{"id":103039,"date":"2026-03-27T00:23:13","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T23:23:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103039"},"modified":"2026-03-26T12:32:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T11:32:52","slug":"rainer-rupp-iran-a-izrael-vypalily-varovne-vystrely-na-jaderne-elektrarny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/27\/rainer-rupp-iran-a-izrael-vypalily-varovne-vystrely-na-jaderne-elektrarny\/","title":{"rendered":"Rainer Rupp: \u00cdr\u00e1n a Izrael vyp\u00e1lily varovn\u00e9 v\u00fdst\u0159ely na jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Minul\u00e9 pond\u011bl\u00ed Trump prodlou\u017eil ultim\u00e1tum na zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 civiln\u00ed infrastruktury o t\u0159i dny, do st\u0159edy. \u00cdr\u00e1n se odm\u00edt\u00e1 nechat zastra\u0161it a hroz\u00ed odvetn\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi proti st\u00e1t\u016fm Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a Izraeli. Trumpovy \u201efale\u0161n\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy\u201c o \u00fadajn\u00e9 kapitulaci \u00cdr\u00e1nu pramen\u00ed z jeho zbo\u017en\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Eskalace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b dos\u00e1hla nov\u00e9 a nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b v d\u016fsledku vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdch varovn\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny. B\u011bhem hlavn\u00ed f\u00e1ze sv\u00e9 brut\u00e1ln\u00ed, nevyprovokovan\u00e9 a nez\u00e1konn\u00e9 agresivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky se USA a Izraeli, navzdory masivn\u00edmu nasazen\u00ed zbran\u00ed, nepoda\u0159ilo \u00cdr\u00e1nu zp\u016fsobit rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed vojenskou por\u00e1\u017eku. Nyn\u00ed z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vy\u010derpaly sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby protiletadlov\u00fdch raket, a to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm proto, \u017ee jejich d\u0159\u00edve obdivovan\u00e9 a drah\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 syst\u00e9my se uk\u00e1zaly jako t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zcela nepou\u017eiteln\u00e9 proti nov\u00fdm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm raket\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee nap\u0159\u00edklad bylo k zachycen\u00ed p\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rakety nasazeno a\u017e sedm extr\u00e9mn\u011b drah\u00fdch americk\u00fdch raket Patriot (ka\u017ed\u00e1 v cen\u011b 3 a\u017e 4 miliony dolar\u016f), ale selhaly, v\u00fdznamn\u011b p\u0159isp\u011bla k rychl\u00e9mu vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sob protiraketov\u00fdch st\u0159el. V zoufal\u00e9m aktu USA dokonce narychlo p\u0159esunuly sv\u00e9 baterie Patriot um\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 v Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreji na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod. I to se v\u0161ak uk\u00e1zalo jako ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a Izraelci nyn\u00ed mus\u00ed z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti jen ne\u010dinn\u011b p\u0159ihl\u00ed\u017eet, jak \u00cdr\u00e1n postupn\u011b, ale systematicky ni\u010d\u00ed sv\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u2013 izraelsk\u00e1 uvnit\u0159 sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch hranic a americk\u00e1 po cel\u00e9m Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 rezervy a v\u00fdrobn\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed jsou ukryty hluboko pod skalami v rozlehl\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch jeskyn\u00edch, upraven\u00fdch pro praktick\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dely, nez\u016fstaly t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nadzemn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle, kter\u00e9 by ji\u017e nebyly bombardov\u00e1ny. Vzhledem k nedostatku hodnotn\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f nyn\u00ed tsoamerick\u00fd zlo\u010dineck\u00fd gang hroz\u00ed zni\u010den\u00edm \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 civiln\u00ed infrastruktury. \u00cdr\u00e1n zareaguje jako d\u0159\u00edve: \u201eOko za oko. Hlava za hlavu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny v centru pozornosti<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny Izrael zah\u00e1jil raketov\u00fd \u00fatok, jeho\u017e projektil dopadl pouh\u00fdch 350 metr\u016f od reaktoru v \u00edr\u00e1nsko-rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rn\u011b B\u00fa\u0161ehr, kde pracuj\u00ed tak\u00e9 stovky rusk\u00fdch technik\u016f a v\u011bdc\u016f. \u00dader je interpretov\u00e1n jako posledn\u00ed \u201evarovn\u00fd v\u00fdst\u0159el\u201c Izraele. B\u00fa\u0161ehr nen\u00ed jen jednou z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren, ale jako spole\u010dn\u00fd projekt s Ruskem m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 zna\u010dn\u00fd symbolick\u00fd v\u00fdznam. I Rusko reagovalo na hrozbu pro sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany v B\u00fa\u0161ehru: Velvyslanec dareb\u00e1ck\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu Izrael byl p\u0159edvol\u00e1n na ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed v Moskv\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 reakce na izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky byla rychl\u00e1: \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rakety zas\u00e1hly jihoizraelsk\u00e9 pou\u0161tn\u00ed m\u011bsto Dimona. Toto m\u011bsto je domovem izraelsk\u00fdch technik\u016f a v\u011bdc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed pracuj\u00ed v izraelsk\u00e9m komplexu jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a elektr\u00e1ren, kter\u00fd se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v t\u011bsn\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti Dimony. Ve stejn\u00fd den zp\u016fsobily dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky na Tel Aviv rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 \u0161kody. D\u016fvodem je, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji nasazuje nov\u00fd typ hypersonick\u00e9 st\u0159ely s v\u00edce hlavicemi. Tato st\u0159ela Khorramshahr-4 m\u016f\u017ee n\u00e9st bu\u010f supert\u011b\u017ekou hlavici o hmotnosti 1 800 kilogram\u016f, nebo submunici obsahuj\u00edc\u00ed a\u017e 80 jednotliv\u00fdch bomb, z nich\u017e ka\u017ed\u00e1 m\u00e1 2 kilogramy v\u00fdbu\u0161niny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ka\u017ed\u00e1 z t\u011bchto jednotliv\u00fdch kazetov\u00fdch bomb, kter\u00e9 dopadaj\u00ed vysokou rychlost\u00ed, m\u00e1 podle odborn\u00edk\u016f explozivn\u00ed s\u00edlu t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9ho d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9ho gran\u00e1tu. Po op\u011btovn\u00e9m vstupu do zemsk\u00e9 atmosf\u00e9ry st\u0159ela uvoln\u00ed submunici a projektily se pot\u00e9 rozpt\u00fdlen\u011b a nez\u00e1visle pohybuj\u00ed sm\u011brem k c\u00edlov\u00e9 oblasti, kterou pak \u2013 alespo\u0148 na povrchu \u2013 zcela zni\u010d\u00ed. D\u016fsledek pou\u017eit\u00ed t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 zbran\u011b, proti kter\u00e9 se Izrael ani USA nemohou br\u00e1nit, lze ob\u010das vid\u011bt na vide\u00edch, kter\u00e1 jsou nat\u00e1\u010dena a \u201epa\u0161ov\u00e1na\u201c ze zem\u011b navzdory hrozb\u011b p\u0159\u00edsn\u00fdch trest\u016f ze strany izraelsk\u00e9 cenzury. Tato videa ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 \u010dtvrti Tel Avivu a dal\u0161\u00edch posti\u017een\u00fdch izraelsk\u00fdch m\u011bst nyn\u00ed p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00ed Gazu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e1 a izraelsk\u00e1 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana je prakticky k ni\u010demu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle zpr\u00e1v\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">CNN<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0se americko-izraelsk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany uk\u00e1zaly jako z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9. To potvrdil v rozhovoru na YouTube i Ted Postol, emeritn\u00ed profesor MIT, zn\u00e1m\u00fd na V\u00fdchod\u011b i Z\u00e1pad\u011b jako expert na rakety.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ka\u017ed\u00fd se m\u016f\u017ee na vlastn\u00ed o\u010di p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit o ne\u00fa\u010dinnosti izraelsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu protiraketov\u00e9 obrany shl\u00e9dnut\u00edm n\u00ed\u017ee odkazovan\u00fdch vide\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">CNN<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Siln\u00e9 exploze zobrazen\u00e9 na t\u011bchto vide\u00edch v Izraeli jsou obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed pro zast\u00e1nce americko-izraelsk\u00e9, nevyprovokovan\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">(Zobrazuje n\u011bkolik \u00fatok\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b \u00fatok\u016f na Tel Aviv a jih zem\u011b, s obr\u00e1zky exploz\u00ed a \u0161kod):<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">\u2192\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/03\/22\/world\/video\/iran-war-israel-tel-aviv-arad-dimona-strikes-vrtc-digvid\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/03\/22\/world\/video\/iran-war-israel-tel-aviv-arad-dimona-strikes-vrtc-digvid<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b ukazuje dopad v Dimon\u011b\/Aradu pomoc\u00ed\u00a0z\u00e1b\u011br\u016f ze soci\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed a\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">CNN<\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">: \u2192\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/03\/21\/world\/video\/dimona-israel-strike-digvid\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/03\/21\/world\/video\/dimona-israel-strike-digvid<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Ukazuje raketu, kter\u00e1 shazuje men\u0161\u00ed kazetov\u00e9 bomby nad Izraelem\/Z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehem Jord\u00e1nu: \u2192 https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=p4OvXsQK8IA<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Trump\u016fv absurdn\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd tanec<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V t\u00e9to napjat\u00e9 situaci americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump minulou sobotu ve\u010der provedl dal\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1hlou zm\u011bnu kurzu. Jen den p\u0159edt\u00edm Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv ozna\u010dil za irelevantn\u00ed. Zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee USA Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv nepot\u0159ebuj\u00ed, ale \u017ee na n\u011bm z\u00e1vis\u00ed Evropan\u00e9 a \u010c\u00edna, a proto by se m\u011bli postarat o jeho odblokov\u00e1n\u00ed. Hned n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed den v\u0161ak \u00cdr\u00e1nu vydal 48hodinov\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum: pokud nebude pr\u016fliv okam\u017eit\u011b a bez ohro\u017een\u00ed pln\u011b otev\u0159en, USA za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny a zcela je \u201ezni\u010d\u00ed\u201c. Trump t\u00edm v\u00fdslovn\u011b pohrozil zni\u010den\u00edm civiln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 infrastruktury, co\u017e je v\u00fdslovn\u011b uvedeno jako v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd zlo\u010din.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mluv\u010d\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho velitelstv\u00ed Chat\u00e1m al-Anb\u00edja (\u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9 opera\u010dn\u00ed velen\u00ed v\u0161ech \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil) reagoval okam\u017eit\u011b a vehementn\u011b. Pokud by USA za\u00fato\u010dily na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nebo elektr\u00e1rny, \u00cdr\u00e1n by okam\u017eit\u011b podnikl odvetn\u00e9 kroky a zni\u010dil ve\u0161kerou \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eitou civiln\u00ed infrastrukturu pat\u0159\u00edc\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u016fm a jejich spojenc\u016fm v cel\u00e9m regionu (v\u010detn\u011b Izraele). Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b byly zm\u00edn\u011bny elektr\u00e1rny, IT infrastruktura a zejm\u00e9na odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na cel\u00e9m Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Pro prakticky v\u0161echny st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu je tato hrozba existen\u010dn\u00ed, proto\u017ee jejich fyzick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed z\u00e1vis\u00ed na funguj\u00edc\u00edch odsolovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edch, kter\u00e1 produkuj\u00ed dostatek pitn\u00e9 vody. Selh\u00e1n\u00ed by bylo katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco bez elekt\u0159iny lze p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt t\u00fddny, bez vody se ned\u00e1 p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump se zjevn\u011b kone\u010dn\u011b zarazil a v ned\u011bli prodlou\u017eil sv\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum, kter\u00e9 m\u011blo vypr\u0161et v pond\u011bl\u00ed, o dal\u0161\u00edch p\u011bt dn\u00ed. Lze jen spekulovat, pro\u010d to ud\u011blal. Ovlivnil Trumpovo rozhodnut\u00ed tlak ze st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu nebo ze strany americk\u00fdch podnikatel\u016f s aktivy v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b oboj\u00ed? Nebo je to sou\u010d\u00e1st Trumpova zn\u00e1m\u00e9ho modus operandi, kter\u00fd si tento padouch osvojil b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho p\u016fsoben\u00ed jako mafi\u00e1nsk\u00fd realitn\u00ed magn\u00e1t v New Yorku? Rich Privorotsky, vedouc\u00ed odd\u011blen\u00ed americk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed instituce Goldman Sachs, v dopise klient\u016fm p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 to druh\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pod n\u00e1zvem \u201eEskalace za \u00fa\u010delem deeskalace?\u201c poukazuje na to, \u017ee Trumpovo chov\u00e1n\u00ed v posledn\u00edch 72 hodin\u00e1ch se \u0159\u00eddilo zn\u00e1m\u00fdm vzorcem. Minul\u00fd p\u00e1tek zvolil sm\u00ed\u0159liv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed t\u00f3n, jen aby v sobotu eskaloval v extr\u00e9mn\u00ed ultim\u00e1tum. V pond\u011bl\u00ed pak nazna\u010dil ochotu ustoupit v nad\u011bji, \u017ee vyu\u017eije t\u00e9to n\u00e1hl\u00e9 p\u00e1ky k dosa\u017een\u00ed \u00fastupku z druh\u00e9 strany, kter\u00fd by pak mohl ozna\u010dit za sv\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Trump pou\u017eil stejn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159i jedn\u00e1n\u00edch se Severn\u00ed Koreou v letech 2017\/2018 a stejn\u00fd vzorec sleduje i u cel: eskalovat, pak stanovit term\u00edn a pak nab\u00eddnout \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Probl\u00e9m je podle z\u00e1stupce Goldman Sachs v tom, \u017ee tento p\u0159\u00edstup nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt v jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd. \u00cdr\u00e1n si pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ji\u017e tento vzorec uv\u011bdomil a nebude d\u011blat snadn\u00e9 \u00fastupky. Decentralizovan\u00e1 struktura \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard (IRGC) struktur\u00e1ln\u011b zt\u011b\u017euje jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Z\u00e1pad a ostatn\u00ed st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu nav\u00edc neakceptuj\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu sil, pokud si \u00cdr\u00e1n udr\u017e\u00ed de facto kontrolu nad tranzitem p\u0159es Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, argumentoval Privorotskij.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Spir\u00e1la eskalace pokra\u010dovala<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sotva Trump v pond\u011bl\u00ed prodlou\u017eil sv\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum na 5 dn\u00ed a prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee b\u011bhem t\u00e9to doby neza\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, americk\u00e9 a izraelsk\u00e9 rakety znovu za\u00fato\u010dily na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad kompresorovou a distribu\u010dn\u00ed stanici plynovodu pobl\u00ed\u017e Isfah\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se objevuj\u00ed d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee prvky 82. americk\u00e9 v\u00fdsadkov\u00e9 divize, jednotky speci\u00e1ln\u00edch sil, dorazily na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod n\u00e1kladn\u00edmi lety ze sv\u00e9 americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny ve Fort Bragg. Dlouhodob\u011b tabuizovan\u00e1 diskuse o pozemn\u00edch jednotk\u00e1ch v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, nebo vlastn\u011b na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b obecn\u011b, se n\u00e1hle zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt zp\u011bt na stole. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee lod\u011b brig\u00e1dy americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva jsou tak\u00e9 definitivn\u011b na cest\u011b do Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, aby zah\u00e1jily vysoce rizikovou operaci: obsadily \u00faseky Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 stran\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mezit\u00edm m\u00e1 b\u00fdt po\u0161kozen\u00e1 americk\u00e1 letadlov\u00e1 lo\u010f Gerald R. Ford, kter\u00e1 se v sou\u010dasnosti kulh\u00e1 dom\u016f, nahrazena lod\u00ed pojmenovanou po George H.W. Bushovi. Jej\u00ed pr\u016fplav Rud\u00fdm mo\u0159em v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude jednoduch\u00fd, jeliko\u017e jemen\u0161t\u00ed rebelov\u00e9 H\u00fat\u00edov\u00e9 nyn\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u011b vyhl\u00e1sili v\u00e1lku USA a postavili se na stranu \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Ozn\u00e1mili sv\u016fj z\u00e1m\u011br za\u00fato\u010dit na americk\u00e9 lod\u011b v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i: \u201eTato v\u00e1lka je v\u00e1lkou cel\u00e9 muslimsk\u00e9 ummy (celosv\u011btov\u00e9ho spole\u010denstv\u00ed v\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00edch),\u201c prohl\u00e1sili.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Situace je velmi nestabiln\u00ed. Trump je pod obrovsk\u00fdm tlakem ze v\u0161ech stran. Myslel si, \u017ee po dni bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu m\u016f\u017ee vyhl\u00e1sit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed a po Venezuele se znovu oslavovat jako m\u00edrotvorce. Po s\u00e9rii PR katastrof a masivn\u00edch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch \u0161kod v Izraeli a nezn\u00e1m\u00e9m, ale jist\u011b stovk\u00e1ch izraelsk\u00fdch mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch pot\u0159ebuje \u00fasp\u011bch nal\u00e9hav\u011bji ne\u017e kdy jindy. Americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da v\u0161ak st\u00e1le t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed nach\u00e1z\u00ed v \u00cdr\u00e1nu smyslupln\u00e9 c\u00edle. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da m\u00e1 sv\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed dob\u0159e ukryt\u00e1. Pronik\u00e1n\u00ed hluboko do vnitrozem\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu se st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le riskantn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm \u2013 zejm\u00e9na s t\u00edm, jak se zvy\u0161uj\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy o sest\u0159elen\u00fdch americk\u00fdch letadlech (dokonce i o \u201eneporaziteln\u00e9m\u201c F-35).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trumpovi tak zb\u00fdvaj\u00ed pouze spektakul\u00e1rn\u00ed civiln\u00ed c\u00edle, jako jsou elektr\u00e1rny. Takov\u00e9 \u00fatoky by byly jasn\u011b viditeln\u00e9 na satelitn\u00edch sn\u00edmc\u00edch a vygenerovaly by titulky novin. Vojensky by v\u0161ak dos\u00e1hly jen mal\u00e9ho. Odborn\u00edci zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 je extr\u00e9mn\u011b decentralizovan\u00e1 a robustn\u011b postaven\u00e1 \u2013 v\u00fdrazn\u011b odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch s\u00edt\u00ed. \u00datok by prim\u00e1rn\u011b po\u0161kodil civiln\u00ed obyvatelstvo a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b by ho sp\u00ed\u0161e obr\u00e1til proti USA, ne\u017e aby oslabil re\u017eim.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n mezit\u00edm upravil svou taktiku. Po po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1zi s pou\u017eit\u00edm star\u0161\u00edch a jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00edch raket k decimov\u00e1n\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob st\u00edhac\u00edch raket se Teher\u00e1n nyn\u00ed spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na modern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a p\u0159esn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed syst\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 si dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed hr\u00e1t na ko\u010dku a my\u0161 s americk\u00fdmi syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, jako je Patriot, jak ned\u00e1vno informoval\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">den\u00edk Financial Times<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\"> . Region\u00e1ln\u00ed protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana USA na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b ji\u017e byla v\u00fdrazn\u011b oslabena.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Konflikt se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed bodu, kdy racion\u00e1ln\u00ed kalkul na stran\u011b USA st\u00e1le v\u00edce nahrazuje zoufal\u00e1 neschopnost a hluboce zran\u011bn\u00e9 ego velk\u00e9ho narcisty. Trump jedn\u00e1 st\u00e1le nevyzpytateln\u011bji. Jeho ka\u017edou hodinu se m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed hrozby na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch neodhaluj\u00ed ani stopu strategick\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu. Dokonce i jeho dlouholet\u00ed podporovatel\u00e9, jako je b\u00fdval\u00fd mari\u0148\u00e1k Matt Bracken a arm\u00e1dn\u00ed plukovn\u00edk MacGregor, hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201enaprost\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 nesoudr\u017enosti\u201c a vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed k rezignaci gener\u00e1l\u016f a admir\u00e1l\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bt je na pokraji propasti. Skute\u010dn\u00fd \u00fatok na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny nebo elektr\u00e1rny by mohl spustit \u0159et\u011bzovou reakci, kter\u00e1 by zachv\u00e1tila cel\u00fd Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod. I nyn\u00ed jsou d\u016fsledky sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situace v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku, ceny energi\u00ed a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed stabilitu nevy\u010d\u00edsliteln\u00e9. Byly varovn\u00e9 v\u00fdst\u0159ely vyp\u00e1len\u00e9 na B\u00fa\u0161er a Dimonu p\u0159edzv\u011bst\u00ed nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edho z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9ho aktu?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Rainer Rupp<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Minul\u00e9 pond\u011bl\u00ed Trump prodlou\u017eil ultim\u00e1tum na zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 civiln\u00ed infrastruktury o t\u0159i dny, do st\u0159edy&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103040,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,107,4536,1503,1863],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103039"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103039"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103039\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103040"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}