{"id":102398,"date":"2026-03-20T00:30:28","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T23:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102398"},"modified":"2026-03-19T15:10:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T14:10:22","slug":"izraelska-invaze-jako-prilezitost-pro-libanon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/20\/izraelska-invaze-jako-prilezitost-pro-libanon\/","title":{"rendered":"Izraelsk\u00e1 invaze jako p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost pro Libanon?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Izrael v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b postupuje do ji\u017en\u00edho Libanonu, aby zastavil raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky Hizball\u00e1hu. Izrael by se v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed mohl pustit do reorganizace Libanonu a pos\u00edlen\u00ed nov\u00fdch spojenc\u016f.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da (IDF) ned\u00e1vno\u00a0<\/span>mobilizovala 450 000 z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. To by mohlo b\u00fdt ze dvou d\u016fvod\u016f. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b se t\u00edm uvoln\u00ed vysoce vycvi\u010den\u00e9 jednotky pro komandov\u00e9 operace v \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pochodujete k Lit\u00e1ni\u00edm?<\/span><\/h3>\n

Na druhou stranu, a to prim\u00e1rn\u011b, se pozornost pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159uje na pos\u00edlen\u00ed prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed ofenzivy v ji\u017en\u00edm Libanonu. Podle arm\u00e1dy operuje 91. divize ve v\u00fdchodn\u00edm ji\u017en\u00edm Libanonu, 210. divize v oblasti hory Dov (farmy \u0160eb\u00e1) a 146. divize v z\u00e1padn\u00edm ji\u017en\u00edm Libanonu. A minul\u00fd t\u00fdden byla\u00a0<\/span>z p\u00e1sma Gazy do Libanonu p\u0159esunuta<\/span><\/a>\u00a0p\u011b\u0161\u00ed brig\u00e1da Golani .<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd zpravodajsk\u00fd port\u00e1l\u00a0<\/span>Axios<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/em>informuje, \u017ee Izrael pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>pl\u00e1nuje dob\u00fdt celou oblast ji\u017en\u011b od \u0159eky Litani<\/span><\/a> . To by znamenalo postup o 25 a\u017e 30 kilometr\u016f \u2013 a kontrolu nad regionem ob\u00fdvan\u00fdm p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b \u0161\u00edity a ovl\u00e1dan\u00fdm jejich teroristickou milic\u00ed Hizball\u00e1h, z\u00e1stupcem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch mull\u00e1h\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hizball\u00e1h, stejn\u011b jako b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky v Gaze, v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech opakovan\u011b odpaloval rakety na Izrael, nepochybn\u011b na rozkaz z Teher\u00e1nu. Mnoho m\u011bst v severn\u00edm Izraeli bylo proto evakuov\u00e1no. IDF nyn\u00ed hodl\u00e1 tomuto procesu u\u010dinit konec.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zm\u011bn\u011bn\u00e1 situace<\/span><\/h3>\n

Vzhledem k minul\u00fdm negativn\u00edm zku\u0161enostem m\u011bl Izrael dlouhodob\u00e9 v\u00fdhrady k nasazen\u00ed pozemn\u00edch vojsk v Libanonu. V\u00fdznamn\u00e9 faktory se v\u0161ak zm\u011bnily. V 80. letech se OOP v Libanonu t\u011b\u0161ila vojensk\u00e9 podpo\u0159e ze S\u00fdrie. Tot\u00e9\u017e platilo v posledn\u00edch desetilet\u00edch pro Hizball\u00e1h. Nyn\u00ed je v\u0161ak Asad\u016fv re\u017eim histori\u00ed, nov\u00fd re\u017eim al-K\u00e1idy v S\u00fdrii je (st\u00e1le) vojensky slab\u00fd a samotn\u00ed mull\u00e1hov\u00e9 bojuj\u00ed o p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Izrael tentokr\u00e1t nespol\u00e9h\u00e1 na to, \u017ee bude jednat jako okupant proti nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9mu obyvatelstvu. Podobn\u011b jako Ham\u00e1s v Gaze se terorist\u00e9 Hizball\u00e1hu snadno pohybuj\u00ed mezi \u0161\u00editsk\u00fdm obyvatelstvem.\u00a0<\/span>Matky uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed<\/span><\/a> , \u017ee ochotn\u011b ob\u011btuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 d\u011bti jako mu\u010dedn\u00edky v boji proti Izraeli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Existuj\u00ed n\u00e1znaky, \u017ee IDF pracuje na vys\u00eddlen\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny obyvatelstva z oblasti ji\u017en\u011b od \u0159eky Litani. Existuj\u00ed odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>v\u00fdzvy k evakuaci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, nap\u0159\u00edklad od Amira Aviviho, b\u00fdval\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la a mluv\u010d\u00edho Izraelsk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho f\u00f3ra (IDSF), kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 dobr\u00e9 vztahy s vojensk\u00fdm veden\u00edm a vl\u00e1dou. K\u0159es\u0165ansk\u00e9 vesnice se v\u0161ak zdaj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>b\u00fdt u\u0161et\u0159eny<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, pokud v nich nejsou zako\u0159en\u011bni bojovn\u00edci Hizball\u00e1hu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Chopte se p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti<\/span><\/h3>\n

Pokud bude izraelsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed moudr\u00e9 a odhodlan\u00e9, chop\u00ed se hybn\u00e9 s\u00edly a bude usilovat o kompletn\u00ed reorganizaci vztah\u016f s Libanonem. Podpora USA je jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e kdykoli p\u0159edt\u00edm. Zejm\u00e9na mlad\u00ed Izraelci up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed tvrdou linii. A celkov\u011b se mentalita v Izraeli posunula sm\u011brem k sebev\u011bdom\u00e9mu a asertivn\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edstupu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Libanon a S\u00fdrie maj\u00ed pohnutou historii, jeliko\u017e byly dlouho p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b k\u0159es\u0165ansk\u00fdmi pravoslavn\u00fdmi \u00fazem\u00edmi pod byzantskou nadvl\u00e1dou, kter\u00e1 byla pozd\u011bji st\u00e1le v\u00edce islamizov\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeho sou\u010dasn\u00e9 hranice poch\u00e1zej\u00ed z imperialistick\u00e9 dohody Sykes-Picot z roku 1916 a S\u00e8vresk\u00e9 smlouvy z roku 1920. To, \u017ee dne\u0161n\u00ed \u201eantiimperialistick\u00e1\u201c z\u00e1padn\u00ed levice prohla\u0161uje tyto hranice za posv\u00e1tn\u00e9, je sm\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 a lze to vysv\u011btlit pouze t\u00edm, \u017ee tito levi\u010d\u00e1ci dl\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed cestu d\u017eih\u00e1dist\u016fm a podporuj\u00ed v\u0161e, co je proti Izraeli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obnoven\u00ed selhan\u00e9ho stavu<\/span><\/h3>\n

Um\u011bl\u00e9 hranice jsou hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d jsou S\u00fdrie a Libanon selh\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edmi st\u00e1ty. Jsou rozd\u011bleny \u0159adou etnick\u00fdch a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdch skupin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017enost izraelsk\u00e9 intervence, kter\u00e1 by p\u0159inesla nov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, by prosp\u011bla n\u011bkter\u00fdm pron\u00e1sledovan\u00fdm men\u0161in\u00e1m. Nov\u00e9 hranice a v\u00fdm\u011bna obyvatelstva by ve st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m a dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu zm\u00edrnily konflikty a nab\u00eddly by v\u0161em p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k lep\u0161\u00edmu rozvoji.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael to ji\u017e praktikuje ochranou Dr\u00faz\u016f v S\u00fdrii. V Libanonu by z toho mohli m\u00edt prosp\u011bch zejm\u00e9na k\u0159es\u0165an\u00e9 (maroniti, \u0159e\u010dt\u00ed ortodoxn\u00ed, \u0159eckokatol\u00edci, arm\u00e9n\u0161t\u00ed ortodoxn\u00ed). Ti tvo\u0159\u00ed asi 40 procent populace, kdysi byli v zemi v\u011bt\u0161inou, ale v posledn\u00edch desetilet\u00edch jsou st\u00e1le v\u00edce vytla\u010dov\u00e1ni muslimy. Dr\u00fazov\u00e9 v Libanonu (5 procent populace) jsou tak\u00e9 potenci\u00e1ln\u00edmi spojenci Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od Erica Angerera<\/a><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Izrael v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b postupuje do ji\u017en\u00edho Libanonu, aby zastavil raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky Hizball\u00e1hu. Izrael by…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102399,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,107,405,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102398"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102398"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102398\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102399"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102398"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102398"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102398"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}