{"id":103516,"date":"2026-04-01T07:18:29","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T05:18:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103516"},"modified":"2026-04-01T07:21:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T05:21:32","slug":"andrew-korybko-lukasenko-se-opet-chova-podezrele","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/01\/andrew-korybko-lukasenko-se-opet-chova-podezrele\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Luka\u0161enko se op\u011bt chov\u00e1 podez\u0159ele"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Sl\u00edbil, \u017ee se z\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho zased\u00e1n\u00ed Rady pro m\u00edr, a to navzdory tomu, \u017ee ho USA pon\u00ed\u017eily t\u00edm, \u017ee jeho z\u00e1stupc\u016fm neud\u011blily v\u00edza na \u00favodn\u00ed zased\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9ho se nemohl z\u00fa\u010dastnit; trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee USA \u201enikdy nem\u011bly v \u00famyslu\u201c rozd\u011blit B\u011blorusko a Rusko, a mo\u017en\u00e1 bude brzy pozv\u00e1n do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu nebo do Mar-a-Lago.<\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u011blorusk\u00fd prezident Alexander Luka\u0161enko\u00a0sl\u00edbil<\/a>\u00a0koncem b\u0159ezna po sv\u00e9m posledn\u00edm setk\u00e1n\u00ed s americk\u00fdm zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm vyslancem Johnem Coalem, \u017ee se z\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho zased\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0M\u00edrov\u00e9 rady<\/a>\u00a0pot\u00e9, co tvrdil, \u017ee se nemohl z\u00fa\u010dastnit toho \u00favodn\u00edho kv\u016fli n\u00e1hl\u00e9 inspekci arm\u00e1dy, kterou tehdy prov\u00e1d\u011bl. Jeho z\u00e1stupci v\u0161ak byli Trumpem pon\u00ed\u017eeni pot\u00e9, co jim USA neud\u011blily v\u00edza.\u00a0Zde<\/a>\u00a0bylo analyzov\u00e1no, \u017ee Trump ji\u017e Luka\u0161enka vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako sv\u00e9ho vazala a podle toho s n\u00edm tak\u00e9 zach\u00e1z\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Tato anal\u00fdza rovn\u011b\u017e tvrdila, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fdm d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d se nez\u00fa\u010dastnil, bylo vyhnout se tomu, aby musel obrazn\u011b pol\u00edbit Trump\u016fv prsten,\u00a0jak to nakonec p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b ud\u011blal jeho kaza\u0161sk\u00fd prot\u011bj\u0161ek<\/a>, a t\u00edm p\u00e1dem aby byl tento obraz zneu\u017eit k prohlouben\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed rostouc\u00edch rozd\u00edl\u016f mezi n\u00edm a Putinem ohledn\u011b USA. K tomuto t\u00e9matu Rusko ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve varovalo B\u011blorusko p\u0159ed pl\u00e1ny Z\u00e1padu na barevnou revoluci, a to \u010dty\u0159i roky p\u0159ed jejich term\u00ednem realizace v roce 2030, co\u017e\u00a0bylo zde analyzov\u00e1no<\/a>\u00a0jako vzkaz od Putina Luka\u0161enkovi.<\/p>\n

Bylo vyhodnoceno, \u017ee\u00a0radik\u00e1ln\u011b zm\u011bn\u011bn\u00e9 vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed Polska ze strany B\u011bloruska<\/a>\u00a0v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edci je v\u00fdsledkem rostouc\u00edho vlivu USA na B\u011blorusko v pr\u016fb\u011bhu jejich rozhovor\u016f, o nich\u017e p\u0159edchoz\u00ed anal\u00fdza zde z lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho l\u00e9ta\u00a0p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dala<\/a>, \u017ee jsou zam\u011b\u0159eny na rozd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed a vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed nad B\u011bloruskem a Ruskem. Z\u00e1jem USA o toto je z\u0159ejm\u00fd, a proto bylo dvojn\u00e1sob podez\u0159el\u00e9, \u017ee Luka\u0161enko po sv\u00e9m posledn\u00edm setk\u00e1n\u00ed s Coalem tak\u00e9 tvrdil, \u017ee USA \u201enikdy nem\u011bly v \u00famyslu<\/a>\u201c se o to pokusit.<\/p>\n

Kr\u00e1tce pot\u00e9 Coale potvrdil den\u00edku\u00a0Financial Times<\/a>, \u017ee \u201eUSA zva\u017euj\u00ed pozv\u00e1n\u00ed b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Alexandra Luka\u0161enka na setk\u00e1n\u00ed s Donaldem Trumpem v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b nebo v jeho s\u00eddle v Mar-a-Lago\u201c, a\u010dkoli varoval, \u017ee \u201em\u00e1me p\u0159ed sebou je\u0161t\u011b hodn\u011b pr\u00e1ce, ne\u017e se tam dostaneme\u201c. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, \u017ee p\u0159i jejich posledn\u00edm setk\u00e1n\u00ed Luka\u0161enko omilostnil dal\u0161\u00edch 250 v\u011bz\u0148\u016f odsouzen\u00fdch za to, co USA pova\u017euj\u00ed za \u201epolitick\u00e9 zlo\u010diny\u201c, v\u00fdm\u011bnou za to, \u017ee\u00a0USA zru\u0161\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed sankce<\/a>, \u010d\u00edm\u017e\u00a0pokra\u010duje vzorec<\/a>\u00a0z lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku.<\/p>\n

V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b je sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed B\u011bloruska a USA hmatateln\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed Ruska a USA, kter\u00e9 se po lo\u0148sk\u00e9m srpnov\u00e9m summitu v Anchorage zastavilo. To nazna\u010duje, \u017ee USA maj\u00ed v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1jem o urovn\u00e1n\u00ed vztah\u016f s B\u011bloruskem ne\u017e s Ruskem, co\u017e d\u00e1v\u00e1 za pravdu d\u0159\u00edve citovan\u00e9 anal\u00fdze, \u017ee USA maj\u00ed v \u00famyslu je rozd\u011blit a vl\u00e1dnout jim, a odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem diskredituje tvrzen\u00ed Luka\u0161enka o tom, \u017ee USA \u201enikdy nem\u011bly v \u00famyslu\u201c se o to pokusit. Z pohledu Ruska nen\u00ed nic z toho dobr\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Jist\u011b, st\u00e1le jsou ekonomick\u00fdmi a vojensk\u00fdmi spojenci v r\u00e1mci Svazov\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu, ale skute\u010dn\u011b to vypad\u00e1, jako by USA nyn\u00ed vyv\u00edjely tlak na Rusko na b\u011blorusk\u00e9 a\u00a0kaza\u0161sk\u00e9<\/a>\u00a0front\u011b jako sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00a0nov\u00e9 strategie obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na\u00a0vynucen\u00ed \u00fastupk\u016f<\/a>\u00a0z jeho strany v ot\u00e1zce Ukrajiny. Tato pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed neznamenaj\u00ed, \u017ee USA usp\u011bj\u00ed s jedn\u00edm z nich, nato\u017e s ob\u011bma, ale pouze to, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u011b hraj\u00ed mocenskou hru proti Rusku u jeho dvou nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch soused\u016f. Rusko m\u00e1 proto d\u016fvod k obav\u00e1m.<\/p>\n

USA cht\u011bj\u00ed vyprovokovat p\u0159ehnanou reakci Ruska, kter\u00e1 by zni\u010dila jeho vztahy s B\u011bloruskem, nebo p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Luka\u0161enka, aby p\u0159eb\u011bhl. Kter\u00fdkoli z t\u011bchto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f by pak mohl v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee by na\u0159\u00eddil odstran\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a hypersonick\u00fdch raket, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by B\u011blorusko vystavil riziku invaze. Luka\u0161enko proto mus\u00ed p\u0159i jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s USA postupovat velmi opatrn\u011b, v\u0161e pln\u011b koordinovat s Putinem a nikdy nezapom\u00ednat, \u017ee to bylo Rusko, kter\u00e9 pomohlo zachr\u00e1nit B\u011blorusko p\u0159ed\u00a0barevnou revoluc\u00ed Z\u00e1padu<\/a>\u00a0v roce 2020.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sl\u00edbil, \u017ee se z\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho zased\u00e1n\u00ed Rady pro m\u00edr, a to navzdory tomu, \u017ee ho…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":88695,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,150,149],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103516"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103516"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103516\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88695"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103516"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103516"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103516"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}