{"id":102599,"date":"2026-03-23T00:14:28","date_gmt":"2026-03-22T23:14:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102599"},"modified":"2026-03-22T13:59:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T12:59:46","slug":"pepe-escobar-o-valce-proti-iranu-trump-oznacil-nato-za-papiroveho-tygra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/23\/pepe-escobar-o-valce-proti-iranu-trump-oznacil-nato-za-papiroveho-tygra\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar o v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu: Trump ozna\u010dil NATO za \u201epap\u00edrov\u00e9ho tygra\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b dos\u00e1hl nov\u00e9, dramatick\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b eskalace \u00fatokem na nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 plynov\u00e1 pole a n\u00e1slednou \u00edr\u00e1nskou odvetou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump v p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch Truth ozna\u010dil NATO za \u201epap\u00edrov\u00e9ho tygra\u201c, proto\u017ee spojenci odm\u00edtaj\u00ed podniknout vojensk\u00e9 kroky k znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V podrobn\u00e9m rozhovoru s Mariem Nawfalem analyzuje renomovan\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd expert Pepe Escobar situaci: od zni\u010den\u00ed kritick\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 infrastruktury a\u017e po faktick\u00e9 zn\u00e1rodn\u011bn\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed paral\u00fdzu Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar vykresluje obraz glob\u00e1ln\u00edho syst\u00e9mu na pokraji kolapsu \u2013 a varuje p\u0159ed dlouhou v\u00e1lkou s nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"TRUMP NAZ\u00ddV\u00c1 NATO \u201ePAP\u00cdROV\u00ddM TYGREM\u201c - Pepe Escobar o v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/xKSTg2H485s?start=18&amp;feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00datok na Ji\u017en\u00ed Pars a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 \u0161oky<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Spou\u0161t\u011b\u010dem sou\u010dasn\u00e9 eskalace byl izraelsk\u00fd \u00fatok na plynov\u00e9 pole South Pars v ji\u017en\u00edm \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00e9 geologicky bezprobl\u00e9mov\u011b navazuje na katarsk\u00e9 pole North Dome.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n reagoval symetricky: rakety zas\u00e1hly kompresory a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn (LNG) v Ras Laff\u00e1nu (Katar), co\u017e podle spole\u010dnosti Qatar Energy zp\u016fsobilo zru\u0161en\u00ed dvou ze 14 vlak\u016f LNG.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel spole\u010dnosti Qatar Energy odhaduje, \u017ee obnoven\u00ed kapacity bude trvat nejm\u00e9n\u011b p\u011bt let. To p\u0159edstavuje ztr\u00e1tu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 17 % glob\u00e1ln\u00ed exportn\u00ed kapacity Kataru pro LNG \u2013 r\u00e1nu, kterou nelze rychle nahradit.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Prvn\u00ed d\u016fsledky: Asie pod tlakem, Evropa bez pl\u00e1nu B<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pepe Escobar, kter\u00fd je moment\u00e1ln\u011b v jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii, hl\u00e1s\u00ed okam\u017eit\u00e9 dopady: V Thajsku a Vietnamu ji\u017e plat\u00ed p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fd syst\u00e9m na palivo a \u010derpac\u00ed stanice jsou pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Singapur a Thajsko se p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na tsunami v podob\u011b odlivu kapit\u00e1lu z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu \u2013 odhady se pohybuj\u00ed v rozmez\u00ed 200 a\u017e 300 miliard americk\u00fdch dolar\u016f, kter\u00e9 se p\u0159esm\u011bruj\u00ed do regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Evropa se naopak propad\u00e1 do zoufalstv\u00ed: n\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed, ital\u0161t\u00ed a francouz\u0161t\u00ed podnikatel\u00e9 nevid\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd pl\u00e1n B, proto\u017ee rusk\u00fd plyn byl sabotov\u00e1n a alternativy jako Norsko, Al\u017e\u00edrsko nebo Turkmenist\u00e1n nejsou dostate\u010dn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv: De facto kontrola ze strany \u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 kontrola nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n de facto zavedl \u201esyst\u00e9m m\u00fdtn\u00fdch stanovi\u0161\u0165\u201c: Tankery mohou proplout, pokud plat\u00ed v petrojuanech (\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch juanech) a pluj\u00ed bl\u00edzko \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vod \u2013 \u010dasto s vizu\u00e1ln\u00edm ov\u011b\u0159en\u00edm ze strany IRGC.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Lod\u011b z USA, Izraele nebo zem\u00ed NATO jsou blokov\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdjimky plat\u00ed pro \u010c\u00ednu (d\u00edky 25let\u00e9 dohod\u011b s investicemi ve v\u00fd\u0161i 400 miliard dolar\u016f), Indii, P\u00e1kist\u00e1n nebo Banglad\u00e9\u0161 \u2013 v ka\u017ed\u00e9m jednotliv\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To je p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 r\u00e1na petrodolaru: \u00cdr\u00e1n bez jedin\u00e9ho v\u00fdst\u0159elu zavedl alternativn\u00ed platebn\u00ed mechanismus a uv\u00e1d\u011bl tak my\u0161lenky BRICS do praxe.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Trump vs. NATO \u2013 a vojensk\u00e1 realita<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump obvi\u0148uje NATO ze zbab\u011blosti: Aliance nepodporovala boj proti \u201ejadern\u011b vyzbrojen\u00e9mu \u00cdr\u00e1nu\u201c, nyn\u00ed si st\u011b\u017euje na vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy, ale nechce otev\u00edrat cestu \u201ejednoduch\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi man\u00e9vry\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b souhlas\u00ed \u2013 NATO je skute\u010dn\u011b zbab\u011bl\u00e9 \u2013 ale zd\u016fraz\u0148uje: Je nemo\u017en\u00e9 vojensky dob\u00fdt zp\u011bt ulice.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed je poseto protilodn\u00edmi st\u0159elami; americk\u00e9 letadlov\u00e9 lod\u011b ji\u017e po \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch testovac\u00edch raket\u00e1ch uprchly do ji\u017en\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti Indick\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Intervence by byla sebevra\u017eedn\u00e1 \u2013 \u201eZ\u00e1toka svin\u00ed kr\u00e1t 1000\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strategie: \u201eVelk\u00e9 z\u00fa\u017een\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n prosazuje strategii chirurgick\u00e9ho vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed, kterou Escobar popisuje jako \u201evelk\u00e9 z\u00fa\u017een\u00ed\u201c: C\u00edlem je struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed paral\u00fdza Izraele prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u00fatok\u016f na \u010dty\u0159i \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 org\u00e1ny:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Hydrologick\u00e1 asfyxie \u2192 Odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Protokol o v\u00fdpadku proudu \u2192 Elektr\u00e1rna Rabin (st\u0159ed elektrick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Potravinov\u00e9 obl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed \u2192 P\u0159\u00edstavy Haifa a A\u0161dod (85 % dovozu p\u0161enice)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Dekapitace energie \u2192 rafinerie v Haif\u011b (ji\u017e zasa\u017een\u00e9)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Hypersonick\u00e1 v\u00e1lka a \u201eparadox obrany s nulov\u00fdm sou\u010dtem\u201c<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">K tomuto \u00fa\u010delu \u00cdr\u00e1n pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 hypersonick\u00e9 st\u0159ely: Kheibar Shekan-4 a Fattah-2 (a\u017e Mach 16, cca 5,5 km\/s).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u201eparadox obrany s nulov\u00fdm sou\u010dtem\u201c: Izrael utr\u00e1c\u00ed miliony za ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 pokusy o zachycen\u00ed, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n zasahuje c\u00edle levn\u011b a p\u0159esn\u011b \u2013 \u010dasto kazetovou munic\u00ed (a\u017e 80 submunic na st\u0159elu).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Strategie je zalo\u017eena na rusk\u00fdch zku\u0161enostech z Ukrajiny (koordinace salv dron\u016f a raket) a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00e9m satelitn\u00edm pr\u016fzkumu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sest\u0159elen\u00ed neviditeln\u00e9ho letounu F-35 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm termovizn\u00edm syst\u00e9mem Majid znamen\u00e1 za\u010d\u00e1tek technologicky vysp\u011bl\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed posun moci: USA jsou pod tlakem k akci<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar vid\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n v nal\u00e9hav\u00e9 situaci pro USA: Ka\u017ed\u00fd krok situaci zhor\u0161uje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA jsou \u010dist\u00fdm v\u00fdvozcem plynu, ale nejv\u00edce trp\u00ed spojenci jako Japonsko, Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea, Indie a Evropa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry nedot\u010dena \u2013 d\u00edky ropovod\u016fm (S\u00edla Sibi\u0159e, Myanmar), z\u00e1sob\u00e1m (alespo\u0148 \u010dty\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce) a diverzifikaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Severn\u00ed Korea dokonce nab\u00eddla jadernou podporu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by byl \u00cdr\u00e1n napaden jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Dlouhodob\u00e1 v\u00e1lka m\u00edsto rychl\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m (vedouc\u00edm pracovn\u00edk\u016fm, velitel\u016fm) si \u00cdr\u00e1n zachov\u00e1v\u00e1 sebev\u011bdom\u00ed: Nejde o personalizaci ani rychl\u00e1 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, ale o dlouhodob\u00e9 procesy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po\u017eadavek \u010d\u00edslo jedna: V\u0161echny americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny ze z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dlouh\u00e1 v\u00e1lka m\u00e1 za c\u00edl ekonomicky a politicky oslabit nep\u0159\u00edtele \u2013 zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n (izolovan\u00fd sankcemi) je m\u00e9n\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00fd na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br: Eskalace bez v\u00fdchodiska<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump sice up\u0159ednost\u0148uje ekonomiku a chce rychl\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u2013 ale Escobar varuje: V\u00e1lka nem\u00e1 strategii, je arogantn\u00ed a vykolejen\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Eskalace by mohla b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f v\u00e9st ke struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed paral\u00fdze \u2013 nebo k zoufal\u00e9mu pou\u017eit\u00ed taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed Izraelem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bt \u010del\u00ed mega kolabuj\u00edc\u00edmu glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu ekonomick\u00e9mu syst\u00e9mu, jeho\u017e zlomov\u00e9 linie se pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f st\u00e1vaj\u00ed viditeln\u00fdmi v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b dos\u00e1hl nov\u00e9, dramatick\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b eskalace \u00fatokem na nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 plynov\u00e1 pole&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102600,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,39,1052,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102599"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102599"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102599\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102600"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}