{"id":103212,"date":"2026-03-29T00:35:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T23:35:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103212"},"modified":"2026-03-28T18:03:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T17:03:08","slug":"premrstene-vydaje-na-munici-nedostatek-uspechu-iran-vitezi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/29\/premrstene-vydaje-na-munici-nedostatek-uspechu-iran-vitezi\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159emr\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 v\u00fddaje na munici + nedostatek \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f = \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Objevily se nov\u00e9 \u00fadaje t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se dostupnosti munice na obou stran\u00e1ch konfliktu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

List<\/a>\u00a0Washington\u00a0<\/span>Post<\/span><\/em>\u00a0(\u00a0archiv<\/a>\u00a0) uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee USA odp\u00e1lily na \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 850 \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el Tomahawk. Celkov\u00e1 dostupn\u00e1 z\u00e1soba t\u011bchto raket se pohybuje mezi 3 000 a 4 000 kusy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pou\u017eit\u00ed t\u011bchto zbran\u00ed dlouh\u00e9ho doletu je v\u0161ak omezeno i jin\u00fdmi zp\u016fsoby. Rakety jsou obvykle odpalov\u00e1ny z lod\u00ed americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed omezenou nosnost a\u017e 72 Tomahawk\u016f na lo\u010f. Jakmile jsou tyto kapacity vy\u010derp\u00e1ny, mus\u00ed lod\u011b opustit m\u00edsto \u010dinu, aby se znovu nalo\u017eily v p\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edstavu. (Dob\u00edjen\u00ed velk\u00fdch raket na mo\u0159i bylo testov\u00e1no, ale\u00a0<\/span>st\u00e1le je v ran\u00e9 f\u00e1zi<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.)<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 16 torp\u00e9doborc\u016f a ponorek, kter\u00e9 USA rozm\u00edstily v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, je nyn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inou t\u0159\u00eddy \u201eWinchester\u201c, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nejsou vybaveny raketami Tomahawk. Zat\u00edm v\u0161ak nemohou oblast opustit, proto\u017ee jejich schopnosti protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany jsou st\u00e1le pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 k zachycen\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raket.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rakety protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany tak\u00e9 doch\u00e1zej\u00ed, jak\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159ed t\u0159emi dny informoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0britsk\u00fd Kr\u00e1lovsk\u00fd institut spojen\u00fdch slu\u017eeb (RUSI) :<\/span><\/p>\n

Koalice spot\u0159ebovala p\u0159es tucet typ\u016f munice neudr\u017eiteln\u00fdm tempem. Ji\u017e 19. b\u0159ezna gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel spole\u010dnosti Rheinmetall Armin Papperger prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1soby jsou \u201epr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 nebo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9\u201c a \u017ee pokud by v\u00e1lka pokra\u010dovala dal\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc, \u201enebudou n\u00e1m zb\u00fdvat t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 rakety\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\u2026\u00a0<\/span>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n po\u0161kodil nejm\u00e9n\u011b tucet americk\u00fdch a spojeneck\u00fdch radar\u016f a satelitn\u00edch termin\u00e1l\u016f, efektivita z\u00e1chytn\u00fdch operac\u00ed kles\u00e1; pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed 10 nebo 11 z\u00e1chytn\u00fdch raket na raketu nebo 8 raket Patriot na dron se st\u00e1v\u00e1 neudr\u017eiteln\u00fdm.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da m\u00e1 zhruba m\u011bs\u00edc, nebo m\u00e9n\u011b, k tomu, aby j\u00ed do\u0161ly pozemn\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 st\u0159ely ATACMS\/PrSM a st\u00edhac\u00ed st\u0159ely THAAD. Izrael je v je\u0161t\u011b nejist\u011bj\u0161\u00ed situaci, proto\u017ee jeho st\u00edhac\u00ed st\u0159ely Arrow budou pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b do konce b\u0159ezna zcela vy\u010derp\u00e1ny. V\u00e1lka by sice mohla pokra\u010dovat s jin\u00fdmi typy munice, ale p\u0159edstavovalo by to v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed riziko pro letadla a umo\u017enilo by to dal\u0161\u00edm unikl\u00fdm st\u0159el\u00e1m a dron\u016fm po\u0161kodit voj\u00e1ky a infrastrukturu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdza poskytuje tabulky a z\u00e1kladn\u00ed informace o obt\u00ed\u017e\u00edch, kter\u00fdm odv\u011btv\u00ed \u010del\u00ed p\u0159i dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sob.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b rovnice jsou \u0161kody, kter\u00e9 americk\u00e1 kampa\u0148 zp\u016fsobila \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Bylo zasa\u017eeno p\u0159es 10 000 \u201ec\u00edl\u016f\u201c, ale hlavn\u00ed c\u00edl \u2013 zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch raket \u2013 je st\u00e1le\u00a0<\/span>zdaleka nedosa\u017eiteln\u00fd<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, a to navzdory tvrzen\u00edm prezidenta Trumpa .<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mohou s jistotou \u0159\u00edci pouze to, \u017ee zni\u010dily zhruba t\u0159etinu rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9ho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho raketov\u00e9ho arzen\u00e1lu, jeliko\u017e se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdro\u010d\u00ed v\u00e1lky USA a Izraele proti t\u00e9to zemi, uvedlo p\u011bt lid\u00ed obezn\u00e1men\u00fdch s americk\u00fdmi tajn\u00fdmi slu\u017ebami.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Stav zhruba dal\u0161\u00ed t\u0159etiny je m\u00e9n\u011b jasn\u00fd, ale bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b tyto rakety po\u0161kodilo, zni\u010dilo nebo zahrabalo v podzemn\u00edch tunelech a bunkrech, uvedly \u010dty\u0159i zdroje. Zdroje hovo\u0159ily pod podm\u00ednkou anonymity kv\u016fli citliv\u00e9 povaze informac\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Jeden ze zdroj\u016f uvedl, \u017ee utajovan\u00e9 informace se t\u00fdkaj\u00ed podobn\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed v oblasti dron\u016f, s ur\u010ditou m\u00edrou jistoty, \u017ee zhruba t\u0159etina z nich byla zni\u010dena.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Utajovan\u00e9 informace jsou v kontrastu s ve\u0159ejn\u00fdmi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi prezidenta Donalda Trumpa ze \u010dtvrtka, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u201ezb\u00fdv\u00e1 jen velmi m\u00e1lo raket\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s po\u010dtem \u00fatok\u016f za den m\u00e1 americko-izraelsk\u00e1 strana zna\u010dnou v\u00fdhodu. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b prov\u00e1d\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 300 bojov\u00fdch let\u016f denn\u011b, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 c\u00edle shazuje bomby a rakety. \u00cdr\u00e1n odpaluje zhruba 30 a\u017e 40 raket denn\u011b. Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou v\u0161ak je povaha t\u011bchto \u00fatok\u016f. Americko-izraelsk\u00e1 strana se od prvn\u00edho dne zam\u011b\u0159uje na civiln\u00ed infrastrukturu, jako jsou \u0161koly a l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e9 kliniky, zat\u00edmco \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana se zam\u011b\u0159uje na vojensk\u00e1 a vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americko-izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fadery zas\u00e1hly \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ocel\u00e1rny v Ch\u00fazist\u00e1nu a Mobarakehu pobl\u00ed\u017e Isfah\u00e1nu. \u00cdr\u00e1n ozn\u00e1mil, <\/span>\u017ee podnikne odvetn\u00e9 kroky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0proti podobn\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm v Izraeli a arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Tato schopnost odvety chr\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ed potenci\u00e1ln\u011b ni\u010div\u00fdmi \u00fatoky.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 pozice mu d\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdhodu v eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Redakto\u0159i \u00cdr\u00e1nu nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9ho\u00a0<\/span>den\u00edku Economist<\/span><\/em>\u00a0to uzn\u00e1vaj\u00ed, kdy\u017e\u00a0<\/span>nal\u00e9haj\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na USA (\u00a0<\/span>archivov\u00e1no<\/span><\/a>\u00a0), aby si uv\u011bdomily, \u017ee tuto v\u00e1lku nemohou vyhr\u00e1t:<\/span><\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, navzdory s\u00edle a sofistikovanosti vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku Ameriky a Izraele se \u00cdr\u00e1n c\u00edt\u00ed nad\u0159azen\u00fd prezidentu Trumpovi. Prok\u00e1zal svou schopnost zp\u016fsobovat i sn\u00e1\u0161et bolest efektivn\u011bji ne\u017e Amerika. Pan Trump zah\u00e1jil svou v\u00e1lku neomluviteln\u011b bez jak\u00e9hokoli strategick\u00e9ho opodstatn\u011bn\u00ed. Navzdory opera\u010dn\u00edm \u00fasp\u011bch\u016fm a absurdn\u00edmu tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee ji\u017e svrhl re\u017eim v Teher\u00e1nu, dosud z boj\u016f nedos\u00e1hl \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch podstatn\u00fdch zisk\u016f. S rostouc\u00edmi politick\u00fdmi n\u00e1klady se pan Trump dost\u00e1v\u00e1 pod st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed tlak.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Pan Trump mus\u00ed souhlasit s \u00fapln\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm a donutit Izrael, aby ho dodr\u017eoval. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed silnice a opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nem sv\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu budou extr\u00e9mn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1. A jak\u00e1koli dosa\u017een\u00e1 dohoda bude hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e to, na \u010dem se dalo dohodnout p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem v\u00e1lky, proto\u017ee pan Trump nev\u011bdomky pos\u00edlil zast\u00e1nce tvrd\u00e9 linie a odhalil jejich vliv na silnici. V\u00fdsledkem je, \u017ee alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm je v\u00fdhoda na stran\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Trump by si samoz\u0159ejm\u011b mohl zvolit alternativu a eskalovat v\u00e1lku. Vyhl\u00eddky na to ale nejsou o nic lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm spojenci USA trp\u00ed v\u00e1lkou, kterou USA zah\u00e1jily. Austr\u00e1lie je v obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b \u0161patn\u00e9 situaci. A\u010dkoli produkuje a vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed ropu, je z\u00e1visl\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>na dovozu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ropn\u00fdch produkt\u016f z Asie. Proto\u017ee ty ji\u017e nejsou k dispozici, mus\u00ed z\u00edsk\u00e1vat naftu a benz\u00edn z jin\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou p\u0159emr\u0161t\u011bn\u011b drah\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tranzitn\u00ed doby z americk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Mexick\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu do Austr\u00e1lie se prodlu\u017euj\u00ed na 55\u201360 dn\u00ed s n\u00e1klady na p\u0159epravu okolo 20 USD\/barel, ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s typick\u00fdmi trasami v asijsko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu, kter\u00e9 se p\u0159ed kriz\u00ed pohybovaly kolem 5\u20136 USD\/barel. Cenov\u00e1 dynamika region\u00e1ln\u00edch produkt\u016f tuto nev\u00fdhodu do\u010dasn\u011b maskovala: 18. b\u0159ezna se ceny benzinu a nafty dod\u00e1van\u00fdch ze Singapuru a Houstonu pohybovaly kolem 161 USD\/barel. Do 25. b\u0159ezna se singapursk\u00e9 z\u00e1silky op\u011bt jevily atraktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u2013 kolem 153 USD\/barel ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se 164 USD\/barel z Houstonu. Cena v\u0161ak ji\u017e nen\u00ed rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm faktorem. Probl\u00e9m se p\u0159esunul k fyzick\u00e9 dostupnosti. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee neprodan\u00fd n\u00e1klad je v Asii st\u00e1le vz\u00e1cn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, mohly by b\u00fdt USA \u2013 navzdory del\u0161\u00edm tras\u00e1m a vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1klad\u016fm na p\u0159epravu \u2013 pro Canberru jedinou spolehlivou cestou z t\u00e9to slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky v dovozu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1soby ropy se nad\u00e1le zmen\u0161uj\u00ed. Ceny benzinu a nafty v USA st\u00e1le rostou. \u010clov\u011bk se pt\u00e1, jak dlouho to bude trvat, ne\u017e Trump a USA zak\u00e1\u017eou ve\u0161ker\u00fd v\u00fdvoz ropn\u00fdch produkt\u016f. To bude okam\u017eik, kdy si Austr\u00e1lie uv\u011bdom\u00ed skute\u010dnou hodnotu sv\u00e9ho spojenectv\u00ed s USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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Objevily se nov\u00e9 \u00fadaje t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se dostupnosti munice na obou stran\u00e1ch konfliktu. List\u00a0Washington\u00a0Post\u00a0(\u00a0archiv\u00a0) uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103213,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,220,349,310,37,73],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103212"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103212"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103212\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103213"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}