{"id":102566,"date":"2026-03-22T00:24:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T23:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102566"},"modified":"2026-03-21T16:17:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T15:17:29","slug":"ropny-sok-a-plynova-krize-za-neuspesne-dodavky-neexistuje-zadna-nahrada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/22\/ropny-sok-a-plynova-krize-za-neuspesne-dodavky-neexistuje-zadna-nahrada\/","title":{"rendered":"Ropn\u00fd \u0161ok a plynov\u00e1 krize: Za ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 n\u00e1hrada"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 uzav\u0159en\u00edm Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9 na to, aby se dalo kompenzovat jin\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky. Strategick\u00e9 rezervy a alternativn\u00ed ropovody nab\u00edzej\u00ed pouze kr\u00e1tkodobou \u00falevu. I p\u0159i maxim\u00e1ln\u00edch nouzov\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00edch sv\u011btu denn\u011b chyb\u00ed p\u0159es 10 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, vodn\u00ed cesta mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a Om\u00e1nem, je \u017eivotod\u00e1rnou tepnou na\u0161\u00ed civilizace. Denn\u011b j\u00edm prot\u00e9k\u00e1 p\u011btina sv\u011btov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy. To je 20 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy a dal\u0161\u00ed 2 miliony barel\u016f (ekvivalent ropy) zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu (LNG). Pokud tento tok vyschne, v\u00fdrobn\u00ed linky se zastav\u00ed. Jak ho sv\u011bt nahrad\u00ed? \u0160okuj\u00edc\u00ed odpov\u011b\u010f zn\u00ed: Nem\u016f\u017ee. Alespo\u0148 ne v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Energy-General\/Why-the-Global-Oil-System-Cannot-Replace-Hormuz-Flows.html\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> je jedinou strategi\u00ed , kterou v sou\u010dasnosti vl\u00e1dy po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b sleduj\u00ed, hore\u010dn\u011b ucp\u00e1vat net\u011bsnosti a kupovat si \u010das.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">I kdybychom hr\u00e1li na jistotu, \u010d\u00edsla jsou ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed. Z 22 milion\u016f barel\u016f, kter\u00e9 pr\u016flivem denn\u011b prot\u00e9kaj\u00ed, by glob\u00e1ln\u00ed strategick\u00e9 rezervy mohly kompenzovat 6 a\u017e 7 milion\u016f barel\u016f na n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f. Alternativn\u00ed ropovody z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu by p\u0159inesly maxim\u00e1ln\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed 3 a\u017e 4 miliony barel\u016f. I kdyby se sou\u010dasn\u011b vyu\u017eily v\u0161echny dostupn\u00e9 p\u00e1ky, st\u00e1le existuje gigantick\u00e1 mezera v dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch o v\u00edce ne\u017e 10 milionech barel\u016f. A to ka\u017ed\u00fd den.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X P\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=true&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=2034997165177606645&amp;lang=cs&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Freport24.news%2Foel-schock-und-gas-krise-es-gibt-keinen-ersatz-fuer-die-ausgefallenen-lieferungen%2F&amp;sessionId=9eb5f0021fd1ab20cd1dd921dbc0cc5eda82cc02&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"2034997165177606645\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 agentura (IEA) oslavuje historick\u00e9 uvoln\u011bn\u00ed 400 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy b\u011bhem 60 dn\u016f. To v\u0161ak pokr\u00fdv\u00e1 sotva t\u0159etinu nedostatku. Americk\u00e9 rezervy jsou stejn\u011b napln\u011bny pouze z 58 procent a logisticky jsou extr\u00e9mn\u011b t\u011b\u017ekop\u00e1dn\u00e9. Tyto rezervy maj\u00ed za c\u00edl z\u00edskat \u010das \u2013 nenahrad\u00ed nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ropnou tepnu sv\u011bta. Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie by mo\u017en\u00e1 mohla p\u0159esm\u011brovat 2 a\u017e 3 miliony barel\u016f prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sv\u00e9ho ropovodu V\u00fdchod-Z\u00e1pad, a t\u00edm obej\u00edt Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv. Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty a Ir\u00e1k p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed n\u011bkolika kapkami. To v\u0161e v\u0161ak bledne ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s obrovsk\u00fdm mno\u017estv\u00edm, kter\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomice chyb\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ceny ropy rostou, ale ceny plynu dramaticky stoupaj\u00ed. Katar je jedn\u00edm z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch v\u00fdvozc\u016f LNG (emir\u00e1t se pod\u00edl\u00ed na 20 procentech sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu). T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ve\u0161ker\u00fd obchod proch\u00e1z\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. Pokud by Katar odstoupil, byli bychom v pasti. Na rozd\u00edl od ropy je trh s LNG extr\u00e9mn\u011b nepru\u017en\u00fd. T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 voln\u00e1 kapacita, kter\u00e1 by mohla zas\u00e1hnout. V\u00fdsledkem by byla brut\u00e1ln\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lka o zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed plyn z USA nebo Austr\u00e1lie. Ceny by prudce vzrostly, pr\u016fmysl by musel omezit produkci \u2013 a pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd ob\u010dan by to zaplatil dal\u0161\u00edm \u00fa\u010dtem za vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jako by to nesta\u010dilo, dal\u0161\u00ed \u0161ok se r\u00fdsuje v supermarketu. V hormuzsk\u00e9 pasti se ocitly i hnojiva a chemick\u00e9 suroviny. Energetick\u00fd \u0161ok nevyhnuteln\u011b vede k explozi cen potravin a masivn\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen produkt\u016f chemick\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu. To bude m\u00edt po dlouhou dobu velmi negativn\u00ed dopad na na\u0161i ekonomiku a kupn\u00ed s\u00edlu lid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 uzav\u0159en\u00edm Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9 na to, aby se dalo kompenzovat&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102567,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,371,1008,310],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102566"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102566"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102566\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}