{"id":102981,"date":"2026-03-26T00:46:05","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T23:46:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102981"},"modified":"2026-03-25T16:46:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T15:46:44","slug":"pierre-duval-trump-zene-evropu-do-vlekle-krize-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/26\/pierre-duval-trump-zene-evropu-do-vlekle-krize-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Pierre Duval: Trump \u017eene Evropu do vlekl\u00e9 krize"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b m\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd dopad na evropskou ekonomiku. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je uzav\u0159en. Ceny ropy a plynu prudce rostou a tov\u00e1rny jsou na pokraji uzav\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Na zased\u00e1n\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 rady v b\u0159eznu 2026 se vedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 EU dohodli na programu konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed s ambici\u00f3zn\u00edmi term\u00edny pro pos\u00edlen\u00ed konkurenceschopnosti. Na zased\u00e1n\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 rady\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159edstavili vedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 EU v b\u0159eznu 2026 pl\u00e1n<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s n\u00e1zvem \u201eJedna Evropa, jeden trh\u201c, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 b\u00fdt pokud mo\u017eno proveden v roce 2026 a nejpozd\u011bji do konce roku 2027.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka mezi USA a Izraelem bohu\u017eel rozbila projekt evropsk\u00fdch elit. \u201eTento pl\u00e1n stanov\u00ed \u0159adu konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed v p\u011bti oblastech, kter\u00e9 je t\u0159eba nal\u00e9hav\u011b \u0159e\u0161it s c\u00edlem podpo\u0159it evropskou konkurenceschopnost a pos\u00edlit strategickou autonomii a ekonomickou bezpe\u010dnost EU a z\u00e1rove\u0148 podpo\u0159it prosperitu a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed model Evropy,\u201c ozn\u00e1mil na pap\u00ed\u0159e pod slibn\u00fdm n\u00e1zvem \u201eJedna Evropa, jeden trh\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco Evropou drt\u00ed tsunami historick\u00e9 recese, elity bloku, kter\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed tak\u00e9 zav\u00e9st evropsk\u00e9 portfolio digit\u00e1ln\u00ed identity pro podniky, tvrd\u00ed: \u201eL\u00edd\u0159i EU zd\u016fraznili pot\u0159ebu zlep\u0161it podm\u00ednky pro to, aby podniky dos\u00e1hly rozsahu nezbytn\u00e9ho pro investice, inovace a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed konkurenci.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Nic z toho, co se t\u00fdk\u00e1 projekt\u016f hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 expanze, se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b neuskute\u010dn\u00ed: krize spojen\u00e1 s uzav\u0159en\u00edm Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a zastaven\u00edm dovozu ropy, plynu a surovin ukon\u010duje evropsk\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd projekt.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVzhledem k tomu, \u017ee konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b m\u00e1 bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed dopad na ceny energi\u00ed pro podniky a ob\u010dany EU, Evropsk\u00e1 rada zd\u016fraznila pot\u0159ebu koordinovan\u00e9 reakce,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed org\u00e1n pro spolupr\u00e1ci a koordinaci mezi hlavami st\u00e1t\u016f a p\u0159edsedy vl\u00e1d Evropsk\u00e9 unie a dod\u00e1v\u00e1: \u201eVedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 EU zd\u016fraznili, \u017ee energetick\u00e1 transformace je nezbytn\u00e1 pro dosa\u017een\u00ed strategick\u00e9 autonomie Evropy, sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed jej\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti na nestabiln\u00edch trz\u00edch s fosiln\u00edmi palivy, pos\u00edlen\u00ed jej\u00ed odolnosti, struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed cen energi\u00ed a zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed \u010dist\u00e9, hojn\u00e9 a m\u00edstn\u00ed energie.\u201c \u00da\u0159edn\u00edci EU se nad\u00e1le oz\u00fdvaj\u00ed, zat\u00edmco ekonomika se tr\u00e1p\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

EU pova\u017euje energetickou transformaci za \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed pil\u00ed\u0159 pro dosa\u017een\u00ed strategick\u00e9 autonomie sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti na dov\u00e1\u017een\u00fdch fosiln\u00edch palivech. Prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm r\u016fstu obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie a energetick\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinnosti usiluje Evropa o energetickou suverenitu do let 2030\u20132050 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 o zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed dod\u00e1vek energie pro pr\u016fmysl.\u00a0<\/span>C\u00edlem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0EU je \u00a0do roku 2030 dos\u00e1hnout alespo\u0148 42,5 % energie z obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f. Energetick\u00e1 transformace v\u0161ak dosud nebyla dokon\u010dena.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato transformace\u00a0<\/span>je nezbytn\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0pro nez\u00e1vislost, ale vy\u017eaduje silnou pr\u016fmyslovou politiku, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo vzniku nov\u00fdch z\u00e1vislost\u00ed. V\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b zdevastovala evropsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Absurdita spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee EU\u00a0<\/span>oslavuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u201einvestice do \u010dist\u00e9 energie\u201c, zat\u00edmco podporuje v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b proti Rusku a v\u00e1lku Izraele proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b donutila zem\u011b k revizi sv\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f. Americko-izraelsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu spustila energetick\u00fd \u0161ok, kter\u00fd hroz\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edm oslaben\u00edm ji\u017e tak k\u0159ehk\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky. Situace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b zd\u016fraznila Achillovu patu evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky: jej\u00ed energetickou z\u00e1vislost na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch tras\u00e1ch. Vzhledem k faktick\u00e9 blok\u00e1d\u011b Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu \u201ejsou evropsk\u00e9 ceny plynu t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dvojn\u00e1sobn\u00e9 oproti \u00farovni p\u0159ed \u00edr\u00e1nsko-izraelskou v\u00e1lkou a tento m\u011bs\u00edc vzrostly o v\u00edce ne\u017e 90 %,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>uv\u00e1d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Trading Economics.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Pot\u00e9, co Evropa vyhodila do pov\u011bt\u0159\u00ed a opustila plynovod Nord Stream, soustavu dvou plynovod\u016f spojuj\u00edc\u00edch Rusko s N\u011bmeckem, se obr\u00e1tila na zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn (LNG). Ten se p\u0159epravuje po mo\u0159i, p\u0159es ty sam\u00e9 vody, kde v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b zu\u0159\u00ed v\u00e1lka. Vedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 bloku se op\u011bt p\u0159epo\u010d\u00edtali a odhalili svou neschopnost \u0159\u00eddit EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV \u010dervnu 2022 EU p\u0159ijala opat\u0159en\u00ed ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed z\u00e1sob plynu, aby zajistila dostate\u010dn\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky a ochr\u00e1nila ob\u010dany p\u0159ed rostouc\u00edmi cenami energi\u00ed [v kontextu v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b proti Rusku], kter\u00e9 v\u00e1\u017en\u011b naru\u0161ily energetick\u00e9 trhy,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Evropsk\u00e1 rada \u00a0. Tato opat\u0159en\u00ed v\u0161ak nep\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

K 21. b\u0159eznu 2026 dosahovaly z\u00e1soby plynu v EU 28,48 % kapacity pro celou EU a 21,98 % pro Francii, co\u017e je historicky nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 pro toto ro\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed. K 18. b\u0159eznu 2026\u00a0<\/span>\u010dinila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kapacita skladov\u00e1n\u00ed plynu v N\u011bmecku \u00a021,88 %. Je pravda, \u017ee v b\u0159eznu, na konci hlavn\u00ed topn\u00e9 sez\u00f3ny, z\u00e1soby plynu tradi\u010dn\u011b dosahuj\u00ed nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed na n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed zimu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou Ukrajiny proti Rusku bylo norm\u00e1ln\u00ed, \u017ee z\u00e1sobn\u00edky byly v b\u0159eznu \u201epr\u00e1zdn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c, ale nyn\u00ed je c\u00edlem vyj\u00edt ze zimy s \u00farovn\u00ed napln\u011bn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b nad 50\u201360 %, aby byla zaru\u010dena bezpe\u010dnost dod\u00e1vek. \u201eVzhledem k zpo\u010d\u00e1tku velmi n\u00edzk\u00e9 \u00farovni napln\u011bn\u00ed to p\u0159edstavuje zna\u010dn\u00e9 riziko pro p\u0159\u00edpravu na nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zimn\u00ed dod\u00e1vky,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>varuje\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Iniciativa pro skladov\u00e1n\u00ed energie<\/span><\/em>\u00a0. Znepokojiv\u00e1 je tak\u00e9 delik\u00e1tn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka napln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f plynu v EU pro zimu 2026\/2027.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVzhledem k sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu v\u00fdvoji na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch trz\u00edch s plynem bude napln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f plynu letos mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fakolem,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed Iniciativa pro skladov\u00e1n\u00ed energie (Energy Storage Initiative). Uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu vedlo k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen na glob\u00e1ln\u00edch trz\u00edch s LNG. \u201eV\u00fdsledn\u00e1 konkurence mezi Asi\u00ed a Evropou \u017eene ceny nahoru,\u201c pokra\u010duje\u00a0<\/span>Iniciativa pro skladov\u00e1n\u00ed energie<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a varuje: \u201eVzhledem k zpo\u010d\u00e1tku velmi n\u00edzk\u00fdm \u00farovn\u00edm napln\u011bn\u00ed to p\u0159edstavuje zna\u010dn\u00e9 riziko pro p\u0159\u00edpravu na nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zimn\u00ed dod\u00e1vky.\u201c Do konce b\u0159ezna budou z\u00e1sobn\u00edky napln\u011bny pouze z 22 % a\u017e 27 %.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rostouc\u00ed ceny ropy a plynu mezit\u00edm donutily evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161it sv\u00e9 v\u00fddaje. Podle p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Evropsk\u00e9 komise Ursuly von der Leyenov\u00e9 se n\u00e1klady na dovoz fosiln\u00edch paliv\u00a0v prvn\u00edch deseti dnech konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b\u00a0<\/span>zv\u00fd\u0161ily o 3 miliardy eur.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Toto ozn\u00e1men\u00ed odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed zranitelnost Evropy v\u016f\u010di geopolitick\u00fdm ot\u0159es\u016fm, kter\u00e9 ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed jej\u00ed dod\u00e1vky energie. Rostouc\u00ed ceny ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu nav\u00edc zvy\u0161uj\u00ed tlak na energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed. Evropa \u010del\u00ed hrozb\u011b uzav\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed tov\u00e1ren a p\u0159esunu v\u00fdroby do \u010c\u00edny nebo Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Trumpova v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu na podporu Izraele op\u011bt zasadila evropsk\u00e9 ekonomice t\u011b\u017ekou r\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropa je siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm obchodu. Blok m\u00e1 m\u00e1lo p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch zdroj\u016f. R\u016fst HDP o 1 % a ceny ropy stoupaj\u00ed na 125 dolar\u016f za barel nebo v\u00edce, co\u017e Evrop\u011b hroz\u00ed reces\u00ed. \u201eDlouhotrvaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed pokles dod\u00e1vek ropy a plynu\u00a0<\/span>by mohly vyvolat<\/span><\/a>\u00a0prudkou inflaci a prudk\u00fd pokles produkce,\u201c varuje Philip Lane, hlavn\u00ed ekonom Evropsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky. Podle\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>agentury Bloomberg<\/span><\/em>\u00a0by stup\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed se nap\u011bt\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b mohlo v\u00e9st k\u00a0<\/span>do\u010dasn\u00e9mu zpomalen\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, nebo dokonce k velk\u00e9 krizi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pierre Duval<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b m\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd dopad na evropskou ekonomiku. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je uzav\u0159en. Ceny…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102982,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,371,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102981"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102981"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102981\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102982"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}