{"id":102067,"date":"2026-03-16T07:16:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:16:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=102067"},"modified":"2026-03-16T07:16:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:16:55","slug":"valka-proti-iranu-otazkou-je-kdo-bude-v-nadchazejicich-desetiletich-dominovat-globalni-ekonomice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/16\/valka-proti-iranu-otazkou-je-kdo-bude-v-nadchazejicich-desetiletich-dominovat-globalni-ekonomice\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu: ot\u00e1zkou je, kdo bude v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch desetilet\u00edch dominovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomice"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Sv\u011bt za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 konflikt z\u00e1sadn\u00edho historick\u00e9ho v\u00fdznamu. Energie, v\u00fdroba, pr\u00e1ce a reorganizace obchodu v r\u00e1mci nov\u00e9ho multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du jsou j\u00e1drem mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed krize. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 sv\u00e9mu nevyhnuteln\u00e9mu \u00fapadku, se uchyluj\u00ed k v\u00e1lce a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed destabilizaci. V r\u00e1mci tohoto konfliktu, zat\u00edmco n\u00e1rody lp\u00ed na sv\u00e9 suverenit\u011b, aby utv\u00e1\u0159ely budoucnost, Argentina zauj\u00edm\u00e1 opa\u010dn\u00fd postoj a je pevn\u011b odhodl\u00e1na zvl\u00e1dat svou koloni\u00e1ln\u00ed minulost.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed syst\u00e9m reorganizuje kolem multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho obchodu, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se uchyluj\u00ed k v\u00e1lce a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed destabilizaci, aby zachovaly ekonomick\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, kter\u00fd ji\u017e nedok\u00e1\u017eou udr\u017eet produktivn\u00edmi, pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdmi ani obchodn\u00edmi prost\u0159edky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sv\u011bt je zapojen do historick\u00e9ho boje o kontrolu nad energi\u00ed, v\u00fdrobou a pracovn\u00ed silou. To je skute\u010dn\u00fd p\u016fvod konflikt\u016f, kter\u00e9 dnes ot\u0159\u00e1saj\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm syst\u00e9mem. Nejde o n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky ani o izolovan\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00ed spory: jde o to, kdo bude v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch desetilet\u00edch dominovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd \u00fatok Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a Izraele proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu je t\u0159eba ch\u00e1pat v tomto kontextu. P\u0159edstavuje novou epizodu struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontace, kter\u00e1 zna\u010d\u00ed konec unipol\u00e1rn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du, jen\u017e vze\u0161el ze studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, a n\u00e1stup multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to souvislosti hraje energie \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed roli.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n vlastn\u00ed jedny z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1sob ropy na sv\u011bt\u011b a druh\u00e9 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1soby zemn\u00edho plynu. Jeho produkce p\u0159esahuje t\u0159i miliony barel\u016f ropy denn\u011b. Zem\u011b se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v oblasti, kter\u00e1 kontroluje jeden z hlavn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch koridor\u016f: Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fdm proch\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b p\u011btina sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu s ropou.<\/span><\/p>\n

V glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomice, kter\u00e1 je st\u00e1le siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na uhlovod\u00edc\u00edch, m\u00e1 kdokoli, kdo tyto energetick\u00e9 toky kontroluje, k dispozici rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1stroj moci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vojensk\u00fd tlak vyv\u00edjen\u00fd na \u00cdr\u00e1n proto nelze analyzovat izolovan\u011b. Je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho geopolitick\u00e9ho kontextu: ekonomick\u00e9 blok\u00e1dy Venezuely, v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e1 naru\u0161ila rusk\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky energie do Evropy, sabot\u00e1\u017ee plynovodu Nord Stream a rostouc\u00ed militarizace v Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161echny tyto kroky sleduj\u00ed stejnou logiku: zachovat mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed ekonomickou architekturu, v n\u00ed\u017e dominuj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zm\u011bna, kter\u00e1 naru\u0161uje sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tato eskalace je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed kontextu struktur\u00e1ln\u00edch zm\u011bn prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edch v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomice.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem posledn\u00edch dvou desetilet\u00ed se t\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011b glob\u00e1ln\u00ed produkce za\u010dalo p\u0159esouvat. \u010c\u00edna se stala p\u0159edn\u00ed sv\u011btovou pr\u016fmyslovou velmoc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b produkuje asi 31 % glob\u00e1ln\u00ed pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 p\u0159idan\u00e9 hodnoty, zat\u00edmco Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se na n\u00ed pod\u00edlej\u00ed asi 16 %. Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed dvaceti lety byla situace p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed postaven\u00ed se v\u0161ak neomezuje pouze na tradi\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdrobu. Dominuje tak\u00e9 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm odv\u011btv\u00edm 21. stolet\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • v\u00edce ne\u017e 70 % sv\u011btov\u00fdch sol\u00e1rn\u00edch panel\u016f<\/span><\/li>\n
  • v\u00edce ne\u017e 60 % lithiov\u00fdch bateri\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n
  • rostouc\u00ed pod\u00edl v\u00fdroby elektromobil\u016f, pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch stroj\u016f a pokro\u010dil\u00e9 elektroniky.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se jeho pod\u00edl na sv\u011btov\u00e9m obchodu zv\u00fd\u0161il ze 4 % v roce 2000 na v\u00edce ne\u017e 15 % dnes, co\u017e z n\u011bj \u010din\u00ed hlavn\u00edho obchodn\u00edho partnera v\u00edce ne\u017e 120 zem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Tento ekonomick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed i ve vzniku nov\u00fdch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch alianc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 zem\u011b BRICS p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 45 % sv\u011btov\u00e9 populace, zhruba 35 % glob\u00e1ln\u00ed produkce m\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 v parit\u011b kupn\u00ed s\u00edly a rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed pod\u00edl na energetick\u00fdch z\u00e1sob\u00e1ch planety.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Nejhlub\u0161\u00ed zm\u011bna se ale odehr\u00e1la jinde: tyto zem\u011b za\u010daly rozv\u00edjet obchodn\u00ed a finan\u010dn\u00ed mechanismy zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed jejich z\u00e1vislosti na dolaru.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u010c\u00edna a Rusko uskute\u010d\u0148uj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu sv\u00e9ho bilater\u00e1ln\u00edho obchodu v m\u00edstn\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch. Indie plat\u00ed za \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9 ropy mimo tradi\u010dn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m. Braz\u00edlie a \u010c\u00edna zavedly p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 clearingov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my mezi sv\u00fdmi m\u011bnami. A kone\u010dn\u011b, Nov\u00e1 rozvojov\u00e1 banka BRICS financuje projekty nez\u00e1visle na instituc\u00edch ovl\u00e1dan\u00fdch Washingtonem.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Jin\u00fdmi slovy, probl\u00e9m se neomezuje pouze na kontrolu ropy.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Ot\u00e1zka, kdo organizuje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku, je p\u0159edm\u011btem debaty.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Reakce imp\u00e9ria: v\u00e1lka proti logistick\u00e9 s\u00edti<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

    Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 tomuto ot\u0159esu v dynamice glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 moci reaguj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty n\u00e1stroji, kter\u00e9 historicky pou\u017e\u00edvaly k udr\u017een\u00ed sv\u00e9 hegemonie: ekonomick\u00fdmi sankcemi, politick\u00fdmi p\u0159evraty a v\u00e1lkami.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Ale toto chov\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed improvizovan\u00e9. Pramen\u00ed ze strategick\u00e9 logiky hluboce zako\u0159en\u011bn\u00e9 v jeho vojensk\u00e9m my\u0161len\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Od 19. stolet\u00ed zahrnuje americk\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 doktr\u00edna \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed princip: zni\u010den\u00ed logistick\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed protivn\u00edka.<\/span><\/p>\n

    S\u00edla zem\u011b nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 jen v jej\u00ed arm\u00e1d\u011b. Jej\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e1 s\u00edla spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v jej\u00ed produktivn\u00ed struktu\u0159e: tov\u00e1rn\u00e1ch, energetick\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e, doprav\u011b, obchodn\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch a pracovn\u00ed s\u00edle. Pokud je tato struktura zni\u010dena, odolnost n\u00e1roda se zhrout\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Podle t\u00e9to logiky v\u00e1lka p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt konfrontac\u00ed mezi arm\u00e1dami a st\u00e1v\u00e1 se procesem systematick\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny nep\u0159\u00edtele. Proto sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky \u010dasto za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed ni\u010den\u00edm elektr\u00e1ren, p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f, ropovod\u016f, silnic nebo pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 infrastruktury.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Modern\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed je ze sv\u00e9 podstaty v\u00e1lkou zam\u011b\u0159enou na zni\u010den\u00ed produktivn\u00ed kapacity nep\u0159\u00edtele. Nebo\u0165 na rozd\u00edl od toho, co tvrd\u00ed liber\u00e1lov\u00e9, okouzlen\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edm sv\u011btem, moc spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 ve v\u00fdrob\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

    V\u00e1lka jako n\u00e1stroj proti nov\u00e9mu ekonomick\u00e9mu \u0159\u00e1du<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

    Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 eskalace pln\u00ed i dal\u0161\u00ed strategickou funkci: naru\u0161uje konsolidaci nov\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho r\u00e1mce, kter\u00fd se za\u010dal formovat mezi rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00edmi se ekonomikami.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Energetick\u00e9, finan\u010dn\u00ed a obchodn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b, kter\u00e9 propojuj\u00ed zem\u011b BRICS, z\u00e1vis\u00ed na stabilit\u011b energetick\u00fdch tok\u016f a rozvoji nov\u00fdch mechanism\u016f v\u00fdm\u011bny.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Zm\u011bna vlastnictv\u00ed v jednom z hlavn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch region\u016f produkuj\u00edc\u00edch energii by p\u0159edstavovala nep\u0159ekonatelnou p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eku konsolidace t\u011bchto ekonomick\u00fdch okruh\u016f. V tomto smyslu v\u00e1lka slou\u017e\u00ed jako n\u00e1stroj k naru\u0161en\u00ed reorganizace glob\u00e1ln\u00edho obchodu, kter\u00e1 zpochyb\u0148uje hegemonii dolaru.<\/span><\/p>\n

    C\u00edlem nen\u00ed jen porazit zemi, ale zabr\u00e1nit konsolidaci alternativn\u00edho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Argentina jedn\u00e1 proti vlastn\u00edm z\u00e1jm\u016fm<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

    Zat\u00edmco sv\u011bt debatuje o tom, jak v tomto kontextu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu zaru\u010dit svou energetickou, technologickou a pr\u016fmyslovou suverenitu, Argentina se ub\u00edr\u00e1 opa\u010dn\u00fdm sm\u011brem a potvrzuje sv\u016fj status koloni\u00e1ln\u00ed spr\u00e1vy.<\/span><\/p>\n

    M\u00edsto posilov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9 produktivn\u00ed struktury, aby se zem\u011b efektivn\u011bji zapojovala do nov\u00e9ho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho kontextu, proch\u00e1z\u00ed zrychlen\u00fdm procesem deindustrializace.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Argentinsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl ztr\u00e1c\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 160 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst denn\u011b, co\u017e je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o 5 000 m\u00e9n\u011b pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 produkce na obyvatele klesla na \u00farovn\u011b srovnateln\u00e9 s rokem 1985, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje pokles v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacity za t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dty\u0159icet let.<\/span><\/p>\n

    To m\u00e1 za n\u00e1sledek skute\u010dn\u00fd proces pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 destrukce, ztr\u00e1tu produktivn\u00ed s\u00edly a v d\u016fsledku toho ztr\u00e1tu suverenity.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Produkce nebo z\u00e1vislost<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

    Tento rozpor je do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed. Ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde velk\u00e9 mocnosti soupe\u0159\u00ed o kontrolu nad energi\u00ed, technologiemi a pr\u016fmyslovou v\u00fdrobou, Argentina sni\u017euje svou schopnost vytv\u00e1\u0159et p\u0159idanou hodnotu.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Bez pr\u016fmyslu neexistuje suverenita, proto\u017ee zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 neprodukuje to, co spot\u0159ebov\u00e1v\u00e1, se nakonec st\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1vislou na t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed to d\u011blaj\u00ed. A ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde se v\u00fdroba op\u011bt stala srdcem mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed moci, nen\u00ed tato z\u00e1vislost jen ekonomick\u00e1, ale i politick\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed syst\u00e9m reorganizuje kolem sporu o energii, pr\u016fmysl a pracovn\u00ed s\u00edlu, Argentina se sm\u00ed\u0159\u00ed s t\u00edm, \u017ee bude pouze dodavatelem surovin a spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdm trhem pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed produkty.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Skute\u010dn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 alternativa, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 b\u00fdt v t\u00e9to zemi vybudov\u00e1na a kter\u00e1 dnes zcela chyb\u00ed, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt vedena jistotou, \u017ee osudu svobodn\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bnez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho a spravedliv\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda lze dos\u00e1hnout pouze prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm v\u00fdroby a pr\u00e1ce.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Skute\u010dn\u00e1 debata o Argentin\u011b je v tomto mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm kontextu op\u011bt tat\u00e1\u017e, kter\u00e1 se t\u00e1hne celou jej\u00ed politickou a ekonomickou histori\u00ed: zda se jedn\u00e1 o pr\u016fmyslovou, prosperuj\u00edc\u00ed a svobodnou zemi, nebo o z\u00e1vislou a chudou zemi, zalo\u017eenou na prim\u00e1rn\u00edm zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

    od\u00a0<\/a><\/span>Rodolfa Pabla Trebera<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Sv\u011bt za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 konflikt z\u00e1sadn\u00edho historick\u00e9ho v\u00fdznamu. Energie, v\u00fdroba, pr\u00e1ce a reorganizace obchodu v r\u00e1mci nov\u00e9ho…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":102068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,59,276,2190],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102067"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102067"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102067\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102068"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}