{"id":102828,"date":"2026-03-25T00:27:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T23:27:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102828"},"modified":"2026-03-24T16:31:11","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T15:31:11","slug":"putinuv-nejvyssi-poradce-se-domniva-ze-treti-valka-v-perskem-zalivu-by-mohla-destabilizovat-afro-eurasii-na-roky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/25\/putinuv-nejvyssi-poradce-se-domniva-ze-treti-valka-v-perskem-zalivu-by-mohla-destabilizovat-afro-eurasii-na-roky\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin\u016fv nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed poradce se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lka v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu by mohla destabilizovat Afro-Eurasii na roky"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eNegativn\u00ed dopady na zem\u011bd\u011blsko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex v Asii, Africe a Evrop\u011b\u201c mohou v\u00e9st k rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9mu hladov\u011bn\u00ed, zat\u00edmco \u201euzav\u0159en\u00ed energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed v Japonsku, Korejsk\u00e9 republice, Austr\u00e1lii a Evropsk\u00e9 unii\u201c m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 nezam\u011bstnanosti, co\u017e oboj\u00ed vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 nepokoje.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nikolaj Patru\u0161ev je jedn\u00edm z Putinov\u00fdch nejstar\u0161\u00edch p\u0159\u00e1tel a ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010dtvrt stolet\u00ed slou\u017e\u00ed jako jeho hlavn\u00ed poradce. A\u010dkoli ji\u017e nen\u00ed tajemn\u00edkem Rady bezpe\u010dnosti, st\u00e1le je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed administrativy a udr\u017euje si prezidentovu pozornost. Proto stoj\u00ed za to v\u011bnovat pozornost jeho vhledu do d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed, jako je\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/south24.net\/news\/newse.php?tags=scenarios-for-the-end-of-the-third-gulf-war&amp;nid=5352\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lka v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, o kter\u00fd se ned\u00e1vno pod\u011blil v\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/8514927?nav_id=chapter1\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">rozhovoru\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">pro Kommersant. Patru\u0161ev se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 d\u016fsledky konfliktu destabilizuj\u00ed Afro-Eurasii na cel\u00e9 roky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle jeho slov se \u201eoperace \u201aEpic Fury\u2018 fakticky stala katalyz\u00e1torem p\u0159erozd\u011blen\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edho energetick\u00e9ho trhu a kolapsu n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed logistiky\u201c, co\u017e je zp\u016fsobeno t\u00edm, \u017ee Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv ji\u017e po po\u0161kozen\u00ed sv\u00e9 infrastruktury nefunguje jako jeden z uzl\u016f glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky. Proto \u201erostou ceny energi\u00ed, p\u0159epravn\u00ed sazby pro hlavn\u00ed kontejnerov\u00e9 p\u0159epravn\u00ed linky a n\u00e1klady na poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoz hnojiv kles\u00e1, co\u017e negativn\u011b ovliv\u0148uje zem\u011bd\u011blsko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex v Asii, Africe a Evrop\u011b.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dodal, \u017ee \u201eomezen\u00ed dod\u00e1vek energie nevyhnuteln\u011b povedou k uzav\u0159en\u00ed energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed v Japonsku, Korejsk\u00e9 republice, Austr\u00e1lii a Evropsk\u00e9 unii\u201c, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika se pono\u0159\u00ed do vlekl\u00e9 recese bez konce v dohledu. T\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lka v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu se tak\u00e9 obr\u00e1tila proti USA t\u00edm, \u017ee zdiskreditovala jejich pov\u011bst garanta bezpe\u010dnosti sv\u00fdch spojenc\u016f,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/the-gulf-states-hosting-of-us-forces-actually-made-them-less-safe\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">zejm\u00e9na t\u011bch, kde se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed jejich z\u00e1kladny\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n nad\u00e1le \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu odvetn\u00fdmi \u00fadery.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k Patru\u0161evov\u00fdm poznatk\u016fm o d\u016fsledc\u00edch konfliktu je posledn\u00ed zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd aspekt t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se reputace a region\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f USA relativn\u011b l\u00e9pe zvl\u00e1dnuteln\u00fd, proto\u017ee v nejhor\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b tot\u00e1ln\u00edho chaosu by se USA mohly jednodu\u0161e st\u00e1hnout z v\u00fdchodn\u00ed polokoule. To zasazuje do kontextu zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed N\u00e1rodn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/the-us-new-national-security-strategy-details-how-trump-2-0-will-respond-to-multipolarity\" rel=\"\"><span dir=\"auto\">bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategie\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">na obnoven\u00ed hegemonie USA nad z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoul\u00ed jako zdroje zdroj\u016f a trh\u016f pro p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed a dokonce i prosperitu v takov\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zem\u011b Afro-Eurasie se bohu\u017eel nemohou chr\u00e1nit p\u0159ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed syst\u00e9movou nestabilitou vych\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu tak, jako to dok\u00e1\u017eou USA, co\u017e pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159edznamen\u00e1 roky nepokoj\u016f pro mnoho rozvinut\u00fdch i rozvojov\u00fdch zem\u00ed. Koneckonc\u016f, jak\u00e9koli dal\u0161\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 po\u0161kozen\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 infrastruktury \u2013 jej\u00ed\u017e oprava si ji\u017e nyn\u00ed vy\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 mnoho \u010dasu \u2013 riskuje, \u017ee z trhu vyjde je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce jej\u00edch zdroj\u016f, a mnoho zem\u00ed tak z\u016fstane bez prost\u0159edk\u016f na uspokojen\u00ed sv\u00fdch souvisej\u00edc\u00edch pot\u0159eb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eNegativn\u00ed dopady na zem\u011bd\u011blsko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex v Asii, Africe a Evrop\u011b\u201c mohou v\u00e9st k rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9mu hladov\u011bn\u00ed, zat\u00edmco \u201euzav\u0159en\u00ed energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed v Japonsku, Korejsk\u00e9 republice, Austr\u00e1lii a Evropsk\u00e9 unii\u201c m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 nezam\u011bstnanosti, co\u017e by v obou p\u0159\u00edpadech vyvolalo nepokoje. Rusko by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bylo jedinou o\u00e1zou bezpe\u010d\u00ed a stability na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed polokouli, ale mohlo by up\u0159ednostnit v\u00fdvoz zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch produkt\u016f, hnojiv a energie sv\u00fdm \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm a indick\u00fdm partner\u016fm, aby jim tak\u00e9 pomohlo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A\u0165 je to jakkoli, Afro-Eurasie jako celek by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b z\u016fstala destabilizovan\u00e1 po mnoho let, zat\u00edmco by se USA stahovaly zp\u011bt na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli, aby se od toho v\u0161eho izolovaly, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 vyu\u017e\u00edvaly chaos jako zbra\u0148 pro \u00fa\u010dely principu \u201erozd\u011bl a panuj\u201c, tak\u017ee je nemo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159edv\u00eddat, jak by to v\u0161echno mohlo skon\u010dit. Aby bylo jasno, jedn\u00e1 se pouze o nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 a \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b by se mu dalo je\u0161t\u011b zabr\u00e1nit, ale skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Putin\u016fv nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed poradce Patru\u0161ev o tom ji\u017e zlov\u011bstn\u011b nazna\u010duje, nazna\u010duje, \u017ee se Rusko aktivn\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na to nejhor\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/putins-top-aide-believes-that-the?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;publication_id=835783&amp;post_id=191736095&amp;utm_campaign=email-post-title&amp;isFreemail=false&amp;r=pf6gr&amp;triedRedirect=true&amp;utm_medium=email\">Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-22017\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"153\" height=\"153\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 153px) 100vw, 153px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201eNegativn\u00ed dopady na zem\u011bd\u011blsko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex v Asii, Africe a Evrop\u011b\u201c mohou v\u00e9st k rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9mu hladov\u011bn\u00ed,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102829,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,371,276,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102828"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102828"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102828\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102829"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}