{"id":102103,"date":"2026-03-17T00:23:02","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T23:23:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102103"},"modified":"2026-03-16T13:15:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T12:15:43","slug":"studie-v-pripade-migracni-vlny-z-iranu-by-nemecko-bylo-nejcastejsi-cilovou-zemi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/17\/studie-v-pripade-migracni-vlny-z-iranu-by-nemecko-bylo-nejcastejsi-cilovou-zemi\/","title":{"rendered":"Studie: V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b migra\u010dn\u00ed vlny z \u00cdr\u00e1nu by N\u011bmecko bylo nej\u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00ed c\u00edlovou zem\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokud by v\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu vedla k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm migra\u010dn\u00edm tok\u016fm, N\u011bmecko by podle studie bylo preferovanou c\u00edlovou zem\u00ed. Pro Spolkovou republiku by to m\u011bl b\u00fdt dal\u0161\u00ed sign\u00e1l k uzav\u0159en\u00ed hranic a odstran\u011bn\u00ed faktor\u016f p\u0159itahuj\u00edc\u00edch \u017eadatele o azyl, jako jsou \u0161t\u011bdr\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u00e1vky pro \u017eadatele o azyl. Podle zpr\u00e1vy v\u00a0<\/span>den\u00edku Merkur<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v\u0161ak koalice ji\u017e diskutuje o mo\u017en\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edprav\u00e1ch na \u201ep\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed uprchl\u00edk\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va Agentury EU pro azyl (EUAA) nasti\u0148uje potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed rozsah uprchlick\u00fdch p\u0159esun\u016f z \u00cdr\u00e1nu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by v\u00e1lka pokra\u010dovala del\u0161\u00ed dobu nebo by vypukla ob\u010dansk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka. Vzhledem k ji\u017e tak nestabiln\u00ed situaci v \u00cdr\u00e1nu p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem v\u00e1lky zpr\u00e1va klasifikuje potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed riziko \u00fat\u011bku a vys\u00eddlov\u00e1n\u00ed jako \u201ezna\u010dn\u00e9\u201c. \u201eS populac\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 90 milion\u016f by i \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e1 destabilizace mohla vyvolat uprchlick\u00e9 p\u0159esuny neb\u00fdval\u00fdch rozm\u011br\u016f,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed se ve zpr\u00e1v\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Do zasl\u00edben\u00e9 zem\u011b?<\/span><\/h3>\n

Pokud by do\u0161lo k masivn\u00edmu exodu z tzv. Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky, v\u011bt\u0161ina \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f by po\u017e\u00e1dala o azyl v Evrop\u011b. Podle ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 studie by N\u011bmecko bylo nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed c\u00edlovou zem\u00ed. Vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 to ze studie v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9ho \u00fastavu Rockwool Foundation (RF) v Berl\u00edn\u011b, jak informoval den\u00edk \u201eM\u00fcnchner Merkur\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Migra\u010dn\u00ed vzorce obecn\u011b stav\u00ed na st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch vazb\u00e1ch mezi zem\u011bmi p\u016fvodu a c\u00edlov\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi, uvedl Christian Dustmann, \u0159editel RF Berlin, profesor ekonomie na University College London a spoluautor studie. V N\u011bmecku ji\u017e \u017eije v\u00edce ne\u017e 300 000 lid\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho p\u016fvodu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd \u010dtvrt\u00fd Per\u0161an sed\u00ed na sbalen\u00fdch kufrech.<\/span><\/h3>\n

Anal\u00fdza RF je v souladu s v\u00fdsledky reprezentativn\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu proveden\u00e9ho institutem Gallup v roce 2024. V t\u00e9 dob\u011b 28 procent dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f ozna\u010dilo N\u011bmecko za svou nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed c\u00edlovou zemi, n\u00e1sledovanou Kanadou s 13 procenty, Tureckem s 10 procenty, Spojen\u00fdm kr\u00e1lovstv\u00edm s 6 procenty a Franci\u00ed s 6 procenty. Z 1 007 dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f uvedl ka\u017ed\u00fd \u010dtvrt\u00fd, \u017ee m\u00e1 v \u00famyslu emigrovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00e1nek se poprv\u00e9 objevil v den\u00edku <\/span>Deutschlandkurier<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pokud by v\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu vedla k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm migra\u010dn\u00edm tok\u016fm, N\u011bmecko by podle studie bylo…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102104,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[119,38,84,839,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102103"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102103"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102103\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102104"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102103"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102103"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102103"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}