{"id":103705,"date":"2026-04-04T00:11:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T22:11:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103705"},"modified":"2026-04-03T12:26:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T10:26:52","slug":"usa-utraceji-penize-iran-vydelava-jak-teheran-nasel-cestu-ze-sve-financni-pasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/04\/usa-utraceji-penize-iran-vydelava-jak-teheran-nasel-cestu-ze-sve-financni-pasti\/","title":{"rendered":"USA utr\u00e1cej\u00ed pen\u00edze, \u00cdr\u00e1n vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1: Jak Teher\u00e1n na\u0161el cestu ze sv\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed pasti"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zat\u00edmco se Evropa p\u0159ipravuje na dal\u0161\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi, \u00cdr\u00e1n vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1 dvakr\u00e1t tolik ne\u017e p\u0159ed \u00fatoky USA a Izraele<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Evropou se \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed atmosf\u00e9ra p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed \u00e9ru COVID-19. Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno: Evropan\u00e9 se boj\u00ed. Je to p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9, ale za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 b\u00fdt jasn\u00e9, \u017ee \u017eivot bez ropy a plynu je docela obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fd. A nyn\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci bij\u00ed na poplach, \u017ee potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed nedostatek energie a z n\u011bj vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed \u201eekonomick\u00e1 n\u00e1kaza\u201c by mohly b\u00fdt v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e krize z roku 2020.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edpov\u011bdi jsou d\u011bsiv\u00e9. A to natolik, \u017ee p\u0159edseda Rady EU Ant\u00f3nio Costa zva\u017euje svol\u00e1n\u00ed mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9ho summitu hlav st\u00e1t\u016f a vl\u00e1d EU. Brusel hled\u00e1 odpov\u011bdi na dv\u011b ot\u00e1zky: Jak z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e1 bude krize na kontinentu a jak dalekos\u00e1hl\u00e9 budou jej\u00ed d\u016fsledky? Nyn\u00ed existuje riziko, \u017ee krize zachv\u00e1t\u00ed v\u0161echna pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropan\u00e9 si zvykli na desetilet\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce se sv\u00fdmi zahrani\u010dn\u00edmi partnery a tentokr\u00e1t selhali. Evrop\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 se st\u00e1le neodv\u00e1\u017eili zaujmout jasn\u00e9 a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 stanovisko k v\u00e1lce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Ze v\u0161ech zem\u00ed pouze \u0160pan\u011blsko kategoricky odm\u00edtlo v\u00e1lku vedenou USA a Izraelem proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. V\u0161echny ostatn\u00ed jsou ti\u0161e spoluvin\u00edky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ulice sv\u00e1ru<\/span><\/h3>\n

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bnov\u00fd fond (MMF) potvrdil, \u017ee Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv \u2013 p\u0159esn\u011bji \u0159e\u010deno jeho uzav\u0159en\u00ed \u2013 ot\u0159\u00e1sl energetick\u00fdmi trhy. Podle finan\u010dn\u00ed instituce bylo zastaven\u00ed tranzitu \u00cdr\u00e1nem reakc\u00ed na agresi a vyvinulo se v nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed krizi na trhu s ropou. Analytici MMF si st\u011b\u017euj\u00ed, \u017ee pro zem\u011b dov\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed ropu to znamen\u00e1 n\u00e1hlou a zna\u010dnou da\u0148 z p\u0159\u00edjmu. Kdo by to byl \u0159ekl?<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePodle Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e9 agentury (IEA) vedlo faktick\u00e9 uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a po\u0161kozen\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastruktury k nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu naru\u0161en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edho trhu s ropou v historii,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed studie MMF.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump, str\u016fjce a re\u017eis\u00e9r t\u00e9to energetick\u00e9 krize, v \u00fater\u00fd 1. dubna (evropsk\u00e9ho \u010dasu) pronesl projev, kter\u00fd by se dal snadno zam\u011bnit za vtip. Ale nebyl to \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vtip. Prezident prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee USA nemaj\u00ed v pl\u00e1nu se zab\u00fdvat normalizac\u00ed lodn\u00ed dopravy v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVelmi brzy se odtamtud st\u00e1hneme. A pokud Francie nebo jak\u00e1koli jin\u00e1 zem\u011b bude cht\u00edt z\u00edsk\u00e1vat ropu nebo plyn, kter\u00e9 proch\u00e1zej\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem, budou se tam muset dostat samy a postarat se o to samy. Mysl\u00edm si dokonce, \u017ee to bude velmi bezpe\u010dn\u00e9, ale my s t\u00edm nem\u00e1me nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho,\u201c \u0159ekl novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eCo se stane s Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem? S t\u00edm nebudeme m\u00edt nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bproto\u017ee ty zem\u011b, \u010c\u00edna, tam p\u016fjdou, nalo\u017e\u00ed sv\u00e9 n\u00e1dhern\u00e9 lod\u011b, odpluj\u00ed a postaraj\u00ed se o sebe. Nem\u00e1me d\u016fvod se o to starat,\u201c dodal Trump.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00fd zdroj p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f<\/span><\/h3>\n

To je smutn\u00e1 realita pro \u00fato\u010dn\u00edky, ale ne pro ob\u011bti. Podle Mohammada Mokhbera, poradce Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky, budou p\u0159\u00edjmy \u00cdr\u00e1nu z kontroly Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu nejm\u00e9n\u011b dvojn\u00e1sobkem jeho p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f z exportu ropy. Pouk\u00e1zal tak\u00e9 na to, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 na pr\u016fliv stejn\u00e1 pr\u00e1va jako Turecko na Bospor a Egypt na Suezsk\u00fd pr\u016fplav.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd parlament ji\u017e pracuje na z\u00e1konu, kter\u00fd by zav\u00e1d\u011bl m\u00fdtn\u00e9 pro lod\u011b proplouvaj\u00edc\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem, uvedl Mohammad Reza Rezaie Kouchi, p\u0159edseda v\u00fdboru pro ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 pr\u00e1ce \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho parlamentu. \u201eV parlamentu p\u0159ipravujeme n\u00e1vrh z\u00e1kona, kter\u00fd pr\u00e1vn\u011b zakotv\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nskou vl\u00e1du, suverenitu a kontrolu nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. V\u00fdb\u011br m\u00fdtn\u00e9ho tak\u00e9 vytvo\u0159\u00ed pro zemi zdroj p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f,\u201c \u0159ekl. (\u00a0<\/span>Pozn\u00e1mka p\u0159ekladatele: Z\u00e1kon byl v \u00cdr\u00e1nu od t\u00e9 doby schv\u00e1len; tento \u010dl\u00e1nek byl z\u0159ejm\u011b naps\u00e1n p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny a publikov\u00e1n pozd\u011bji<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.)<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle poslance je n\u00e1vrh z\u00e1kona hotov\u00fd, ale st\u00e1le vy\u017eaduje dal\u0161\u00ed revizi. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee bude brzy p\u0159edlo\u017een parlamentu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePodle n\u00e1vrhu z\u00e1kona bude \u00cdr\u00e1n vyb\u00edrat poplatek za zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti lod\u00ed v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu. To je naprosto norm\u00e1ln\u00ed. Stejn\u011b jako u jin\u00fdch tranzitn\u00edch tras se poplatky \u00fa\u010dtuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bza n\u00e1klad. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je tak\u00e9 tranzitn\u00edm koridorem. Garantujeme jeho bezpe\u010dnost, a proto je zcela norm\u00e1ln\u00ed, \u017ee lod\u011b a tankery plat\u00ed poplatky,\u201c vysv\u011btlil poslanec.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vyd\u011bl\u00e1vaj\u00ed dvakr\u00e1t tolik<\/span><\/h3>\n

Jak agentu\u0159e TASS vysv\u011btlil Vladimir Lev\u010denko, finan\u010dn\u00ed analytik a expert ze Stolypinova institutu pro r\u016fstovou ekonomiku, \u201e\u010d\u00edsla ji\u017e ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n ve skute\u010dnosti z cel\u00e9 situace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1 dvakr\u00e1t tolik.\u201c \u201eZem\u011b by nav\u00edc mohla generovat dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjmy t\u00edm, \u017ee by lod\u011b proplouvaly Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem, nap\u0159\u00edklad t\u00edm, \u017ee by j\u00edm umo\u017enila proplout tanker\u016fm pod jin\u00fdmi vlajkami,\u201c vysv\u011btlil expert.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle Lev\u010denka se situace v sou\u010dasnosti t\u00fdk\u00e1 pouze mal\u00e9ho po\u010dtu obchodn\u00edch lod\u00ed, ale i za t\u011bchto okolnost\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n dosahuje zna\u010dn\u00e9ho zisku. \u201eTyto p\u0159\u00edjmy by mohly kompenzovat ztr\u00e1ty zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 ni\u010den\u00edm souvisej\u00edc\u00edm s v\u00e1lkou,\u201c uvedl expert.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lev\u010denko tak\u00e9 poznamenal, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n \u201enyn\u00ed vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1 na prodeji ropy podstatn\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou\u201c, ale p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee p\u0159esn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 uv\u00e9st.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZaprv\u00e9, ceny ropy v\u00fdrazn\u011b vzrostly, z p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 70 dolar\u016f na 110 dolar\u016f. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee i p\u0159i stejn\u00e9m objemu ropy by \u00cdr\u00e1n vyd\u011blal v\u00edce ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve. Zadruh\u00e9, \u00cdr\u00e1n je dlouhodob\u011b p\u0159edm\u011btem sankc\u00ed, co\u017e zjevn\u011b vedlo ke slev\u011b z ceny \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed nap\u0159\u00edklad s ropou Brent. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Ruska se sleva z ceny rusk\u00e9 ropy po za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu pom\u011brn\u011b rychle zmen\u0161ila. N\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho se nyn\u00ed stalo s \u00edr\u00e1nskou ropou,\u201c poznamenal expert.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 Elmira Imamkulieva, p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ej\u00edc\u00ed na Fakult\u011b sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomiky a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f Vysok\u00e9 \u0161koly ekonomick\u00e9 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9 univerzity a vedouc\u00ed V\u00fdzkumn\u00e9 laborato\u0159e pro sou\u010dasn\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 studie, poznamenala: \u201eV sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b jsme sv\u011bdky nov\u00e9 operace 21. stolet\u00ed, v n\u00ed\u017e jsou tankery zachycov\u00e1ny na r\u016fzn\u00fdch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch tras\u00e1ch, nejen v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu.\u201c Vysv\u011btlila, \u017ee jde o nastolen\u00ed nov\u00e9ho politick\u00e9ho a ekonomick\u00e9ho dopravn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eExistuj\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 aliance a mo\u017enost, \u017ee lod\u011b v r\u00e1mci ur\u010dit\u00fdch alianc\u00ed a partnerstv\u00ed mohou proplouvat loaj\u00e1ln\u00edmi \u00fazem\u00edmi, co\u017e n\u00e1sledn\u011b vede k odporu ze strany ostatn\u00edch zem\u00ed v opa\u010dn\u00e9m t\u00e1bo\u0159e. Jde tedy sp\u00ed\u0161e o obranu vlastn\u00edch politick\u00fdch a ekonomick\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f ne\u017e o generov\u00e1n\u00ed nadm\u011brn\u00fdch zisk\u016f,\u201c vysv\u011btlil expert.<\/span><\/p>\n

2 miliony dolar\u016f na \u201ebezpe\u010dn\u00fd koridor\u201c<\/span><\/h3>\n

Nikolaj Novik, expert Institutu pro sv\u011btovou vojenskou ekonomiku a strategii, v souvislosti s dodate\u010dn\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edjmy z plavby tanker\u016f pod jin\u00fdmi vlajkami pouk\u00e1zal na to, \u017ee v t\u00e9to situaci je t\u0159eba jasn\u011b rozli\u0161ovat mezi fakty a n\u00e1zory expert\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePodle neofici\u00e1ln\u00edch informac\u00ed z r\u016fzn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00fd blokuje pr\u016fplav t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ech ropn\u00fdch a plynov\u00fdch tanker\u016f Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem, po\u017eaduje a\u017e 2 miliony dolar\u016f za lo\u010f za \u201abezpe\u010dn\u00fd koridor\u2018. Tyto poplatky jsou v\u0161ak vyb\u00edr\u00e1ny selektivn\u011b a nikoli systematicky a jsou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed tzv. selektivn\u00edho uzav\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu, v r\u00e1mci kter\u00e9ho Teher\u00e1n blokuje lod\u011b z \u201aagresorsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed\u2018 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 umo\u017e\u0148uje pr\u016fplav jin\u00fdm lod\u00edm, v\u010detn\u011b sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed,\u201c uvedl expert.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lloyd’s List, jeden z nejstar\u0161\u00edch a nejuzn\u00e1van\u011bj\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch \u010dasopis\u016f na sv\u011bt\u011b, minulou ned\u011bli informoval o nejm\u00e9n\u011b jednom tankeru, kter\u00fd takov\u00fd \u201epoplatek\u201c zaplatil, uvedl Novik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 expert varoval p\u0159ed p\u0159ed\u010dasnou eufori\u00ed ohledn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch partner\u016f, a\u010dkoliv potvrdil zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy. \u201ePodle \u00fadaj\u016f z TankerTrackers.com, citovan\u00fdch agenturou Bloomberg a n\u011bkolika mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi publikacemi, \u00cdr\u00e1n v b\u0159eznu 2026 vyd\u011blal na prodeji sv\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed ropy, Iranian Light, p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 140 milion\u016f dolar\u016f denn\u011b. To je o 22 procent v\u00edce ne\u017e v \u00fanoru, ale v\u00fdrazn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9 zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed,\u201c uvedl Novik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u016fraznil tak\u00e9 pozitivn\u00ed trend v cenov\u00fdch slev\u00e1ch na \u00edr\u00e1nskou ropu. \u201eP\u0159ed konfliktem byla sleva na \u00edr\u00e1nskou lehkou ropu v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s ropou Brent kv\u016fli sankc\u00edm p\u0159es 10 dolar\u016f za barel. V b\u0159eznu se kv\u016fli konkurenci o dostupn\u00e1 mno\u017estv\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eila na 2 dolary,\u201c vysv\u011btlil expert s t\u00edm, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n byl i p\u0159es nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 akce schopen udr\u017eet sv\u016fj export a\u017e na 1,6 milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Novik tak\u00e9 vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee americk\u00e9 ministerstvo financ\u00ed vydalo 20. b\u0159ezna do\u010dasn\u00e9 povolen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 umo\u017e\u0148uje operace s \u00edr\u00e1nskou ropou ji\u017e nalo\u017eenou na tankery do 19. dubna. \u201eHlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem je vyhnout se ot\u0159es\u016fm a co nejrychleji dostat na trh p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 140 milion\u016f barel\u016f \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy, aby se sn\u00ed\u017eily ceny a zabr\u00e1nilo se energetick\u00e9 krizi,\u201c uzav\u0159el Novik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 politolog Ilja Gra\u0161\u010denkov, \u0159editel Centra pro rozvoj region\u00e1ln\u00ed politiky, pouk\u00e1zal na to, \u017ee logika \u00cdr\u00e1nu je jasn\u00e1: sna\u017e\u00ed se monetizovat svou kontrolu nad \u00fazk\u00fdm hrdlem glob\u00e1ln\u00edho obchodu. \u201eNejen prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm ceny vlastn\u00ed ropy, ale tak\u00e9 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm selektivn\u00edho propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed lod\u00ed, potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch poplatk\u016f, transakc\u00ed v \u0161ed\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b, rizikov\u00fdch pr\u00e9mi\u00ed a zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed s\u00edly. Pro st\u00e1t pod sankcemi a vojensk\u00fdm tlakem je typickou strategi\u00ed zneu\u017e\u00edvat svou geografickou polohu jako zdroj. Takov\u00fd model v\u0161ak funguje dob\u0159e jako n\u00e1stroj vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed a maximalizace kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9ho zisku, nikoli v\u0161ak jako udr\u017eiteln\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 strategie,\u201c uzav\u0159el expert.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Zat\u00edmco se Evropa p\u0159ipravuje na dal\u0161\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi, \u00cdr\u00e1n vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1 dvakr\u00e1t tolik ne\u017e p\u0159ed \u00fatoky…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103706,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,90,6841,7228],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103705"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}