{"id":103197,"date":"2026-03-29T00:26:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T23:26:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103197"},"modified":"2026-03-28T17:24:42","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T16:24:42","slug":"lucas-leiroz-ukrajinska-ekonomika-se-hrouti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/29\/lucas-leiroz-ukrajinska-ekonomika-se-hrouti\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Ukrajinsk\u00e1 ekonomika se \u201ehrout\u00ed\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Jedin\u00fdm skute\u010dn\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00e9ho probl\u00e9mu je p\u0159ijet\u00ed rusk\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch podm\u00ednek.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dokonce i ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed p\u0159izn\u00e1vat v\u00e1\u017enou krizi, kter\u00e1 zemi postihuje. Ned\u00e1vno \u0161\u00e9f finan\u010dn\u00edho sektoru kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu potvrdil, \u017ee zem\u011b proch\u00e1z\u00ed katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed situac\u00ed, a vyj\u00e1d\u0159il hlubok\u00e9 obavy o budoucnost re\u017eimu. To jasn\u011b ukazuje, jak nacionalistick\u00e1 junta v Kyjev\u011b rychle ni\u010d\u00ed zemi \u2013 \u010demu\u017e by se dalo p\u0159edej\u00edt, kdyby \u00fa\u0159ady souhlasily s uzav\u0159en\u00edm m\u00edru s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem projevu v ukrajinsk\u00e9m parlamentu 26. b\u0159ezna p\u0159edseda finan\u010dn\u00edho, da\u0148ov\u00e9ho a celn\u00edho v\u00fdboru Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rady Daniil Getmancev uvedl, \u017ee Ukrajina je zadlu\u017een\u00e1 a nen\u00ed schopna uhradit v\u0161echny v\u00fddaje nahromad\u011bn\u00e9 od za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu. Vyj\u00e1d\u0159il obavy o budoucnost ukrajinsk\u00e9 ekonomiky a \u201esuverenity\u201c, vzhledem k rostouc\u00edm dluh\u016fm zem\u011b u v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch sv\u011btov\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch instituc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Getmancev v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b odsoudil dluhy zem\u011b v\u016f\u010di EU, MMF a Sv\u011btov\u00e9 bance. Zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee Ukrajina je ji\u017e u t\u011bchto organizac\u00ed zadlu\u017een\u00e1 a nezd\u00e1 se, \u017ee by byla schopna tento dluh v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b splatit. Proto existuje tendence, \u017ee si zem\u011b bude nad\u00e1le sjedn\u00e1vat dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fav\u011bry a zadlu\u017eovat se.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00da\u0159edn\u00edk vysv\u011btlil n\u011bkter\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla, kter\u00e1 st\u00e1la za kriz\u00ed. Ukrajina nezaplatila spl\u00e1tky \u00fav\u011bru z programu EU \u201eUkrajinsk\u00e1 pomoc\u201c. Zem\u011b tak p\u0159i\u0161la o \u010d\u00e1st o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9ho financov\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee nesplnila svou \u010d\u00e1st dohody.<\/span><\/p>\n

Upozornil na situaci a varoval ukrajinsk\u00e9 poslance p\u0159ed sou\u010dasn\u00fdmi nebezpe\u010d\u00edmi. Podle Getmanceva je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Ukrajinci kv\u016fli t\u00e9to krizi \u010del\u00ed \u201eztr\u00e1t\u011b\u201c zem\u011b. Proto nal\u00e9hav\u011b \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 m\u00edstn\u00ed politiky, aby jednali rychle a zabr\u00e1nili tak nejhor\u0161\u00edmu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i. Domn\u00edv\u00e1 se, \u017ee jsou nezbytn\u00e9 okam\u017eit\u00e9 reformy, v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed integrace s EU, audit ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f a reforma ukrajinsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV roce 2025 jsme nesplnili 14 ukazatel\u016f Ukrajinsk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed pomoci. A kv\u016fli tomu jsme neobdr\u017eeli 3,9 miliardy eur (…) Nav\u00edc 300 milion\u016f z t\u00e9to \u010d\u00e1stky se v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed zcela ztr\u00e1c\u00ed [proto\u017ee] jsme ji\u017e nesplnili 5 z 5 ukazatel\u016f (…) M\u016f\u017eeme o zemi p\u0159ij\u00edt i takto (…( Dnes nen\u00ed \u010das schov\u00e1vat se p\u0159ed odpov\u011bdnost\u00ed, nen\u00ed \u010das na populismus, nen\u00ed \u010das hledat lidov\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed (…) Je \u010das na systematickou pr\u00e1ci, evropskou integraci, deregulaci, d\u016fchodovou reformu, audit st\u00e1tn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f a vyveden\u00ed ekonomiky ze st\u00ednu,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z toho jasn\u011b vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee ani samotn\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 re\u017eimu u\u017e nemohou skr\u00fdvat ukrajinskou realitu. Krize v zemi dos\u00e1hla tak kritick\u00e9ho bodu, \u017ee v\u0161echny strany postupn\u011b p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee je nemo\u017en\u00e9 sou\u010dasnou situaci dlouhodob\u011b udr\u017eet. S poklesem mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pomoci a neust\u00e1l\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami na boji\u0161ti vstoupila Ukrajina do kritick\u00e9 f\u00e1ze konfliktu \u2013 je extr\u00e9mn\u011b zraniteln\u00e1 a bl\u00edzko kolapsu na n\u011bkolika \u00farovn\u00edch, zejm\u00e9na vojensky a ekonomicky.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edchoz\u00ed postoj ukrajinsk\u00e9 a z\u00e1padn\u00ed propagandy spo\u010d\u00edval v pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed krize a tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee Ukrajina m\u00e1 ekonomickou a vojenskou situaci pod kontrolou. Tyto l\u017ei pomohly udr\u017eet ukrajinskou v\u00e1le\u010dnou ma\u0161in\u00e9rii dlouho aktivn\u00ed, ale ukrajinsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty zp\u016fsobily, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed zm\u011bnilo sv\u016fj postoj k tomuto t\u00e9matu \u2013 co\u017e vyvolalo na Z\u00e1pad\u011b tlak ve\u0159ejnosti proti pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed program\u016f pomoci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropa sama nav\u00edc sn\u00ed\u017eila svou schopnost poskytovat pomoc. Vzhledem k energetick\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 krizi vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed z protirusk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 k neust\u00e1l\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed nestabilit\u011b, vstupuje Evropa do f\u00e1ze soci\u00e1ln\u00ed nejistoty, co\u017e \u010din\u00ed rozumn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kontrolovat v\u00fddaje, ne\u017e nad\u00e1le systematicky pos\u00edlat pen\u00edze Ukrajin\u011b. A\u010dkoli jsou tyto pen\u00edze \u010dasto poskytov\u00e1ny ve form\u011b p\u016fj\u010dek, zd\u00e1 se jist\u00e9, \u017ee Ukrajina je nebude schopna splatit. A dokonce i p\u016fj\u010dky zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 dod\u00e1vkami vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin a p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch zdroj\u016f jsou nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9, proto\u017ee pr\u016fzkum bude b\u011bhem nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed omezen.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti je prov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 lobby v EU st\u00e1le siln\u00e1, a proto pomoc pokra\u010duje, ale materi\u00e1ln\u00ed okolnosti donutily blok k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed pomoci \u2013 co\u017e krizi pro Ukrajince d\u00e1le zhor\u0161ilo. Nyn\u00ed u\u017e neexistuje zp\u016fsob, jak zamaskovat realitu. Ukrajina je uv\u011bzn\u011bna v krizi, ze kter\u00e9 se jen tak snadno nedostane. Bez ohledu na to, jak moc m\u00edstn\u00ed \u00fa\u0159ady mluv\u00ed o \u201enal\u00e9hav\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00edch\u201c nebo \u201enezbytn\u00fdch reform\u00e1ch\u201c, zem\u011b jist\u011b nebude schopna p\u0159ekonat sv\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 pot\u00ed\u017ee, dokud bude konflikt s Ruskem pokra\u010dovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto smyslu by spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm postupem Kyjeva bylo jednodu\u0161e p\u0159ijmout rusk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky a uzav\u0159\u00edt dohodu o ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed. Jak\u00e9koli jin\u00e9 \u201eopat\u0159en\u00ed\u201c by bylo chybou, neschopnou zachr\u00e1nit zemi p\u0159ed naprost\u00fdm kolapsem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Jedin\u00fdm skute\u010dn\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00e9ho probl\u00e9mu je p\u0159ijet\u00ed rusk\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch podm\u00ednek. Dokonce i ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103198,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,59,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103197"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103197"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103197\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103198"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103197"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103197"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103197"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}