{"id":101744,"date":"2026-03-12T05:53:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T04:53:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101744"},"modified":"2026-03-12T05:53:04","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T04:53:04","slug":"german-gorraiz-lopez-hrozi-nova-ropna-krize","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/12\/german-gorraiz-lopez-hrozi-nova-ropna-krize\/","title":{"rendered":"Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez: Hroz\u00ed nov\u00e1 ropn\u00e1 krize?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Prodlou\u017een\u00ed konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b by mohlo vyhnat cenu ropy a\u017e na 150 dolar\u016f za barel (p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 to ropnou krizi z roku 1973), co\u017e by m\u011blo za n\u00e1sledek vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed inflaci, vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank, ekonomick\u00e9 u\u0161krcen\u00ed mnoha zem\u00ed a vznik stagflace, charakterizovan\u00e9 ekonomickou stagnac\u00ed a vysokou inflac\u00ed (sekul\u00e1rn\u00ed stagflace).<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1vislost na rop\u011b. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee alternativn\u00ed energie v rozvojov\u00fdch zem\u00edch st\u00e1le vy\u017eaduj\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 dotace, aby byly \u017eivotaschopn\u00e9, \u017ee hydraulick\u00e9 \u0161t\u011bpen\u00ed vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 obavy o \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed a \u017ee setrva\u010dnost ropn\u00fdch aktiv zabr\u00e1n\u00ed velk\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem v opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed jejich st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edho vybaven\u00ed a infrastruktury, bude se glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm desetilet\u00ed i nad\u00e1le obracet k rop\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 agentura (IEA) tak ve zpr\u00e1v\u011b s n\u00e1zvem\u00a0<\/span>Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdhled investic do energetiky\u00a0<\/span><\/em>varuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0\u00a0\u017ee do roku 2035 bude nutn\u00e9 investovat 48 bilion\u016f dolar\u016f, aby se uspokojila rostouc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e1 pot\u0159eba.<\/span><\/p>\n

Strategick\u00e9 rezervy. Hlavn\u00ed rozvinut\u00e9 zem\u011b si udr\u017euj\u00ed strategick\u00e9 rezervy ropy, kter\u00e9 si vyhrazuj\u00ed v\u00fdhradn\u011b pro kritick\u00e9 situace, aby si zajistily dom\u00e1c\u00ed spot\u0159ebu po dobu n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed t\u00fddenn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy americk\u00e9ho \u00da\u0159adu pro energetick\u00e9 informace (IEA) (\u00fanor 2026) se strategick\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 rezervy (SPR) Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f\u00a0<\/span>odhaduj\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 415\u2013416 milion\u016f barel\u016f, co\u017e odpov\u00edd\u00e1 50 a\u017e 55 dn\u016fm dodate\u010dn\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nouze. Strategick\u00e9 rezervy \u010c\u00edny se mezit\u00edm odhaduj\u00ed na 500 a\u017e 900 milion\u016f barel\u016f, co\u017e odpov\u00edd\u00e1 90 a\u017e 140 dn\u016fm dod\u00e1vek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 ropn\u00e1 krize? Konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b spustil nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst dod\u00e1vek, kdy se zem\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed vytvo\u0159it si z\u00e1soby, co\u017e vytla\u010dilo cenu ropy Brent a\u017e na 91 dolar\u016f za barel. Pokud by konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b p\u0159etrv\u00e1val, \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl uzav\u0159\u00edt Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fdm proch\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20 % sv\u011btov\u00e9 ropy, a cena ropy by pak mohla dos\u00e1hnout 150 dolar\u016f za barel. To by vyvolalo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed paniku tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 nedostatku ropy, co\u017e by vedlo k dramatick\u00e9mu n\u00e1r\u016fstu n\u00e1klad\u016f na dopravu a cen zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch hnojiv. V kombinaci se zaveden\u00edm v\u00fdvozn\u00edch omezen\u00ed surovin zem\u011bmi produkuj\u00edc\u00edmi obil\u00ed s c\u00edlem zajistit si sob\u011bsta\u010dnost by tato situace mohla v\u00e9st k nedostatku zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch produkt\u016f na sv\u011btov\u00fdch trz\u00edch, prudk\u00e9mu r\u016fstu cen a v d\u016fsledku toho ke glob\u00e1ln\u00ed potravinov\u00e9 krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Germ\u00e1n Gorraiz L\u00f3pez<\/a> , politick\u00fd analytik<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prodlou\u017een\u00ed konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b by mohlo vyhnat cenu ropy a\u017e na 150 dolar\u016f za…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101745,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1907,371,310,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101744"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101744\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101745"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}