{"id":102962,"date":"2026-03-26T00:33:26","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T23:33:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102962"},"modified":"2026-03-25T16:12:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T15:12:34","slug":"ceske-pumpy-nehraji-podle-brentu-proc-benzin-a-nafta-v-cesku-zlevnuji-pomalu-ale-zdrazuji-temer-okamzite","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/26\/ceske-pumpy-nehraji-podle-brentu-proc-benzin-a-nafta-v-cesku-zlevnuji-pomalu-ale-zdrazuji-temer-okamzite\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010cesk\u00e9 pumpy nehraj\u00ed podle Brentu: Pro\u010d benzin a nafta v \u010cesku zlev\u0148uj\u00ed pomalu, ale zdra\u017euj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 okam\u017eit\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

\u010cesk\u00fd trh s pohonn\u00fdmi hmotami znovu ukazuje jeden z nejm\u00e9n\u011b obl\u00edben\u00fdch paradox\u016f motorist\u016f. Kdy\u017e ropa Brent na sv\u011btov\u00fdch trz\u00edch kles\u00e1, ceny u stojan\u016f reaguj\u00ed se zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm, ale kdy\u017e ropa nebo velkoobchodn\u00ed paliva zdra\u017e\u00ed, \u010desk\u00e9 \u010derpac\u00ed stanice p\u0159ece\u0148uj\u00ed prakticky okam\u017eit\u011b. D\u016fvod nen\u00ed jen v samotn\u00e9 rop\u011b, ale v cel\u00e9 skladb\u011b v\u00fdsledn\u00e9 ceny, do n\u00ed\u017e vstupuj\u00ed dan\u011b, rafin\u00e9rsk\u00e9 a distribu\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1klady, pr\u00e1ce se z\u00e1sobami i kurz CZK v\u016f\u010di USD, tak\u017ee kone\u010dn\u00e1 cena na \u010derpac\u00edch stanic\u00edch je v\u017edy v\u00fdsledkem \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho \u0159et\u011bzce ne\u017e jen pohybu Brentu.<\/em><\/p>\n

Brent se do stojanu nep\u0159el\u00e9v\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edmo
\n<\/strong>
\nCena benzinu a nafty v \u010cesku nevznik\u00e1 jako jednoduch\u00fd p\u0159epis aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny ropy Brent, proto\u017ee mezi surovinou a stojanem stoj\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b rafinace, doprava, skladov\u00e1n\u00ed, bioslo\u017eky, velkoobchod, maloobchod a dan\u011b, kter\u00e9 tvo\u0159\u00ed v\u00fdznamnou \u010d\u00e1st kone\u010dn\u00e9 ceny za litr. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto m\u016f\u017ee ropa na sv\u011btov\u00fdch trz\u00edch n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed nebo i t\u00fddn\u016f zlev\u0148ovat, ani\u017e by se stejn\u00fdm tempem zlev\u0148ovaly i \u010desk\u00e9 pumpy, proto\u017ee ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed cena suroviny se mus\u00ed nejprve propsat do cel\u00e9ho dodavatelsk\u00e9ho \u0159et\u011bzce. Evropsk\u00e1 komise nav\u00edc sleduje spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9 ceny paliv jako t\u00fddenn\u00ed v\u00fdsledek ji\u017e prob\u011bhl\u00e9ho cenov\u00e9ho p\u0159enosu, nikoli jako okam\u017eitou reakci na ka\u017ed\u00e9 denn\u00ed kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed trhu.[1]<\/a><\/p>\n

Zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed je rychl\u00e9, zlev\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed opatrn\u00e9
\n<\/strong>
\nKdy\u017e velkoobchodn\u00ed ceny rostou, \u010derpac\u00ed stanice a distributo\u0159i do cen\u00edk\u016f rychle prom\u00edtaj\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed dra\u017e\u0161\u00edch dal\u0161\u00edch dod\u00e1vek, proto\u017ee si chr\u00e1n\u00ed budouc\u00ed n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cenu i provozn\u00ed mar\u017ei. Opa\u010dn\u011b p\u0159i poklesu trhu funguje stejn\u00fd mechanismus mnohem pomaleji, jeliko\u017e se nejprve doprod\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00e1soby nakoupen\u00e9 za vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny a prodejci z\u00e1rove\u0148 nemaj\u00ed siln\u00fd d\u016fvod j\u00edt s cenou dol\u016f agresivn\u011b, pokud podobn\u011b postupuje i konkurence v okol\u00ed. Tato asymetrie pak vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b ten efekt, kter\u00fd \u0159idi\u010di dob\u0159e znaj\u00ed. R\u016fst se p\u0159elije do stojanu rychle, ale pokles se rozm\u011bln\u00ed v \u010dase.[2]<\/a><\/p>\n

Da\u0148ov\u00e1 slo\u017eka brzd\u00ed pokles cen
\n<\/strong>
\nU \u010desk\u00fdch paliv st\u00e1le plat\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00fdznamnou \u010d\u00e1st v\u00fdsledn\u00e9 ceny tvo\u0159\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e1 slo\u017eka, proto\u017ee spot\u0159ebn\u00ed da\u0148 \u010din\u00ed u nafty 9,95 CZK na litr, u benzinu 12,84 CZK na litr a na kone\u010dnou cenu se nav\u00edc aplikuje DPH ve v\u00fd\u0161i 21 %. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee i kdy\u017e ropa nebo velkoobchodn\u00ed paliva zlevn\u00ed, pevn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st ceny z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stejn\u00e1 a prostor pro pokles kone\u010dn\u00e9 ceny na pump\u011b je men\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e nazna\u010duje samotn\u00fd pohyb Brentu. Debata o mar\u017e\u00edch je proto d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1, ale sama nevysv\u011btluje cel\u00fd probl\u00e9m, proto\u017ee \u010desk\u00fd litr paliva je struktur\u00e1ln\u011b zat\u00ed\u017een syst\u00e9mem, v n\u011bm\u017e v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st ceny nele\u017e\u00ed v rop\u011b, n\u00fdbr\u017e v dan\u00edch a distribu\u010dn\u00edm \u0159et\u011bzci.1<\/sup><\/p>\n

\u010cesko je st\u00e1le levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Rakousko i Polsko<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e1 data k 16. b\u0159eznu 2026 ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Natural 95 st\u00e1l v \u010cesku v pr\u016fm\u011bru 1,56 EUR za litr, tedy zhruba 38,20 CZK, zat\u00edmco v Polsku 1,58 EUR a v Rakousku 1,74 EUR. U nafty \u010dinila pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 cena v \u010cesku 1,74 EUR za litr, tedy p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 42,60 CZK, zat\u00edmco v Polsku 1,78 EUR a v Rakousku 1,95 EUR. \u010cesk\u00fd trh tak ani p\u0159i b\u0159eznov\u00e9m zdra\u017een\u00ed nepat\u0159\u00ed v regionu k nejdra\u017e\u0161\u00edm, ale tato relativn\u011b p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e1 pozice sama o sob\u011b neznamen\u00e1 rychlej\u0161\u00ed p\u0159enos zlevn\u011bn\u00ed ke kone\u010dn\u00e9mu spot\u0159ebiteli.[3]<\/a><\/p>\n

Leto\u0161n\u00ed l\u00e9to ur\u010d\u00ed ropa i kurz CZK<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00fdhled pro letn\u00ed sezonu bude v \u010cesku z\u00e1viset hlavn\u011b na tom, zda se uklidn\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed na ropn\u00e9m trhu, proto\u017ee Standard Chartered na za\u010d\u00e1tku b\u0159ezna zv\u00fd\u0161ila odhad ceny Brentu pro rok 2026 na 70 USD za barel a pro druh\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed na 67 USD, co\u017e sp\u00ed\u0161e potvrzuje prost\u0159ed\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 volatility ne\u017e sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 rychl\u00e9ho zlevn\u011bn\u00ed. <\/strong>[1] Pro \u010desk\u00e9 pumpy je z\u00e1rove\u0148 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, \u017ee ropa se nakupuje v USD, tak\u017ee i m\u00edrn\u011b slab\u0161\u00ed CZK v\u016f\u010di USD m\u016f\u017ee \u010d\u00e1st \u00falevy z levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ropy vymazat je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e se prom\u00edtne do cen na \u010derpac\u00edch stanic\u00edch. Zimn\u00ed progn\u00f3za \u010cNB po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 letos s relativn\u011b stabiln\u00edm kurzem CZK v\u016f\u010di EUR, tak\u017ee z\u00e1kladn\u00ed letn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nyn\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e ukazuje na kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed cen podle v\u00fdvoje ropy a m\u011bnov\u00e9ho trhu ne\u017e na plo\u0161n\u00fd n\u00e1vrat k v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm cen\u00e1m paliv.[4]<\/a><\/p>\n

Roman Vykou\u0159il, analytik Wonderinterest Trading s.r.o.<\/strong><\/h5>\n

[1] V\u00fdhledov\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed vych\u00e1zej\u00ed z p\u0159edpoklad\u016f a aktu\u00e1ln\u00edch o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 mohou b\u00fdt nep\u0159esn\u00e9, nebo z aktu\u00e1ln\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se m\u016f\u017ee zm\u011bnit. Takov\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed nejsou z\u00e1rukou budouc\u00ed v\u00fdkonnosti. Zahrnuj\u00ed rizika a dal\u0161\u00ed nejistoty, kter\u00e9 se daj\u00ed t\u011b\u017eko p\u0159edv\u00eddat. V\u00fdsledky se mohou podstatn\u011b li\u0161it od v\u00fdsledk\u016f vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00fdch nebo implikovan\u00fdch v jak\u00fdchkoli v\u00fdhledov\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edch.<\/p>\n

[1]<\/a> https:\/\/www.seznamzpravy.cz\/clanek\/ekonomika-finance-osobni-z-ceho-se-sklada-cena-benzinu-a-nafty-polovinu-tvori-dane-301045<\/a><\/p>\n

[2]<\/a> https:\/\/www.tipcars.sk\/magazin\/aktuality\/jak-se-tvori-cena-benzinu-a-nafty-o-cene-rozhoduji-dane-ropa-i-marze-dnmrt.html<\/a><\/p>\n

[3]<\/a> https:\/\/www.tolls.eu\/cs\/ceny-phm<\/a><\/p>\n

[4]<\/a> https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/standard-chartered-raises-2026-brent-forecasts-following-middle-east-turmoil-2026-03-03\/<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010cesk\u00fd trh s pohonn\u00fdmi hmotami znovu ukazuje jeden z nejm\u00e9n\u011b obl\u00edben\u00fdch paradox\u016f motorist\u016f. Kdy\u017e ropa…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102963,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1257,1872,7183],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102962"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102962"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102962\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":102964,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102962\/revisions\/102964"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102963"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102962"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102962"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}