{"id":103024,"date":"2026-03-26T06:22:43","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T05:22:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=103024"},"modified":"2026-03-26T06:22:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T05:22:43","slug":"jiri-paroubek-usa-chteji-vyklouznout-z-iranske-valky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/26\/jiri-paroubek-usa-chteji-vyklouznout-z-iranske-valky\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: USA cht\u011bj\u00ed vyklouznout z \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky…"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u0158e\u010deno slovy Jaroslava Ha\u0161ka: „To se v\u00e1m, holoubkov\u00e9, jen tak nepovede“. \u00cdr\u00e1n byl v\u0161estrann\u011b p\u0159ipraven na tento konflikt s USA a Izraelem. Jeho zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby a jeho veden\u00ed pracovalo (p\u0159esto\u017ee to p\u016fvodn\u00ed bylo vyvra\u017ed\u011bno) tentokr\u00e1t l\u00e9pe ne\u017eli zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby USA a Izraele a ne\u017eli vedouc\u00ed \u010dinitel\u00e9 t\u011bchto dvou zem\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Od za\u010d\u00e1tku agrese v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu jsem upozor\u0148oval, \u017ee to byl zcela katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed krok p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ze strany administrativy Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Ostatn\u011b, bez rozhodnut\u00ed prezidenta Trumpa uprost\u0159ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem zah\u00e1jit vojensk\u00fd \u00fatok na tuto zemi, by Izrael zcela nepochybn\u011b s\u00e1m na tuto zemi neza\u00fato\u010dil. Nyn\u00ed jsou USA, Izrael a Ir\u00e1n ve vlekl\u00e9 (a mo\u017en\u00e1 i opot\u0159ebov\u00e1vac\u00ed) v\u00e1lce. A Ir\u00e1n si nesporn\u011b vyhodnotil mj. tak\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti z vietnamsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Nem\u00e1 tedy pro\u010d by posp\u00edchat do n\u011bjak\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ameri\u010dany. Tak\u00e9 v pr\u016fb\u011bhu vietnamsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky \u00fato\u010dili Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 na hospod\u00e1\u0159skou a zejm\u00e9na energetickou infrastrukturu Vietnamu. Ale Severn\u00ed Vietnam to na kolena nesrazilo. Naopak, dlouhou dobu si severovietnam\u0161t\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1va\u010di vychutn\u00e1vali vyjedn\u00e1va\u010de Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. A uzav\u0159eli se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty m\u00edrovou smlouvu a\u017e v situaci, kter\u00e1 se jim zd\u00e1la pro Severn\u00ed Vietnam jako nejv\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Podobn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem chce postupovat tak\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1n. Uv\u011bdomuje si, \u017ee Donald Trump je pod obrovsk\u00fdm tlakem mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho spole\u010denstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm znepokojeno perspektivou dal\u0161\u00edho zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed cen ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu nad \u00farove\u0148, je\u017e u\u017e bude zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed postupn\u011b pro v\u0161echny ekonomiky Z\u00e1padu. A nejen zem\u00ed Z\u00e1padu.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Krom\u011b toho Donald Trump pot\u0159ebuje uzav\u0159\u00edt konflikt s \u00cdr\u00e1nem tak\u00e9 proto, \u017ee podobn\u011b jako vietnamsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed u americk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f \u2013 voli\u010d\u016f. Ale tady si zaslou\u017e\u00ed trochu poopravit toto m\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed. Dlouhou dobu ameri\u010dt\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 intervenci ve Vietnamu podporovali jako v\u00e1lku sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed k zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed komunismu. A\u017e v z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1zi v\u00e1lky se Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 postavili v\u011bt\u0161inov\u011b proti t\u00e9to v\u00e1lce. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 v tuhle chv\u00edli jsou v\u011bt\u0161inov\u011b a od sam\u00e9ho po\u010d\u00e1tku proti agresi v Ir\u00e1nu a v listopadu jsou volby do Kongresu. Proto Trump pot\u0159ebuje rychle uzav\u0159\u00edt konflikt a vyhl\u00e1sit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. To mu ov\u0161em veden\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu nebude cht\u00edt dop\u0159\u00e1t. Bude ho tr\u00e1pit. Zejm\u00e9na pak bude \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed po\u017eadovat z\u00e1ruky, \u017ee nedojde k opakov\u00e1n\u00ed agrese ze strany USA a Izraele v\u016f\u010di jejich zemi. Za dal\u0161\u00ed bude \u00cdr\u00e1n po\u017eadovat od USA v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 reparace. A za t\u0159et\u00ed (krom\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch podru\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed) bude po\u017eadovat tak\u00e9, aby byla uzn\u00e1na suverenita \u00cdr\u00e1nu nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. To je v\u011bc, kter\u00e1 bude Ameri\u010dan\u016fm vadit mo\u017en\u00e1 nejv\u00edce. Ur\u010dit\u011b by se dal dohodnout n\u011bjak\u00fd kompromis v t\u00e9to v\u011bci Nap\u0159\u00edklad, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n bude od proplouvaj\u00edc\u00edch lod\u00ed vyb\u00edrat n\u011bjak\u00e9 poplatky za pr\u016fjezd touto \u00fa\u017einou. A bude se o n\u011b d\u011blit s protilehl\u00fdm Om\u00e1nem (pokud ten o to bude st\u00e1t). Ale p\u0159edstava, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 zaplat\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu reparace, to je n\u011bco, co si p\u0159edstavit neum\u00edm. Snad jenom tak, \u017ee by Ameri\u010dan\u00e9, nap\u0159. jako reciprocitu v\u016f\u010di t\u011bmto po\u017eadavk\u016fm, nab\u00eddli Ir\u00e1nu zru\u0161en\u00ed v\u0161ech hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch a dal\u0161\u00edch sankc\u00ed v\u016f\u010di t\u00e9to zemi. Nechme se p\u0159ekvapit.\u00a0 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ale, na rozd\u00edl od r\u016fzn\u00fdch koment\u00e1tor\u016f \u010cesk\u00e9 televize, kte\u0159\u00ed to vid\u00ed zcela jinak, nejsou v pr\u00e1v\u011b komfortn\u00ed situaci. A to z d\u016fvodu, kter\u00e9 jsem v\u00fd\u0161e popsal. I kdyby \u00cdr\u00e1n vr\u00e1tili do doby kamenn\u00e9 jeho vybombardov\u00e1n\u00edm, sv\u011btov\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed a (a tak\u00e9 a zejm\u00e9na na \u010dem Trumpovi z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed) americk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed se postav\u00ed proti t\u00e9to v\u00e1lce.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Ve m\u011bstech po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b prob\u00edhaj\u00ed demonstrace, a to celkem spont\u00e1nn\u011b, proti v\u00e1lce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a proti postupu Izraelc\u016f v\u016f\u010di Gaze a tak\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0suver\u00e9nn\u00edmu st\u00e1tu Libanon. Mnoh\u00e9 lze pochopit po \u00fatoc\u00edch Hizball\u00e1hu na sever Izraele. Ale milion uprchl\u00edk\u016f v Libanonu, v u\u017e tak rozvr\u00e1cen\u00e9 zemi, kte\u0159\u00ed by se podle Izraelc\u016f nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nemohli vr\u00e1tit do sv\u00fdch domov\u016f na jihu Libanonu, je n\u011bco, co sv\u011btov\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed prost\u011b nep\u0159ijme. I \u010cesk\u00e1 republika by proto m\u011bla p\u0159ehodnotit sv\u00e9 vztahy se St\u00e1tem Izrael. Pokud Izrael bude pokra\u010dovat v \u00fatoc\u00edch mj. na civiln\u00ed obyvatelstvo ji\u017en\u00edho Libanonu. Jinak \u0159e\u010deno, cesta k rychl\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohod\u011b mezi znep\u0159\u00e1telen\u00fdmi stranami v konfliktu v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu se nejsp\u00ed\u0161 nenajde…<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0158e\u010deno slovy Jaroslava Ha\u0161ka: „To se v\u00e1m, holoubkov\u00e9, jen tak nepovede“. \u00cdr\u00e1n byl v\u0161estrann\u011b p\u0159ipraven…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103025,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[38,1503,452,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103024"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103024"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103024\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103024"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103024"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103024"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}