{"id":101943,"date":"2026-03-15T00:16:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T23:16:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101943"},"modified":"2026-03-15T05:52:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-15T04:52:50","slug":"petr-vlk-souhlasilo-by-rusko-s-tim-aby-se-opet-stalo-dodavatelem-energie-pro-evropu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/15\/petr-vlk-souhlasilo-by-rusko-s-tim-aby-se-opet-stalo-dodavatelem-energie-pro-evropu\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr Vlk: Souhlasilo by Rusko s t\u00edm, aby se op\u011bt stalo dodavatelem energie pro Evropu?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Dne\u0161n\u00ed\u00a0 Kosa\u00a0 se\u00a0 op\u00edr\u00e1\u00a0 o\u00a0 dva\u00a0 kousky\u00a0 francouzsk\u00e9 provenience. Ten\u00a0 hlavn\u00ed\u00a0 je p\u0159evzat\u00a0 z\u00a0 prominentn\u00edho\u00a0 Le\u00a0 Monde,\u00a0 t\u0159et\u00edho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho\u00a0 zpravodajsk\u00e9ho port\u00e1lu\u00a0 v zemi.\u00a0 Tenhle, co\u00a0 pr\u00e1v\u011b\u00a0 \u010dtete, poch\u00e1z\u00ed\u00a0 sice\u00a0 z\u00a0 trochu men\u0161\u00edho zdroje\u00a0 \u2013 Le Journal du Dimanche,\u00a0 ale\u00a0 to tak\u00e9 nen\u00ed\u00a0 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9\u00a0 informa\u010dn\u00ed\u00a0 o\u0159ez\u00e1v\u00e1tko a jeho texty\u00a0 opl\u00fdvaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nou\u00a0 vahou a\u00a0 dostupem.\u00a0 I\u00a0 tam\u00a0 se\u00a0 objevilo\u00a0 cosi,\u00a0 co bych\u00a0 bez\u00a0 zav\u00e1h\u00e1n\u00ed vydal na Kose,\u00a0 kdyby\u00a0 \u010dl\u00e1nek\u00a0 autorka\u00a0 nab\u00eddla\u00a0 mn\u011b a nikoli\u00a0 sv\u00e9\u00a0 redakci.\u00a0 \u010casy\u00a0 se\u00a0 evidentn\u011b, alespo\u0148\u00a0 ve\u00a0 Francii,\u00a0 m\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0 V\u00a0 \u010cesku\u00a0 zat\u00edm nikoli.\u00a0 \u00a0Tady\u00a0 media\u00a0 se\u00a0 zd\u011b\u0161en\u00edm\u00a0 d\u00e1vaj\u00ed\u00a0 titulky,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 ta\u00a0 ropa\u00a0 m\u016f\u017ee\u00a0 snad\u00a0 b\u00fdt\u00a0 a\u017e\u00a0 t\u011bch\u00a0 200\u00a0 za barel,\u00a0 ta\u00a0 hr\u016fza,\u00a0 ale\u00a0 ne\u0161\u0165, hlavn\u011b, \u017ee\u00a0 sest\u0159el\u00edme\u00a0 ten dareb\u00e1ck\u00fd\u00a0 re\u017eim.\u00a0 V\u0161echno\u00a0 ostatn\u00ed je\u00a0 tabu.<\/p>\n

Redakce\u00a0 Journal\u00a0 du\u00a0 Dimanche\u00a0 to\u00a0 vid\u00ed jinak.\u00a0 A klade\u00a0 si, v\u00a0 z\u00e1v\u011bru,\u00a0 velmi\u00a0 spr\u00e1vnou ot\u00e1zku.\u00a0 S\u00a0 n\u00ed\u017e\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 se\u00a0 del\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 \u010das\u00a0 pot\u00fdk\u00e1m\u00a0 i j\u00e1!<\/p>\n

Xenia Fedorova : \u00abLa guerre en Iran et le choc \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique qui frappe d\u00e9j\u00e0 l\u2019Europe\u00bb<\/strong><\/a><\/h4>\n

podle p\u0159eklada\u010de<\/p>\n

Xenia Fedorovov\u00e1: \u201eV\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a energetick\u00fd \u0161ok ji\u017e zas\u00e1hl Evropu\u201c<\/strong><\/h3>\n

V\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b ji\u017e naru\u0161uje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetickou bilanci. Vzhledem k prudce rostouc\u00edm cen\u00e1m, nap\u011bt\u00ed ohledn\u011b Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a strategick\u00fdm z\u00e1vislostem se Evropa jev\u00ed jako obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zraniteln\u00e1.<\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu u\u017e nen\u00ed jen strategick\u00fdm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em. Nyn\u00ed p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed prvn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 dopady. Uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu\u00a0<\/a>a prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen ropy Brent nad 100 dolar\u016f za barel ukazuj\u00ed, jak rychle se geopolitick\u00e1 krize m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159em\u011bnit v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00fd \u0161ok. A v t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 rovnici se Evropa jev\u00ed jako jeden z v\u016fbec\u00a0 nejzraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f.<\/p>\n

Od roku 2022 se energetika tot\u00e1ln\u011b\u00a0 zpolitizovala. Nejprve sankcemi a rozchodem s Ruskem a nyn\u00ed hrozbami pro obchodn\u00ed toky ropy\u00a0 \u00a0v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu a p\u0159epravu LNG. V\u00fdsledkem je sv\u011bt, ve kter\u00e9m se ropovody, tankery, p\u0159\u00edstavy, sankce, poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed a \u00fazk\u00e1 hrdla staly strategick\u00fdmi n\u00e1stroji. U\u017e to nen\u00ed jen trh; je to ar\u00e9na tvrd\u00e9ho soupe\u0159en\u00ed mezi mocnostmi.<\/p>\n

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Spojen\u00e9\u00a0st\u00e1ty\u00a0<\/a>jsou nyn\u00ed mnohem odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. D\u00edky revoluci v oblasti b\u0159idlicov\u00e9 ropy a plynu se staly jedn\u00edm z p\u0159edn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch producent\u016f uhlovod\u00edk\u016f a disponuj\u00ed v\u00fdznamnou exportn\u00ed kapacitou zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu. Jejich energetick\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnost se op\u00edr\u00e1 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm o vlastn\u00ed produkci a p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed logistickou s\u00ed\u0165, kter\u00e1 je m\u00e9n\u011b vystavena vliv\u016fm hlavn\u00edch strategick\u00fdch p\u0159epravn\u00edch tras.<\/p>\n

Z hlediska striktn\u00ed energetick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti se proto Evropa a Asie jev\u00ed jako daleko zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. \u010c\u00edna je siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na toc\u00edch energie z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, co\u017e ji \u010din\u00ed strategicky zranitelnou v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu. M\u00e1 v\u0161ak i dal\u0161\u00ed man\u00e9vrovac\u00ed prostor:\u00a0Peking m\u016f\u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161it dovoz z Ruska, aby kompenzoval n\u011bkter\u00e1 ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch naru\u0161en\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Souhlasilo by Rusko s t\u00edm, aby se op\u011bt stalo dodavatelem energie pro Evropu?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pro Evropu je v\u0161ak situace mnohem kriti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Kontinent se ji\u017e pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s d\u016fsledky naru\u0161en\u00ed rusk\u00fdch plynovod\u016f a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se sna\u017e\u00ed doplnit sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby a odvr\u00e1tit dal\u0161\u00ed cenovou krizi. Evropsk\u00e1 unie ji\u017e sn\u00ed\u017eila pod\u00edl rusk\u00e9ho plynu na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 12 % do roku 2025, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee tento pod\u00edl v roce 2026 klesne o dal\u0161\u00edch 30 % s c\u00edlem ukon\u010dit dovoz rusk\u00e9ho plynu do roku 2027.<\/p>\n

Velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st tohoto objemu byla nahrazena zkapaln\u011bn\u00fdm zemn\u00edm plynem, zejm\u00e9na ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Ot\u00e1zka rezerv je op\u011bt kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1. Evropsk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 rezervy mohou zm\u00edrnit do\u010dasn\u00fd \u0161ok, ale z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed omezen\u00e9. V n\u011bkter\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch dlouhodob\u00e9 krize by tyto rezervy mohly vydr\u017eet jen n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, n\u011bkdy maxim\u00e1ln\u011b t\u0159i, ne\u017e se nap\u011bt\u00ed v dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch stane neudr\u017eiteln\u00fdm.<\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 rovnici hraje Rusko i nad\u00e1le \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed roli. D\u00edky sv\u00fdm obrovsk\u00fdm z\u00e1sob\u00e1m plynu a ropy a infrastruktu\u0159e, kter\u00e1 je ji\u017e propojena s Evropou, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 Moskva jedn\u00edm z m\u00e1la dodavatel\u016f schopn\u00fdch rychle zm\u00edrnit krizi dod\u00e1vek. Tato mo\u017enost v\u0161ak \u010del\u00ed velk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ece: sankc\u00edm a strategick\u00e9 roztr\u017ece mezi Evropskou uni\u00ed a Ruskem. Zru\u0161en\u00ed t\u011bchto sankc\u00ed by pro mnoho evropsk\u00fdch vl\u00e1d bylo politicky v\u00fdbu\u0161nou volbou.\u00a0Vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u0161ak je\u0161t\u011b nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zka:\u00a0souhlasilo by Rusko s t\u00edm, \u017ee se znovu stane dodavatelem energie pro Evropu pot\u00e9, co bylo tak n\u00e1hle odsunuto na vedlej\u0161\u00ed kolej?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Moskva ji\u017e n\u011bkolik let systematicky p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1v\u00e1 sv\u016fj export sm\u011brem k Asii, zejm\u00e9na do \u010c\u00edny a Indie. Tato nov\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 partnerstv\u00ed se buduj\u00ed dlouhodob\u011b a sleduj\u00ed jasnou strategickou logiku: sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti na evropsk\u00fdch trz\u00edch. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 krize tak odhaluje z\u00e1sadn\u00ed paradox. Evropa se sna\u017eila sn\u00ed\u017eit svou energetickou z\u00e1vislost z politick\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f. Ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde se mno\u017e\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 krize, se v\u0161ak tato strategie m\u011bn\u00ed ve zranitelnost.<\/p>\n

Pokud by v\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b zp\u016fsobila trval\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch energetick\u00fdch tok\u016f, mohl by se evropsk\u00fd kontinent \u010delit drsn\u00e9 realit\u011b: v boji o zdroje, kde\u00a0 ostatn\u00ed velmoci\u00a0 maj\u00ed alternativy, on\u00a0 ne. Pro Evropu se\u00a0 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed energetick\u00e9 rovnice m\u016f\u017ee\u00a0 uk\u00e1zat jako mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo<\/p>\n

Autorka\u00a0 vyhm\u00e1tla\u00a0 p\u0159esn\u011b\u00a0 j\u00e1dro pudla!!!\u00a0 Hormuz\u00a0 je\u00a0 uzav\u0159en . Nikdo netu\u0161\u00ed na jak\u00a0 dlouho. Ale\u00a0 v\u0161ichni\u00a0 v\u011bd\u00ed,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 ka\u017ed\u00fd\u00a0 den\u00a0 jeho\u00a0 ut\u011bsn\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0 je velk\u00fd\u00a0 \u00a0pr\u016f\u0161vih.\u00a0 A\u00a0 to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm pro\u00a0 Evropu.<\/p>\n

Ta\u00a0 si n\u00e1ramn\u011b pochvalovala\u00a0 a\u00a0 dokonce po\u0159\u00e1d pochvaluje, jak\u00e9\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 terno je\u00a0 p\u0159estat\u00a0 dov\u00e1\u017eet\u00a0 energetick\u00e9 nosi\u010de\u00a0 z\u00a0 Ruska. Ta\u00a0 svoboda! \u00da\u017easn\u00e1.\u00a0 V\u017edy\u0165 je\u00a0 tolik jin\u00fdch dodavatel\u016f!\u00a0 Nap\u0159\u00edklad\u00a0 na\u00a0 Arabsk\u00e9m poloostrov\u011b!\u00a0 Sta\u010d\u00ed jen podepsat\u00a0 kontrakty a ud\u011blat\u00a0 na\u00a0 Putlera\u00a0 dlouh\u00fd\u00a0 nos.\u00a0 Nebo v\u00a0 USA.<\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee\u00a0 je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed\u00a0 ir\u00e1nskou\u00a0 v\u00e1lkou\u00a0 n\u00e1hle\u00a0 stejn\u00e1\u00a0 Evropa\u00a0 zjistila,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 p\u0159ed\u00e1n\u00edm\u00a0 kl\u00ed\u010d\u016f\u00a0 od\u00a0 sv\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f Trumpovi\u00a0 je\u00a0 Evropa\u00a0 zoufale\u00a0 vyd\u00edrateln\u00e1 a\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 je\u00a0 to \u0161patn\u011b. No, co\u00a0 je\u0161t\u011b m\u00e1me\u00a0 ten\u00a0 Bl\u00edzk\u00fd\u00a0 v\u00fdchod!\u00a0 To je\u00a0 pojistka!<\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee\u00a0 dnes\u00a0 u\u017e vid\u00edme, \u017ee\u00a0 nen\u00ed!\u00a0 Pojistka\u00a0 \u0161irok\u00e1\u00a0 33 kilometr\u016f\u00a0 praskla\u00a0 a jaksi\u00a0 n\u00e1hradn\u00ed\u00a0 se\u00a0 v OBI\u00a0 ani nikde jinde koupit\u00a0 ned\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Co\u00a0 s t\u00edm?\u00a0 Na\u00a0 to\u00a0 se\u00a0 se\u0161li kolektivn\u011b\u00a0 z\u00e1padn\u00ed\u00a0 papal\u00e1\u0161i\u00a0 na\u00a0 G7, kde\u00a0 se dohodli, \u017ee\u00a0 je pot\u0159eba\u00a0 s\u00e1hnout\u00a0 na strategick\u00e9 rezervy, ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na\u00a0 tom, \u017ee\u00a0 se\u00a0 nesm\u00ed\u00a0 za\u00a0 \u017e\u00e1dnou\u00a0 cenu polevit\u00a0 v\u00a0 protirusk\u00fdch\u00a0 sankc\u00edch!<\/p>\n

N\u00e1sledn\u011b,\u00a0 v\u010dera\u00a0 se\u00a0 kolektivn\u011b\u00a0 z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b, \u010dlenov\u00e9\u00a0 Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e9 agentury (IEA) se dohodly na uvoln\u011bn\u00ed 400 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy ze sv\u00fdch nouzov\u00fdch rezerv na trh, aby vykompenzovaly ztr\u00e1ty zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 v\u00e1lkou na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledek na\u00a0 burze?\u00a0 Te\u010f\u00a0 kdy\u00a0 to klepu\u00a0 vid\u00edm, \u017ee\u00a0 n\u00e1m ropa\u00a0 v\u00a0 reakci na\u00a0 toto ohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0 stoupla\u00a0 o\u00a0 p\u011bkn\u00fdch\u00a0 skoro\u00a0 7%\u00a0 za\u00a0 barel\u00a0 nahoru a u\u017e\u00a0 se zase bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed\u00a0 magick\u00e9 stovce!<\/p>\n

Bravo\u00a0 pa\u0148\u00e1\u010dkov\u00e9, bravo!<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmalo\u00a0 mne\u00a0 kolik\u00a0 t\u011bch\u00a0 400 milion\u016f barel\u016f\u00a0 p\u0159edstavuje\u00a0 dn\u016f\u00a0 celosv\u011btov\u00e9\u00a0 spot\u0159eby \u2013\u00a0 a p\u0159edstavte\u00a0 si,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 cel\u00e9\u00a0 4\u00a0 dny!!!!\u00a0 Tedy\u00a0 ani ne\u00a0 100\u00a0 hodin\u2026<\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b,\u00a0 to jen\u00a0 v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 by\u00a0 nikdo\u00a0 na\u00a0 cel\u00e9\u00a0 zem\u011bkouli\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 \u017e\u00e1dnou ropu\u00a0 net\u011b\u017eil a neprod\u00e1val.\u00a0 Co\u017e\u00a0 je\u00a0 nesmysl. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b\u00a0 pamatuji\u00a0 velmi dob\u0159e\u00a0 ropn\u00fd\u00a0 \u0161ok 1974.\u00a0 Kdy\u00a0 se z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomiky za\u010daly\u00a0 hroutit,\u00a0 kdy\u017e\u00a0 arab\u0161t\u00ed producenti omezili\u00a0 nab\u00eddku\u00a0 tu\u0161\u00edm\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 tenkr\u00e1t\u00a0 o\u00a0 4% . A ceny\u00a0 vylet\u011bly\u00a0 na\u00a0 tehdej\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 \u010dty\u0159n\u00e1sobek.<\/p>\n

Dnes\u00a0 uzav\u0159en\u00ed\u00a0 Hormuzu znamen\u00e1,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 \u00a0na trhu\u00a0 sch\u00e1z\u00ed\u00a0 minim\u00e1ln\u011b\u00a0 n\u011bco\u00a0 mezi\u00a0 10-13%\u00a0 obvykl\u00e9\u00a0 nab\u00eddky.\u00a0 P\u0159i\u00a0 celosv\u011btov\u00e9\u00a0 denn\u00ed spot\u0159eb\u011b\u00a0 100 milion\u016f\u00a0 barel\u016f jde\u00a0 o\u00a0 10 \u2013 13 milion\u016f. Tohle\u00a0 m\u00e1\u00a0 to uvoln\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0 400 mio strategick\u00fdch z\u00e1sob\u00a0 vykompenzovat.\u00a0 Bav\u00edme se tedy\u00a0 o\u00a0 cca\u00a0 40\u00a0 dnech\u00a0 kompenzac\u00ed.\u00a0 Ne\u00a0 v\u00edce.\u00a0 Ov\u0161em kompenzac\u00ed\u00a0 veskrze provozn\u00edch, nikoliv\u00a0 cenov\u00fdch.\u00a0 Co\u017e\u00a0 je\u00a0 druh\u00fd\u00a0 faktor. Ale\u00a0 ten\u00a0 viditeln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee\u00a0 cenov\u00e9 totemy\u00a0 na pump\u00e1ch\u00a0 m\u00edj\u00edme\u00a0 \u00a0denn\u011b\u00a0 a\u00a0 v\u0161ichni a dokonce\u00a0 si jich v\u0161imnou i intervj\u016fci\u00a0 z Kav\u010d\u00edch hor.<\/p>\n

\u0158ekl bych, ve\u00a0 sv\u011btle\u00a0 t\u011bchto\u00a0 fakt\u016f,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 t\u011bch\u00a0 max.\u00a0 40 dn\u016f\u00a0 je asi tak \u010dasov\u00fd limit,\u00a0 do kdy\u00a0 se mus\u00ed\u00a0 n\u011bjak zlomit\u00a0 ir\u00e1nsk\u00e1\u00a0 v\u00e1lka.\u00a0 Bu\u010f\u00a0 t\u00edm, \u017ee\u00a0 se\u00a0 Ir\u00e1n\u00a0 slo\u017e\u00ed\u00a0 nebo\u00a0 t\u00edm,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 gangster\u00a0 Trump\u00a0 vyhl\u00e1s\u00ed\u00a0 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u00a0 a\u00a0 st\u00e1hne\u00a0 se.\u00a0 \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 jin\u00e9\u00a0 dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0 se nenab\u00edz\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Tvrd\u00edm\u00a0 to\u00a0 i p\u0159es\u00a0 to,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 znal\u00fd\u00a0 v\u011bci klidn\u011b\u00a0 nam\u00edtne\u00a0 \u2013\u00a0 ale\u00a0 vlku\u00a0 celkov\u00e9\u00a0 disponibiln\u00ed\u00a0 strategick\u00e9\u00a0 z\u00e1soby\u00a0 Z\u00e1padu\u00a0 jsou, i po uvoln\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0 t\u011bch\u00a0 400 milion\u016f, je\u0161t\u011b\u00a0 dvakr\u00e1t\u00a0 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 \u2013 tedy\u00a0 dal\u0161\u00edch\u00a0 800 000 mio.\u00a0 Tak\u017ee\u00a0 dal\u0161\u00edch\u00a0 80 dn\u016f.<\/p>\n

Nesouhlas\u00edm.\u00a0 To\u00a0 u\u017e se bav\u00edme\u00a0 o\u00a0 skute\u010dn\u011b\u00a0 strategick\u00fdch z\u00e1sob\u00e1ch. Pro p\u0159\u00edpad\u00a0 velk\u00e9\u00a0 existen\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky\u00a0 a krize\u00a0 a nikoli\u00a0 zlo\u010dinn\u00e9 a\u00a0 zbyte\u010dn\u00e9\u00a0 gangstersk\u00e9\u00a0 v\u00e1lky\u00a0 jednoho egomaniaka a\u00a0 jeho\u00a0 na\u0161eptava\u010de.\u00a0 \u00a0To\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 by\u00a0 pak\u00a0 ka\u017ed\u00fd\u00a0 st\u00e1t\u00a0 \u0159ezal\u00a0 do\u00a0 vlastn\u00edho krku, jen proto,\u00a0 aby\u00a0 Trump\u00a0 s Netanjahuem\u00a0 mohli\u00a0 v\u00e1l\u010dit\u00a0 d\u00e1l.\u00a0 Zbavit\u00a0 se posledn\u00edch\u00a0 strategick\u00fdch rezerv se snad neodv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed\u00a0 ani\u00a0 dutohlavov\u00e9\u00a0 velikosti Leyenov\u00e9, Merze, Starmera,\u00a0 Macrona. I kdy\u017e nepochybuji,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 Fiala\u00a0 s Lipavsk\u00fdm, Raku\u0161anem, Jure\u010dkou, Posp\u00ed\u0161ilem a H\u0159ibem\u00a0 by nev\u00e1hali ani sekundu. A\u00a0 nakonec\u00a0 n\u00e1m ozn\u00e1mili,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 j\u00edzda\u00a0 na kole\u00a0 nebo ch\u016fze\u00a0 p\u011b\u0161ky\u00a0 je pro na\u0161e\u00a0 dobro.<\/p>\n

Ano, jestli se\u00a0 ropn\u00e1\u00a0 \u00a0a\u00a0 plynov\u00e1\u00a0 krize\u00a0 d\u00edky\u00a0 t\u00e9hle\u00a0 zlo\u010dinn\u00e9\u00a0 v\u00e1lce prot\u00e1hne,\u00a0 pak\u00a0 Evropa\u00a0 ze\u00a0 v\u0161ech\u00a0 velk\u00fdch\u00a0 ekonomick\u00fdch\u00a0 hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f\u00a0 tah\u00e1\u00a0 za\u00a0 zdaleka\u00a0 nejkrat\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 konec!!!\u00a0 \u010c\u00edna\u00a0 se\u00a0 s jistotou\u00a0 m\u016f\u017ee\u00a0 op\u0159\u00edt\u00a0 o Rusko.\u00a0 Indie\u00a0 nejsp\u00ed\u0161e\u00a0 tak\u00e9.\u00a0 Japonsko s Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreou\u00a0 se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b\u00a0 p\u0159idaj\u00ed.\u00a0 Jak nasv\u011bd\u010duj\u00ed\u00a0 zpr\u00e1vy\u00a0 z\u00a0 rusk\u00fdch\u00a0 zdroj\u016f,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 jejich automobilky\u00a0 se sna\u017e\u00ed\u00a0 o n\u00e1vrat na\u00a0 rusk\u00e9\u00a0 trhy\u00a0 i\u00a0 \u010dem\u017e\u00a0 se v\u00a0 tuzemsku\u00a0 i jinde\u00a0 hluboce\u00a0 ml\u010d\u00ed. A\u00a0 co jsou\u00a0 automobilky proti\u00a0 energetick\u00e9\u00a0 bezpe\u010dnosti?<\/p>\n

Mimochodem, kdy\u017e\u00a0 Evropa\u00a0 je\u0161t\u011b\u00a0 d\u00e1vno p\u0159ed\u00a0 ukrajinskou\u00a0 v\u00e1lkou za\u010dala\u00a0 \u00a0s protirusk\u00fdm plynov\u00fdm ta\u017een\u00edm,\u00a0 \u010detli\u00a0 jste na\u00a0 Kose,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 si kope\u00a0 hrob. Proto\u017ee\u00a0 a\u017e\u00a0 se zrealizuje\u00a0 plynovod\u00a0 S\u00edla\u00a0 Sibi\u0159e\u00a0 2,\u00a0 tak\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 nebude\u00a0 napojen jen\u00a0 na\u00a0 v\u00fdchodosibi\u0159sk\u00e1\u00a0 nalezi\u0161t\u011b, n\u00fdbr\u017e tak\u00e9 na\u00a0 Tjume\u0148, na\u00a0 plynov\u00e1\u00a0 pole, z\u00e1sobuj\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0 dosud\u00a0 v\u00fdhradn\u011b\u00a0 Evropu.\u00a0 No\u00a0 tak\u00a0 te\u010f\u00a0 se to zrealizuje.<\/p>\n

Pro\u00a0 Rusko\u00a0 nepochybn\u011b\u00a0 zp\u0159etrh\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0 dodavatelsk\u00fdch\u00a0 vazeb na\u00a0 ropu plyn s\u00a0 Evropou\u00a0 p\u0159edstavovalo\u00a0 velkou r\u00e1nu.\u00a0 Ale\u00a0 na\u0161lo a najde n\u00e1hradu.\u00a0 Ve\u00a0 sv\u011bt\u011b\u00a0 prost\u011b\u00a0 nen\u00ed\u00a0 dost\u00a0 energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f.\u00a0 P\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm\u00a0 v\u00e1lky\u00a0 existovala\u00a0 voln\u00e1\u00a0 nadprodukce v\u00a0 naft\u011b\u00a0 celkov\u011b\u00a0 asi\u00a0 jen\u00a0 2-3%. Ov\u0161em\u00a0 skoro cel\u00e1\u00a0 jen na\u00a0 Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m\u00a0 v\u00fdchod\u011b. Ta\u00a0 te\u010f\u00a0 zmizela\u00a0 tak\u00e9.\u00a0 Nen\u00ed\u00a0 kam\u00a0 s\u00e1hnout.<\/p>\n

Rusko\u00a0 provedlo diverzifikaci\u00a0 trh\u016f\u00a0 a\u00a0 \u00a0orientuje\u00a0 se na\u00a0 Asii.<\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee\u00a0 autorka\u00a0 pokl\u00e1d\u00e1\u00a0 naprosto\u00a0 spr\u00e1vn\u011b\u00a0 kl\u00ed\u010dovou\u00a0 ot\u00e1zku<\/p>\n

bude Rusko ochotn\u00e9,\u00a0 po tom v\u0161em,\u00a0 \u010d\u00edm si\u00a0 od\u00a0 Evropy\u00a0 za posledn\u00ed roky pro\u0161lo, ochotno Evrop\u011b\u00a0 dod\u00e1vat?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Moje\u00a0 osobn\u00ed odpov\u011b\u010f\u00a0 je\u00a0 \u2013 NEV\u00cdM!\u00a0 Pomsta\u00a0 je\u00a0 sladk\u00e1, ale\u00a0 byznys\u00a0 je byznys. V\u00a0 ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b\u00a0 \u2013\u00a0 to\u00a0 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u00a0 Evropy , kdy\u017e\u00a0 se\u00a0 odst\u0159ihla\u00a0 od\u00a0 dareb\u00e1ck\u00fdch\u00a0 molekul a vym\u011bnila\u00a0 je\u00a0 za molekuly\u00a0 svobody\u00a0 \u00a0ji p\u0159i\u0161lo zatracen\u011b\u00a0 draho. N\u011bkter\u00e9\u00a0 prameny\u00a0 uv\u00e1d\u00ed,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 snad\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 na\u00a0 2 biliony\u00a0 eur.<\/p>\n

Nev\u00edm zda je\u00a0 to pravda.\u00a0 Ale p\u016fjde o po\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fd\u00a0 bal\u00edk. Plyn kupujeme\u00a0 2-3 dr\u00e1\u017e\u00a0 ne\u017e od Putlera. Na\u0161i smrteln\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00ed\u00a0 konkurenti\u00a0 \u2013 \u010c\u00edna a Indie\u00a0 si\u00a0 naopak\u00a0 bahn\u00ed\u00a0 ve\u00a0 slev\u00e1ch,\u00a0 kter\u00e9\u00a0 jim Kreml\u00a0 mus\u00ed\u00a0 poskytnout za\u00a0 to, \u017ee\u00a0 od n\u011bj kupuj\u00ed. A\u00a0 maj\u00ed tedy\u00a0 energie\u00a0 za\u00a0 lacin\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ceny,\u00a0 ne\u017e m\u011bla\u00a0 Evropa\u00a0 v\u00a0 norm\u00e1ln\u00edch\u00a0 dob\u00e1ch. Tomu se\u00a0 v\u00a0 dob\u011b naprosto\u00a0 vra\u017eedn\u00e9\u00a0 ekonomick\u00e9\u00a0 sout\u011b\u017ee\u00a0 \u0159\u00edk\u00e1\u00a0 sukces\u00a0 jak m\u00e1 b\u00fdt!!!!<\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc\u00a0 po kontraktech\u00a0 s\u00a0 \u201ekamar\u00e1dy\u201c\u00a0 z\u00a0 Asie\u00a0 je\u00a0 ot\u00e1zkou\u00a0 jestli rus\u016fm n\u011bjak\u00e9\u00a0 dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 voln\u00e9 kapacity\u00a0 v\u016fbec\u00a0 zbudou. Proto\u017ee\u00a0 hlavn\u011b\u00a0 \u010c\u00edna\u00a0 \u00a0v\u00ed,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 Hormuz\u00a0 a jeho uzav\u0159en\u00ed\u00a0 je\u00a0 mal\u00e9r,\u00a0 ale kontrola\u00a0 US\u00a0 NAVY\u00a0 nad\u00a0 sv\u011btov\u00fdmi obchodn\u00edmi trasami\u00a0 je\u0161t\u011b\u00a0 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed. A trubky\u00a0 z\u00a0 Ruska\u00a0 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd svaz letadlov\u00fdch\u00a0 lod\u00ed\u00a0 nikdy kontrolovat\u00a0 nebude.\u00a0 I kdyby\u00a0 jej n\u00e1hodou\u00a0 vedla\u00a0 fantastick\u00e1\u00a0 nov\u00e1 letadlovka\u00a0 Donald\u00a0 Trump.<\/p>\n

Jsem\u00a0 opravdu\u00a0 zv\u011bdav, co se na\u00a0 ropn\u00e9m\u00a0 a plynov\u00e9m trhu\u00a0 bude\u00a0 d\u00edt.\u00a0 T\u00edm\u00a0 sp\u00ed\u0161e,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 t\u011bsn\u011b\u00a0 p\u0159ed\u00a0 perskou\u00a0 v\u00e1lkou se mi poda\u0159ilo podepsat\u00a0 nov\u00e9\u00a0 dvoulet\u00e9\u00a0 smlouvy\u00a0 na\u00a0 dod\u00e1vky\u00a0 elekt\u0159iny a\u00a0 plynu.<\/p>\n

Ale\u00a0 o mn\u011b\u00a0 to\u00a0 nen\u00ed.\u00a0 T\u011bch\u00a0 40\u00a0 dn\u00ed, kdy\u00a0 asi budou\u00a0 ty\u00a0 strategick\u00e9\u00a0 rezervy kompenzovat\u00a0 bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed\u00a0 v\u00fdpadky\u00a0 v\u00a0 rop\u011b,\u00a0 \u00a0 beru\u00a0 jako\u00a0 dost z\u00e1sadn\u00ed limit\u00a0 pro konec\u00a0 v\u00e1lky.\u00a0 To je\u00a0 skoro\u00a0 do konce kv\u011btna. A\u00a0 pak\u00a0 u\u017e nebude\u00a0 moc\u00a0 \u010dasu na\u00a0 v\u016fbec\u00a0 nic.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

A\u00a0 dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0 ropy\u00a0 do strategick\u00fdch\u00a0 z\u00e1sob\u00a0 zp\u011bt\u00a0 p\u0159ivod\u00ed\u00a0 asi tak\u00e9\u00a0 docela\u00a0 p\u011bkn\u00fd\u00a0 \u0161rumec.\u00a0 Nicm\u00e9n\u011b\u00a0 ani zdaleka\u00a0 tak\u00a0 velk\u00fd,\u00a0 jako\u00a0 znovunapln\u011bn\u00ed\u00a0 po zim\u011b\u00a0 pr\u00e1zdn\u00fdch z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f\u00a0 plynu!\u00a0 Dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 zima nepo\u010dk\u00e1. Topn\u00e1\u00a0 sezona\u00a0 za\u010dne\u00a0 znovu\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 za necel\u00fdch\u00a0 5 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Sp\u00ed\u0161e\u00a0 4.\u00a0 A nakupovat\u00a0 za\u010dnou v\u0161ichni najednou.\u00a0 No\u00a0 hlavn\u011b,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 jsme\u00a0 se\u00a0 toho Putlera\u00a0 zbavili!!\u00a0 A jeho podvratn\u00fdch\u00a0 hybridn\u011b\u00a0 v\u00e1le\u010dnick\u00fdch\u00a0 dlouhodob\u00fdch kontrakt\u016f s\u00a0 pevn\u00fdmi cenami!<\/p>\n

V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u00a0 je\u00a0 prost\u011b\u00a0 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed!<\/p>\n

Dodatek hned\u00a0 po\u00a0 dops\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dopsal\u00a0 jsem, zeditoval a\u00a0 \u0161el se hned\u00a0 mrknout\u00a0 na\u00a0 finan\u010dn\u00ed port\u00e1l Kurzy.cz, co\u00a0 jako\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 mezi\u00a0 t\u00edm\u00a0 ud\u011blala\u00a0 burza.<\/p>\n

a tam na mne\u00a0 vysko\u010dil n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0 titulek<\/p>\n

Pl\u00e1n na uvoln\u011bn\u00ed 172 milion\u016f barel\u016f ze SPR by zmen\u0161il \u201eenergetickou pojistku\u201c USA o v\u00edce ne\u017e 40 %<\/strong><\/a><\/h4>\n

Tak\u017ee\u00a0 z\u00a0 t\u011bch\u00a0 400\u00a0 mio\u00a0 tun\u00a0 ropy\u00a0 by skoro\u00a0 p\u016flku uvol\u0148ovaly\u00a0 Spojen\u00e9\u00a0 st\u00e1ty.jsou\u00a0 rozpl\u00e1nov\u00e1ny\u00a0 do\u00a0 120\u00a0 dn\u00ed. \u017de by\u00a0 tohle\u00a0 fungovalo\u00a0 jako cenov\u00fd\u00a0 pol\u0161t\u00e1\u0159? P\u0159i\u00a0 v\u00fdpadku\u00a0 10-13%\u00a0 denn\u011b?\u00a0 netu\u0161\u00edm.\u00a0 Ale\u00a0 ur\u010dit\u011b\u00a0 to\u00a0 zjist\u00edme.<\/p>\n

Nejv\u00edce\u00a0 mne\u00a0 ov\u0161em\u00a0 ohledn\u011b\u00a0 americk\u00fdch strategick\u00fdch z\u00e1sob\u00a0 ve\u00a0 v\u00fd\u0161i\u00a0 415 milion\u016f\u00a0 barel\u016f\u00a0 p\u0159ekvapilo\u00a0 tohle:<\/p>\n

Axios z\u00e1rove\u0148 upozornil, \u017ee SPR mus\u00ed dr\u017eet i minim\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201eprovozn\u00ed\u201c z\u00e1sobu (kolem 150 milion\u016f barel\u016f), tak\u017ee velk\u00e9 drawdowny mohou zmen\u0161it re\u00e1ln\u011b pou\u017eiteln\u00fd pol\u0161t\u00e1\u0159 rychleji, ne\u017e napov\u00edd\u00e1 samotn\u00fd headline objem. Tak\u017ee\u00a0 v\u00edce\u00a0 ne\u017e\u00a0 1\/3 je\u00a0 net\u011b\u017eiteln\u00e1!\u00a0 Co\u017e\u00a0 znamen\u00e1,\u00a0 \u017ee\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 nyn\u00ed\u00a0 si USA\u00a0 docela\u00a0 hodn\u011b\u00a0 zahr\u00e1vaj\u00ed!!!!<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b\u00a0 Trump\u00a0 chce vyhr\u00e1t za\u00a0 ka\u017edou\u00a0 cenu.\u00a0 Ale\u00a0 \u010das je jeho\u00a0 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed\u00a0 nep\u0159\u00edtel. Tak\u017ee\u00a0 40\u00a0 dn\u00ed\u2026. Count\u00a0 down\u00a0 b\u011b\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Evrop\u011b\u00a0 odtik\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0 u\u017e\u00a0 d\u00e1vno. Od\u00a0 \u00a0t\u00e9\u00a0 doby\u00a0 slavn\u00e9ho odst\u0159i\u017een\u00ed!<\/p>\n

Petr Vlk<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dne\u0161n\u00ed\u00a0 Kosa\u00a0 se\u00a0 op\u00edr\u00e1\u00a0 o\u00a0 dva\u00a0 kousky\u00a0 francouzsk\u00e9 provenience. Ten\u00a0 hlavn\u00ed\u00a0 je p\u0159evzat\u00a0 z\u00a0 prominentn\u00edho\u00a0…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":70151,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,285,283,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101943"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101943"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101943\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70151"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101943"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101943"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101943"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}