{"id":102092,"date":"2026-03-17T00:18:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T23:18:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102092"},"modified":"2026-03-16T12:51:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T11:51:54","slug":"rakety-thaad-a-patriot-pac3-americke-protivzdusne-obrany-jsou-nebo-brzy-budou-nefunkcni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/17\/rakety-thaad-a-patriot-pac3-americke-protivzdusne-obrany-jsou-nebo-brzy-budou-nefunkcni\/","title":{"rendered":"Rakety THAAD a Patriot PAC3 americk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany jsou nebo brzy budou nefunk\u010dn\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00e1lka mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a americko-izraelskou koalic\u00ed zu\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e t\u0159i t\u00fddny a konec je v nedohlednu. Izrael sice disponuje v\u00fdrazn\u011b lep\u0161\u00edm letectvem, ale nedok\u00e1\u017ee \u010delit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu raketov\u00e9mu arzen\u00e1lu. Jde o vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lku a bez ohledu na to, jak \u010dasto Donald Trump tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n byl zni\u010den a USA zv\u00edt\u011bzily, \u00cdr\u00e1n bude Izrael i nad\u00e1le denn\u011b bombardovat nejm\u00e9n\u011b t\u0159emi vlnami t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f, dokud nebude dosa\u017eeno dohodnut\u00e9ho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

R\u00e1d bych p\u0159edstavil zjednodu\u0161en\u00fd model, kter\u00fd ilustruje rovnov\u00e1hu sil ve prosp\u011bch \u00cdr\u00e1nu. P\u0159edpokl\u00e1dejme, \u017ee by Izrael a \u00cdr\u00e1n na sebe denn\u011b odp\u00e1lily 50 bomb\/raket o hmotnosti 2 000 liber. Teoreticky by \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 bomby pokryly cel\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed Izraele za m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e t\u0159i roky, zat\u00edmco izraelsk\u00fdm bomb\u00e1m by trvalo v\u00edce ne\u017e dv\u011b stolet\u00ed, ne\u017e by toho v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu dos\u00e1hly. To ilustruje asymetrii: men\u0161\u00ed velikost Izraele ho \u010din\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u016f\u010di dlouhodob\u00fdm leteck\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm. Zde je v\u00fdpo\u010det plo\u0161n\u00e9ho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed ob\u011bma stranami:<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Izrael (bombardovan\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1nem)<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0: 8 019 \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch mil \u00f7 8,1 \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch mil\/den \u2248\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>990 dn\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0(asi 2,7 roku).<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro \u00cdr\u00e1n (kter\u00fd byl bombardov\u00e1n Izraelem)<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0: 636 372 \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch mil \u00f7 8,1 \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch mil\/den \u2248\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>78 600 dn\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0(asi 215 let).<\/span><\/p>\n

Nikdo krom\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f nev\u00ed, kolik balistick\u00fdch a \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el zem\u011b vlastn\u00ed. Ale vzhledem k vide\u00edm z masivn\u00edch podzemn\u00edch\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>raketov\u00fdch z\u00e1kladn\u016f<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1m, \u017ee zem\u011b je schopna prov\u00e1d\u011bt n\u011bkolik odpal\u016f raket denn\u011b po dobu nejm\u00e9n\u011b \u0161esti m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Izraelsk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany jsou siln\u011b oslaben\u00e9\u2026 Ve skute\u010dnosti syst\u00e9my THAAD a Patriot u\u017e mo\u017en\u00e1 nejsou do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry funk\u010dn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uva\u017eujme skute\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det syst\u00e9m\u016f THAAD. Spole\u010dnost Lockheed Martin obdr\u017eela svou prvn\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00ed objedn\u00e1vku na po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed rakety, odpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a komponenty v lednu 2007. Do ledna 2025 dodala spole\u010dnost Lockheed Martin p\u0159es 900 st\u00edhac\u00edch raket THAAD (dod\u00e1vka 900. rakety byla ozn\u00e1mena). To odpov\u00edd\u00e1 pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 ro\u010dn\u00ed produkci 50 raket b\u011bhem tohoto 18let\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed. Standardn\u00ed prax\u00ed pro zachycen\u00ed p\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00ed balistick\u00e9 rakety je odp\u00e1len\u00ed dvou syst\u00e9m\u016f THAAD. Pokud by USA daly v\u0161echny sv\u00e9 syst\u00e9my THAAD Izraeli, znamenalo by to, \u017ee po 450 odp\u00e1len\u00edch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raket by Izrael nem\u011bl k dispozici \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed rakety THAAD. Od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky 28. \u00fanora \u00cdr\u00e1n odpaluje na Izrael pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b 40 raket denn\u011b. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e na Izrael odp\u00e1lil 640 balistick\u00fdch raket. Vzhledem k t\u011bmto \u010d\u00edsl\u016fm o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed rakety THAAD k dispozici nebudou. Z\u00e1soby jsou bu\u010f vy\u010derp\u00e1ny, nebo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 vy\u010derp\u00e1ny. To je jednoduch\u00e1 matematika.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael a USA maj\u00ed s raketami Patriot stejn\u00fd probl\u00e9m. Jak jsem vysv\u011btlil v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku, USA do 1. ledna 2026 vyrobily celkem 4 620 raket PAC3. P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1 000 z nich ji\u017e bylo nasazeno na Ukrajin\u011b, co\u017e zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed po\u010det sni\u017euje na 3 620. Americk\u00e9 tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9 velitelstv\u00ed (USINDOPACOM) m\u00e1 nejm\u00e9n\u011b 1 296 a mo\u017en\u00e1 a\u017e 1 728 raket PAC3. P\u0159edpokl\u00e1dejme ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo. A zapomn\u011bl jsem na USEUCOM\u2026 M\u00e1 jeden raketov\u00fd prapor Patriot, co\u017e znamen\u00e1 minim\u00e1ln\u011b 432 raket PAC3 (p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal jsem 6 bateri\u00ed po 72 raket\u00e1ch). USZENTCOM tedy zb\u00fdv\u00e1 pouze 1 892 raket PAC3. Nev\u00edm, kolik zbran\u00ed dodalo Izraeli americk\u00e9 CENTCOM, ale podle ve\u0159ejn\u011b dostupn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f bylo n\u011bkolik bateri\u00ed Patriot odesl\u00e1no do Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, Kataru, Bahrajnu a Kuvajtu. Za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00e1 baterie byla vybavena 72 raketami PAC3 a \u017ee v ka\u017ed\u00e9 z t\u011bchto \u010dty\u0159 zem\u00ed byla um\u00edst\u011bna pouze jedna baterie, zb\u00fdv\u00e1 Izraeli celkem 1 584 raket Patriot.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je nejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Izrael m\u016f\u017ee zachytit maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 792 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch a \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el. Pokud izraelsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby je\u0161t\u011b nejsou vy\u010derp\u00e1ny, brzy budou.\u00a0 Americk\u00fd zpravodajsk\u00fd web\u00a0<\/span>Semafor<\/span><\/u><\/a><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0informoval, \u017ee Izrael tento t\u00fdden informoval USA, \u017ee jeho po\u010det st\u00edhac\u00edch st\u0159el je vzhledem k prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edmu konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem kriticky n\u00edzk\u00fd a \u017ee Izrael vstoupil do sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky ji\u017e s nedostatkem st\u00edhac\u00edch st\u0159el odp\u00e1len\u00fdch b\u011bhem lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho letn\u00edho konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. A\u010dkoli ameri\u010dt\u00ed a izrael\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 to pop\u00edraj\u00ed, v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru\u00a0 zpr\u00e1vu\u00a0<\/span>Semaforu<\/span><\/strong> potvrzuj\u00ed .<\/span><\/p>\n

Larry C. Johnson<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00e1lka mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a americko-izraelskou koalic\u00ed zu\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e t\u0159i t\u00fddny a konec je v nedohlednu….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102093,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,2215,6972,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102092"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102092"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102092\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102092"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102092"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102092"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}