{"id":102733,"date":"2026-03-24T00:27:41","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T23:27:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102733"},"modified":"2026-03-23T17:05:47","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T16:05:47","slug":"felix-abt-slepa-ulicka-projektu-velkeho-izraele","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/24\/felix-abt-slepa-ulicka-projektu-velkeho-izraele\/","title":{"rendered":"Felix Abt: Slep\u00e1 uli\u010dka projektu \u201eVelk\u00e9ho Izraele\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Izraelsk\u00e1 kampa\u0148 v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch atent\u00e1t\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1n neoslabila \u2013 vytvo\u0159ila pro jeho expanzivn\u00ed projekt siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho a jadern\u011b p\u0159ipraven\u011bj\u0161\u00edho protivn\u00edka.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Izrael dlouhodob\u011b prosazuje strategii eliminace veden\u00ed st\u00e1t\u016f a hnut\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se stav\u00ed proti projektu \u201eVelk\u00e9ho Izraele\u201c. Navzdory ne\u00faprosn\u00e9 s\u00e9rii c\u00edlen\u00fdch vra\u017ed v cel\u00e9m \u00cdr\u00e1nu, v Libanonu (Hizball\u00e1h), v Gaze (Hamas) a mezi ir\u00e1ck\u00fdmi milicemi se v\u0161ak strategick\u00e1 situace t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nezm\u011bnila.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto organizace prokazuj\u00ed pozoruhodnou odolnost: jejich v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed struktury z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry nedot\u010den\u00e9 d\u00edky disciplinovan\u00fdm proces\u016fm n\u00e1stupnictv\u00ed, jejich vojensk\u00e9 operace pokra\u010duj\u00ed v nezm\u011bn\u011bn\u00e9 podob\u011b a region\u00e1ln\u00ed architektura z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v podstat\u011b nezm\u011bn\u011bna.<\/span><\/p>\n

Znepokojiv\u00e9 vra\u017edy \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce Al\u00edho Chamene\u00edho a Al\u00edho Larid\u017e\u00e1n\u00edho, b\u00fdval\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e9fa Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, odhaluj\u00ed do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed chybu v p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edm \u201enarativu jadern\u00e9 hrozby\u201c. Oba byli \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edmi postavami \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 diplomacie; Larid\u017e\u00e1n\u00ed byl jedn\u00edm z architekt\u016f jadern\u00e9 dohody (JCPOA), kter\u00e1 omezila obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu na \u00farove\u0148, je\u017e znemo\u017e\u0148ovala v\u00fdvoj jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Selektivn\u00ed eliminac\u00ed t\u011bch v\u016fdc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed h\u00e1jili\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1bo\u017eenskou fatvu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0proti jadern\u00fdm zbran\u00edm a z\u00e1rove\u0148 otev\u0159eli diplomatick\u00e9 cesty k \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, mohl Izrael spustit zm\u011bnu politiky po vzoru Severn\u00ed Koreje. Bez z\u00e1stupc\u016f s vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00edm postojem by nov\u00e9, mnohem nekompromisn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed mohlo pova\u017eovat jadern\u00e9 odstra\u0161en\u00ed za jedinou spolehlivou ochranu p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00ed agres\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u010dkoliv USA a Izrael dos\u00e1hly taktick\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f eliminac\u00ed vysoce postaven\u00fdch osobnost\u00ed, tato \u201ev\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c se neprom\u00edtla do strategick\u00fdch v\u00fdhod.<\/span><\/p>\n

Atent\u00e1t na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem bylo rozd\u011blit Isl\u00e1mskou republiku, m\u00edsto toho fungoval jako katalyz\u00e1tor jednoty. St\u00e1tn\u00ed apar\u00e1t se v\u00edce propojil a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1kladna vl\u00e1dy \u2013 kter\u00e1 vn\u00edm\u00e1 konflikt jako existen\u010dn\u00ed boj o p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed \u2013 je mobilizovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e kdy jindy. Neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky p\u0159edpov\u00eddan\u00e9ho kolapsu; syst\u00e9m se dnes jev\u00ed stabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed \u00fatoky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 t\u00edm, \u017ee Izrael eliminuje ty \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edky, kte\u0159\u00ed mohli vyjednat p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, fakticky ni\u010d\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 mosty, kter\u00e9 by Trumpova administrativa pot\u0159ebovala k \u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9mu ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

To nazna\u010duje c\u00edl, kter\u00fd jde nad r\u00e1mec ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch argument\u016f nebo \u00fadajn\u00e9 podpory demokracie. Mnoho d\u016fkaz\u016f nazna\u010duje, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem Izraele je systematick\u00e9 ni\u010den\u00ed pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch a vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1klad\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 region\u00e1ln\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed \u201estrategie\u00a0<\/span>seka\u010dky na tr\u00e1vu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 v Gaze a Libanonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kone\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem je tedy rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00fd, vypr\u00e1zdn\u011bn\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00fd se ji\u017e nebude moci br\u00e1nit izraelsk\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonii. A tento expanzivn\u00ed projekt se neomezuje pouze na \u00cdr\u00e1n: vlivn\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 hlasy ji\u017e nazna\u010dily, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>Turecko by se mohlo st\u00e1t dal\u0161\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed v hled\u00e1\u010dku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Konflikt se tak\u00e9 p\u0159esouv\u00e1 do n\u011bkter\u00fdch z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch energetick\u00fdch koridor\u016f sv\u011bta. Bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed plynov\u00e9ho pole Ji\u017en\u00ed Pars \u2013 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho na sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00e9 sd\u00edlej\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n a Katar \u2013 bylo promy\u0161lenou provokac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00datokem na velk\u00e9 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, jeho\u017e polovina je ve vlastnictv\u00ed Dauh\u00e1, se Izrael sna\u017e\u00ed podkopat\u00a0<\/span>neutralitu Rady pro spolupr\u00e1ci v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(GCC). Katar a jeho soused\u00e9 se t\u00e9to pasti zat\u00edm vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed: Zapojen\u00ed do v\u00e1lky by je mohlo donutit k nepopul\u00e1rn\u00edm normaliza\u010dn\u00edm dohod\u00e1m s Izraelem a vyvolat dom\u00e1c\u00ed nepokoje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 americk\u00e9 \u00fatoky pobl\u00ed\u017e ostrova Charg \u2013 exportn\u00edho centra pro 90 % \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ropn\u00e9ho exportu \u2013 p\u0159ivedly sv\u011bt na pokraj katastrofy. Pokud bude tato ekonomick\u00e1 z\u00e1chrann\u00e1 lano p\u0159eru\u0161ena, Teher\u00e1n se s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na energetickou infrastrukturu zem\u00ed GCC, co\u017e bude m\u00edt za n\u00e1sledek glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 ot\u0159esy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washingtonu Izrael tak\u00e9 vnukl narativ, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v \u201enejslab\u0161\u00edm bod\u011b sv\u00e9 historie\u201c \u2013 jako pap\u00edrov\u00fd tygr, kter\u00fd se zhrout\u00ed ve \u201estohodinov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u0159i t\u00fddny intenzivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky bez konce v dohledu uk\u00e1zaly, jak nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 tato iluze byla. Z\u00e1pad podcenil kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 faktory: zaprv\u00e9 syst\u00e9movou soudr\u017enost, proto\u017ee politick\u00fd syst\u00e9m se pod tlakem nezhroutil, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e se propojil; zadruh\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 schopnosti, jeliko\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n odhalil vysoce pokro\u010dil\u00e9 zbran\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b raket schopn\u00fdch n\u00e1hl\u00fdch korekc\u00ed kurzu o 90 stup\u0148\u016f a syst\u00e9m\u016f submunice, kter\u00e9 dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ekonat modern\u00ed protivzdu\u0161nou obranu; a zat\u0159et\u00ed pr\u016fmyslovou odolnost, jeliko\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n prokazuje p\u016fsobivou schopnost v\u00e9st vleklou, existen\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc vra\u017ed\u011bn\u00edmi um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00fdch \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f Izrael fakticky sabotuje jak\u00fdkoli pokus USA o sta\u017een\u00ed se z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu v souladu s politikou \u201eAmerika na prvn\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b\u201c. M\u00edsto \u201ekr\u00e1tk\u00e9ho konfliktu\u201c slibovan\u00e9ho Izraelem a jeho spojeneck\u00fdmi neokonzervativci je Washington vtahov\u00e1n do ba\u017einy, kter\u00e1\u00a0by nakonec mohla vy\u017eadovat nasazen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>pozemn\u00edch vojsk .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se sv\u00fdm rozlehl\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm, velkou populac\u00ed a technologicky vysp\u011blou arm\u00e1dou p\u0159edstavuje v\u00fdzvu, kter\u00e1 by mohla daleko p\u0159ed\u010dit v\u00e1lky v Koreji nebo Vietnamu. V kombinaci s hluboce zako\u0159en\u011bnou region\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161\u00editskou podp\u016frnou s\u00edt\u00ed vede tato cesta k takov\u00e9 \u00farovni destrukce \u2013 a glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu ekonomick\u00e9mu \u0161oku \u2013 na kterou jsou USA a jejich spojenci naprosto nep\u0159ipraveni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Felix Abt<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Izraelsk\u00e1 kampa\u0148 v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch atent\u00e1t\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1n neoslabila \u2013 vytvo\u0159ila pro jeho expanzivn\u00ed projekt siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho a jadern\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102734,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,107,1503],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102733"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102733"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102733\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102734"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102733"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102733"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102733"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}