{"id":103217,"date":"2026-03-30T00:11:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-29T22:11:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103217"},"modified":"2026-03-29T13:45:26","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T11:45:26","slug":"uriel-araujo-konec-dolaru-valka-s-iranem-tlaci-brics-a-globalni-jih-k-dedolarizaci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/30\/uriel-araujo-konec-dolaru-valka-s-iranem-tlaci-brics-a-globalni-jih-k-dedolarizaci\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Konec dolaru? V\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem tla\u010d\u00ed BRICS a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih k dedolarizaci"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem odhaluje limity moci USA, zem\u011b BRICS zrychluj\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed o obejit\u00ed dolaru. Vzestup BRICS Pay a indick\u00fd n\u00e1vrh CBDC signalizuj\u00ed posun sm\u011brem k finan\u010dn\u00ed multipolarit\u011b. Rostouc\u00ed geopolitick\u00e1 nestabilita p\u0159etv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed platebn\u00ed syst\u00e9my a slad\u011bn\u00ed m\u011bn.<\/span><\/i><\/div>\n
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Dlouho o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 eroze dominance dolaru je nyn\u00ed v pln\u00e9m proudu. Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj kolem BRICS Pay a n\u00e1vrh Indick\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed banky (RBI) na propojen\u00ed digit\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u011bn centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank (CBDC) nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d zem\u011bmi BRICS signalizuje rozhodn\u00fd posun sm\u011brem k finan\u010dn\u00ed multipolarit\u011b. Na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed je skute\u010dn\u011b pom\u011brn\u011b v\u00fdmluvn\u00e9: zat\u00edmco nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lka Washingtonu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu op\u011bt odhaluje nep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnost a destabilizuj\u00edc\u00ed d\u016fsledky nevyzpytateln\u00e9ho intervencionismu USA, hlavn\u00ed ekonomiky glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu se sna\u017e\u00ed zajistit proti dopad\u016fm, \u010d\u00edm\u017e urychluj\u00ed hled\u00e1n\u00ed alternativ k dominanci dolaru.<\/span><\/p>\n

BRICS Pay, syst\u00e9m ur\u010den\u00fd k usnadn\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159eshrani\u010dn\u00edch transakc\u00ed mimo infrastrukturu zalo\u017eenou na dolaru, by \u00fadajn\u011b mohl b\u00fdt v provozu ji\u017e letos. Odborn\u00edci zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed hybridn\u00ed architekturu kombinuj\u00edc\u00ed digit\u00e1ln\u00ed platformy, platby v m\u00edstn\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b clearingov\u00e9 mechanismy zalo\u017een\u00e9 na blockchainu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017en\u00e1 si vzpomeneme, \u017ee snahy o obejit\u00ed dolaru nejsou nov\u00e9. Od bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u011bnov\u00fdch swap\u016f a\u017e po expanzi Nov\u00e9 rozvojov\u00e9 banky, zem\u011b BRICS ti\u0161e buduj\u00ed alternativy ji\u017e l\u00e9ta, jak jsem ji\u017e zd\u016fraznil. Nyn\u00ed je ale rozd\u00edl v konvergenci technologick\u00e9 p\u0159ipravenosti a geopolitick\u00e9 nutnosti. V tomto ohledu vynik\u00e1 n\u00e1vrh Indie (RBI) na propojen\u00ed digit\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u011bn BRICS.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd syst\u00e9m by umo\u017enil rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00edm se ekonomik\u00e1m vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1vat obchody p\u0159\u00edmo ve vlastn\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se sn\u00ed\u017eily transak\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1klady, minimalizovala sm\u011bnn\u00e1 rizika a oslabila struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1vislost na dolaru. Pro Indii jsou v\u00fdhody jasn\u00e9: v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u011bnov\u00e1 autonomie a siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed role p\u0159i formov\u00e1n\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed architektury.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je pravda, \u017ee indick\u00e1 pozice v r\u00e1mci BRICS byla kritiky n\u011bkdy vykreslov\u00e1na jako v\u00e1hav\u00e1, ne-li ambivalentn\u00ed. Prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd konflikt toto vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed v jist\u00e9m smyslu zes\u00edlil: Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed se op\u011bt ocit\u00e1 v komplexn\u00ed s\u00edti vztah\u016f a balancuje mezi energetickou z\u00e1vislost\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1nu a ekonomick\u00fdmi vazbami na st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed anga\u017eovanost\u00ed se Z\u00e1padem. To v\u0161e v\u0161ak nepop\u00edr\u00e1 v\u00fdznam indick\u00e9ho n\u00e1vrhu digit\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u011bny. Naopak, na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed je o to zaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed rozpory v r\u00e1mci BRICS ohledn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, Z\u00e1pad je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b rozd\u011blen stejn\u011b, jak zd\u016fraz\u0148uje Oliver Stuenkel (vedouc\u00ed pracovn\u00edk Carnegieho nadace pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u00edr). NATO a G7 se pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s prezentac\u00ed jednotn\u00e9 fronty a odhaluj\u00ed trhliny, kter\u00e9 jsou z n\u011bjak\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu v diskurzu mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed \u010dasto p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017eeny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed Trumpovy administrativy zapojit se do izraelsk\u00e9 operace proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu m\u00e1 v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 sahaj\u00ed daleko za hranice Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu. Jde o obrovsk\u00fd strategick\u00fd omyl s glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi dopady, kter\u00e9 ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce, energetick\u00e9 trhy a politick\u00e9 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na v zem\u00edch glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu. Ekonomick\u00e9 dopady nejv\u00edce poci\u0165uj\u00ed rozvojov\u00e9 zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 se ji\u017e pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s infla\u010dn\u00edmi tlaky a volatilitou m\u011bn.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed celkov\u00e9ho kontextu, kter\u00fd stoj\u00ed za prosazov\u00e1n\u00edm alternativn\u00edch platebn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f. Je to tak\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 reakce na syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 zranitelnosti odhalen\u00e9 geopolitick\u00fdmi ot\u0159esy. Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee zem\u011b BRICS zrychluj\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed mechanism\u016f, kter\u00e9 se chr\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi naru\u0161en\u00edmi. Koncept digit\u00e1ln\u00edho clearingov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu pro m\u00edstn\u00ed m\u011bny, o kter\u00e9m se hodn\u011b diskutovalo, do t\u00e9to \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed strategie zapad\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Brazil\u0161t\u00ed analytici zd\u016fraznili, \u017ee syst\u00e9m BRICS Pay nem\u00e1 za c\u00edl p\u0159es noc nahradit dolar, ale v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b poskytnout \u017eivotaschopnou alternativu pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed platby. Toto rozli\u0161en\u00ed je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9: BRICS nen\u00ed ideologick\u00fdm ani protiz\u00e1padn\u00edm blokem, pragmatick\u00fdm c\u00edlem nen\u00ed n\u00e1hl\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e postupn\u00e1 diverzifikace. Umo\u017en\u011bn\u00edm transakc\u00ed v m\u00edstn\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch a integrac\u00ed digit\u00e1ln\u00edch platforem mohou zem\u011b BRICS postupn\u011b sni\u017eovat svou expozici v\u016f\u010di syst\u00e9m\u016fm zalo\u017een\u00fdm na dolaru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kritici tyto iniciativy \u010dasto odm\u00edtaj\u00ed jako p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed nebo technicky neprovediteln\u00e9. Takov\u00fd skepticismus se v\u0161ak st\u00e1le v\u00edce jev\u00ed jako zastaral\u00fd. Infrastruktury digit\u00e1ln\u00edch plateb se rychle rozv\u00edjej\u00ed a n\u011bkolik zem\u00ed BRICS ji\u017e pilotn\u011b testuje nebo zav\u00e1d\u00ed CBDC. Interoperabilita navr\u017een\u00e1 Indi\u00ed by tak mohla slou\u017eit jako chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nek a transformovat izolovan\u00e9 experimenty do soudr\u017en\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158e\u010deno bez obalu, dominance dolaru je dlouhodob\u011b udr\u017eov\u00e1na nejen ekonomick\u00fdmi fundamenty, ale tak\u00e9 geopolitick\u00fdm vlivem. Sank\u010dn\u00ed re\u017eimy, kontrola nad platebn\u00edmi s\u00edt\u011bmi a \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed postaven\u00ed americk\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch instituc\u00ed tuto pozici pos\u00edlily. Tyt\u00e9\u017e n\u00e1stroje v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed nut\u00ed zem\u011b hledat alternativy.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd konflikt tuto dynamiku dostate\u010dn\u011b jasn\u011b ilustruje: s eskalac\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed a politizac\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edch kan\u00e1l\u016f m\u00e1 tendenci r\u016fst motivace obch\u00e1zet tradi\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9my.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dalo by se \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee BRICS byla dosud p\u0159i p\u0159etv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed sv\u00fdch ambic\u00ed do konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch v\u00fdsledk\u016f pom\u011brn\u011b opatrn\u00e1. Svou roli sehr\u00e1ly vnit\u0159n\u00ed rozd\u00edly, logistick\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy a vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed tlaky. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace v\u0161ak nazna\u010duje posun: konvergence platebn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f BRICS, integrace CBDC a mechanism\u016f digit\u00e1ln\u00edho clearingu do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry nazna\u010duje koordinovan\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o p\u0159etvo\u0159en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

To neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee k dedolarizaci dojde p\u0159es noc. Dolar z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 hluboce zako\u0159en\u011bn v na\u0161em sv\u011btov\u00e9m \u0159\u00e1du, podporov\u00e1n, tak\u0159\u00edkaj\u00edc, likviditou a institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed setrva\u010dnost\u00ed. D\u016fv\u011bra se v\u0161ak naru\u0161uje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zintenziv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm geopolitick\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed a vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00edm ekonomick\u00fdch n\u00e1stroj\u016f jako zbran\u00ed Washington ne\u00famysln\u011b podporuje pr\u00e1v\u011b tu diverzifikaci, kter\u00e9 se sna\u017e\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit. Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, vzestup BRICS Pay a souvisej\u00edc\u00edch iniciativ potenci\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159edstavuje zlomov\u00fd bod. Zda to povede k plnohodnotn\u00e9mu alternativn\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu, nebo k fragmentovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu finan\u010dn\u00edmu \u0159\u00e1du, se teprve uvid\u00ed. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se \u00e9ra nezpochybniteln\u00e9 dominance dolaru bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci, spolu s americk\u00fdm unipol\u00e1rn\u00edm momentem \u2013 ironi\u00ed je, \u017ee k tomu v\u0161emu v\u00fdznamn\u011b p\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 Trump.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD. v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem odhaluje limity moci USA, zem\u011b BRICS zrychluj\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66480,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1161,4740,9336,38,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103217"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103217"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103217\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":103218,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103217\/revisions\/103218"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66480"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103217"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103217"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103217"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}