd.) mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed charakter. Americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159evaha je v\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b takov\u00e1, \u017ee USA re\u00e1ln\u011b fakticky evropsk\u00e9 spojence vlastn\u011b nepot\u0159ebuj\u00ed. Donald Trump to d\u00e1v\u00e1 najevo zcela jasn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Jinak je tomu ale pro evropsk\u00e9 \u010dleny Aliance. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm pro jej\u00ed nov\u00e9 \u010dleny ve st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b se \u010dlenstv\u00ed v\u00a0NATO s\u00a0jeho \u010dl\u00e1nkem 5 implikuj\u00edc\u00edm americkou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruku stalo kotvou a garanc\u00ed p\u0159ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edm ohro\u017een\u00edm, kter\u00e9 n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed siln\u011b poci\u0165uj\u00ed ze strany Ruska, kter\u00e9 nev\u00e1h\u00e1 prosazovat sv\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy a vliv i s\u00a0pou\u017eit\u00edm vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly. Tato jistota dnes miz\u00ed a za pen\u00edze se bohu\u017eel koupit ned\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 evidentn\u011b nemaj\u00ed pocit, \u017ee by se jich m\u011bly t\u00fdkat slo\u017eit\u00e9 pom\u011bry ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b a \u017ee by s\u00a0Ruskem m\u011bli bojovat o sf\u00e9ru vlivu v\u00a0zem\u00edch, v\u00a0nich\u017e dnes \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 podstatn\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy nemaj\u00ed. Rusko pro n\u011b dnes nen\u00ed SSSR a sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e o studenov\u00e1le\u010dnick\u00e9 soupe\u0159en\u00ed maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem o spolupr\u00e1ci s\u00a0n\u00edm jednak ve vztahu k\u00a0mohutn\u00edc\u00ed \u010c\u00edn\u011b a tak\u00e9 kv\u016fli ohromn\u00fdm byznysov\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostem.<\/p>\n<p>Obranu evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed slep\u00e9 vyhazov\u00e1n\u00ed 5% HDP na zbrojen\u00ed. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 NATO bez Ameri\u010dan\u016f re\u00e1ln\u011b neexistuje a pokud by m\u011blo b\u00fdt vytvo\u0159eno, jde o z\u00e1sadn\u00ed politick\u00e9 t\u00e9ma, pro kter\u00e9 dnes chyb\u00ed platforma i pot\u0159ebn\u00e1 z\u00e1jmov\u00e1 synergie. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 evropsk\u00e1 zem\u011b nen\u00ed v\u00a0pozici alespo\u0148 vzd\u00e1len\u011b p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed roli USA v\u00a0dosavadn\u00edm NATO, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 nedisponuje rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm politick\u00fdm vlivem, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 nen\u00ed dominantn\u00ed vojenskou silou. Politick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed jsou velmi rozd\u00edln\u00e9, priority se li\u0161\u00ed, stejn\u011b jako schopnosti a s\u00edla jejich arm\u00e1d. Ne v\u0161echny zem\u011b pova\u017euj\u00ed za sv\u00e9 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ohro\u017een\u00ed Rusko a maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem na p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b v\u00e1lky s\u00a0n\u00edm. Stabilita v\u00a0Evrop\u011b dosud st\u00e1la na americk\u00e9m rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed, vlivu a s\u00edle. Evropa ponechan\u00e1 sama sob\u011b i v\u00a0bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed oblasti m\u016f\u017ee erodovat rychleji, ne\u017e si dnes mysl\u00edme.<\/p>\n<p>Trumpov\u00fdch 5% HDP, s\u00a0nimi\u017e na\u0161e opozice tak snadno \u017eongluje a sna\u017e\u00ed se jimi ml\u00e1tit vl\u00e1du po hlav\u011b, tak v\u00a0sob\u011b skr\u00fdvaj\u00ed daleko z\u00e1sadn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sd\u011blen\u00ed ne\u017e jenom vyhazov\u00e1n\u00ed pen\u011bz za ka\u017edou cenu. Sv\u011bt se zm\u011bnil a za \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pen\u00edze nejde vr\u00e1tit zp\u011bt. \u201eEvropu\u201c \u010dek\u00e1 daleko obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed \u00fakol ne\u017e kupovat z\u00a0Ameriky drah\u00e9 zbran\u011b, jak se to dnes ve\u0159ejnosti p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1, a rizika mo\u017en\u00fdch budouc\u00edch uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed jsou daleko \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e pouze vzd\u00e1len\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 hrozba. Na\u0161i politici by o tom m\u011bli usilovn\u011b p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let.<\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.institutvk.cz\/clanky\/3368.html\">Ji\u0159\u00ed Weigl<\/a>, 30.3.2026<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b se v\u00a0debat\u00e1ch na n\u00e1rodn\u00ed i mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u011b stejn\u011b jako v\u00a0medi\u00e1ln\u00edm prostoru za\u010dala \u0161\u00ed\u0159it&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":49279,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[45,2718,1503,39,477],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103813"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103813"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103813\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}