{"id":102896,"date":"2026-03-28T00:19:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T23:19:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102896"},"modified":"2026-03-28T03:52:18","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T02:52:18","slug":"iran-vyhrava-valku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/28\/iran-vyhrava-valku\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1lku"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><em><span dir=\"auto\">Sedm tis\u00edc let civilizace\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span dir=\"auto\">versus dv\u011b st\u011b pades\u00e1t let imp\u00e9ria<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eDobyvatel nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dobyvatel. Mus\u00ed b\u00fdt prost\u011b ochotn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vytrvat.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2014 Ibn Chald\u00fan, Mukadima, 14. stolet\u00ed<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd n\u00e1rod nebyl nikdy osvobozen v\u00e1lkou, kterou by nemohl sn\u00e9st.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2014 Frantz Fanon, Uboz\u00ed zem\u011b, 1961<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eLid\u00e9 jsou \u00fady t\u00e9ho\u017e t\u011bla, stvo\u0159eni ze stejn\u00e9 podstaty. Kdy\u017e osud zp\u016fsob\u00ed, \u017ee jeden \u00fad trp\u00ed, ostatn\u00ed nemohou z\u016fstat v klidu. Pokud nec\u00edt\u00edte bolest druh\u00fdch, nejste hodni b\u00fdt naz\u00fdv\u00e1ni lidskou bytost\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 Sa&#8217;di Chirazi, Bani Adam, 13. stolet\u00ed \u2013 naps\u00e1no na koberci darovan\u00e9m \u00cdr\u00e1nem Organizaci spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f, New York, 2005<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Prolog: Hodiny, kter\u00e9 pro Washington nikdy nenastartovaly<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">R\u00e1no 28. \u00fanora 2026 zah\u00e1jily Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty americk\u00e9 a St\u00e1t Izrael jednu z nejkoncentrovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edch leteck\u00fdch kampan\u00ed v historii modern\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed. B\u011bhem dvan\u00e1cti hodin se na \u00cdr\u00e1nskou isl\u00e1mskou republiku sneslo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 900 \u00fader\u016f \u2013 na jej\u00ed raketov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny, protivzdu\u0161nou obranu, jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, vojensk\u00e1 velitelsk\u00e1 centra a komplex, kde byl zavra\u017ed\u011bn jej\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce Al\u00ed Chamene\u00ed spolu s \u010dleny sv\u00e9 rodiny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Donald Trump p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee se to vy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed za \u201edva nebo t\u0159i dny\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dvacet \u010dty\u0159i dn\u00ed pot\u00e9 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv uzav\u0159en\u00fd. Ropa je nad sto dolar\u016f za barel. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika je na pokraji recese. Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 agentura prohl\u00e1sila situaci za hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dva ropn\u00e9 \u0161oky v 70. letech dohromady. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika \u2013 zni\u010den\u00e1, zran\u011bn\u00e1, s ni\u010den\u00fdm n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvem, zavra\u017ed\u011bn\u00fdmi v\u016fdci a t\u0159ikr\u00e1t zasa\u017een\u00fdmi jadern\u00fdmi za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edmi \u2013 st\u00e1le vl\u00e1dne, st\u00e1le bojuje a st\u00e1le diktuje podm\u00ednky ka\u017ed\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed konverzace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dne 22. b\u0159ezna vydal Trump na Truth Social 48hodinov\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum velk\u00fdmi p\u00edsmeny: znovu otev\u0159\u00edt Gibraltarsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, nebo \u010delit zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren. \u00cdr\u00e1n reagoval hrozbou zaminov\u00e1n\u00ed cel\u00e9ho Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a \u00fatoku na v\u0161echna energetick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v regionu. Dvan\u00e1ct hodin p\u0159ed vypr\u0161en\u00edm jeho vlastn\u00edho ultim\u00e1ta Trump ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1n vedly \u201eVELMI DOBR\u00c9 A PRODUKTIVN\u00cd ROZHOVORY\u201c a \u017ee \u00fatoky byly odlo\u017eeny o p\u011bt dn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eSe Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty neprob\u011bhla \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Jde o fale\u0161n\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 k manipulaci s finan\u010dn\u00edmi a ropn\u00fdmi trhy a k \u00faniku z ba\u017einy, v n\u00ed\u017e se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Izrael nach\u00e1zej\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, p\u0159edseda \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho parlamentu, 23. b\u0159ezna 2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eMezi Teher\u00e1nem a Washingtonem neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd dialog. Nejsme stranou, kter\u00e1 tuto v\u00e1lku za\u010dala.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed, 23. b\u0159ezna 2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Imp\u00e9rium odp\u00e1lilo sv\u00e9 rakety. Civilizace se dr\u017eela pevn\u011b. A kdy\u017e se \u0159\u00ed\u0161e zhroutila, civilizace pojmenovala to, co bylo.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zde je p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh o tom, pro\u010d.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Prvn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st: Nejhlub\u0161\u00ed asymetrie \u2013 Sedm tis\u00edc let versus dv\u011b st\u011b pades\u00e1t<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed zrodem Ameriky Persie dala sv\u00e1 pr\u00e1va sv\u011btu<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Abychom pochopili, pro\u010d se \u00cdr\u00e1n nezhrout\u00ed pod americk\u00fdm a izraelsk\u00fdm bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm, mus\u00edme nejprve pochopit, co \u00cdr\u00e1n je \u2013 ne v geopolitick\u00e9m smyslu m\u011b\u0159en\u00e9m HDP a raketov\u00fdmi z\u00e1sobami, ale v civiliza\u010dn\u00edm smyslu m\u011b\u0159en\u00e9m tis\u00edcilet\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 n\u00e1horn\u00ed plo\u0161ina je nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u011b os\u00eddlena ji\u017e asi 7 000 let. Elamsk\u00e1 civilizace se zde objevila kolem roku 3200 p\u0159. n. l., soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s prvn\u00edmi mezopot\u00e1msk\u00fdmi m\u011bstsk\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty. V 6. stolet\u00ed p\u0159. n. l. se Achajmenovsk\u00e1 persk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e za vl\u00e1dy K\u00fdra Velik\u00e9ho stala nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0159\u00ed\u0161\u00ed, jakou kdy sv\u011bt poznal. Rozkl\u00e1dala se od Egejsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e a\u017e po \u00fadol\u00ed Indu \u2013 zahrnovala dne\u0161n\u00ed \u0158ecko, Egypt, Turecko, Ir\u00e1k, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n a P\u00e1kist\u00e1n \u2013 a ne\u0159\u00eddila se terorem, ale \u2013 na starov\u011bk pozoruhodn\u011b \u2013 filozofi\u00ed tolerance a pluralismu, kter\u00e1 ve starov\u011bk\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b nem\u00e1 obdoby.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V roce 539 p\u0159. n. l., po dobyt\u00ed Babylonu bez boje \u2013 obyvatelstvo \u00fadajn\u011b samo otev\u0159elo br\u00e1ny \u2013 vydal K\u00fdros dekret vyryt\u00fd na p\u00e1len\u00e9m hlin\u011bn\u00e9m v\u00e1lci akk\u00e9dsk\u00fdm kl\u00ednov\u00fdm p\u00edsmem. Tento v\u00e1lec, nyn\u00ed um\u00edst\u011bn\u00fd v Britsk\u00e9m muzeu v Lond\u00fdn\u011b \u2013 zachovan\u00fd v t\u00e9\u017ee civilizaci, kter\u00e1 bombarduje Teher\u00e1n \u2013 byl v roce 1971 Organizac\u00ed spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f uzn\u00e1n jako prvn\u00ed charta lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v ve sv\u011btov\u00fdch d\u011bjin\u00e1ch. Replika stoj\u00ed v hale OSN v New Yorku. Jej\u00ed ustanoven\u00ed se shoduj\u00ed s prvn\u00edmi \u010dty\u0159mi \u010dl\u00e1nky V\u0161eobecn\u00e9 deklarace lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v, p\u0159ijat\u00e9 v roce 1948 \u2013 v\u00edce ne\u017e dva a p\u016fl tis\u00edcilet\u00ed pot\u00e9, co je K\u00fdros ji\u017e implementoval.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">K\u00fdr\u016fv v\u00e1lec zaznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee kr\u00e1l osvobodil v\u0161echny otroky, prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee v\u0161echny n\u00e1rody maj\u00ed pr\u00e1vo zvolit si vlastn\u00ed n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed, zavedl rasovou rovnost a umo\u017enil vyhnanc\u016fm vr\u00e1tit se do vlasti \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b 50 000 \u017eidovsk\u00fdch zajatc\u016f v Babylonu, kter\u00e9 osvobodil na n\u00e1klady persk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu a jejich\u017e rekonstrukci jeruzal\u00e9msk\u00e9ho chr\u00e1mu financoval. K\u00fdros je jedinou ne\u017eidovskou postavou v hebrejsk\u00e9 Bibli, kter\u00e1 je naz\u00fdv\u00e1na Mesi\u00e1\u0161em \u2013 Hospodinov\u00fdm Pomazan\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Toto je civilizace, kterou se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty americk\u00e9 \u2013 zalo\u017een\u00e9 v roce 1776, 2315 let pot\u00e9, co K\u00fdros vyhl\u00e1sil svou Listinu pr\u00e1v \u2013 sna\u017e\u00ed zni\u010dit ze vzduchu. Toto je civilizace, kterou si St\u00e1t Izrael \u2013 zalo\u017een\u00fd v roce 1948, kdy byl K\u00fdros\u016fv v\u00e1lec star\u00fd ji\u017e 2487 let \u2013 n\u00e1rokuje pr\u00e1vo uml\u010det ve jm\u00e9nu vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Civilizace se 7 000 lety pam\u011bti \u2013 s p\u0159emo\u017een\u00fdmi invazemi, pohlcen\u00fdmi \u0159\u00ed\u0161emi a dobyvateli, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ich\u00e1zeli a odch\u00e1zeli, zat\u00edmco Persie p\u0159etrv\u00e1vala \u2013 neza\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 24denn\u00ed leteckou kampa\u0148 stejn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem jako 250 let star\u00fd n\u00e1rod. Pro \u00cdr\u00e1n to nen\u00ed existen\u010dn\u00ed zlom. Je to kapitola. Jist\u011b bolestiv\u00e1, ale p\u0159esto kapitola. Pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 nikdy ve sv\u00e9 historii nebyly bombardov\u00e1ny na vlastn\u00ed p\u016fd\u011b ciz\u00ed mocnost\u00ed, jejich\u017e hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto nebylo nikdy zasa\u017eeno, jejich prezident zabit, jejich m\u011bsta lehnuta popelem \u2013 je tento typ v\u00e1lky nep\u0159edstaviteln\u00fd. Pro \u00cdr\u00e1n je v nejtemn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm slova smyslu zn\u00e1m\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Alexandr Velik\u00fd vyp\u00e1lil Persepolis v roce 330 p\u0159. n. l. Mongolov\u00e9 ve 13. stolet\u00ed vyplenili \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta a odhaduje se, \u017ee v n\u011bkter\u00fdch regionech zabili a\u017e t\u0159i \u010dtvrtiny obyvatelstva. Britov\u00e9 v roce 1953 zorganizovali p\u0159evrat, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m svrhli demokraticky zvolen\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Mohameda Mossadegha, proto\u017ee se odv\u00e1\u017eil zn\u00e1rodnit \u00edr\u00e1nskou ropu \u2013 p\u0159evrat podrobn\u011b zdokumentovala samotn\u00e1 CIA a v roce 2013 jej form\u00e1ln\u011b uznala i americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da. Ir\u00e1k, ozbrojen\u00fd a veden\u00fd Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, napadl \u00cdr\u00e1n v roce 1980 a vedl osmiletou v\u00e1lku, kter\u00e1 zabila p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b p\u016fl milionu \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f, mimo jin\u00e9 i za pou\u017eit\u00ed chemick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed dodan\u00fdch s pomoc\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n je tu st\u00e1le. Persie tu v\u017edycky byla.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Intelektu\u00e1ln\u00ed odkaz, kter\u00e9ho se \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 bomba nedotkne<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bombardovan\u00e1 civilizace je civilizace Avicenny (Ibn Sina, 980\u20131037 n. l.), jeho\u017e K\u00e1non l\u00e9ka\u0159stv\u00ed byl po \u0161est stolet\u00ed hlavn\u00ed l\u00e9ka\u0159skou u\u010debnic\u00ed na evropsk\u00fdch univerzit\u00e1ch. Je to civilizace Al-Bir\u00fan\u00edho (973\u20131048), jeho\u017e v\u00fdpo\u010det obvodu Zem\u011b byl p\u0159esn\u00fd s p\u0159esnost\u00ed na jedno procento. Je to civilizace Chajj\u00e1ma, kter\u00fd vytvo\u0159il algebraick\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed kubick\u00fdch rovnic, zat\u00edmco Evropa p\u00e1lila knihy. Je to civilizace H\u00e1fize a R\u00fam\u00edho, jejich\u017e poezie pat\u0159\u00ed k nej\u010dten\u011bj\u0161\u00edm na sv\u011bt\u011b \u2013 v per\u0161tin\u011b, arab\u0161tin\u011b, angli\u010dtin\u011b, n\u011bm\u010din\u011b, hind\u0161tin\u011b a des\u00edtk\u00e1ch dal\u0161\u00edch jazyk\u016f. R\u00fam\u00edho Masnav\u00ed bylo p\u0159elo\u017eeno do v\u00edce jazyk\u016f ne\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jak\u00e9koli jin\u00e9 liter\u00e1rn\u00ed d\u00edlo v historii, krom\u011b n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdch text\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kdy\u017e bomby dopadaj\u00ed na Teher\u00e1n, dopadaj\u00ed na m\u011bsto vybudovan\u00e9 d\u011bdici t\u00e9to tradice. Tato tradice neum\u00edr\u00e1 p\u0159i leteck\u00e9m \u00fatoku. Je j\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161e p\u0159ivol\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Malek Bennabi \u2013 al\u017e\u00edrsk\u00fd filozof, jeho\u017e my\u0161lenky nejhluboceji ovlivnily m\u016fj vlastn\u00ed intelektu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoj \u2013 ve sv\u00e9m konceptu kolonizovatelnosti tvrdil, \u017ee civilizace nelze dobyt pouze nad\u0159azen\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi. Jsou dobyty, kdy\u017e ztrat\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed v\u016fli z\u016fstat samy sebou \u2013 kdy\u017e se jejich kulturn\u00ed produkce zhrout\u00ed, kdy\u017e se jejich intelektu\u00e1ln\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda podd\u00e1 obrazu koloniz\u00e1tora. V \u00cdr\u00e1nu nen\u00ed takov\u00fd kolaps viditeln\u00fd. Re\u017eim m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zpochyb\u0148ov\u00e1n zevnit\u0159. Ale civilizace, kter\u00e9 vl\u00e1dne, nikoli.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Druh\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st: Lidsk\u00e1 cena \u2014 Hlasy zpod bomb<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ed geopolitikou, p\u0159ed pom\u011bry n\u00e1klad\u016f a strategick\u00fdmi anal\u00fdzami tu byli lid\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle tiskov\u00e9 agentury Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA) bylo k 17. b\u0159eznu 2026 \u2013 17. dni v\u00e1lky \u2013 v \u00cdr\u00e1nu p\u0159i americko-izraelsk\u00fdch n\u00e1letech zabito 3 114 lid\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b 1 354 civilist\u016f a 1 138 voj\u00e1k\u016f. UNICEF uvedl, \u017ee k 12. b\u0159eznu bylo jen v \u00cdr\u00e1nu zabito v\u00edce ne\u017e 200 d\u011bt\u00ed, statis\u00edce d\u011bt\u00ed byly vys\u00eddleny a miliony d\u011bt\u00ed nenav\u0161t\u011bvovaly \u0161kolu. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u010cerven\u00fd p\u016flm\u011bs\u00edc uvedl, \u017ee c\u00edlem \u00fatoku bylo v\u00edce ne\u017e 6 668 civiln\u00edch bytov\u00fdch jednotek. Americk\u00fd n\u00e1let na d\u00edv\u010d\u00ed \u0161kolu soused\u00edc\u00ed s n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladnou v Minabu zabil prvn\u00ed den p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 170 lid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato \u010d\u00edsla maj\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159e. Tyto tv\u00e1\u0159e maj\u00ed hlasy. A tyto hlasy se odm\u00edtaj\u00ed nechat redukovat na bin\u00e1rn\u00ed syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd jim vnucuj\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e oslavuj\u00ed bomby, nebo obhajuj\u00ed re\u017eim. Pravda, kterou \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, je slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, lid\u0161t\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e jak\u00fdkoli geopolitick\u00fd narativ.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Teher\u00e1nsk\u00e1 novin\u00e1\u0159ka, kter\u00e9 bylo n\u011bco m\u00e1lo p\u0159es dvacet a kter\u00e1 si vedla spole\u010dn\u00fd den\u00edk s NPR pod podm\u00ednkou anonymity \u2013 zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed jej\u00edho jm\u00e9na by ji vystavilo zat\u010den\u00ed Revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami \u2013 napsala prvn\u00ed den v\u00e1lky, kdy byl Chamene\u00ed zabit: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Lid\u00e9 vylezli na st\u0159echy a d\u00edvali se a tleskali, kdy\u017e zas\u00e1hli c\u00edl, kter\u00fd zn\u00e1me. V\u010dera ve\u010der jsme hodn\u011b skandovali<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.\u201c Na z\u00e1kladn\u011b Revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard, kter\u00e1 byla pr\u00e1v\u011b bombardov\u00e1na, byla dvakr\u00e1t zat\u010dena. \u00dader oslavovala.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale s n\u00e1stupem druh\u00e9ho t\u00fddne v\u00e1lky se jej\u00ed den\u00edk ub\u00edral jin\u00fdm sm\u011brem. Bomby u\u017e nebyly selektivn\u00ed. Mrtv\u00ed u\u017e nebyli jen ti, kter\u00e9 m\u011bla d\u016fvod nen\u00e1vid\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Teher\u00e1nsk\u00fd dopisovatel agentury Xinhua napsal 3. b\u0159ezna: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Rakety padaly jako padaj\u00edc\u00ed hv\u011bzdy, pro\u0159ez\u00e1valy tmu a pot\u00e9 explodovaly s takovou silou, \u017ee se noc t\u0159\u00e1sla. V\u00fdbuchy byly tak prudk\u00e9, \u017ee se zd\u00e1lo, jako by rozd\u011blily oblohu na dv\u011b \u010d\u00e1sti.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c Pozd\u011bji, v tax\u00edku, \u0159idi\u010d zavrt\u011bl hlavou: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Teher\u00e1n byl m\u00edrumilovn\u00e9 m\u011bsto. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed v\u011b\u0159ili, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 p\u0159inesou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti. Pod\u00edvejte se, co p\u0159inesli \u2013 nic ne\u017e bomby.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z \u00edr\u00e1nsko-tureck\u00e9 hranice informovala korespondentka NPR Emily Feng o zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch uprchl\u00edk\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed hranici p\u0159ech\u00e1zeli p\u011b\u0161ky. Jeden \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd mu\u017e novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm uk\u00e1zal na bund\u011b skvrny od oleje \u2013 zbytky ho\u0159\u00edc\u00edch kapek ropy, kter\u00e9 dopadly na teher\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u010dtvrti, kdy\u017e Izrael v b\u0159eznu za\u00fato\u010dil na sklady pohonn\u00fdch hmot. Mezi zabit\u00fdmi civilisty byl i jeho 26let\u00fd bratranec, kter\u00fd v lednu riskoval \u017eivot p\u0159i protestech proti vl\u00e1d\u011b. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Kdy\u017e mi to \u0159ekl,\u201c uvedla Feng, \u201eodml\u010del se, jako by sotva mohl uv\u011b\u0159it tomu, co \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 nahlas<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ePokud budou hlavn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rny bombardov\u00e1ny, nebude to jen kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed; mohlo by to zastavit v\u0161echno, od vody po plyn. Bylo by \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed takto trestat obyvatelstvo.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 Obyvatel Teher\u00e1nu, Al Jazeera, 21. b\u0159ezna 2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tyto zpr\u00e1vy maj\u00ed jedno spole\u010dn\u00e9: vzp\u00edraj\u00ed se zjednodu\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 obsahuj\u00ed odpor k Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republice a odm\u00edtnut\u00ed bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed. Nejsou to sv\u011bdectv\u00ed zlomen\u00e9ho lidu. Jsou to sv\u011bdectv\u00ed lidu, kter\u00fd sn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed obrovskou r\u00e1nu a vzdorovit\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 s\u00e1m sebou. Tak vypad\u00e1 7 000 let civiliza\u010dn\u00ed pam\u011bti zevnit\u0159.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">T\u0159et\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st: Pades\u00e1t let v obl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 sankce, kter\u00e9 ukovaly zbra\u0148<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zbra\u0148 zrozen\u00e1 z embarga<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Proto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nemohl dov\u00e1\u017eet n\u00e1hradn\u00ed d\u00edly, nau\u010dil se je vyr\u00e1b\u011bt. Proto\u017ee nem\u011bl p\u0159\u00edstup k z\u00e1padn\u00edm technologi\u00edm, provedl jejich reverzn\u00ed in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed. Kamikaze dron Shahed-136 se zrodil p\u0159\u00edmo z tavic\u00edho kotle americk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed \u2013 produkt nutnosti a vynal\u00e9zavosti in\u017een\u00fdr\u016f um\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch do podm\u00ednek nucen\u00e9 izolace. Jeho jednotkov\u00e1 cena: 20 000 a\u017e 50 000 dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty str\u00e1vily pades\u00e1t let snahou ekonomicky u\u0161krtit \u00cdr\u00e1n, aby ho sn\u00ed\u017eily na vojenskou m\u00e9n\u011bcennost. M\u00edsto toho vytvo\u0159ily zbra\u0148, kter\u00e1 nyn\u00ed vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 jejich vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1soby st\u00edhac\u00edch raket tempem, s n\u00edm\u017e se \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 tov\u00e1rna na Zemi nem\u016f\u017ee srovn\u00e1vat.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010ctvrt\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st: Aritmetika imp\u00e9ria \u2013 dolary vs. drony<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Odstra\u0148te prezidentsk\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed a satelitn\u00ed sn\u00edmky Teher\u00e1nu v plamenech a to, k \u010demu se tato v\u00e1lka nakonec scvrkne, je rovnice \u2013 nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vojensko-ekonomick\u00e1 rovnice 21. stolet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b: americk\u00e1 st\u00edhac\u00ed st\u0159ela Patriot PAC-3 MSE. Jednotkov\u00e1 cena: p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 4 miliony dolar\u016f. St\u00edhac\u00ed st\u0159ela THAAD: 12 a\u017e 15 milion\u016f dolar\u016f za odp\u00e1len\u00ed. Nosn\u00e1 st\u0159ela SM-3: 10 a\u017e 28 milion\u016f dolar\u016f. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b: \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 Shahed-136. Jednotkov\u00e1 cena: 20 000 a\u017e 50 000 dolar\u016f. Pom\u011br n\u00e1klad\u016f: mezi 80:1 a 200:1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kelly Grieco ze Stimsonova centra vypo\u010d\u00edtala, \u017ee za ka\u017ed\u00fd dolar, kter\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n utrat\u00ed za v\u00fdrobu dronu Shahed, Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty utrat\u00ed 80 a\u017e 200 dolar\u016f za jeho zachycen\u00ed. Spole\u010dnost Lockheed Martin vyr\u00e1b\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 600 st\u00edhac\u00edch st\u00edha\u010dek Patriot ro\u010dn\u011b. \u00cdr\u00e1n jen v prvn\u00edm t\u00fddnu konfliktu vypustil do vzduchu v\u00edce ne\u017e 2 000 dron\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">B\u011bhem prvn\u00edch 100 hodin epick\u00e9 operace Fury Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty odp\u00e1lily p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 170 \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el Tomahawk \u2013 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159ikr\u00e1t v\u00edce, ne\u017e si Pentagon objednal od spole\u010dnosti Raytheon na cel\u00fd fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed rok 2026. Centrum pro strategick\u00e1 a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed studia odhadlo hodnotu st\u00edhac\u00edch raket vynalo\u017een\u00fdch b\u011bhem t\u011bchto prvn\u00edch 100 hodin na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1,7 miliardy dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eSpojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, Izrael a st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu se siln\u011b spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na americk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u0161echny \u010derpaj\u00ed ze stejn\u00fdch v\u00fdrobn\u00edch linek. Tyto rakety nelze nahradit p\u0159es noc. Trvalo by to roky.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 Kelly Grieco, Stimson Center, b\u0159ezen 2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lka v \u010dervnu 2025 ji\u017e spot\u0159ebovala p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 150 st\u00edhac\u00edch raket THAAD a 80 raket SM-3 \u2013 zhruba \u010dtvrtinu celkov\u00fdch americk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob THAAD \u2013 za m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e dva t\u00fddny. Kampa\u0148 H\u00fat\u00ed\u016f v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce spot\u0159ebovala dal\u0161\u00edch 200 st\u00edhac\u00edch raket Standard. Do \u010dervence 2025 klesly z\u00e1soby Patriot\u016f na 25 % objemu, kter\u00fd Pentagon pova\u017eoval za nezbytn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nadace Heritage Foundation v lednu 2026 varovala, \u017ee z\u00e1soby \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00fdch st\u00edhac\u00edch letoun\u016f by mohly b\u00fdt vy\u010derp\u00e1ny b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed boje. Velkolep\u00e1 operace Fury \u010derp\u00e1 ze z\u00e1sob, kter\u00e9 jsou ji\u017e nebezpe\u010dn\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9, je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e dopadne prvn\u00ed bomba.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Celkov\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det v roce 2025 \u010dinil p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 23 miliard dolar\u016f \u2013 asi 2,5 % z 900 miliard dolar\u016f z americk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu. Dron Shahed byl navr\u017een speci\u00e1ln\u011b tak, aby vyu\u017eil fat\u00e1ln\u00ed nedostatky, kter\u00e1 je srdcem z\u00e1padn\u00ed high-tech obrany: katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edho pom\u011bru n\u00e1klad\u016f mezi p\u0159esn\u00fdmi st\u00edhac\u00edmi raketami a masov\u011b vyr\u00e1b\u011bn\u00fdmi roji levn\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. To nen\u00ed improvizace. Je to strategie.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">P\u00e1t\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st: Dv\u011b \u00fazk\u00e1 hrdla \u2013 ropa a voda<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv: kde se geografie st\u00e1v\u00e1 zbran\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V neju\u017e\u0161\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b je Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv \u0161irok\u00fd 33 kilometr\u016f. Touto vodn\u00ed cestou proch\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20 % sv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy \u2013 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 21 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy a zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu denn\u011b. Proch\u00e1z\u00ed j\u00edm v\u00edce ne\u017e 25 % sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu s LNG. Je to hlavn\u00ed exportn\u00ed trasa ropy Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, ekonomick\u00e1 z\u00e1chrann\u00e1 tepna Ir\u00e1ku a plyn Kataru, kter\u00fd vyt\u00e1p\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 dom\u00e1cnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n ho uzav\u0159el. Ne svou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed flotilou, kterou americk\u00e9 a izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fadery z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zni\u010dily \u2013 na dn\u011b mo\u0159e nyn\u00ed le\u017e\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e pades\u00e1t \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch lod\u00ed. Ale minami, roji dron\u016f, hrozbami balistick\u00fdch raket a neviditelnou zbran\u00ed rizika: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 poji\u0161\u0165ovna v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nekryje lo\u010f proplouvaj\u00edc\u00ed pr\u016flivem, kde \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 zbran\u011b nad\u00e1le operuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdkonn\u00fd \u0159editel IEA Fatih Birol byl jednozna\u010dn\u00fd: situace je \u201evelmi v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 \u2013 hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dva ropn\u00e9 \u0161oky v 70. letech a n\u00e1sledky v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b dohromady.\u201c Od 28. \u00fanora bylo v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161kozeno nejm\u00e9n\u011b 40 energetick\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v dev\u00edti zem\u00edch. Cena ropy prudce vzrostla z m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 60 dolar\u016f za barel v lednu 2026 na 113 dolar\u016f k 22. b\u0159eznu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">T\u0159etina sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu s hnojivy tak\u00e9 proch\u00e1z\u00ed pr\u016flivem. N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy byly p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1ny. Leteck\u00e1 doprava p\u0159es Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod se zhroutila. V\u00e1lka, kter\u00e1 je sv\u011btu prezentov\u00e1na jako kampa\u0148 za \u201epo\u0159\u00e1dek zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech\u201c, systematicky ni\u010d\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce, na kter\u00fdch byl tento \u0159\u00e1d postaven.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">R\u00e9torick\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, kter\u00e1 si zaslou\u017e\u00ed b\u00fdt veps\u00e1na u vchodu ka\u017ed\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed: Kdo vlastn\u011b koho blokuje?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Voda: Existenci\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u00e1ka je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed pln\u011b aktivov\u00e1na<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">St\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu se pod\u00edlej\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 60 % sv\u011btov\u00e9 kapacity odsolov\u00e1n\u00ed. Tato \u010d\u00edsla ukazuj\u00ed na existen\u010dn\u00ed zranitelnost:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Kuvajt:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a090 % pitn\u00e9 vody poch\u00e1z\u00ed z odsolov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Bahrajn:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a090 %<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Om\u00e1n:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a086 %<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a070 %<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a042 %<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed je, \u017ee v\u00edce ne\u017e 90 % odsolen\u00e9 vody v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu poch\u00e1z\u00ed z pouh\u00fdch 56 megakomplex\u016f \u2013 geograficky fixn\u00edch, technicky slo\u017eit\u00fdch a energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nach\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch se v t\u011bsn\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Anal\u00fdza CIA, utajen\u00e1 v 80. letech 20. stolet\u00ed a zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e1 v roce 2010, tuto zranitelnost ji\u017e v\u00fdslovn\u011b identifikovala.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">7. b\u0159ezna zp\u016fsobil dron materi\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161kody na odsolovac\u00edm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v Bahrajnu \u2013 \u0161lo o prvn\u00ed potvrzen\u00fd \u00fatok na vodn\u00ed infrastrukturu v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu v tomto konfliktu. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1s Arak\u010d\u00ed prohl\u00e1sil: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00datok na \u00edr\u00e1nskou infrastrukturu je nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd \u010din s v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdmi n\u00e1sledky. Tento precedent vytvo\u0159ily Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, ne \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Pokud \u00fatoky na odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed za\u010d\u00e1tek vojensk\u00e9 politiky a nikoli pouze chyby nebo vedlej\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody, je to nez\u00e1konn\u00e9 \u2013 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd zlo\u010din \u2013 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 velmi znepokojiv\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, jeliko\u017e st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu maj\u00ed z\u00e1soby vody jen na n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 Laurent Lambert, Doha Institute for Advanced Studies<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1soby vody na n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f. To je rozd\u00edl mezi sou\u010dasnou situac\u00ed a bezprecedentn\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed katastrofou \u2013 100 milion\u016f lid\u00ed bez pravideln\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstupu k \u010dist\u00e9 pitn\u00e9 vod\u011b. A tento rozd\u00edl nen\u00ed udr\u017eov\u00e1n americkou protivzdu\u0161nou obranou, ani diplomaci\u00ed st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, ale \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm, kter\u00e9 teprve bude u\u010din\u011bno.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u0160est\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st: Matrix, kter\u00fd se nezhrout\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Washington \u0161el do v\u00e1lky s teori\u00ed: eliminovat v\u016fdce, paralyzovat velitelskou strukturu, vyvolat lidov\u00e9 povst\u00e1n\u00ed a dos\u00e1hnout zm\u011bny re\u017eimu b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed. Trump p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl \u201edva nebo t\u0159i dny\u201c. Jeho s\u00edly provedly 900 \u00fader\u016f b\u011bhem 12 hodin. Chamene\u00ed byl zabit prvn\u00ed den. Al\u00ed Lar\u00edd\u017e\u00e1n\u00ed byl zavra\u017ed\u011bn 17. b\u0159ezna. Des\u00edtky velitel\u016f Revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy byly eliminov\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">O dvacet \u010dty\u0159i dn\u00ed pozd\u011bji je u moci Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eNen\u00ed to tak, \u017ee bychom kone\u010dn\u011b na\u0161li v\u016fdce, jeho\u017e smrt sraz\u00ed celou budovu, proto\u017ee to nen\u00ed dome\u010dek z karet. Je to matice \u2013 flexibiln\u00ed matice.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 Robert Pape, Chicagsk\u00e1 univerzita<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zni\u010den\u00ed vrcholu matice znamen\u00e1 eliminaci vrstvy, kter\u00e1 vy\u017eaduje nejv\u00edce komunikace v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase mezi vrcholov\u00fdm managementem a st\u0159edn\u00ed \u00farovn\u00ed. Velitel\u00e9 st\u0159edn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b se nezastav\u00ed. Reorganizuj\u00ed se later\u00e1ln\u011b, \u010dasto s v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed agresivitou a men\u0161\u00ed politickou zdr\u017eenlivost\u00ed ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve. Papeova struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed diagn\u00f3za je zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u00e1 politick\u00e1 dynamika vyvolan\u00e1 bombov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky p\u016fsob\u00ed proti zm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu. M\u00edsto toho dostanete negativn\u00ed zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu: v\u016fdce druh\u00e9 generace, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou v\u00edce protiameri\u010dt\u00ed, nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a ochotn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed absorbovat n\u00e1klady na potrest\u00e1n\u00ed Ameriky.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Historick\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky leteck\u00e9 s\u00edly proti determinovan\u00fdm re\u017eim\u016fm jsou jednozna\u010dn\u00e9. Ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u2014 Vietnam (1965\u20131973):<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Nejv\u00edce bombardovan\u00e1 zem\u011b v historii leteck\u00fdch v\u00e1lek se nevzdala. Vl\u00e1da, kterou se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty sna\u017eily zni\u010dit, zemi v roce 1975 znovu sjednotila. St\u00e1le existuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u2014 Ir\u00e1k (2003):<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Re\u017eim padl b\u011bhem 21 dn\u016f. Zni\u010den\u00ed st\u00e1tu vedlo k patn\u00e1cti let\u016fm povst\u00e1n\u00ed, sekt\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a vzestupu ISIS.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u2014 Libye (2011):<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Sedm m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f leteck\u00e9 kampan\u011b NATO. Kadd\u00e1f\u00ed zabit. St\u00e1t se rozpadl v permanentn\u00ed ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, kter\u00e1 st\u00e1le trv\u00e1 i patn\u00e1ct let pot\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u2014 Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n:<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Dvacet let. V\u00edce ne\u017e 2 biliony dolar\u016f. T\u00e1lib\u00e1n se vr\u00e1til k moci do dvou t\u00fddn\u016f od americk\u00e9ho odchodu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b: taktick\u00e9 zni\u010den\u00ed, strategick\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed. P\u0159edpoklad, \u017ee c\u00edlov\u00e1 spole\u010dnost je k\u0159ehk\u00e1, se katastrof\u00e1ln\u011b uk\u00e1zal jako chybn\u00fd. Poka\u017ed\u00e9. Bez v\u00fdjimky.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00e1st sedm\u00e1: V\u00edra jako strategick\u00e1 prom\u011bnn\u00e1<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed strategick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza m\u00e1 struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed slep\u00e9 m\u00edsto. Dok\u00e1\u017ee modelovat vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti, ekonomick\u00e9 p\u00e1ky a politickou v\u016fli v term\u00ednech zn\u00e1m\u00fdch liber\u00e1ln\u011b demokratick\u00fdm syst\u00e9m\u016fm. Co v\u0161ak nedok\u00e1\u017ee modelovat \u2013 kv\u016fli nedostatku konceptu\u00e1ln\u00edho slovn\u00edku \u2013 je role v\u00edry jako strategick\u00e9 prom\u011bnn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1kladn\u00edm p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhem \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9ho isl\u00e1mu je bitva u Karbal\u00e1, kter\u00e1 se odehr\u00e1la 10. \u0159\u00edjna 680 n. l. Husajn ibn Al\u00ed, vnuk Proroka, si zvolil smrt, ne\u017e aby se pod\u0159\u00eddil nelegitimn\u00ed moci. Obklopen sedmdes\u00e1ti spole\u010dn\u00edky tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 tis\u00edc\u016fm, s v\u011bdom\u00edm, \u017ee smrt je jist\u00e1, se Husajn nevzdal. Byl zabit. Jeho hlava byla useknuta a posl\u00e1na do Dama\u0161ku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento den \u2013 A\u0161\u00fara \u2013 je nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm dnem v \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9m kalend\u00e1\u0159i. Ne jako den por\u00e1\u017eky, ale jako den sv\u011bdectv\u00ed: teologie v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed principu nad moc\u00ed, pravdy spravedlnosti nad triumfem nespravedlnosti. V \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9m eschatologick\u00e9m r\u00e1mci nen\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd voj\u00e1k, kter\u00fd v t\u00e9to v\u00e1lce zem\u0159e, ob\u011bt\u00ed prohran\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho ta\u017een\u00ed. Je to \u0161\u00e1h\u00edd \u2013 mu\u010dedn\u00edk a sv\u011bdek, jeho\u017e smrt m\u00e1 bo\u017esk\u00fd v\u00fdznam. Ka\u017ed\u00fd bombardovan\u00fd blok nen\u00ed d\u016fkazem, \u017ee B\u016fh \u00cdr\u00e1n opustil. V tomto r\u00e1mci je to d\u016fkaz, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n stoj\u00ed na stran\u011b spravedlnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 baterie syst\u00e9m\u016f Patriot ho nedok\u00e1\u017ee zachytit. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd syst\u00e9m THAAD ho nedok\u00e1\u017ee neutralizovat. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 raketa Tomahawk ho nedok\u00e1\u017ee zni\u010dit.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Robert Pape identifikuje \u201estrategickou kulturu\u201c \u2013 soudr\u017enost populace a jej\u00ed toleranci k utrpen\u00ed \u2013 jako rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed prom\u011bnnou, kdy\u017e je vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla dostate\u010dn\u00e1 ke zni\u010den\u00ed, ale nedostate\u010dn\u00e1 k dobyt\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 kultura vytrvalosti je teologicky produkov\u00e1na, historicky posilov\u00e1na po sedm tis\u00edc let a politicky mobilizov\u00e1na ka\u017edou bombou, kter\u00e1 dopadne na Teher\u00e1n. Dron Shahed nese hlavici v hodnot\u011b 35 000 dolar\u016f. V mysl\u00edch milion\u016f lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed ho vid\u00ed odp\u00e1len\u00fd, nese tak\u00e9 t\u00edhu Karbal\u00e1, vzpom\u00ednku na pades\u00e1t let embarga, d\u016fstojnost civiliza\u010dn\u00ed kontinuity. Nen\u00ed to zbra\u0148, kterou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u011bd\u00ed porazit.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Osm\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st: Sun Tzu a strategick\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed Trumpa a Netanjahua<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Existuje text, kter\u00fd vyu\u010duje ka\u017ed\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 akademie na sv\u011bt\u011b. Um\u011bn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, napsan\u00e9 asi p\u0159ed 2 500 lety v \u010c\u00edn\u011b gener\u00e1lem jm\u00e9nem Sun Tzu, je nejvlivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm strategick\u00fdm pojedn\u00e1n\u00edm v historii. Jeho \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed tez\u00ed je, \u017ee v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed pat\u0159\u00ed tomu, kdo si p\u0159ed \u00faderem rozmysl\u00ed, ne tomu, kdo ude\u0159\u00ed nejsiln\u011bji. Trump a Netanjahu systematicky poru\u0161uj\u00ed ka\u017edou z\u00e1sadu, kterou stanov\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Prvn\u00ed princip<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">1. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Znej sv\u00e9ho nep\u0159\u00edtele a znej s\u00e1m sebe; ve sto bitv\u00e1ch nikdy nebude\u0161 pora\u017een.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Co Trump a Netanjahu v\u011bd\u011bli o \u00cdr\u00e1nu, ne\u017e b\u011bhem 12 hodin provedli 900 \u00fader\u016f? \u017de jeho ekonomika je oslaben\u00e1. \u017de jeho populace bude v prosinci 2025 v ulic\u00edch. Co ale nepochopili: \u017ee 7 000 let star\u00e1 civilizace nem\u011b\u0159\u00ed svou v\u016fli k odporu HDP ani m\u00edrou inflace. \u017de \u02bbasabiyya, o kter\u00e9 mluv\u00ed Ibn Khaldun, je zahrani\u010dn\u00edm bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm aktivov\u00e1na, nikoli zni\u010dena. \u017de teher\u00e1nsk\u00e1 novin\u00e1\u0159ka, kter\u00e1 byla dvakr\u00e1t zat\u010dena za to, \u017ee nenosila \u0161\u00e1tek, a kter\u00e1 oslavovala prvn\u00ed \u00fadery, zakon\u010d\u00ed sv\u016fj den\u00edkov\u00fd z\u00e1pis ze 16. b\u0159ezna slovy: \u201eV posledn\u00ed bitv\u011b sp\u00e1l\u00edm ka\u017ed\u00e9ho z t\u011bchto psychopatick\u00fdch vrah\u016f\u201c \u2013 s odkazem na re\u017eim. Ale psala z m\u011bsta pod \u00fatokem ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Tento rozd\u00edl se pod bombami rozpl\u00fdv\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Sun Tzu\u016fv verdikt:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Neznali sv\u00e9ho nep\u0159\u00edtele. U\u017e prohr\u00e1li.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Druh\u00fd princip<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">2. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed dokonalost ve v\u00e1lce spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v zlomen\u00ed odporu nep\u0159\u00edtele bez boje.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">27. \u00fanora 2026 \u2013 den p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e dopadla prvn\u00ed bomba \u2013 om\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Badr Al-Busaidi potvrdil, \u017ee bylo dosa\u017eeno diplomatick\u00e9ho pr\u016flomu: \u00cdr\u00e1n souhlasil s t\u00edm, \u017ee nikdy nebude hromadit obohacen\u00fd uran, \u017ee umo\u017en\u00ed \u00fapln\u00fd audit MAAE a \u017ee nevratn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed stupe\u0148 sv\u00e9ho st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edho obohacen\u00e9ho uranu na nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enou \u00farove\u0148. M\u00edr byl, podle jeho slov, \u201ena dosah\u201c. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bla b\u00fdt obnovena 2. b\u0159ezna. O osmn\u00e1ct hodin pozd\u011bji za\u010daly padat bomby. Diplomatick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u2013 denuklearizovan\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n na z\u00e1klad\u011b dohody, otev\u0159en\u00fd Gibraltarsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv a stabilizovan\u00e9 trhy \u2013 bylo ob\u011btov\u00e1no.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Sun Tzu\u016fv verdikt:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed bez boje bylo mo\u017en\u00e9. Zvolili si v\u00e1lku. To byla z\u00e1kladn\u00ed strategick\u00e1 chyba.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">T\u0159et\u00ed princip<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">3. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Kdo nezv\u00e1\u017eil obt\u00ed\u017ee, nebude schopen vyu\u017e\u00edt jeho v\u00fdhod.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1lka bez definovan\u00e9ho kone\u010dn\u00e9ho stavu je v\u00e1lkou prohranou d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e je vyhr\u00e1na. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed souhrn v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f Trumpovy administrativy v chronologick\u00e9m po\u0159ad\u00ed: Hegseth (28. \u00fanora) \u2013 konec \u201e47 dlouh\u00fdch let v\u00e1lky\u201c. Rubio (28. \u00fanora, o n\u011bkolik hodin pozd\u011bji) \u2013 preventivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed na ochranu americk\u00fdch sil. Trump (2. b\u0159ezna) \u2013 zm\u011bna re\u017eimu za \u201edva nebo t\u0159i dny\u201c. Trump (9. b\u0159ezna) \u2013 \u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee v\u00e1lka je v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b u konce.\u201c Hegseth (11. b\u0159ezna) \u2013 \u201eToto je jen za\u010d\u00e1tek\u201c. Trump (21. b\u0159ezna) \u2013 48hodinov\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum na znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu. Trump (23. b\u0159ezna) \u2013 p\u011btidenn\u00ed lh\u016fta pro \u201eproduktivn\u00ed\u201c jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Teher\u00e1n (23. b\u0159ezna) \u2013 \u201eMezi Teher\u00e1nem a Washingtonem neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd dialog.\u201c Deset neslu\u010diteln\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f za dvacet \u010dty\u0159i dn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eTaktika bez strategie je hluk p\u0159ed por\u00e1\u017ekou.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 Sun Tzu, Um\u011bn\u00ed v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Sun Tzu\u016fv verdikt:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 definice v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 strategie. Struktur\u00e1ln\u011b prohran\u00e1 kampa\u0148.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010ctvrt\u00fd princip<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">4. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Vypadaj siln\u011b, kdy\u017e jsi slab\u00fd, a slab\u011b, kdy\u017e jsi siln\u00fd.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n praktikuje metodu Sun Tzu. Uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Gibraltarsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b udr\u017euje nejednozna\u010dnost ohledn\u011b sv\u00e9 schopnosti udr\u017eet jej uzav\u0159en\u00fd na dobu neur\u010ditou, \u010d\u00edm\u017e nut\u00ed protivn\u00edka vy\u010derpat sv\u00e9 zdroje pro p\u0159\u00edpad nep\u0159edv\u00eddan\u00fdch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se nikdy nemus\u00ed uskute\u010dnit. Odm\u00edt\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a z\u00e1rove\u0148 umo\u017e\u0148uje region\u00e1ln\u00edm zprost\u0159edkovatel\u016fm \u2013 P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu, Turecku, Egyptu \u2013 vys\u00edlat zpr\u00e1vy dostate\u010dn\u011b nejednozna\u010dn\u00e9 na to, aby Trump mohl vytvo\u0159it narativ \u201eproduktivn\u00edch rozhovor\u016f\u201c, kter\u00fd mu umo\u017en\u00ed ustoupit bez form\u00e1ln\u00ed kapitulace. \u00dato\u010d\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e Dimony, ani\u017e by zni\u010dil reaktor \u2013 demonstruje tak existen\u010dn\u00ed schopnost, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 se zdr\u017euje jeho pou\u017eit\u00ed. Trump mezit\u00edm oznamuje sv\u00e9 hrozby velk\u00fdmi p\u00edsmeny na ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00edti. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 st\u00e1tn\u00ed televize odvys\u00edlala jednozna\u010dn\u00fd verdikt: \u201eTrump, ob\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed se \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 reakce, st\u00e1hl sv\u00e9 48hodinov\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum.\u201c Ka\u017ed\u00fd strat\u00e9g v Moskv\u011b, Pekingu, Pchjongjangu a Caracasu si tento transparent p\u0159e\u010detl. Ponau\u010den\u00ed: Americk\u00e1 ultim\u00e1ta lze ignorovat. Tomu teoretici odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed degradace d\u016fv\u011bryhodnosti \u2013 ka\u017ed\u00e1 kapitulace usnad\u0148uje ignorov\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed hrozby.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Sun Tzu\u016fv verdikt:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n praktikuje um\u011bn\u00ed mistra. Trump a Netanjahu poru\u0161uj\u00ed ka\u017edou kapitolu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">P\u00e1t\u00fd princip<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">5. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00edt\u011bzn\u00fd strat\u00e9g vyhled\u00e1v\u00e1 bitvu a\u017e po dosa\u017een\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump a Netanjahu zah\u00e1jili sv\u00e9 kampan\u011b a pot\u00e9 se sna\u017eili pochopit, co by v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed mohlo znamenat. Hledali u\u017e 24 dn\u00ed. Nena\u0161li stabiln\u00ed odpov\u011b\u010f. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u011bl naproti tomu podm\u00ednku v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed definovat je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed dopadem prvn\u00ed americk\u00e9 rakety: p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed. Z\u016fstat na nohou. Udr\u017eet pr\u016fliv uzav\u0159en\u00fd. Zp\u016fsobit ekonomickou bolest glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu. Uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 aliance v historii nem\u016f\u017ee dos\u00e1hnout sv\u00fdch deklarovan\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f. A nechat sv\u011bt, a\u0165 si vyvod\u00ed vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011bry. Sun Tzu by okam\u017eit\u011b rozpoznal \u00edr\u00e1nskou strategii. M\u011bl by probl\u00e9m rozeznat americkou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Sun Tzu\u016fv verdikt:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Nejd\u0159\u00edve bojovali a pak usilovali o v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u011bl svou podm\u00ednku pro v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed hned prvn\u00ed den.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u0160est\u00fd princip \u2013 Paradox sankc\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">6. \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Obra\u0165te s\u00edlu nep\u0159\u00edtele proti n\u011bmu sam\u00e9mu<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010cty\u0159icet \u0161est let americk\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem bylo zabr\u00e1nit \u00cdr\u00e1nu v rozvoji vojensk\u00e9 kapacity, p\u0159\u00edmo vedlo k vojensk\u00e9 kapacit\u011b, kter\u00e1 nyn\u00ed vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed obrann\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 sankce, kter\u00e1 nutila \u00cdr\u00e1n k dom\u00e1c\u00edm inovac\u00edm, ka\u017ed\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 embargo, kter\u00e9 zavedlo reverzn\u00ed in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed, ka\u017ed\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed vylou\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vedlo k sob\u011bsta\u010dnosti \u2013 to v\u0161e dohromady vytvo\u0159ilo asymetrick\u00fd arzen\u00e1l, kter\u00fd nyn\u00ed vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdrobn\u00ed linky spole\u010dnost\u00ed Raytheon a Lockheed Martin tempem, s n\u00edm\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 tov\u00e1rna na Zemi nedok\u00e1\u017ee dr\u017eet krok. Sun Tzu nemohl vymyslet lep\u0161\u00ed past.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u25b6<span dir=\"auto\">Sun Tzu\u016fv verdikt:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zbra\u0148 nep\u0159\u00edtele byla vyrobena jeho vlastn\u00ed rukou. Pades\u00e1t let trestu ukovalo dron.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Dev\u00e1t\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st: T\u0159et\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bz \u2013 Pekingsk\u00e1 tich\u00e1 sklize\u0148<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zat\u00edmco Washington v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu spaluje protiraketov\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky, logistiku \u00fadern\u00fdch skupin letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed a politick\u00fd kapit\u00e1l, \u010c\u00edna ti\u0161e upev\u0148uje strategickou architekturu 21. stolet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na podporu epick\u00e9 operace Fury Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159esunuly pokro\u010dil\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protiraketov\u00e9 obrany z Indo-Pacifiku na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod \u2013 baterie THAAD a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed st\u00edhac\u00ed platformy, jejich\u017e um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed v Tichomo\u0159\u00ed nejp\u0159\u00edm\u011bji ohro\u017eovalo \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy. Melanie Hartov\u00e1 z Atlantick\u00e9 rady to v\u00fdsti\u017en\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1: \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Je nemo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159ecenit, jak obrovsk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed tyto kroky p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed pro Peking. A pokud Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty skon\u010d\u00ed uv\u00edzl\u00e9 v dal\u0161\u00ed bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed ba\u017ein\u011b, kter\u00e1 Indo-Pacifik postoup\u00ed \u010c\u00edn\u011b, v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed budou pokra\u010dovat.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko je nejz\u0159eteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm p\u0159\u00edjemcem: ropa nad 100 dolar\u016f za barel doplnila v\u00e1le\u010dnou pokladnu Moskvy a sn\u00ed\u017eila vliv Ukrajiny v jak\u00fdchkoli budouc\u00edch m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch. V\u00e1lka, kter\u00e9 m\u011bla Trumpova administrativa zabr\u00e1nit \u2013 pomal\u00e9 dob\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny Ruskem \u2013 je \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b financov\u00e1na ekonomick\u00fdm naru\u0161en\u00edm v\u00e1lky, kterou se Trumpova administrativa rozhodla rozpoutat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka v roce 2026 by mohla b\u00fdt p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1na jako okam\u017eik, kdy americk\u00e9 stolet\u00ed v Pacifiku zah\u00e1jilo svou z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dnou f\u00e1zi \u2013 ne konfrontac\u00ed o Tchaj-wan, ale chybn\u00fdm odhadem ohledn\u011b jadern\u00e9ho za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pou\u0161ti.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00e1st des\u00e1t\u00e1: Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih sleduje<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato v\u00e1lka se net\u00fdk\u00e1 jen \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Jde o to, co \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky znamenaj\u00ed pro ka\u017ed\u00fd nez\u00e1padn\u00ed st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd vypo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1v\u00e1 sv\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 mo\u017enosti ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00fd je \u2013 prozat\u00edm \u2013 st\u00e1le strukturov\u00e1n americkou vojenskou nadvl\u00e1dou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po sedmdes\u00e1t let zn\u011bla z\u00e1kladn\u00ed premisa t\u00e9to struktury: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd p\u0159\u00edmo \u010del\u00ed americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edle, nem\u016f\u017ee konfrontaci p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt s neporu\u0161enou vl\u00e1dou. Vietnam tuto premisu zni\u010dil. Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n potvrdil, \u017ee k ne\u00fasp\u011bchu sta\u010dila dlouhodob\u00e1 okupace. \u00cdr\u00e1n v roce 2026 demonstruje n\u011bco nov\u00e9ho: \u017ee nez\u00e1padn\u00ed st\u00e1t dok\u00e1\u017ee absorbovat trval\u00e9 americk\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, udr\u017eet si sv\u00e9 institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed funkce, zachr\u00e1nit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku d\u00edky geografii a levn\u00fdm technologi\u00edm a donutit agresora k ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 nesoudr\u017enosti \u2013 to v\u0161e bez jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dron Shahed za 35 000 dolar\u016f, kter\u00fd donut\u00ed za\u00fato\u010dit protiraketov\u00fd st\u00edha\u010d Patriot za 4 miliony dolar\u016f, nen\u00ed jen zbra\u0148. Je to politick\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed: technologick\u00e1 a finan\u010dn\u00ed propast mezi imperi\u00e1ln\u00edm centrem a periferi\u00ed ji\u017e nesta\u010d\u00ed k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed podroben\u00ed se.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih sleduje situaci z Caracasu, Pchjongjangu, Harare a Al\u017e\u00edru. To, co sleduje \u2013 v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase, m\u011b\u0159eno vraky st\u00edhac\u00edch letoun\u016f, jejich\u017e zastaven\u00ed dronu st\u00e1lo 4 miliony dolar\u016f, je\u017e st\u00e1lo 20 000 dolar\u016f \u2013 je demonstrac\u00ed toho, \u017ee \u00e9ra nezpochybniteln\u00e9 americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 v\u0161emocnosti se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Malek Bennabi tvrdil, \u017ee civilizace nejsou pora\u017eeny nad\u0159azen\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi. Jsou pora\u017eeny vnit\u0159n\u00edm vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00edm sv\u00e9 v\u016fle k existenci. Civilizace, kter\u00e1 zapom\u00edn\u00e1, pro\u010d existuje, ji\u017e um\u00edr\u00e1, bez ohledu na velikost sv\u00e9ho arzen\u00e1lu. Sedm tis\u00edc let persk\u00e9 civilizace nezapomn\u011blo, pro\u010d existovala. Dv\u011b st\u011b pades\u00e1t let americk\u00e9 moci, kter\u00e1 je st\u00e1le m\u00e9n\u011b schopna pojmenovat, za co bojuje, mo\u017en\u00e1 proch\u00e1z\u00ed t\u00edmto procesem zapom\u00edn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br: V\u00e1lka, kterou \u010das nem\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Napoleon vpadl do Ruska v \u010dervnu 1812 s 600 000 voj\u00e1ky. V z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed dorazil do Moskvy. Rusov\u00e9 sv\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto rad\u011bji vyp\u00e1lili, ne\u017e aby se ho vzdali. Velk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da (Grande Arm\u00e9e), ur\u010den\u00e1 k rozhodn\u00e9mu boji, nem\u011bla \u017e\u00e1dnou strategickou odpov\u011b\u010f na lid ochotn\u00fd sn\u00e1\u0161et neomezen\u00e9 utrpen\u00ed, ne\u017e aby se pod\u0159\u00eddil. Do prosince se vr\u00e1tilo m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 100 000 z 600 000 mu\u017e\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ponau\u010den\u00ed se net\u00fdkalo vojensk\u00e9 technologie. \u0160lo o s\u00edlu v\u016fle, \u010das a asymetrii toho, co musela ka\u017ed\u00e1 strana ztratit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dvacet \u010dty\u0159i dn\u00ed nejsofistikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed leteck\u00e9 kampan\u011b v d\u011bjin\u00e1ch v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed. Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce mrtev. Tajemn\u00edk Rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti zavra\u017ed\u011bn. Pades\u00e1t lod\u00ed potopen\u00fdch na mo\u0159i. Natanz zasa\u017een t\u0159ikr\u00e1t. Nejm\u00e9n\u011b 1354 zabit\u00fdch civilist\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b 200 d\u011bt\u00ed. Zni\u010dena vojensk\u00e1 infrastruktura v hodnot\u011b miliard dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A p\u0159esto: Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika vl\u00e1dne. Jej\u00ed drony l\u00e9taj\u00ed. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je uzav\u0159en. Ropa stoj\u00ed p\u0159es 100 dolar\u016f. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika je rukojm\u00edm. Trump si vym\u00fd\u0161l\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase pop\u00edr\u00e1. Jeho ultim\u00e1ta vypr\u0161\u00ed, ani\u017e by byla provedena. Jeho v\u00e1lka nem\u00e1 jasn\u011b definovan\u00fd kone\u010dn\u00fd stav. A Sun-c&#8216;, kdy\u017e po dvaceti p\u011bti stolet\u00edch rekapituluje rozvahu, by sv\u00e9 pojedn\u00e1n\u00ed uzav\u0159el slovy: tato kampa\u0148 byla prohr\u00e1na je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed odp\u00e1len\u00edm prvn\u00ed rakety.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je tu je\u0161t\u011b jeden fakt, kter\u00fd historie nep\u0159ehl\u00e9dne. 27. \u00fanora 2026 \u2013 den p\u0159ed bombov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky \u2013 om\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed potvrdil, \u017ee diplomatick\u00fd pr\u016flom je na dosah ruky. \u00cdr\u00e1n souhlasil s plnou transparentnost\u00ed v jadern\u00e9 oblasti. M\u00edr byl mo\u017en\u00fd. Bylo rozhodnuto bombardovat, nikoli vyjedn\u00e1vat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Sa&#8217;di Shirazi napsal v Persii ve 13. stolet\u00ed ver\u0161, kter\u00fd je dnes vytes\u00e1n u vchodu do Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f: \u201eLid\u00e9 jsou \u010dleny jednoho t\u011bla, stvo\u0159en\u00fdmi ze stejn\u00e9 podstaty.\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1n tuto b\u00e1se\u0148 nab\u00eddl Organizaci spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mu poslaly \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 st\u0159ely.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><em><span dir=\"auto\">Imp\u00e9rium m\u00e1 v\u00edce zbran\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 del\u0161\u00ed pam\u011b\u0165.<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em><span dir=\"auto\">Pam\u011b\u0165 z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">od\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Laaly Bechetouly<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\"><span dir=\"auto\">*<\/span><\/h5>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zdokumentovan\u00e9 zdroje<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Persk\u00e1 civilizace a K\u00fdr\u016fv v\u00e1lec<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Britsk\u00e9 muzeum, Lond\u00fdn (st\u00e1l\u00e1 sb\u00edrka, m\u00edstnost 52)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Program OSN pro lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va: Historie p\u0159irozen\u00e9ho pr\u00e1va a z\u00e1kladn\u00edch svobod<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 historii a n\u00e1m samotn\u00fdm: Od starov\u011bk\u00e9 Persie k V\u0161eobecn\u00e9 deklaraci (2024)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Sa&#8217;di Chirazi, Bani Adam (13. stolet\u00ed) \u2013 vystaveno u vchodu do OSN, New York, 2005<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bdectv\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch civilist\u016f<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 NPR \/ Ruth Sherlock: \u017divot pod bombami v Teher\u00e1nu: Den\u00edk \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 spisovatelky (13. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 NPR \/ Emily Feng: Strach, vzdor a hn\u011bv: \u00cdr\u00e1nci popisuj\u00ed sv\u016fj \u017eivot pod bombami (19. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 NPR: Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy o v\u00e1lce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu po t\u0159ech t\u00fddnech (21. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Xinhua: Dopis pro Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod: Srdce v plamenech \u2014 Teher\u00e1n pod bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm (3. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Al D\u017eaz\u00edra: \u201eNa\u0161e srdce se t\u0159\u00e1sla\u201c: Teher\u00e1n za\u017eil noc intenzivn\u00edho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed (10. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Civiln\u00ed ob\u011bti<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 HRANA (Tiskov\u00e1 agentura aktivist\u016f za lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va): 3 114 mrtv\u00fdch k 17. b\u0159eznu 2026, v\u010detn\u011b 1 354 civilist\u016f<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Zpr\u00e1va UNICEF z 12. b\u0159ezna 2026: V \u00cdr\u00e1nu zabito v\u00edce ne\u017e 200 d\u011bt\u00ed<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u010cerven\u00fd p\u016flm\u011bs\u00edc: C\u00edlem \u00fatoku bylo v\u00edce ne\u017e 6 668 civiln\u00edch bytov\u00fdch jednotek<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Wikipedie: V\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu v roce 2026 (aktualizov\u00e1no 24. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sankce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 kompletn\u00ed historie<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Wikipedie: Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sankce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu; americk\u00e9 sankce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Al-D\u017eaz\u00edra: \u010casov\u00e1 osa sankc\u00ed proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu (2012, aktualizov\u00e1no v roce 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Knihovna Kongresu: Sankce USA proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu (zpr\u00e1va CRS IF12452)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 V\u00fdzkumn\u00e1 slu\u017eba Evropsk\u00e9ho parlamentu: Pozn\u00e1mka EPRS 777928 (2025)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Sv\u011bdectv\u00ed Scotta Bessenta p\u0159ed sen\u00e1tn\u00edm bankovn\u00edm v\u00fdborem, \u00fanor 2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Laudati a kol., \u010casopis aplikovan\u00e9 ekonometrie (2023)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Asymetrie vojensk\u00fdch n\u00e1klad\u016f<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Northeastern University \/ Stephen Flynn: \u201eV\u00e1lka mezi USA, Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem vstupuje do \u010dtvrt\u00e9ho t\u00fddne, n\u00e1klady pod drobnohledem\u201c (23. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Zpr\u00e1va Dupree: \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 drony za 20 000 dolar\u016f oproti americk\u00fdm raket\u00e1m za 4 miliony dolar\u016f (b\u0159ezen 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Middle East Eye: \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 drony stoj\u00ed zlomek protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany (b\u0159ezen 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Globe and Mail: Vysok\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na zachycen\u00ed levn\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch dron\u016f (b\u0159ezen 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Kelly Grieco, Stimson Center (v\u00edce citac\u00ed, b\u0159ezen 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Nadace Heritage: varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed vy\u010derpan\u00fdmi z\u00e1sobami, leden 2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv a jeho ekonomick\u00fd dopad<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 \u0158editel IEA Fatih Birol, prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed z 22.\u201323. b\u0159ezna 2026 (N\u00e1rodn\u00ed tiskov\u00fd klub Austr\u00e1lie)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Al Jazeera: Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed informace o v\u00e1lce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, 23. den (22.\u201323. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Centrum pro evropskou reformu: V\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu: kdo v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed a kdo prohr\u00e1v\u00e1? (b\u0159ezen 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Britannica: V\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem 2026 (aktualizov\u00e1no 24. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zranitelnost odsolovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Al Jazeera: Jak by c\u00edlen\u00ed na odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed mohlo naru\u0161it z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed vody v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu (8. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Atlantick\u00e1 rada \/ Ginger Matchett: \u00datoky na odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed p\u0159edznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161nou budoucnost (18. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 CSIS \/ David Michel: Mohl by \u00cdr\u00e1n naru\u0161it dod\u00e1vky vody do zem\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu? (b\u0159ezen 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika: \u00datok USA na ostrov\u011b Ke\u0161m riskuje spir\u00e1lu odvety (9. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 CNN: Voda je na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ropa a plyn \u2013 a je v ohro\u017een\u00ed (11. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Laurent Lambert, Dohsk\u00fd institut pro postgradu\u00e1ln\u00ed studium<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Leteck\u00e1 s\u00edla a zm\u011bna re\u017eimu<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Robert Pape, Chicagsk\u00e1 univerzita: Pro\u010d je \u00cdr\u00e1n nyn\u00ed mocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou, MS.NOW (21. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Robert Pape: Past eskalace (zpravodaj, 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Atlantick\u00e1 rada: Dvacet ot\u00e1zek o v\u00e1lce v \u00cdr\u00e1nu (b\u0159ezen 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Washingtonsk\u00fd institut pro bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed politiku: Hodnocen\u00ed pokroku USA ve v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem (b\u0159ezen 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ultim\u00e1tum a fingovan\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed (22.\u201323. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 CBS News: Trump ru\u0161\u00ed ultim\u00e1tum ohledn\u011b Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu (23. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 NPR: Trump tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee USA jedn\u00e1 s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, co\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n pop\u00edr\u00e1 (23. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Al D\u017eaz\u00edra: \u00cdr\u00e1n pop\u00edr\u00e1 jak\u00e9koli jedn\u00e1n\u00ed pot\u00e9, co Trump prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u0161lo o produktivn\u00ed rozhovory (23. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Zpr\u00e1vy ITV: Trump \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n \u201evelmi siln\u011b\u201c chce dohodu, zat\u00edmco Teher\u00e1n to ozna\u010duje za \u201efale\u0161n\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy\u201c (23. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159edsedy \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho parlamentu Mohammada Baghera Ghalibafa (23. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Hassan Ahmadian, Teher\u00e1nsk\u00e1 univerzita (citov\u00e1no Al Jazeera, 23. b\u0159ezna 2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sun-c&#8216;<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Sun Tzu, Um\u011bn\u00ed v\u00e1lky (cca 500 p\u0159. n. l.), p\u0159eklad Lionel Giles (1910); p\u0159eklad Samuel B. Griffith (Oxford University Press, 1963)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 BH Liddell Hart, Strategie (1954)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Colin Gray, Modern\u00ed strategie (Oxford University Press, 1999)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Filozofick\u00fd a intelektu\u00e1ln\u00ed r\u00e1mec<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Ibn Khaldoun, Mouqaddima (1377)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Frantz Fanon, Uboz\u00ed zem\u011b (1961, Pr\u00e9sence africaine)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Malek Bennabi, Povol\u00e1n\u00ed isl\u00e1mu (1954); Probl\u00e9m idej\u00ed v muslimsk\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b (1970); Podm\u00ednky renesance (1949)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u2022 Sa&#8217;di Chirazi, Ovocn\u00e1 zahrada \/ Bani Adam (13. stolet\u00ed)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sedm tis\u00edc let civilizace\u00a0versus dv\u011b st\u011b pades\u00e1t let imp\u00e9ria \u201eDobyvatel nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dobyvatel&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102897,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,398,38,839,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102896"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102896"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102896\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102896"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102896"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102896"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}