{"id":101526,"date":"2026-03-10T06:04:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T05:04:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101526"},"modified":"2026-03-10T06:04:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T05:04:55","slug":"valka-proti-iranu-se-posouva-smerem-k-cynickemu-planu-b-pote-co-se-usa-nepodarilo-zlomit-rezim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/10\/valka-proti-iranu-se-posouva-smerem-k-cynickemu-planu-b-pote-co-se-usa-nepodarilo-zlomit-rezim\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu se posouv\u00e1 sm\u011brem k cynick\u00e9mu pl\u00e1nu B pot\u00e9, co se USA nepoda\u0159ilo zlomit \u201ere\u017eim\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Debata o v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu se nyn\u00ed v\u00fdhradn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159ila na \u201esn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed\u201c intenzity \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e proz\u00e1padn\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n prohr\u00e1v\u00e1 a nakonec podlehne americko-izraelsk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 ma\u0161in\u00e9rii.<\/span><\/p>\n

V nov\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku analyzoval \u010dasopis The Economist sou\u010dasn\u00e9 tempo v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n
\"\"The Economist<\/span><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed popul\u00e1rn\u00ed grafika koluje s \u201emluv\u010d\u00edm IDF\u201c jako zdrojem:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Na X jsem psal, pro\u010d pokles odp\u00e1len\u00ed raket \u00cdr\u00e1nem nen\u00ed tak v\u00fdznamn\u00fd, jak se tvrd\u00ed:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Nepravda.<\/span>
\nToto zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 na myln\u00e9m p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 salva p\u0159edstavuje \u201enorm\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c ka\u017edodenn\u00ed pou\u017eit\u00ed, co\u017e je p\u0159edpoklad, kter\u00fd je pak sofistikovan\u011b zkreslen a tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch dnech je po\u010det salv \u201epod pr\u016fm\u011brem\u201c. Ve skute\u010dnosti jsou po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed salvy v\u017edy navr\u017eeny jako mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b vysok\u00e1 palba, kter\u00e1 nikdy nen\u00ed zam\u00fd\u0161lena jako trval\u00e1.<\/span>
\n\u00cdr\u00e1n jednodu\u0161e p\u0159ech\u00e1z\u00ed na norm\u00e1ln\u00ed a dlouhodob\u011b udr\u017eiteln\u00fd objem salv.<\/span>
\nTo lze vid\u011bt zejm\u00e9na z toho, \u017ee b\u011bhem posledn\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bny st\u0159et\u016f byly \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 schopnosti prezentov\u00e1ny jako siln\u011b oslaben\u00e9 (s r\u016fzn\u00fdmi uv\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdmi \u010d\u00edsly mezi 70 a 90 %), co\u017e m\u011blo vysv\u011btlovat n\u00edzk\u00fd po\u010det salv.<\/span>
\nPokud by v\u0161ak celkov\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 schopnosti \u00cdr\u00e1nu byly skute\u010dn\u011b tak oslaben\u00e9, bylo by pro n\u011bj nemo\u017en\u00e9 je za pouh\u00fd rok obnovit do t\u00e9 m\u00edry, aby byl schopen vyp\u00e1lit stejn\u00e9 masivn\u00ed po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed salvy jako b\u011bhem prvn\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span>
\nTo n\u00e1s vede k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed po\u010det salv p\u0159edstavuje pouze doktrin\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00favodn\u00ed palbu s postupn\u00fdm n\u00e1vratem k pr\u016fm\u011bru obvykl\u00fdch udr\u017eiteln\u00fdch objem\u016f salv.<\/span>
\nStru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, \u00cdr\u00e1n jednodu\u0161e uplat\u0148uje sv\u00e9 obvykl\u00e9 doktrin\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fadern\u00e9 postupy. N\u00edzk\u00fd po\u010det salv by v\u00e1s m\u011bl znepokojovat, proto\u017ee p\u0159edstavuje z\u00e1kladn\u00ed objem, kter\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u016f\u017ee udr\u017eovat donekone\u010dna a z\u00e1rove\u0148 dopl\u0148ovat sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby na stejn\u00e9 \u00farovni.<\/span>
\nMo\u017en\u00e1 se tomu te\u010f posm\u00edvaj\u00ed, ale po\u010dkejte osm m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, kdy \u00cdr\u00e1n bude s pravidelnost\u00ed hodinek denn\u011b odpalovat asi dvacet nezachytiteln\u00fdch hypersonick\u00fdch st\u0159el vybaven\u00fdch fragmenta\u010dn\u00ed munic\u00ed, a uvid\u00edte systematick\u00e9 opot\u0159eben\u00ed, kter\u00e9 to v regionu zp\u016fsobuje.<\/span>
\nA to se t\u00fdk\u00e1 pouze balistick\u00fdch st\u0159el a ani se v tom nebere v \u00favahu n\u00e1r\u016fst \u00fatok\u016f dron\u016f, jejich\u017e \u00fa\u010dinnost je zes\u00edlena oslaben\u00edm nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany v regionu. Za osm m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f to u\u017e nebude vtip, a\u017e bude na vy\u010derpan\u00e9 \u201espojeneck\u00e9\u201c z\u00e1kladny denn\u011b odpalov\u00e1no 1 a\u017e 2 tucty balistick\u00fdch st\u0159el a v\u00edce ne\u017e 100 dron\u016f.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Jak ji\u017e bylo uvedeno, statistiky t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se odpal\u016f \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raket poch\u00e1zej\u00ed ze zdroj\u016f v izraelsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b samotn\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. Nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159edchoz\u00ed graf tvrdil, \u017ee odpaly \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch raket a dron\u016f v posledn\u00edch dvou dnech prakticky ustaly. Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty v\u0161ak nez\u00e1visle na tom uvedly, \u017ee po\u010det \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f, kter\u00fdm dnes \u010delily, je v\u00fdrazn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e prezentovan\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u011bsto 1016<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Khalegi Times<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Jak je vid\u011bt, samotn\u00e9 Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty dnes hl\u00e1s\u00ed 15 balistick\u00fdch raket a t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 120 dron\u016f odp\u00e1len\u00fdch na jejich \u00fazem\u00ed, zat\u00edmco n\u011bkter\u00e9 \u201eofici\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c statistiky uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed zhruba stejn\u00fd celkov\u00fd po\u010det \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch odp\u00e1len\u00ed ze v\u0161ech sm\u011br\u016f. Pokud se tento rozpor potvrd\u00ed, p\u0159edstavuje to zna\u010dn\u00fd rozd\u00edl mezi \u201eofici\u00e1ln\u00edmi\u201c statistikami a skute\u010dn\u00fdm po\u010dtem odp\u00e1len\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stoj\u00ed za p\u0159ipomenut\u00ed, \u017ee po\u010det americk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f se tak\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017eil, z t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 1 000 prvn\u00ed den na zhruba 200 a\u017e 300 denn\u011b, nebo i m\u00e9n\u011b, od t\u00e9 doby; a \u017ee mnoho, ne-li v\u011bt\u0161ina t\u011bchto \u00fader\u016f c\u00edl\u00ed na povrchn\u00ed c\u00edle, aby se \u201enafouklo sk\u00f3re\u201c, jako je nap\u0159\u00edklad h\u0159bitov letadel, co\u017e jist\u011b p\u0159idalo n\u011bkolik des\u00edtek \u201ebod\u016f\u201c k \u201ep\u016fsobiv\u00e9mu\u201c seznamu \u00fader\u016f:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Nejv\u00edce odhaluj\u00edc\u00edm aspektem t\u00e9to hasbary v\u0161ak jsou dnes zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9 nov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy, kter\u00e9 uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 50 a\u017e 70 % \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed balistick\u00fdch raket bylo \u201ezni\u010deno\u201c nebo \u201ezakop\u00e1no\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle izraelsk\u00e9ho kan\u00e1lu Kann:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 schopnost odpalovat rakety se propadla p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o 70 %: v p\u0159edve\u010der v\u00e1lky m\u011bl \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 420 odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, oproti tomu, \u017ee v provozu bylo pouze asi 120. | V\u00edce n\u00e1m \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 @ItayBlumental.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Podle nich \u00cdr\u00e1n vlastnil v\u00edce ne\u017e 400 odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, z nich\u017e 150 bylo p\u0159\u00edmo \u201ezni\u010deno\u201c, zat\u00edmco dal\u0161\u00edch 150 bylo do\u010dasn\u011b \u201ezakop\u00e1no\u201c pod zem\u00ed, kde byly pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zasa\u017eeny vstupy do tunel\u016f jejich skladovac\u00edch z\u00e1kladen.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je t\u0159eba up\u0159esnit, \u017ee\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>term\u00edn \u201eodpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0ozna\u010duje platformy raketov\u00fdch podvozk\u016f,\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>nikoli\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0samotn\u00e9 rakety. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u016f\u017ee vlastnit tis\u00edce raket a Izrael se chlub\u00ed t\u00edm, \u017ee zni\u010dil odpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 jsou ve skute\u010dnosti jen snadno opraviteln\u00fdmi podvozky; nemluv\u011b o tom, \u017ee se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n vlastn\u00ed \u010detn\u00e9 rakety, kter\u00e9 lze odp\u00e1lit p\u0159\u00edmo ze zem\u011b bez odpalovac\u00edho za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, probl\u00e9m s t\u011bmito zpr\u00e1vami je, \u017ee jsou prakticky identick\u00e9 s nesmysly, kter\u00fdmi jsme byli krmeni b\u011bhem p\u0159edchoz\u00ed Dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v \u010dervnu 2025. Zde je\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u010dl\u00e1nek z Jerusalem Post ze dne 16. \u010dervna 2025<\/span><\/a> :<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"Jeruzal\u00e9msk\u00fd post<\/span><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

V t\u00e9 dob\u011b tedy tak\u00e9 \u201ezni\u010dili\u201c 120 odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u2013 podivn\u011b podobn\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo \u2013 co\u017e p\u0159edstavovalo \u201et\u0159etinu\u201c \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, tedy asi 360. Je t\u0159eba m\u00edt na pam\u011bti, \u017ee se to datuje do ran\u00fdch dn\u016f Dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lky; na konci konfliktu Izrael podle\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku v Times of Israel<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0ze dne 24. \u010dervna 2025 tvrdil, \u017ee zni\u010dil \u201edv\u011b t\u0159etiny\u201c \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, tedy asi 250.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"The <\/span>Times of Israel<\/span><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Proto se od n\u00e1s o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee od roku 2025 \u00cdr\u00e1n doplnil v\u0161echny sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a op\u011bt dos\u00e1hl v\u00edce ne\u017e 400 kus\u016f. Na z\u00e1klad\u011b t\u011bchto \u00fadaj\u016f by \u00cdr\u00e1n byl schopen vyrobit p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 40 odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, co\u017e by vysv\u011btlovalo, pro\u010d jich za posledn\u00edch 7 a\u017e 8 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f doplnil p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 300. Podle z\u00e1padn\u00edch zdroj\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1n tak\u00e9 stav\u00ed p\u0159es 100 balistick\u00fdch raket m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, ale toto \u010d\u00edslo je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee Rusko jen v syst\u00e9mu Iskander vyr\u00e1b\u00ed p\u0159es 60 kus\u016f a \u00cdr\u00e1n vlastn\u00ed des\u00edtky r\u016fzn\u00fdch typ\u016f balistick\u00fdch raket.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby se podn\u00edtila izraelsk\u00e1 propaganda: i kdyby Izrael zni\u010dil tento po\u010det \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, pro\u010d by to m\u011blo b\u00fdt pova\u017eov\u00e1no za katastrofu, kdy\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n dok\u00e1zal obnovit cel\u00fd sv\u016fj arzen\u00e1l pot\u00e9, co v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm konfliktu utrp\u011bl mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty? Nemluv\u011b o tom, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nyn\u00ed vlastn\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>celkov\u00fd po\u010det odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed (v\u00edce ne\u017e 420 deklarovan\u00fdch) v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0ne\u017e ve v\u00e1lce v roce 2025 (p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 350 deklarovan\u00fdch).<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e1le si p\u0159ipome\u0148me, \u017ee stejn\u011b jako Rusko zrychlilo sv\u016fj pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd rozvoj v oblasti obrany pot\u00e9, co bylo pochopeno skute\u010dn\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed v\u00e1lky NATO na Ukrajin\u011b, a v mnoha odv\u011btv\u00edch dos\u00e1hlo p\u011btin\u00e1sobn\u00e9ho zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed produkce, nebylo by pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by i \u00cdr\u00e1n po dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lce zv\u00fd\u0161il svou produkci, vzhledem k pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9mu budouc\u00edmu nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, kter\u00e9mu nyn\u00ed \u010delil?<\/span><\/p>\n

NYT nen\u00ed tak optimistick\u00fd ohledn\u011b vyhl\u00eddek na neutralizaci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho arzen\u00e1lu balistick\u00fdch raket:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\"\"The New York Times<\/span><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

V\u00e1lka se nyn\u00ed za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 m\u011bnit v \u00fadery proti energetick\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e. Americko-izraelsk\u00e1 osa zas\u00e1hla hlavn\u00ed ropnou rafinerii Tondgouyan ji\u017en\u011b od Teher\u00e1nu a \u00cdr\u00e1n \u00fadajn\u011b vyhodil do pov\u011bt\u0159\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>rafinerii v izraelsk\u00e9 Haif\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0a\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>sklady ropy v Kuvajtu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00e9 satelitn\u00ed sn\u00edmky \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na t\u00e1bor Arifjan v Kuvajtu z posledn\u00edch dn\u016f:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

To signalizuje novou strategii americk\u00e9 osy zam\u011b\u0159enou na ekonomick\u00e9 zni\u010den\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu, nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e si Trump uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nekapituluje a nezhrout\u00ed se ani politicky, ani vojensky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Proto se nyn\u00ed hovo\u0159\u00ed o mo\u017en\u00e9m americk\u00e9m obsazen\u00ed ostrova Charg, kde se \u00fadajn\u011b nach\u00e1z\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd termin\u00e1l pro v\u00fdvoz ropy. \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u0161ak fakticky uzav\u0159el Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv \u2013 \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m fakticky, proto\u017ee Trump a samotn\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Larid\u017ean\u00edho prohl\u00e1sili, \u017ee zem\u011b\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>nezav\u00e1d\u00ed aktivn\u00ed blok\u00e1du\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, ale \u017ee lod\u011b jednodu\u0161e odm\u00edtaj\u00ed proplout. Ve skute\u010dnosti se zd\u00e1, \u017ee bylo zasa\u017eeno n\u011bkolik lod\u00ed, a \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl hr\u00e1t kartu v\u011brohodn\u00e9ho pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed a uzav\u00edrat pr\u016fliv zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e p\u0159\u00edmou akc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z nov\u00fdch vektor\u016f, jak \u201esrazit \u00cdr\u00e1n na kolena\u201c na ekonomick\u00e9 a sociopolitick\u00e9 front\u011b, se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt \u00fatok na jeho odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, co\u017e dnes Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ud\u011blaly:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"Kdy\u017e byl Trump dot\u00e1z\u00e1n na \u00fatok, spustil nesouvisl\u00fd, zd\u00e1nliv\u011b rasistick\u00fd a nesouvisl\u00fd projev proti \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016fm, v n\u011bm\u017e je ozna\u010dil za nejzlomysln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed lidi na planet\u011b, kte\u0159\u00ed usek\u00e1vaj\u00ed hlavy nemluv\u0148at\u016fm a \u201eroz\u0159ez\u00e1vaj\u00ed \u017eeny nap\u016fl\u201c.<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Mnoz\u00ed nyn\u00ed zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed schopnost \u00cdr\u00e1nu kontrolovat eskalaci a za\u00fato\u010dit na odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v regionu, zejm\u00e9na na kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 zemi z\u00e1sobuj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ve\u0161kerou pitnou vodou. Stoj\u00ed za to p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n si ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 i dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 aktiva, jako je jadern\u00e9 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed Dimona, o jeho\u017e \u00fatoku, krom\u011b n\u011bkolika f\u00e1m, dosud neuva\u017eoval, a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fd se dosud \u201eofici\u00e1ln\u011b\u201c nepokusil uzav\u0159\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dnes zve\u0159ejnil \u00fa\u010det tiskov\u00e9 agentury napojen\u00fd na Revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy slab\u011b zast\u0159enou hrozbu proti bahrajnsk\u00fdm odsolovac\u00edm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

To n\u00e1s p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed k z\u00e1v\u011bru: navzdory zd\u00e1n\u00ed \u201etot\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c existen\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky \u00cdr\u00e1n ve skute\u010dnosti nad\u00e1le projevuje zdr\u017eenlivost a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee \u0161et\u0159\u00ed zdroje, aby si rezervoval mo\u017enosti pro budouc\u00ed eskalaci. Dimona je jedn\u00edm z p\u0159\u00edklad\u016f, stejn\u011b jako dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00fdch komplex\u016f na fosiln\u00ed paliva.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edm kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm, ale \u010dasto p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017een\u00fdm bodem je americk\u00fd letadlov\u00fd dopravce. Nikdo s jistotou nev\u00ed, zda se \u00cdr\u00e1n pokusil\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>o\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00fatok na jednu z nich a neusp\u011bl, nebo zda si tuto mo\u017enost nech\u00e1v\u00e1 jako posledn\u00ed mo\u017enost. Dalo by se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee atent\u00e1t na Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce p\u0159edstavuje kone\u010dnou eskalaci ze strany Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e1 by teoreticky m\u011bla \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159im\u011bt k vyu\u017eit\u00ed v\u0161ech dostupn\u00fdch mo\u017enost\u00ed. V\u00edme v\u0161ak, \u017ee tomu tak nen\u00ed, proto\u017ee i dnes se prezident Pe\u0161ekjan omluvil za \u00fatok na sousedn\u00ed arabsk\u00e9 zem\u011b a sl\u00edbil, \u017ee s n\u00edm p\u0159estane, i kdy\u017e se \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy kr\u00e1tce pot\u00e9 zd\u00e1ly, \u017ee se mu vzep\u0159ely \u00fatokem na Kuvajt a dal\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty \u2013 co\u017e op\u011bt ilustruje novou strategii nez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho vlivu, kterou \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zav\u00e1d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vytvo\u0159il jsem pr\u016fzkum, abych zjistil n\u00e1zory lid\u00ed na tuto problematiku t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se mobiln\u00edch oper\u00e1tor\u016f:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"Mnoz\u00ed reagovali tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00ed, \u017ee potopen\u00ed americk\u00e9 letadlov\u00e9 lodi by zasadilo tak t\u011b\u017ekou r\u00e1nu presti\u017ei USA, \u017ee Trump by nem\u011bl jinou mo\u017enost ne\u017e se uch\u00fdlit k jadern\u00e9mu \u00faderu proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Jakkoli absurdn\u011b se to m\u016f\u017ee zd\u00e1t, toto tvrzen\u00ed nen\u00ed zcela nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 a nen\u00ed vylou\u010deno, \u017ee by \u00cdr\u00e1n mohl podle toho jednat.<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Druhou mo\u017enost\u00ed je jednodu\u0161e to, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je\u0161t\u011b nem\u011bl p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k \u00fatoku, nebo \u017ee \u010dek\u00e1 na p\u0159\u00edjezd druh\u00e9 letadlov\u00e9 lodi, aby nastra\u017eil l\u00e9\u010dku.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed satelitn\u00ed data ukazuj\u00ed aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed polohu USS Lincoln<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0, p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 300-400 km od \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed a t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 700 km od Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v souladu s doktr\u00ednou udr\u017euje maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed vzd\u00e1lenost od \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, co\u017e mu umo\u017e\u0148uje chr\u00e1nit se p\u0159ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi raketami a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zachovat opera\u010dn\u00ed schopnost sv\u00fdch pohonn\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Druh\u00e1 letadlov\u00e1 lo\u010f, USS Gerald R Ford, byla \u00fadajn\u011b spat\u0159ena, jak po pr\u016fjezdu Suezsk\u00fdm pr\u016fplavem p\u0159ekra\u010duje Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e, a proto je daleko mimo dosah jak\u00e9hokoli re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stoj\u00ed za to si p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee Rusko bombarduje ukrajinskou infrastrukturu ji\u017e dlouhou dobu, ani\u017e by se mu poda\u0159ilo srazit tuto zemi na kolena, a to zemi, kter\u00e1 je rozlohou a populac\u00ed mnohem men\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n. Americk\u00e9 a izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na civiln\u00ed infrastrukturu by mohly pokra\u010dovat donekone\u010dna, ne\u017e politick\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky po\u0161kod\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u00edce ne\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n. Pokud jde o Trumpa, ten tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je ji\u017e zcela \u201ezdvo\u0159en\u00fd\u201c; v\u011b\u0159\u00edte mu?<\/span><\/p>\n

CNN nyn\u00ed informuje, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby obohacen\u00e9ho uranu jsou ve skute\u010dnosti odoln\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di \u00fatok\u016fm a k jejich \u00fapln\u00e9mu zni\u010den\u00ed by byl zapot\u0159eb\u00ed pozemn\u00ed z\u00e1sah \u2013 jak\u00e9 p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed!<\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

A je\u0161t\u011b \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed je, \u017ee asistent B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed zabavit \u00edr\u00e1nskou ropu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 nemocnice v zahrani\u010d\u00ed d\u00e1le ozn\u00e1mila \u00fapln\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed sv\u00fdch \u010dinnost\u00ed souvisej\u00edc\u00edch s porody, aby se mohla zam\u011b\u0159it na ob\u011bti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho konfliktu:<\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"Vojensk\u00e9 \u010dasy<\/span><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1mo\u0159sk\u00e1 nemocnice americk\u00e9ho ministerstva obrany pozastavuje sv\u00e9 porodnick\u00e9 slu\u017eby a\u017e do odvol\u00e1n\u00ed, aby se mohla soust\u0159edit na pot\u0159eby konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b v\u00e1gn\u00ed, ale je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by mohly utrp\u011bt mnohem v\u00edce ob\u011bt\u00ed \u2013 zran\u011bn\u00fdch, mrtv\u00fdch nebo oboj\u00edho \u2013 ne\u017e je hl\u00e1\u0161eno, a \u017ee tento p\u0159\u00edliv za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 syst\u00e9m zahlcovat. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee americk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty jsou skryty \u201ekreativn\u00edmi\u201c zp\u016fsoby, jako v tomto ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edkladu:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

My\u0161lenka, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 rakety zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed \u201el\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e9 epizody\u201c, je v nekone\u010dn\u011b kv\u011btnat\u00e9 propagandistick\u00e9 \u0159e\u010di imp\u00e9ria novinkou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jako v\u017edy, kdy\u017e v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed \u0161tv\u00e1\u010di nedos\u00e1hnou sv\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, trp\u00ed civilist\u00e9.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Stanice Al Jazeera uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0, \u017ee p\u0159i americko-izraelsk\u00fdch n\u00e1letech ji\u017e bylo zabito v\u00edce ne\u017e 1300 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch civilist\u016f, z nich\u017e 30 % tvo\u0159\u00ed d\u011bti.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00fdden po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed izraelsko-americk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu bylo zabito v\u00edce ne\u017e 1300 \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f, z nich\u017e 30 % jsou d\u011bti.<\/span><\/em>
\nAmericko-izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky zas\u00e1hly civiln\u00ed c\u00edle, v\u010detn\u011b nejm\u00e9n\u011b 20 \u0161kol a 10 nemocnic, uv\u00e1d\u00ed UNICEF. Zpr\u00e1va Fintana Monaghana pro Al Jazeera.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Trump zase tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee masakr na z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u0161kole Minab sp\u00e1chal \u00cdr\u00e1n, a to navzdory drtiv\u00fdm d\u016fkaz\u016fm, \u017ee se jednalo o dvojit\u00fd, nebo dokonce trojit\u00fd \u00fader proveden\u00fd barbarskou \u201ekoalic\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

To jen podtrhuje \u201egentlemansk\u00fd\u201c zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm Rusko vedlo svou vlastn\u00ed v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b. Za v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010dty\u0159i roky konfliktu bylo zabito odhadem 15 000 civilist\u016f, zat\u00edmco Izrael a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zabily b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1 300 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch civilist\u016f. T\u00edmto tempem bude po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed \u010dty\u0159let\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b dosa\u017een b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale pak, podle Hegsetha ve v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9m videu,\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u201ejedinou stranou, kter\u00e1 v t\u00e9to v\u00e1lce \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na civilisty, je \u00cdr\u00e1n.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Simplicius<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Debata o v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu se nyn\u00ed v\u00fdhradn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159ila na \u201esn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed\u201c intenzity \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101527,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,28,38,107,851,158,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101526"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101526"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101526\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101527"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}