{"id":103635,"date":"2026-04-03T00:12:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T22:12:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103635"},"modified":"2026-04-02T12:39:54","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T10:39:54","slug":"svet-po-valce-proti-iranu-nebude-stejny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/03\/svet-po-valce-proti-iranu-nebude-stejny\/","title":{"rendered":"Sv\u011bt po v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu nebude stejn\u00fd"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Anal\u00fdza ekonoma Michaela Hudsona<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru s Glennem Diesenem analyzoval renomovan\u00fd americk\u00fd ekonom a historik Michael Hudson dramatick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku. Hudson, zn\u00e1m\u00fd sv\u00fdm kritick\u00fdm zkoum\u00e1n\u00edm americk\u00e9ho imperialismu a financializace ekonomiky, popisuje konflikt nikoli jako region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku, ale jako zlomov\u00fd bod, kter\u00fd nen\u00e1vratn\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d. Dod\u00e1vky energie, hnojiva, finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m a geopolitick\u00e9 aliance jsou ot\u0159eseny v z\u00e1kladech \u2013 n\u00e1vrat ke star\u00e9mu norm\u00e1lu je nemo\u017en\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Michael Hudson: Sv\u011bt po v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem u\u017e nebude stejn\u00fd\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/htokR5lYvv0?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1lka o zdroje a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed kontrolu<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Michael Hudson vn\u00edm\u00e1 v\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu jako sou\u010d\u00e1st \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho snahy USA zajistit si kontrolu nad glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomikou ovl\u00e1dnut\u00edm v\u00fdvozu ropy a surovin. Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee konflikt nen\u00ed izolovanou vojenskou operac\u00ed, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e \u201edruhou sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lkou\u201c, proto\u017ee energie, hnojiva a dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoz ze zem\u00ed produkuj\u00edc\u00edch ropu jsou \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve za\u00fato\u010dily na Venezuelu a unesly jej\u00edho prezidenta, aby se zmocnily kontroly nad jej\u00ed ropou. Nyn\u00ed je c\u00edlem \u00cdr\u00e1n: c\u00edlem nen\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit jadern\u00e9 bomb\u011b \u2013 \u00cdr\u00e1n o \u017e\u00e1dnou neusiluje \u2013 ale sp\u00ed\u0161e dos\u00e1hnout \u00fapln\u00e9 kontroly nad ropn\u00fdmi rezervami OPEC.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Od roku 2003 se USA sna\u017e\u00ed ovl\u00e1dnout Ir\u00e1k, S\u00fdrii, Libyi a nakonec i \u00cdr\u00e1n. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fdm proud\u00ed velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 a OPEC ropy, se m\u011bl st\u00e1t \u00fazk\u00fdm bodem. Trump si v\u0161ak uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee vojensk\u00e1 okupace ostrov\u016f je vojensky neudr\u017eiteln\u00e1, a m\u00edsto toho se zam\u011b\u0159il p\u0159\u00edmo na ropn\u00e9 zdroje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Sankce jako strategick\u00e1 zbra\u0148<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hudson zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee USA z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b zakl\u00e1daj\u00ed svou zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku na schopnosti omezit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoz ropy. Sankce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, Venezuele a Rusku slou\u017e\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b tomuto \u00fa\u010delu: spojenc\u016fm by m\u011bla b\u00fdt k dispozici pouze ropa ze zdroj\u016f kontrolovan\u00fdch USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump to prohl\u00e1sil otev\u0159en\u011b \u2013 na rozd\u00edl od p\u0159edchoz\u00edch prezident\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed prosazovali stejnou politiku, ale m\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159\u00edmo\u010da\u0159e. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd b\u00fdval\u00fd americk\u00fd prezident (Biden, Obama, Bush) Trumpa nekritizoval.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dokonce i evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i mu r\u00e9toricky tleskali, p\u0159esto\u017ee USA odep\u0159eli p\u0159\u00edstup do jejich vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru. Sankce z\u016fstaly v platnosti a nikdo Trumpa neobvinil z v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch zlo\u010din\u016f. To ukazuje, jak hluboce je v mysl\u00edch lid\u00ed zako\u0159en\u011bna z\u00e1vislost na dominanci USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky: Nezvratn\u00fd \u0161ok<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky jsou katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed a nevratn\u00e9. \u00cdr\u00e1n nejen\u017ee zcela blokuje v\u00fdvoz ropy, ale tak\u00e9 hnojiv a dal\u0161\u00edch surovin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Produkce h\u00e9lia byla p\u0159eru\u0161ena zni\u010den\u00edm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, co\u017e ji\u017e vede k celosv\u011btov\u00fdm omezen\u00edm v oblasti l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00fdch technologi\u00ed. P\u0159esto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n obnovil omezen\u00fd v\u00fdvoz ropy p\u0159es Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv v\u00fdm\u011bnou za platbu dvou milion\u016f dolar\u016f za lo\u010f, v\u00fdvoz hnojiv z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 zak\u00e1z\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bt je na pokraji setby \u2013 bez hnojiv hroz\u00ed masivn\u00ed ne\u00faroda. Naru\u0161en\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f ropy, plynu, amoniaku, s\u00edry a h\u00e9lia je nevratn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Reparace za \u0161kody v \u00cdr\u00e1nu jsou nezbytn\u00e9, ale nikdo nev\u00ed, kdo by je m\u011bl zaplatit. D\u016fsledek: nejhor\u0161\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 krize od 30. let 20. stolet\u00ed je nevyhnuteln\u00e1, bez ohledu na to, zda bude dosa\u017eeno p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">R\u016fst akciov\u00e9ho trhu v USA \u2013 Dow Jones\u016fv index kr\u00e1tce vzrostl o 1000 bod\u016f \u2013 je pouh\u00e9 zbo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed. Trhy ignoruj\u00ed realitu: kroky USA a Izraele jsou nevratn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">K\u0159ehk\u00fd americk\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hudson podrobn\u011b vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d je americk\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zraniteln\u00fd. Od hypote\u010dn\u00edho krachu v roce 2008 Fed zachr\u00e1nil banky svou politikou nulov\u00fdch \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb t\u00edm, \u017ee zlevnil \u00fav\u011bry na nemovitosti, akcie a dluhopisy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To vedlo k obrovsk\u00e9 inflaci cen aktiv, zat\u00edmco re\u00e1ln\u00e9 mzdy stagnuj\u00ed a 40 procent Ameri\u010dan\u016f nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00faspory.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Soukrom\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti jako Blackstone skupovaly spole\u010dnosti za n\u00edzk\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby, \u201efinancializovaly\u201c je a vys\u00e1valy z nich pen\u00edze, aby maximalizovaly v\u00fdnosy. Cel\u00fd syst\u00e9m je jako Ponziho sch\u00e9ma.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00darokov\u00e9 sazby vzrostly a syst\u00e9m se zhroutil. D\u016fsledky v\u00e1lky to je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161ily: naru\u0161en\u00e9 pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed toky vedly k nespl\u00e1cen\u00ed \u00fav\u011br\u016f. Dluhov\u00e1 pyramida se za\u010dala zmen\u0161ovat \u2013 klasick\u00e1 deprese.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Geopolitick\u00e9 posuny<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dopad na dal\u0161\u00ed velk\u00e9 mocnosti by byl tak\u00e9 zna\u010dn\u00fd. Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a Indie by byly ovlivn\u011bny, ale jinak ne\u017e Evropa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Hudsona se Evropa izolovala, nap\u0159\u00edklad t\u00edm, \u017ee se vzdala rusk\u00e9 energie. N\u011bmecko se sv\u00fdm klesaj\u00edc\u00edm HDP ji\u017e slou\u017e\u00ed jako varovn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">NATO a EU by se pod t\u00edmto tlakem mohly rozpadnout: vl\u00e1dy by bu\u010f musely platit obrovsk\u00e9 dotace, nebo sn\u00ed\u017eit \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna se ob\u00e1v\u00e1 o sv\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky energie a Indie mus\u00ed p\u0159izp\u016fsobit svou strategii. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b t\u011b\u017ece zasa\u017een: bez energie a hnojiv hroz\u00ed hladomor, zejm\u00e9na v Africe.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Konec americk\u00e9 hegemonie<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hudson nepopisuje pomal\u00fd \u00fapadek, ale n\u00e1hl\u00fd zlom. USA destabilizovaly sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed imp\u00e9rium agresivn\u00ed politikou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sankce, v\u00e1lky bez mand\u00e1tu a ekonomick\u00fd tlak podkopaly mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed syst\u00e9m. Sv\u011bt se m\u011bn\u00ed: Asie se st\u00e1v\u00e1 centrem, zat\u00edmco Evropa a USA zaost\u00e1vaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed instituce jako MMF, Sv\u011btov\u00e1 banka a OSN jsou zastaral\u00e9. Jsou pot\u0159eba nov\u00e9 struktury \u2013 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bny, obchodn\u00ed pravidla a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vznik\u00e1 nov\u00fd sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska se sv\u011bt mus\u00ed nau\u010dit osamostatnit od syst\u00e9mu ovl\u00e1dan\u00e9ho USA. Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed bude sob\u011bsta\u010dnost, nov\u00e1 spojenectv\u00ed a alternativn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9my.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih si za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 uv\u011bdomovat, \u017ee z\u00e1vislost na z\u00e1padn\u00edch trz\u00edch je nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 korporace p\u0159esouvaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 operace a vznikaj\u00ed nov\u00e1 centra moci.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br: Syst\u00e9mov\u00e1 krize, z n\u00ed\u017e nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hudson vykresluje bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd obraz: V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu nen\u00e1vratn\u011b po\u0161kodila glob\u00e1ln\u00ed struktury. Energetick\u00e9 krize, finan\u010dn\u00ed nestabilita a geopolitick\u00e9 ot\u0159esy jsou nevyhnuteln\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bt \u010del\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed reorganizaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zda to povede ke stabilit\u011b, nebo chaosu, z\u00e1vis\u00ed na tom, zda jsou st\u00e1ty ochotny budovat nov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my \u2013 m\u00edsto aby se dr\u017eely star\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du, kter\u00fd se ji\u017e rozpadl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Anal\u00fdza ekonoma Michaela Hudsona V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru s Glennem Diesenem analyzoval renomovan\u00fd americk\u00fd ekonom a&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103636,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2181,276,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103635"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103635"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103635\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103636"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103635"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103635"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103635"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}