{"id":101736,"date":"2026-03-12T05:41:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T04:41:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101736"},"modified":"2026-03-12T05:41:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T04:41:16","slug":"serge-savigny-agresivni-valky-spojenych-statu-kontaminuji-afriku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/12\/serge-savigny-agresivni-valky-spojenych-statu-kontaminuji-afriku\/","title":{"rendered":"Serge Savigny: Agresivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f kontaminuj\u00ed Afriku"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ji\u017e tak napjat\u00e9 vztahy mezi dv\u011bma kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi Africk\u00e9ho rohu nabraly dramatick\u00fd sp\u00e1d. 2. b\u0159ezna 2026 Afrika dos\u00e1hla nov\u00e9ho bodu zlomu. S\u00fad\u00e1n ofici\u00e1ln\u011b obvinil Etiopii z \u00fatok\u016f dron\u016f na sv\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed a pohrozil odvetn\u00fdmi \u00fadery. Za such\u00fdmi \u0159\u00e1dky diplomatick\u00fdch n\u00f3t se skr\u00fdvaj\u00ed des\u00edtky tis\u00edc mrtv\u00fdch b\u011bhem t\u0159\u00ed let ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, miliony uprchl\u00edk\u016f a tich\u00fd souhlas sv\u011btov\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed s eskalac\u00ed konfliktu. Jak se Etiopie a S\u00fad\u00e1n, dva histori\u010dt\u00ed rivalov\u00e9 o vody Nilu, ocitli na pokraji p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 konfrontace? A pro\u010d se z\u00e1jmy, kter\u00e9 jsou v s\u00e1zce za touto patovou situac\u00ed, t\u00e1hnou od Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed a\u017e po Ankaru?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Co se stalo: chronologie st\u00e1vky<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00fad\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce vydalo 2. b\u0159ezna\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech byly ve vzdu\u0161n\u00e9m prostoru zem\u011b pravideln\u011b detekov\u00e1ny drony vypou\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 z etiopsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. \u00datoky byly zam\u011b\u0159eny na lokality v jihov\u00fdchodn\u00edch provinci\u00edch, zejm\u00e9na na strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd region Modr\u00e9ho Nilu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Chart\u00fam ve sv\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed neuvedl po\u010det \u00fatok\u016f ani p\u0159esn\u00e9 c\u00edle, ale zdroje bl\u00edzk\u00e9 situaci nazna\u010dily pohrani\u010dn\u00ed st\u00e1t Modr\u00fd Nil, kde sv\u011bdci v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech hl\u00e1sili jak st\u0159ety, tak i leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery. Tento region hrani\u010d\u00edc\u00ed s Etiopi\u00ed je ji\u017e dlouho oblast\u00ed nestability, kde operuj\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 skupiny.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed popsalo jedn\u00e1n\u00ed souseda takto: \u201eToto nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed je odsouzen\u00edhodn\u00e9 a nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9. P\u0159edstavuje flagrantn\u00ed poru\u0161en\u00ed suverenity S\u00fad\u00e1nu a jasn\u00fd akt agrese proti s\u00fad\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu.\u201c Arm\u00e1da zem\u011b ofici\u00e1ln\u011b varovala: \u201eVyhrazujeme si pr\u00e1vo na sebeobranu a podnikneme ve\u0161ker\u00e1 nezbytn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed k ochran\u011b na\u0161eho \u00fazem\u00ed.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed obvin\u011bn\u00ed proti Addis Abeb\u011b se neobjevila jen tak z ni\u010deho nic. Jsou podpo\u0159ena \u0159adou p\u0159edchoz\u00edch zpr\u00e1v a vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v \u00fanoru 2026 agentura Reuters\u00a0<\/span>s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na vlastn\u00ed zdroje\u00a0<\/span><\/em>odhalila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee na etiopsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed fungoval tajn\u00fd t\u00e1bor, kde byly pro Rychl\u00e9 podp\u016frn\u00e9 s\u00edly (RSF) cvi\u010deny tis\u00edce bojovn\u00edk\u016f. Ani etiopsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, ani velen\u00ed RSF na \u017e\u00e1dosti o koment\u00e1\u0159 k t\u011bmto informac\u00edm nereagovaly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Etiopie nad\u00e1le ml\u010d\u00ed. Kancel\u00e1\u0159 premi\u00e9ra Abiye Ahmeda se odm\u00edtla vyj\u00e1d\u0159it. Toto ml\u010den\u00ed v\u0161ak nen\u00ed zn\u00e1mkou slabosti; m\u016f\u017ee to b\u00fdt pauza p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00edm \u00faderem. Za p\u0159ipomenut\u00ed stoj\u00ed, \u017ee v roce 2019 Abiy obdr\u017eel Nobelovu cenu m\u00edru za sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed 20let\u00e9ho hrani\u010dn\u00edho konfliktu mezi Etiopi\u00ed a Eritreou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d Etiopie bombarduje S\u00fad\u00e1n: t\u0159i d\u016fvody<\/span><\/p>\n

V roce 2025 dokon\u010dila Etiopie p\u0159ehradu\u00a0<\/span>Grand<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) na Modr\u00e9m Nilu. Pro Addis Abebu to byla ot\u00e1zka p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed: elekt\u0159ina, industrializace a \u00fanik z chudoby. Pro S\u00fad\u00e1n a Egypt to byla z\u00e1sadn\u00ed hrozba: kontrola nad tokem vody prom\u011bnila jejich sousedy v rukojm\u00ed. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se vlekla roky, ani\u017e by se dos\u00e1hlo kompromisu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Hrani\u010dn\u00ed troj\u00faheln\u00edk Al-Fa\u0161\u00e1ga zahrnuje \u00farodnou p\u016fdu, p\u016fvodn\u011b s\u00fad\u00e1nskou, ale po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed obd\u011bl\u00e1vanou etiopsk\u00fdmi farm\u00e1\u0159i. Chart\u00fam se rozhodl obnovit po\u0159\u00e1dek vyhn\u00e1n\u00edm farm\u00e1\u0159\u016f a nasazen\u00edm vojsk. Etiopie reagovala leteck\u00fdmi \u00fadery.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b zem\u011b jsou rozerv\u00e1ny ob\u010dansk\u00fdmi v\u00e1lkami. V Etiopii st\u00e1le doutnaje konflikt v Tigraji, vl\u00e1da ztr\u00e1c\u00ed kontrolu nad regionem. V S\u00fad\u00e1nu od dubna 2023 arm\u00e1da bojuje proti Sil\u00e1m rychl\u00e9 podpory (RSF). Vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed agrese je klasick\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, jak sjednotit elity a odv\u00e9st pozornost lidu od vnit\u0159n\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00ed s\u00edla<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace u\u017e d\u00e1vno nen\u00ed bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed. Vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed krizov\u00e9 skupiny, zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9 4. b\u0159ezna 2026, odhalilo\u00a0<\/span>dal\u0161\u00ed vrstvu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0konfliktu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed s\u00fad\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed, by\u0165 nep\u0159\u00edmo, nazna\u010duje spojen\u00ed s dal\u0161\u00edm kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dem v regionu: Spojen\u00fdmi arabsk\u00fdmi emir\u00e1ty. Podle studie Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed krizov\u00e9 skupiny s\u00fad\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 opakovan\u011b obvi\u0148uj\u00ed SAE ze zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek zbran\u00ed S\u00fad\u00e1nsk\u00fdm revolu\u010dn\u00edm sil\u00e1m (SRF) od listopadu 2025, kter\u00e9 proch\u00e1zej\u00ed etiopsk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty podporuj\u00ed Rychl\u00e9 podp\u016frn\u00e9 s\u00edly (RSF), kter\u00e9 bojuj\u00ed proti s\u00fad\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed arm\u00e1d\u011b. Podle zdroj\u016f byli bojovn\u00edci RSF cvi\u010deni na etiopsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, v oblasti Benishangul-Gumuz hrani\u010d\u00edc\u00ed se S\u00fad\u00e1nem. \u00datoky dron\u016f proto nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt pouze etiopskou iniciativou, ale sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed operace SAE s c\u00edlem vyvinout tlak na Chart\u00fam.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed tato obvin\u011bn\u00ed odm\u00edt\u00e1, a to i p\u0159es jejich zm\u00ednku ve zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch OSN. Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed server\u00a0<\/span>Africanews\u00a0<\/span><\/em>uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee podle Chart\u00famu poskytuje logistickou podporu a zbran\u011b, kter\u00e9 Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty z\u00edskaly, i Etiopie.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b stoj\u00ed Egypt, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Turecko, kter\u00e9 podporuj\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00fad\u00e1nskou arm\u00e1du vedenou gener\u00e1lem Abdelem Fattahem al-Burh\u00e1nem. K\u00e1hira vn\u00edm\u00e1 S\u00fad\u00e1n jako n\u00e1razn\u00edk proti etiopsk\u00e9 ba\u0161t\u011b. Ankara, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 v S\u00fad\u00e1nu vojenskou z\u00e1kladnu, h\u00e1j\u00ed jeho z\u00e1jmy. Rij\u00e1d se sna\u017e\u00ed udr\u017eet rovnov\u00e1hu, ale p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u00ed se k podpo\u0159e ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed vl\u00e1dy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 realita africk\u00fdch konflikt\u016f<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00datoky dron\u016f se staly charakteristick\u00fdm znakem t\u00e9to v\u00e1lky. S\u00fad\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 drony k pr\u016fzkumu, zat\u00edmco FSR je pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 k \u00fatok\u016fm na m\u011bsta a infrastrukturu. Etiopie podle zdroj\u016f aktivn\u011b nakupuje tureck\u00e9 drony Bayraktar, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 drony a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b i \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 drony Shahed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se \u00fatoky potvrd\u00ed, bude to znamenat, \u017ee S\u00fad\u00e1n \u010del\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9mu vzdu\u0161n\u00e9mu protivn\u00edkovi schopn\u00e9mu zas\u00e1hnout hluboko na jeho \u00fazem\u00ed. Asymetrick\u00e1 reakce Chart\u00famu by mohla m\u00edt jakoukoli podobu: od d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9ho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed pohrani\u010dn\u00edch oblast\u00ed a\u017e po aktivaci z\u00e1stupn\u00fdch skupin na etiopsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u0159i roky ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v S\u00fad\u00e1nu ji\u017e zemi srovnaly v trosky. Des\u00edtky tis\u00edc mrtv\u00fdch, miliony uprchl\u00edk\u016f, hladomor a epidemie. Nyn\u00ed se k tomu p\u0159idala vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed fronta.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Afrika vstupuje do \u00e9ry, kde star\u00e9 hranice nic neznamenaj\u00ed a kde voda, p\u016fda a zahrani\u010dn\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 hry stoj\u00ed v\u00edc ne\u017e lidsk\u00e9 \u017eivoty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Serge Savigny<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ji\u017e tak napjat\u00e9 vztahy mezi dv\u011bma kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi Africk\u00e9ho rohu nabraly dramatick\u00fd sp\u00e1d. 2. b\u0159ezna…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101737,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1271,1042,37,2024],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101736"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101736"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101736\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}