{"id":101468,"date":"2026-03-10T00:24:05","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T23:24:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101468"},"modified":"2026-03-09T13:08:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T12:08:39","slug":"andrew-korybko-zakon-drop-je-bezprecedentni-zbrani-financni-valky-proti-rusku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/10\/andrew-korybko-zakon-drop-je-bezprecedentni-zbrani-financni-valky-proti-rusku\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Z\u00e1kon DROP je bezprecedentn\u00ed zbran\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti Rusku"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Ru\u0161t\u00ed ropn\u00ed klienti by byli pod hrozbou sankc\u00ed donuceni k tomu, aby se j\u00ed vzdali nebo omezili podporu Ukrajin\u011b, pokud by tento z\u00e1kon pro\u0161el.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Protirusk\u00fd jest\u0159\u00e1b Michael McCaul, kter\u00fd zast\u00e1v\u00e1 d\u016fle\u017eitou funkci p\u0159edsedy zahrani\u010dn\u00edho v\u00fdboru Sn\u011bmovny reprezentant\u016f, ozn\u00e1mil za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u00fanora, \u017ee ve Sn\u011bmovn\u011b byl p\u0159edlo\u017een dvoustrann\u00fd\u00a0<\/span>z\u00e1kon \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch zisk\u016f z ropy\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c (\u00a0<\/span>DROP ), kter\u00fd byl\u00a0<\/span><\/a>d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00a0<\/a>Sen\u00e1tu v prosinci lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku. Pokud bude schv\u00e1len, Trump by m\u011bl pravomoc uvalit c\u00edlen\u00e9 sankce na kohokoli, kdo kupuje, dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nebo usnad\u0148uje v\u00fdvoz rusk\u00e9 ropy, s v\u00fdjimkami mo\u017en\u00fdmi pouze za jedn\u00e9 ze t\u0159\u00ed podm\u00ednek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prvn\u00edm je, \u017ee finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky dlu\u017en\u00e9 Rusku za takov\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy mus\u00ed b\u00fdt p\u0159ips\u00e1ny na \u00fa\u010det v jejich zemi, mohou b\u00fdt pou\u017eity pouze \u201ek usnadn\u011bn\u00ed transakc\u00ed se zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdmi komoditami, potravinami, l\u00e9ky nebo zdravotnick\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky\u201c a jejich vl\u00e1da se mus\u00ed zav\u00e1zat k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed n\u00e1kupu rusk\u00e9 ropy. Druh\u00fdm je, \u017ee tyto prost\u0159edky jsou pou\u017eity bu\u010f k vyzbrojen\u00ed, nebo k obnov\u011b Ukrajiny, a t\u0159et\u00edm je, \u017ee vl\u00e1da jejich zem\u011b poskytuje Ukrajin\u011b v\u00fdznamnou ekonomickou nebo vojenskou podporu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prvn\u00ed dv\u011b podm\u00ednky jsou pro Rusko nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9, ale t\u0159et\u00ed nikoli, proto\u017ee Rusko ji\u017e prod\u00e1v\u00e1 ropu zem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 Ukrajinu v\u00fdznamn\u011b podporuj\u00ed. Podm\u00ednka poskytnut\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 podpory Ukrajin\u011b, co\u017e je libovoln\u00e9 rozli\u0161en\u00ed, proto\u017ee nen\u00ed stanovena \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 minim\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 pro ka\u017edou z nich, v\u00fdm\u011bnou za \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 c\u00edlen\u00e9 sankce by mohla v\u00e9st k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edlivu zbran\u00ed a finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f na Ukrajinu. To by mohlo n\u00e1sledn\u011b br\u00e1nit pln\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f a prohlubovat konflikt,\u00a0<\/span>pokud Rusko neud\u011bl\u00e1 kompromis\u00a0<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tom spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 \u00fa\u010del z\u00e1kona DROP: jeho auto\u0159i si p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed, \u017ee USA \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b donut\u00ed zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 klienty po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, aby nahradili sv\u016fj dovoz dovozem od jin\u00fdch dodavatel\u016f (proto\u017ee Rusko by za prvn\u00edch dvou podm\u00ednek realisticky nepokra\u010dovalo ve v\u00fdvozu) nebo aby omezili podporu Ukrajin\u011b. D\u00edky tomu se jedn\u00e1 o bezprecedentn\u00ed zbra\u0148 finan\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 by mohla b\u00fdt tak\u00e9 sp\u00e1rov\u00e1na s represivn\u00edmi cly podobn\u00fdmi indick\u00fdm,\u00a0<\/span>pokud by se pou\u017eila pr\u00e1vn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, co\u017e by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ilo po\u010det stran, kter\u00e9 jej dodr\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tr\u017en\u00ed faktory jsou jedin\u00fdmi skute\u010dn\u00fdmi limity t\u00e9to politiky, pokud jde o expozici c\u00edlov\u00e9 osoby\/zem\u011b v\u016f\u010di finan\u010dn\u00edmu trhu USA, co\u017e je \u010din\u00ed n\u00e1chyln\u00fdmi k sankc\u00edm hroz\u00edc\u00edm z\u00e1konem DROP Act, a schopnost trhu s ropou nahradit ztracen\u00fd rusk\u00fd export. Proto i kdyby v\u011bt\u0161ina zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch rusk\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch klient\u016f byla vystavena finan\u010dn\u00edmu trhu USA, na trhu by nemuselo b\u00fdt dostatek ropy k nahrazen\u00ed dovozu, tak\u017ee by mohli zv\u00fd\u0161it podporu Ukrajin\u011b, m\u00edsto aby se Ruska zbavili.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 uprost\u0159ed\u00a0<\/span>prudk\u00e9ho n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen ropy\u00a0<\/span><\/a>zp\u016fsoben\u00e9ho\u00a0<\/span>t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lkou v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a v\u00fdsledn\u00e9 flexibility USA v\u00a0<\/span>do\u010dasn\u00e9m zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>na dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy do Indie, co\u017e je dosavadn\u00ed hlavn\u00ed c\u00edl jejich finan\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v tomto ohledu, aby si udr\u017eely \u017eivotaschopnost trhu sv\u00e9ho partnera. Protihodnotou za zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed pro dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed partnery by mohl b\u00fdt z\u00e1vazek vy\u010dlenit ur\u010dit\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky na vyzbrojen\u00ed Ukrajiny nebo jej\u00ed obnovu, jakmile ropn\u00e1 krize pomine a oni tak budou moci u\u010dinit pohodln\u011bji.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, bez ohledu na to, zda se zbav\u00ed Ruska, nebo sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed podporu Ukrajin\u011b, je z\u00e1kon DROP navr\u017een tak, aby Rusku zp\u016fsobil probl\u00e9my. Ty se nemus\u00ed projevit podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, nebo se dokonce v\u016fbec neprojev\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, ale z\u00e1v\u011brem je, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o velmi nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh z\u00e1kona. Trump 2.0 by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b schv\u00e1len\u00ed (co\u017e nen\u00ed zaru\u010deno) mohl d\u00e1le zkomplikovat vztahy s Ruskem a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b zni\u010dit jejich za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ru\u0161t\u00ed ropn\u00ed klienti by byli pod hrozbou sankc\u00ed donuceni k tomu, aby se j\u00ed vzdali…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101469,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,22,125,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101468"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101468\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101469"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}