{"id":103092,"date":"2026-03-28T00:23:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T23:23:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103092"},"modified":"2026-03-28T03:53:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T02:53:52","slug":"larry-johnson-neprakticke-vojenske-cile-americke-armady-v-iranu-podrobna-analyza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/28\/larry-johnson-neprakticke-vojenske-cile-americke-armady-v-iranu-podrobna-analyza\/","title":{"rendered":"Larry Johnson: Nepraktick\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy v \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 podrobn\u00e1 anal\u00fdza"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru s b\u00fdval\u00fdm analytikem CIA a moder\u00e1torem po\u0159adu sonar21.com Larrym Johnsonem se autor zab\u00fdv\u00e1 vysoce nerealistick\u00fdmi a riskantn\u00edmi vojensk\u00fdmi pl\u00e1ny Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f v konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Johnson, zku\u0161en\u00fd expert na zpravodajsk\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti, ost\u0159e kritizuje rozpor mezi ofici\u00e1ln\u00edmi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi Washingtonu a drsnou vojenskou a geopolitickou realitou. Na z\u00e1klad\u011b sou\u010dasn\u00fdch pohyb\u016f vojsk, ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed a historick\u00fdch vzorc\u016f varuje p\u0159ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed katastrofou, kter\u00e1 by mohla postihnout nejen americk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly, ale celou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podcast s Danielem Davisem z form\u00e1tu \u201eDeep Dive\u201c se to\u010d\u00ed kolem ot\u00e1zky, zda se USA skute\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na pozemn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 nebo zda se jedn\u00e1 o sm\u011bs podvodu, vnitropolitick\u00fdch kalkul\u016f a strategick\u00fdch chyb. Johnson pl\u00e1ny krok za krokem rozeb\u00edr\u00e1 a ukazuje, pro\u010d jsou i omezen\u00e9 operace, jako je obsazen\u00ed ostrov\u016f v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, vojensky nepraktick\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Larry Johnson NEPRAKTICK\u00c9 OBJEKTIVY AMERICK\u00c9 VOJENSK\u00c9 FORMY v \u00cdR\u00c1NU\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/RMamThk86Cw?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zatajov\u00e1n\u00ed ztr\u00e1t a realita v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 konkr\u00e9tn\u00edmi d\u016fkazy o zatajen\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch USA. Je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed verze sest\u0159elen\u00ed tankeru KC-135 je \u201eneok\u00e1zal\u00e1 le\u017e\u201c: letadlo nebylo sest\u0159eleno sr\u00e1\u017ekou, ale \u00edr\u00e1nskou raketou. Podobnou skepsi vyjad\u0159uje i ohledn\u011b zpr\u00e1v o \u00fadajn\u00e9m sest\u0159elen\u00ed st\u00edha\u010dky americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva F-18 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami (IRGC). Zat\u00edmco americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed (CENTCOM) to pop\u00edr\u00e1, Johnson tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee lhan\u00ed je za v\u00e1lky b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 \u2013 zejm\u00e9na kdy\u017e pilot katapultoval nad \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm a prob\u00edh\u00e1 z\u00e1chrann\u00e1 mise.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je\u0161t\u011b pozoruhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je p\u0159\u00edpad letadlov\u00e9 lodi USS Gerald R. Ford. Ofici\u00e1ln\u011b \u201epo\u017e\u00e1r pr\u00e1delny\u201c vy\u0159adil lo\u010f z provozu na v\u00edce ne\u017e rok. Johnson to pova\u017euje za absurdn\u00ed: oby\u010dejn\u00fd po\u017e\u00e1r pr\u00e1delny by sotva mohl zni\u010dit ocelov\u00e9 konstrukce na hodiny a zp\u016fsobit 30hodinov\u00e9 peklo. Fotografie ukazovaly vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed po\u0161kozen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 sp\u00ed\u0161e nazna\u010dovalo z\u00e1sah raketou nebo dronem. Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed uv\u00e1d\u00ed incident na USS Forrestal v roce 1967, kde nehoda s munic\u00ed zu\u0159ila 19 hodin \u2013 v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00fadajn\u011b trvala o 11 hodin d\u00e9le. Vl\u00e1da prost\u011b nechce p\u0159iznat po\u0161kozen\u00ed zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 bojem, aby se vyhnula uzn\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00ed slabosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed jako fas\u00e1da \u2013 \u00cdr\u00e1n diktuje podm\u00ednky<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory v\u0161em ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm sign\u00e1l\u016fm z B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu \u2013 od \u201epatn\u00e1ctibodov\u00e9ho m\u00edrov\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu\u201c a\u017e po \u00fadajn\u00e9 p\u011btidenn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed \u2013 Johnson nevid\u00ed ze strany \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u017e\u00e1dnou skute\u010dnou ochotu vyjedn\u00e1vat. Teher\u00e1n ji\u017e dvakr\u00e1t souhlasil s jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi a n\u00e1sledn\u011b byl napaden. Panuje naprost\u00fd nedostatek d\u016fv\u011bry. \u00cdr\u00e1n nyn\u00ed vzn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed po\u017eadavky a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee je USA spln\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e rozhovory v\u016fbec za\u010dnou. Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b mluv\u010d\u00edho IRGC, v\u016fbec nezn\u00ed jako kapitulace, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e jako sebev\u011bdom\u00ed: \u201eUSA vyjedn\u00e1vaj\u00ed samy se sebou.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson tak\u00e9 odhalil manipulativn\u00ed prvek: Trumpova optimistick\u00e1 ozn\u00e1men\u00ed v pond\u011bl\u00ed stla\u010dila ceny ropy dol\u016f a podpo\u0159ila v\u00fdkonnost akciov\u00e9ho trhu \u2013 z\u0159ejm\u011b se jednalo o dohodu zasv\u011bcen\u00fdch osob, o n\u00ed\u017e byli obchodn\u00edci z Wall Street p\u0159edem informov\u00e1ni. Ve skute\u010dnosti masivn\u00ed leteck\u00e9 p\u0159epravy pro nasazen\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00edch jednotek za\u010daly ji\u017e 12. b\u0159ezna. Tvrdil, \u017ee to nen\u00ed v souladu se skute\u010dn\u00fdm m\u00edrov\u00fdm \u00fasil\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Masivn\u00ed p\u0159esuny vojsk \u2013 p\u0159\u00edprava na dob\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed ostrov\u016f?<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson podrobn\u011b analyzuje pohyby pozorovan\u00e9 od 12. b\u0159ezna: V\u00edce ne\u017e 35 transportn\u00edch let\u016f C-17 z americk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen (leti\u0161t\u011b Hunter Army, spole\u010dn\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna Lewis-McChord, Fort Bragg, Oceana, Fort Campbell) do z\u00e1kladen v Jord\u00e1nsku a Izraeli. Zapojeny jsou elitn\u00ed jednotky jako 75. regiment Ranger\u016f, Delta Force, SEAL Team 6, 82. v\u00fdsadkov\u00fd pluk a prvky 160. pluku speci\u00e1ln\u00edch operac\u00ed (Night Stalkers). Krom\u011b toho se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee koncem b\u0159ezna doraz\u00ed dv\u011b expedi\u010dn\u00ed jednotky n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty (31. a 11. MEU).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 c\u00edle: ostrov Charg (v severn\u00edm Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, hlavn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ropn\u00fd termin\u00e1l, kter\u00fd odbavuje 90 % jeho exportu) a ostrov Ke\u0161m (v neju\u017e\u0161\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu). Johnson varuje: Nejedn\u00e1 se o \u201ejednoduchou operaci p\u0159eskakov\u00e1n\u00ed mezi ostrovy\u201c. Charg je rovinat\u00fd a exponovan\u00fd ostrov, v Ke\u0161mu \u017eije p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 150 000 \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f. Hrstka americk\u00fdch mari\u0148\u00e1k\u016f nebo Rangers (realisticky pouze 800\u20131 000 skute\u010dn\u00fdch bojov\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f na MEU) by \u010delila drtiv\u00e9 p\u0159esile. \u00cdr\u00e1n region posiluje ji\u017e l\u00e9ta \u2013 minami, drony, ponorkami, rychl\u00fdmi \u010dluny a pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edmi raketami.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dokonce i gener\u00e1l Keith Kellogg (b\u00fdval\u00fd Trump\u016fv poradce) a Lindsey Graham tuto my\u0161lenku prosazovali s odkazem na \u201e\u0159\u00edmsk\u00e9 legie\u201c a oboj\u017eiveln\u00e9 jednotky rychl\u00e9 reakce. Johnson su\u0161e kontruje: Lod\u011b by se musely p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eit na n\u011bkolik mil k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed \u2013 fungovaly by jako \u201esed\u00edc\u00ed kachny\u201c pro \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky. Obsazen\u00ed lod\u00ed by nejen otev\u0159elo Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, ale zcela by ho uzav\u0159elo: \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e nyn\u00ed hroz\u00ed zaminov\u00e1n\u00edm cel\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Nav\u00edc plavidla nejsou ur\u010dena k dlouhodob\u00e9 okupaci \u2013 z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed trasy by nebyly bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 a civilist\u00e9 by se mohli st\u00e1t PR katastrofou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson poukazuje na sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed v\u00fdcvik CIA: Co se na pap\u00ed\u0159e zd\u00e1 provediteln\u00e9, v praxi selh\u00e1v\u00e1 kv\u016fli ter\u00e9nu, po\u010das\u00ed, logistice a lidsk\u00e9 odolnosti. 800 mari\u0148\u00e1k\u016f proti ozbrojen\u00e9 populaci des\u00edtek tis\u00edc? Kon\u010d\u00ed to jako Custerova mise \u2013 jen modern\u011bji, s drony a raketami.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Historick\u00fd kontext: USA jako agresor<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson vyvrac\u00ed tvrzen\u00ed o \u201e47 letech \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 agrese\u201c. USA ve skute\u010dnosti povzbuzovaly Sadd\u00e1ma Husajna k \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n v roce 1980, dod\u00e1valy chemick\u00e9 zbran\u011b a sd\u00edlely zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace \u2013 co\u017e m\u011blo za n\u00e1sledek stovky tis\u00edc \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch ob\u011bt\u00ed. Pozd\u011bji USA vyzbrojily teroristickou skupinu MEK (Mud\u017eahed\u00edni chalk) a pou\u017eily ji k prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed \u00fatok\u016f v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Skute\u010dn\u00fdmi \u201emonstry\u201c v regionu nejsou Teher\u00e1n, ale Washington.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ekonomick\u00e9 a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato operace by m\u011bla katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1sledky. \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e t\u011b\u017e\u00ed v\u00edce ropy (1,5 milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b m\u00edsto 1,1 milionu) a prod\u00e1v\u00e1 ji za vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cenu (97 dolar\u016f m\u00edsto 47 dolar\u016f). Uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu by vyhnalo ceny ropy na 150\u2013200 dolar\u016f, zdvojn\u00e1sobilo ceny benzinu v USA a spustilo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed depresi. Dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce h\u00e9lia, kyseliny s\u00edrov\u00e9 a hnojiv by se zhroutily. \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e oznamuje pl\u00e1ny na p\u0159epracov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159edpis\u016f pro p\u0159epravu a \u00fa\u010dtov\u00e1n\u00ed tranzitn\u00edch poplatk\u016f v juanech \u2013 co\u017e by byla r\u00e1na pro petrodolar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dokonce i brit\u0161t\u00ed experti (b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f MI6 a b\u00fdval\u00fd ministr obrany) nyn\u00ed hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201enevyhrateln\u00e9 v\u00e1lce\u201c. Johnson vid\u00ed Trumpa v pasti: naslouchal izraelsk\u00fdm rad\u00e1m a nyn\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee pouze eskalovat. Pokud se to nepoda\u0159\u00ed, budou se hledat ob\u011btn\u00ed ber\u00e1nci, jako je Tulsi Gabbardov\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br: Vojensk\u00e1 kr\u00e1tkozrakost a strategick\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Larry Johnson vykresluje jasn\u00fd obr\u00e1zek: Americk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny jsou nejen nepraktick\u00e9, ale i sebevra\u017eedn\u00e9. Elitn\u00ed jednotky bez adekv\u00e1tn\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed, nedostate\u010dn\u00e1 logistika, podcen\u011bn\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 obrana a ignorovan\u00e9 ponau\u010den\u00ed z Ukrajiny a Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu: Drony a asymetrick\u00e1 v\u00e1lka \u010din\u00ed konven\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159evahu bezcennou. M\u00edsto zm\u011bny re\u017eimu nebo kontroly nad ropou se r\u00fdsuje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 katastrofa \u2013 spolu se ztr\u00e1tou ve\u0161ker\u00e9 zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnosti, kterou by USA jako vojensk\u00e1 mocnost mohly m\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson uzav\u00edr\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00edm: Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo pl\u00e1nuje takov\u00e9 operace bez pochopen\u00ed lidsk\u00e9, logistick\u00e9 a geopolitick\u00e9 reality, opakuje chyby minul\u00fdch v\u00e1lek \u2013 tentokr\u00e1t je v\u0161ak v s\u00e1zce v\u00edce pro cel\u00fd sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d. Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed dny uk\u00e1\u017eou, zda zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed rozum, nebo arogance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru s b\u00fdval\u00fdm analytikem CIA a moder\u00e1torem po\u0159adu sonar21.com Larrym Johnsonem se autor&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103093,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,80,38,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103092"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103092"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103092\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103092"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103092"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103092"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}