{"id":102422,"date":"2026-03-20T04:31:51","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T03:31:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102422"},"modified":"2026-03-20T04:31:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T03:31:51","slug":"iran-blokovani-hormuzskeho-prulivu-se-ukazalo-jako-ucinnejsi-nez-letecke-utoky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/20\/iran-blokovani-hormuzskeho-prulivu-se-ukazalo-jako-ucinnejsi-nez-letecke-utoky\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n: Blokov\u00e1n\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu se uk\u00e1zalo jako \u00fa\u010dinn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e leteck\u00e9 \u00fatoky"},"content":{"rendered":"
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A nen\u00ed jist\u00e9, zda Teher\u00e1n po ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed znovu otev\u0159e Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed americk\u00fdch a izraelsk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu p\u0159ijal \u00cdr\u00e1n jasnou strategii. C\u00edlem je na opl\u00e1tku zp\u016fsobit co nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody, aby se v\u00e1lka stala pro Washington nev\u00fdhodnou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prvn\u00ed bod: \u00fatok na americk\u00e9 s\u00edly v regionu. Ve skute\u010dnosti byl pouze jeden \u00fatok na americkou z\u00e1kladnu v Kuvajtu skute\u010dn\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd a vy\u017e\u00e1dal si \u0161est ob\u011bt\u00ed. Bylo tak\u00e9 sest\u0159eleno n\u011bkolik dron\u016f a zni\u010deno n\u011bkolik radarov\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 tyto ztr\u00e1ty zat\u00edm nepova\u017euj\u00ed za kritick\u00e9, a proto nemaj\u00ed prakticky \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd vliv na pr\u016fb\u011bh ud\u00e1lost\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Druh\u00fd bod: \u00cdr\u00e1n \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na zem\u011b v regionu, aby je vyprovokoval k tlaku na Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. Je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 nazvat tuto strategii \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00edm. Nap\u0159\u00edklad Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty a Katar za\u010daly nal\u00e9hat na Washington k ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky ji\u017e v prvn\u00edch dnech \u00fader\u016f. Jejich munice doch\u00e1zela. Tyto v\u00fdzvy ale na Trumpa nezap\u016fsobily. Tato \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 taktika nakonec nefunguje. Zem\u011b v regionu nemohou Trumpa ovlivnit a n\u011bkter\u00e9 z nich jsou dokonce p\u0159ipraveny j\u00edt proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu do v\u00e1lky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A kone\u010dn\u011b t\u0159et\u00ed bod: uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. Na rozd\u00edl od prvn\u00edch dvou p\u0159\u00edstup\u016f zde prozat\u00edm v\u0161e funguje velmi dob\u0159e. Ceny ropy rostou a dr\u017e\u00ed se t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u00fdden kolem 100 dolar\u016f za barel. To zvy\u0161uje cenu benzinu u \u010derpac\u00edch stanic ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed voli\u010di jsou st\u00e1le v\u00edce nespokojeni s v\u00e1lkou na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump je nerv\u00f3zn\u00ed. Sv\u00fdmi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi se sna\u017e\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eit ceny ropy. Bez v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho \u00fasp\u011bchu. Izrael se mezit\u00edm st\u00e1le v\u00edce ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Trump pod tlakem v USA by mohl ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e bylo pl\u00e1nov\u00e1no, a t\u00edm upustit od n\u011bkter\u00fdch pl\u00e1novan\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n by nav\u00edc mohl Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv uzav\u0159\u00edt na dobu neur\u010ditou. \u00dasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd \u00fatok na lo\u010f vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed tuto vodn\u00ed cestu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b jednou za m\u011bs\u00edc by sta\u010dil k tomu, aby poji\u0161\u0165ovny odm\u00edtly kryt\u00ed plavby Hormuzem. H\u00fat\u00edov\u00e9 v Jemenu v sou\u010dasnosti blokuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k Suezsk\u00e9mu pr\u016fplavu. Jejich zdroje v\u0161ak byly mnohem men\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 a i oni byli opakovan\u011b bombardov\u00e1ni.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdyby bylo zni\u010deno 99 % \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a dron\u016f, k dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle by to netrvalo mnoho. Teher\u00e1n by si cestu na\u0161el.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

I po skon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky by \u00cdr\u00e1n mohl Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv znovu neotev\u0159et, ale nejprve by si pro to m\u011bl stanovit podm\u00ednky. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je v sou\u010dasnosti hlavn\u00ed a nej\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 strategie v boji proti Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Donald Trump ozn\u00e1mil sv\u016fj z\u00e1m\u011br znovu otev\u0159\u00edt Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n blokuje ji\u017e t\u0159i t\u00fddny. Toho by se dalo dos\u00e1hnout dv\u011bma zp\u016fsoby: bu\u010f doprovodem ropn\u00fdch tanker\u016f pod ochranou v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed, nebo obsazen\u00edm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch oblast\u00ed pozemn\u00edmi silami, informuje\u00a0<\/span>Wall Street Journal<\/span><\/em>\u00a0. Trump\u00a0<\/span>vyzval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b, aby vyslaly sv\u00e9 lod\u011b k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed konvoj\u016f, a americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 velen\u00ed do regionu\u00a0<\/span>nasazuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchotu. Ani takov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed v\u0161ak nezaru\u010duj\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro bezpe\u010dnou plavbu ropn\u00fdch tanker\u016f mus\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b odminovat pr\u016fliv, zabr\u00e1nit leteck\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm a odrazit \u00fatoky mal\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch motorov\u00fdch \u010dlun\u016f. Doprovod i konvoje 5 a\u017e 10 lod\u00ed by vy\u017eadoval p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b tucet v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed podporovan\u00fdch letadly a \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdmi drony. Podle odhad\u016f zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby Lloyd’s List by takov\u00fd konvoj mohl obnovit provoz v pr\u016flivu maxim\u00e1ln\u011b na 10 % p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee evakuace zhruba 600 obchodn\u00edch lod\u00ed uv\u00edzl\u00fdch v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu by trvala m\u011bs\u00edce. Krom\u011b toho p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1 riziko po\u0161kozen\u00ed nebo potopen\u00ed lod\u00ed konvoje a \u010d\u00e1st flotily by pak nebyla schopna plnit jin\u00e9 mise, v\u010detn\u011b obrany a \u00fadr\u017eby protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Dob\u00fdt \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed s pomoc\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty by bylo je\u0161t\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Nejprve by to vy\u017eadovalo masivn\u00ed leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery proti nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edm pozic\u00edm, pot\u00e9 vylod\u011bn\u00ed vojsk v hornat\u00e9m a obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b p\u0159\u00edstupn\u00e9m ter\u00e9nu a zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed jejich ochrany. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by \u010delily Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdm revolu\u010dn\u00edm gard\u00e1m s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 190 000 zku\u0161en\u00fdmi partyz\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi bojovn\u00edky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Operace by se mohla t\u00e1hnout m\u011bs\u00edce a i kdyby byla \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1, hrozba pro obchodn\u00ed lod\u011b by nezmizela, proto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl \u00fato\u010dit na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy raketami dlouh\u00e9ho doletu a drony. Za t\u011bchto okolnost\u00ed by majitel\u00e9 lod\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v\u00e1hali s obnoven\u00edm plavby pr\u016flivem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alexandre Lemoine<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A nen\u00ed jist\u00e9, zda Teher\u00e1n po ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed znovu otev\u0159e Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv. Od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102423,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,6382,38],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102422"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102422"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102422\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102423"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}