{"id":101575,"date":"2026-03-11T00:28:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T23:28:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101575"},"modified":"2026-03-10T18:53:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T17:53:29","slug":"pokud-iran-prezije-a-zustane-neochvejny-trumpova-valka-o-zdroje-proti-cine-a-zemim-brics-se-zhrouti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/11\/pokud-iran-prezije-a-zustane-neochvejny-trumpova-valka-o-zdroje-proti-cine-a-zemim-brics-se-zhrouti\/","title":{"rendered":"Pokud \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159e\u017eije a z\u016fstane neochv\u011bjn\u00fd, Trumpova v\u00e1lka o zdroje proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b a zem\u00edm BRICS se zhrout\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem americko-izraelsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky je nastolen\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 hegemonie nad z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asi\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na jedn\u00e9 \u00farovni je konflikt existen\u010dn\u00ed bitvou, kter\u00e1 se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 mezi \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi raketov\u00fdmi a zachycovac\u00edmi schopnostmi na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b a schopnostmi USA a Izraele na stran\u011b druh\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obvykle se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o jasnou konkurenci: \u00cdr\u00e1n bude americkou technologi\u00ed a palebnou silou p\u0159ekon\u00e1n a donucen ke kapitulaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vojensk\u00e9 pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu a dekapitace jeho veden\u00ed by \u2013 jak se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo \u2013 vedlo ke spont\u00e1nn\u00ed vln\u011b lidov\u00e9ho pobou\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd st\u00e1t p\u0159emohla a zatla\u010dila ho zp\u011bt do z\u00e1padn\u00ed sf\u00e9ry.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na \u00farovni \u010dist\u011b bilater\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu \u2013 v\u00e1lka vstupuje do sv\u00e9ho \u010dtvrt\u00e9ho dne \u2013 m\u00e1 situaci pod kontrolou \u00cdr\u00e1n. St\u00e1t se sice nezhroutil, ale ni\u010d\u00ed americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v cel\u00e9m Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu \u00fatoky dron\u016f a raketami a \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Izrael hypersonick\u00fdmi raketami vybaven\u00fdmi (poprv\u00e9) v\u00edcen\u00e1sobn\u00fdmi nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdmi hlavicemi.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto bod\u011b se \u00cdr\u00e1n nach\u00e1z\u00ed na pokraji \u00fapln\u00e9ho vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed arzen\u00e1l\u016f protiraketov\u00fdch st\u0159el st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu \u2013 a tak\u00e9 hluboce ovlivnil ub\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed izraelsko-americk\u00e9 rezervy protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany t\u00edm, \u017ee zpo\u010d\u00e1tku up\u0159ednost\u0148oval star\u0161\u00ed rakety a drony, kter\u00e9 spot\u0159ebov\u00e1vaj\u00ed prost\u0159edky protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vysoce v\u00fdkonn\u00e9 rakety, let\u00edc\u00ed rychlost\u00ed p\u0159esahuj\u00edc\u00ed Mach 4, se ukazuj\u00ed b\u00fdt v\u016f\u010di izraelsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obran\u011b do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry necitliv\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Atent\u00e1t na Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce podporovan\u00fd USA se uk\u00e1zal jako kardin\u00e1ln\u00ed chyba. M\u00edsto toho, aby spustil kolaps mor\u00e1lky, vedl k masivn\u00edm projev\u016fm podpory Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republice. K velk\u00e9mu p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed Washingtonu mobilizoval tak\u00e9 \u0161\u00edity v cel\u00e9m regionu, kte\u0159\u00ed vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed k d\u017eih\u00e1du a pomst\u011b za zabit\u00ed uct\u00edvan\u00e9ho \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce. Tel Aviv a Washington situaci v\u00e1\u017en\u011b \u0161patn\u011b odhadly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, \u00cdr\u00e1n je odoln\u00fd a dlouhodob\u011b dok\u00e1\u017ee odolat \u00fatok\u016fm USA, jejich\u017e v\u00fdpo\u010dty byly zalo\u017eeny na rychl\u00e9 v\u00e1lce typu \u201est\u0159\u00edlej a ut\u00edkej\u201c \u2013 strategii, kter\u00e1 mu byla do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry vynucena nedostatkem munice. Monarchie v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu sl\u00e1bnou. \u201eZna\u010dka\u201c Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu \u2013 prosperita, velk\u00e9 pen\u00edze, um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence, pl\u00e1\u017ee a turismus \u2013 je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b u konce. Ani Izrael by ve sv\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 podob\u011b nemohl p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Geopolitick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky v\u0161ak sahaj\u00ed daleko za hranice \u00cdr\u00e1nu a st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 selektivn\u00ed uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed ni\u010den\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu vypov\u00eddaj\u00ed jin\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vezm\u011bme si zejm\u00e9na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed na zni\u010den\u00ed infrastruktury americk\u00e9 P\u00e1t\u00e9 flotily v Bahrajnu. P\u00e1t\u00e1 flotila tvo\u0159\u00ed p\u00e1te\u0159 region\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonie USA \u2013 jak je zn\u00e1zorn\u011bno zde:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eP\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 90 % sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu s ropou proch\u00e1z\u00ed t\u011bmito oblastmi a americk\u00e1 kontrola zaru\u010duje souvisej\u00edc\u00ed energetick\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce. Flotila tak\u00e9 pokr\u00fdv\u00e1 t\u0159i kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 uzliny: Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, Suezsk\u00fd pr\u016fplav a \u00fa\u017einu Bab al-Mandeb. A jej\u00ed velitelstv\u00ed nen\u00ed jen p\u0159\u00edstav. Je to komplexn\u00ed radarov\u00e9, zpravodajsk\u00e9 a datab\u00e1zov\u00e9 centrum.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nu se poda\u0159ilo zni\u010dit bahrajnsk\u00e9 radarov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my a velkou \u010d\u00e1st jeho logistick\u00e9 a administrativn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed infrastruktury. Systematicky vytla\u010duje americk\u00e9 s\u00edly z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu se nevede pouze proto, aby USA mohly \u2013 podle venezuelsk\u00e9ho modelu \u2013 p\u0159idat \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 zdroje do sv\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho energetick\u00e9ho \u201eportfolia dominance\u201c. \u00cdr\u00e1n se v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce pod\u00edlel pouze asi 13,4 % ve\u0161ker\u00e9 ropy dovezen\u00e9 \u010c\u00ednou po mo\u0159i \u2013 co\u017e sotva p\u0159edstavuje v\u00fdznamn\u00fd pod\u00edl.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka se v\u0161ak t\u00fdk\u00e1 \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 hry: kontroly strategick\u00fdch \u00fazk\u00fdch m\u00edst a tranzitu energie obecn\u011b, aby \u010c\u00edn\u011b odep\u0159eli p\u0159\u00edstup na energetick\u00e9 trhy a t\u00edm zpomalili jej\u00ed r\u016fst.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpova N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategie (NSS) stanovila c\u00edl americk\u00e9 politiky \u201eznovu vyv\u00e1\u017eit \u010d\u00ednskou ekonomiku sm\u011brem k spot\u0159eb\u011b dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je americk\u00fd k\u00f3d, jak donutit \u010c\u00ednu k men\u0161\u00edmu exportu a v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu dovozu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm radik\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 restrukturalizace sm\u011brem k v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed spot\u0159eb\u011b \u2013 s c\u00edlem obnovit americk\u00fd pod\u00edl na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm exportu oproti hyperkonkuren\u010dn\u00edmu a levn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9mu exportu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm ze zp\u016fsob\u016f, jak tuto zm\u011bnu prosadit, by byly cla a obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lka. Dal\u0161\u00edm by v\u0161ak bylo odep\u0159\u00edt \u010c\u00edn\u011b p\u0159\u00edstup na energetick\u00e9 trhy, kter\u00e9 \u2013 stejn\u011b jako \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed trh BRICS \u2013 pot\u0159ebuje pro sv\u016fj r\u016fst. Strategie NSS nazna\u010duje, \u017ee toho by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 dos\u00e1hnout omezen\u00edm dod\u00e1vek zdroj\u016f \u2013 tedy zaveden\u00edm n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch blok\u00e1d v \u00fazk\u00fdch m\u00edstech, obl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00edm a zabaven\u00edm lod\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sv\u00e9voln\u00fdch sankc\u00ed proti plavidl\u016fm (jak bylo vid\u011bt ve venezuelsk\u00e9m konfliktu).<\/span><\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu by mohly b\u00fdt zpo\u010d\u00e1tku zam\u00fd\u0161leny jako sign\u00e1l, \u017ee pro jeho sousedy v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu ji\u017e nen\u00ed p\u0159ijateln\u00e9, aby se spojili s Izraelem a Amerikou proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Zd\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1n tak\u00e9 sna\u017e\u00ed z\u00edskat kontrolu nad kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edmi trasami, p\u0159\u00edstavy a koridory od USA \u2013 a dostat je pod \u00edr\u00e1nskou kontrolu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, dostat n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy kolem Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu pod \u00edr\u00e1nskou kontrolu. Takov\u00fd posun by m\u011bl obrovsk\u00fd v\u00fdznam \u2013 nejen pro \u010c\u00ednu a vztahy mezi \u010c\u00ednou a \u00cdr\u00e1nem, ale tak\u00e9 pro Rusko, kter\u00e9 pot\u0159ebuje udr\u017eet sv\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed exportn\u00ed trasy otev\u0159en\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud by \u00cdr\u00e1n v tomto masivn\u00edm boji proti Izraeli a Trumpov\u011b administrativ\u011b zv\u00edt\u011bzil, n\u00e1sledky by byly obrovsk\u00e9. (Selektivn\u00ed) uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu na n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f by samo o sob\u011b vyvolalo chaos na evropsk\u00fdch trz\u00edch s plynem a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b i dluhovou krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc kolaps zna\u010dky \u201egolf\u201c jako bezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b pro investice pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b povede k devalvaci dolaru, proto\u017ee investo\u0159i hledaj\u00ed alternativn\u00ed geografick\u00e9 prostory, kam by mohli um\u00edstit sv\u00e1 aktiva.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eTrumpov koridor pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u00edr a prosperitu\u201c nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d ji\u017en\u00edm Kavkazem pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b sel\u017ee. To pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b donut\u00ed Indii vr\u00e1tit se k dovozu rusk\u00e9 ropy \u2013 a z\u016fstat na n\u011bm z\u00e1vislou \u2013 a bude m\u00edt dopad na vztahy Indie s Izraelem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b geopolitick\u00e9 reorganizace vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed z v\u00e1lky se v\u00fdznamn\u011b zm\u011bn\u00ed i geofinan\u010dn\u00ed architektura.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alastair Crooke<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem americko-izraelsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky je nastolen\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 hegemonie nad z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asi\u00ed. Na jedn\u00e9 \u00farovni je…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101576,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101575"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101575"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101575\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101576"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}