{"id":102083,"date":"2026-03-17T00:14:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T23:14:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102083"},"modified":"2026-03-16T12:39:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T11:39:29","slug":"daniele-ganser-2016-ropa-nabozenstvi-a-geopolitika-analyza-ktera-nabyva-noveho-vyznamu-v-iranske-valce-v-roce-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/17\/daniele-ganser-2016-ropa-nabozenstvi-a-geopolitika-analyza-ktera-nabyva-noveho-vyznamu-v-iranske-valce-v-roce-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Daniele Ganser 2016: Ropa, n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed a geopolitika \u2013 anal\u00fdza, kter\u00e1 nab\u00fdv\u00e1 nov\u00e9ho v\u00fdznamu v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce v roce 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u0160v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd historik Daniele Ganser ji\u017e v roce 2016 ve sv\u00e9 p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ce varoval p\u0159ed geopolitickou realitou, kter\u00e1 je podle jeho n\u00e1zoru v Evrop\u011b \u010dasto potla\u010dov\u00e1na: glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky energie a hlavn\u00ed konflikty sou\u010dasnosti \u00fazce souvisej\u00ed s geografi\u00ed ropy a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdmi mocensk\u00fdmi z\u00f3nami sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ganser se odvolal na prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9ho n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Joschky Fischera, kter\u00fd ozna\u010dil oblast Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu za \u201ebenz\u00ednovou pumpu sv\u011bta\u201c. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika \u2013 navzdory nov\u00fdm t\u011b\u017eebn\u00edm technologi\u00edm a alternativn\u00edm zdroj\u016fm \u2013 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na obrovsk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob\u00e1ch ropy v okol\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">I kdy\u017e se ropa nach\u00e1z\u00ed i v jin\u00fdch oblastech sv\u011bta, jako je Mexick\u00fd z\u00e1liv, Kanada nebo dokonce Arktida, podle Gansera spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed rozd\u00edl v n\u00e1kladech na t\u011b\u017ebu. V zem\u00edch obklopuj\u00edc\u00edch Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv \u2013 zejm\u00e9na v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, Ir\u00e1ku, \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Kuvajtu \u2013 je konven\u010dn\u00ed ropa pom\u011brn\u011b snadno a levn\u011b t\u011b\u017eiteln\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=2031392761468039616&amp;lang=cs&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Funcutnews.ch%2Fdaniele-ganser-2016-oel-religion-und-geopolitik-eine-analyse-die-im-iran-krieg-2026-neue-brisanz-erhaelt%2F&amp;sessionId=95f4e5b7ad594f442332d0c5214c33f318fb00d0&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"2031392761468039616\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto je tento region po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed pova\u017eov\u00e1n za geopolitick\u00e9 ohnisko konfliktu. Kdokoli kontroluje p\u0159\u00edstup k t\u00e9to rop\u011b, p\u0159\u00edmo ovliv\u0148uje energetick\u00e9 z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ve sv\u00e9 p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ce v\u0161ak Ganser upozornil na druh\u00fd rozm\u011br, kter\u00fd je podle jeho n\u00e1zoru \u010dasto p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017een: n\u00e1bo\u017eenskou mapu sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ekryt\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 mapy lo\u017eisek surovin s rozlo\u017een\u00edm hlavn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed odhaluje pozoruhodn\u00fd vzorec. Velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Evropy, Severn\u00ed a Ji\u017en\u00ed Ameriky a Austr\u00e1lie byly historicky k\u0159es\u0165ansk\u00e9. Indie je p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b hinduistick\u00e1, \u010c\u00edna je ofici\u00e1ln\u011b ateistick\u00e1, zat\u00edmco Rusko se po rozpadu Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vr\u00e1tilo k pravoslavn\u00e9 k\u0159es\u0165ansk\u00e9 tradici.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Region s velkou \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed snadno dostupn\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy je v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b muslimsk\u00fd. Souvisl\u00e9 p\u00e1smo muslimsk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed se t\u00e1hne od Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu p\u0159es \u010d\u00e1sti severn\u00ed Afriky a\u017e po St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ganser v\u00fdslovn\u011b zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee se nejedn\u00e1 o historickou n\u00e1hodu ve smyslu migrace. Muslimsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti tam nemigrovaly kv\u016fli rop\u011b \u2013 zdroje se jednodu\u0161e nach\u00e1zej\u00ed v regionech, kde se tyto kultury historicky vyvinuly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Gansera je tato konstelace jednou z \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edch geopolitick\u00fdch realit modern\u00edho sv\u011bta: Velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st glob\u00e1ln\u00edch energetick\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v regionech s odli\u0161n\u00fdmi kulturn\u00edmi, n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdmi a politick\u00fdmi tradicemi ne\u017e z\u00e1padn\u00ed industrializovan\u00e9 zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem nab\u00fdv\u00e1 tato anal\u00fdza nov\u00e9ho v\u00fdznamu. \u00cdr\u00e1n nen\u00ed jen kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dem na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm producentem energie se strategickou polohou v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu a Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu \u2013 jedn\u00e9 z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch energetick\u00fdch p\u0159epravn\u00edch tras na sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by v tomto regionu do\u0161lo k velk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 eskalaci, m\u011blo by to okam\u017eit\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky energie, ekonomiku Evropy a politickou stabilitu \u0159ady st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Geopolitick\u00e1 realita, na kterou Ganser pouk\u00e1zal p\u0159ed lety, se tak op\u011bt dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do pop\u0159ed\u00ed: energie, n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed, geopolitick\u00e9 mocensk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy a vojensk\u00e9 konflikty jsou na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b \u00fazce propojeny.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Koment\u00e1\u0159<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s t\u00edm n\u011bkolik mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed tento t\u00fdden informovalo o n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edch \u0161\u00editsk\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f vyz\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch k odporu a odvet\u011b po \u00fatoc\u00edch na \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto kontextu z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 Ganserova geopolitick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza dal\u0161\u00ed vnitropolitick\u00fd rozm\u011br: konflikty na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b se neomezuj\u00ed pouze na tento region, ale st\u00e1le v\u00edce maj\u00ed dopad na evropsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti \u2013 politicky, ekonomicky a soci\u00e1ln\u011b.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroje<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Daniele Ganser \u2013 P\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ka o geopolitice ropy (2016)<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">Eurostat \u2013 Muslimsk\u00e1 populace v Evropsk\u00e9 unii<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">Feder\u00e1ln\u00ed statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad N\u011bmecka \u2013 Obyvatelstvo s \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm p\u016fvodem<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">Reuters \u2013 Zpr\u00e1vy o n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdch reakc\u00edch po \u00fatoc\u00edch na \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 agentura \u2013 Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1soby ropy a v\u00fdrobn\u00ed n\u00e1klady<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">BP Statistical Review of World Energy<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0160v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd historik Daniele Ganser ji\u017e v roce 2016 ve sv\u00e9 p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ce varoval p\u0159ed geopolitickou realitou,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102084,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,310,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102083"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102083"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102083\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102084"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}