{"id":103312,"date":"2026-03-30T06:51:56","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T04:51:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103312"},"modified":"2026-03-30T06:51:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T04:51:56","slug":"iran-bude-mit-brzy-posledni-slovo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/30\/iran-bude-mit-brzy-posledni-slovo\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n bude m\u00edt brzy posledn\u00ed slovo"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00e1lky jsou v\u017edy nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9. Nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem je jin\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, podobn\u00e1 t\u00e9, kter\u00e1 se v sou\u010dasnosti nach\u00e1z\u00ed ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. \u0160pan\u011blsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed flotila 130 lod\u00ed vyslan\u00e1 \u0160pan\u011blskem v roce 1588 pod velen\u00edm Alonsa de Guzm\u00e1na, v\u00e9vody z Mediny Sidonie, aristokrata jmenovan\u00e9ho Filipem II. \u0160pan\u011blsk\u00fdm, aby napadl Anglii, sesadil kr\u00e1lovnu Al\u017eb\u011btu I. a obnovil katolicismus.<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory sv\u00e9 s\u00edle byla \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00e1 Armada pora\u017eena v Laman\u0161sk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu men\u0161\u00ed anglickou silou s pou\u017eit\u00edm hasi\u010dsk\u00fdch \u010dlun\u016f a lep\u0161\u00edho d\u011blost\u0159electva a pot\u00e9 byla z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zni\u010dena bou\u0159emi, kdy\u017e ustupovala kolem Skotska a Irska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tolik vychvalovan\u00e1 arm\u00e1da americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa m\u00e1 v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b stejn\u00e9 posl\u00e1n\u00ed jako \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da: usilovat o zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu s c\u00edlem svrhnout isl\u00e1msk\u00fd syst\u00e9m vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed, co\u017e odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nevysloven\u00e9 t\u00e9ma k\u0159\u00ed\u017eov\u00e9 v\u00fdpravy. Je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, \u017ee se zd\u00e1, \u017ee je i ona p\u0159edur\u010dena k podobn\u011b uboh\u00e9mu konci, a to i p\u0159es drtivou vojenskou p\u0159evahu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sir Alexander William Younger KCMGUS, b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f MI6, v pond\u011bl\u00ed v rozhovoru pro\u00a0<\/span>The Economist<\/span><\/em>\u00a0uvedl , \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n\u00a0v prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lce mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u201e\u00a0<\/span>z\u00edskal p\u0159evahu \u201c. Sir Alexander\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00cdr\u00e1n dokonce pochv\u00e1lil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

K tomuto \u201eposunu paradigmatu\u201c z nejv\u00fd\u0161e postaven\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda na druh\u00e9 m\u00edsto p\u0159isp\u011bl v\u00edce ne\u017e jeden faktor. \u0160patn\u00e9 pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed, nedostatek ucelen\u00e9 strategie a p\u0159ehnan\u00e1 d\u016fv\u011bra ve zd\u00e1nlivou vojenskou p\u0159evahu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, to v\u0161e sehr\u00e1lo roli v por\u00e1\u017ece \u00fatoku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, kter\u00fd oba agreso\u0159i zorganizovali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee jakkoli se to m\u016f\u017ee zd\u00e1t neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9, sotva 16 dn\u00ed po za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky americk\u00e9 s\u00edly ji\u017e vy\u010derpaly pozemn\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 st\u0159ely ATACMS\/PrSM a Izrael do konce b\u0159ezna spot\u0159ebuje v\u0161echny sv\u00e9 st\u00edhac\u00ed st\u0159ely Arrow.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kr\u00e1lovsk\u00fd institut spojen\u00fdch slu\u017eeb v Lond\u00fdn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>zve\u0159ejnil 24. b\u0159ezna expertn\u00ed anal\u00fdzu\/stanovisko,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v n\u011bm\u017e zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee v\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu prakticky vypr\u00e1zdnila invent\u00e1\u0159 \u201e\u00a0<\/span>nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch aktiv<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a Izraele bez vyhl\u00eddky na jejich obnovu v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti kv\u016fli k\u0159ehkosti americk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledky jsou drsn\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm, \u017ee jeliko\u017e se konflikt b\u011bhem prvn\u00edch 96 hodin \u201e\u00a0<\/span>zm\u011bnil v brut\u00e1ln\u00ed vyhlazovac\u00ed v\u00e1lku<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c, z\u00e1soby raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu a p\u0159esn\u00fdch \u00fadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed jsou t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 vy\u010derp\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel spole\u010dnosti Rheinmetall Armin Papperger 19. b\u0159ezna varoval, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1soby jsou \u201e\u00a0<\/span>pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 nebo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c a \u017ee pokud by v\u00e1lka pokra\u010dovala dal\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc, \u201e\u00a0<\/span>nebudeme m\u00edt k dispozici t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 rakety<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nci jist\u011b situaci pozorn\u011b sleduj\u00ed, a to vysv\u011btluje jejich provokativn\u00ed postoj, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>\u00cdr\u00e1n ukon\u010d\u00ed v\u00e1lku, a\u017e se rozhodne a a\u017e budou spln\u011bny jeho podm\u00ednky<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c. Teher\u00e1n varoval, \u017ee bude i nad\u00e1le zasazovat \u201e\u00a0<\/span>tvrd\u00e9 \u00fadery<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c po cel\u00e9m Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Zpr\u00e1vy v m\u00e9di\u00edch potvrzuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n znefunk\u010dnil americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v cel\u00e9m regionu. Kdyby se nejednalo o v\u00e1lku, bylo by d\u016fvodem k oslav\u011b, kdyby nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fd provokat\u00e9r byl pora\u017een men\u0161\u00edm protivn\u00edkem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech se \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed zv\u011bsti, a to navzdory pokus\u016fm administrativy o ututl\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>americk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu si vyb\u00edr\u00e1 st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed da\u0148 na americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b, s rostouc\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami, ub\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edmi z\u00e1sobami munice, letadlovou lod\u00ed odstavenou z provozu a \u0159adou sest\u0159elen\u00fdch letadel pouh\u00e9 t\u0159i t\u00fddny po za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu<\/span><\/em>\u00a0,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>citujeme\u00a0<\/span>The Hill<\/span><\/em><\/a>\u00a0, vlivn\u00e9 noviny, kter\u00e9 koluj\u00ed mezi \u010dleny americk\u00e9ho Kongresu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va dod\u00e1v\u00e1: \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Od za\u010d\u00e1tku americko-izraelsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Teher\u00e1nu bylo zabito nejm\u00e9n\u011b 13 americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a 232 dal\u0161\u00edch bylo zran\u011bno. Krom\u011b toho bylo zni\u010deno asi 16 americk\u00fdch letadel, letadlov\u00e1 lo\u010f USS Gerald R. Ford byla za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto m\u011bs\u00edce po\u0161kozena p\u0159i po\u017e\u00e1ru pr\u00e1delny a americk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m rychle doch\u00e1z\u00ed z\u00e1soby protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany a munice dlouh\u00e9ho doletu<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Koment\u00e1\u0159 zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fd agenturou RUSI nazna\u010duje, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n po\u0161kodil nejm\u00e9n\u011b tucet americk\u00fdch a spojeneck\u00fdch radar\u016f a satelitn\u00edch termin\u00e1l\u016f, co\u017e ovlivnilo \u00fa\u010dinnost zachycen\u00ed. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee pou\u017eit\u00ed 10 nebo 11 st\u00edhac\u00edch raket k zachycen\u00ed jedin\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rakety nebo 8 raket Patriot k sest\u0159elen\u00ed jedin\u00e9ho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho dronu se st\u00e1v\u00e1 neudr\u017eiteln\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Poukazuje na to, \u017ee americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je \u201e\u00a0<\/span>asi m\u011bs\u00edc, nebo m\u00e9n\u011b, od toho, aby j\u00ed do\u0161ly \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 st\u0159ely ATACMS\/PrSM a st\u00edhac\u00ed rakety THAAD. A Izrael je v je\u0161t\u011b nejist\u011bj\u0161\u00ed situaci, jeho st\u00edhac\u00ed rakety Arrow budou pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b do konce b\u0159ezna zcela vy\u010derp\u00e1ny<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

V praxi to znamen\u00e1 akceptovat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed riziko pro letadla a tolerovat v\u00edce \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raket a dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 po\u0161kozuj\u00ed americk\u00e9 a izraelsk\u00e9 s\u00edly a infrastrukturu. Drz\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na izraelsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 m\u011bsto Dimonu z tohoto t\u00fddne jsou toho pozoruhodn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00a0<\/span>Tato prek\u00e9rn\u00ed situace\u2026 by mohla vysv\u011btlovat, pro\u010d prezident Trump ji\u017e navrhuje ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky v \u00cdr\u00e1nu; nahrazen\u00ed toho, co bylo vynalo\u017eeno za pouh\u00fdch 16 dn\u00ed<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, bude trvat roky,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed se v koment\u00e1\u0159i. Vzhledem k omezen\u00edm americk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny \u201e\u00a0<\/span>bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b trvat nejm\u00e9n\u011b p\u011bt let, ne\u017e se dopln\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e 500 raket Tomahawk, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e byly b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky odp\u00e1leny<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00a0<\/span>Je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee dod\u00e1vky z\u00e1kladn\u00edch obrann\u00fdch miner\u00e1l\u016f, vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin a materi\u00e1l\u016f pro v\u00fdrobu zbran\u00ed a st\u0159eliva komplikuje \u010c\u00edna. \u010c\u00edna kontroluje v\u011bt\u0161inu sv\u011btov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob galia a germania a Peking od roku 2023 zavedl \u010detn\u00e9 kontroly v\u00fdvozu nerostn\u00fdch surovin, aby zabr\u00e1nil Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm a jejich spojenc\u016fm v z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto vstup\u016f nezbytn\u00fdch pro obrannou pr\u016fmyslovou z\u00e1kladnu<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00a0<\/span>Strategick\u00fdm d\u016fsledkem<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c toho v\u0161eho je, \u017ee pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed boje s \u00cdr\u00e1nem nejen zvy\u0161uj\u00ed riziko pro s\u00edly na boji\u0161ti, ale tak\u00e9 vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed rizika pro odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed a obranu jinde, jako je \u201e\u00a0<\/span>ochrana Tchaj-wanu a podpora Ukrajiny<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc, pokud Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty up\u0159ednostn\u00ed dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00edch z\u00e1sob, zpomal\u00ed to dod\u00e1vky ostatn\u00edm partner\u016fm. Spojenci ji\u017e vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed obavy, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na vlastn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed zpozd\u00ed dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed a st\u0159eliva, za kter\u00e9 ji\u017e zaplatily<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed velmoc \u0160pan\u011blska 16. stolet\u00ed se po por\u00e1\u017ece sv\u00e9 Armady rozpadla, zat\u00edmco Anglie brzy ovl\u00e1dla \u0159\u00ed\u0161i, nad kterou slunce nikdy nezapadalo. Opakuje se historie podobn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem i v na\u0161em transformuj\u00edc\u00edm se sv\u011bt\u011b?<\/span><\/p>\n

MK Bhadrakumar<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00e1lky jsou v\u017edy nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9. Nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem je jin\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, podobn\u00e1 t\u00e9, kter\u00e1 se v sou\u010dasnosti…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103313,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,1503,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103312"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103312"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103312\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103313"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103312"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103312"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103312"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}