{"id":101448,"date":"2026-03-10T00:15:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T23:15:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101448"},"modified":"2026-03-09T12:39:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T11:39:52","slug":"plukovnik-ve-vysluzbe-douglas-macgregor-varuje-smerujeme-k-treti-svetove-valce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/10\/plukovnik-ve-vysluzbe-douglas-macgregor-varuje-smerujeme-k-treti-svetove-valce\/","title":{"rendered":"Plukovn\u00edk ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b Douglas Macgregor varuje: Sm\u011b\u0159ujeme k t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Uprost\u0159ed eskalace v\u00e1lky mezi USA, Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem nab\u00eddl plukovn\u00edk ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f Douglas Macgregor, b\u00fdval\u00fd poradce ministra obrany za prezidenta Trumpa, v dlouh\u00e9m rozhovoru pochmurnou progn\u00f3zu. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako p\u0159edehru k potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce a ost\u0159e kritizuje strategie Washingtonu a Tel Avivu. Macgregor tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lka nejen\u017ee vojensky sel\u017ee, ale tak\u00e9 dlouhodob\u011b masivn\u011b oslab\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed pozici USA \u2013 s ni\u010div\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky pro Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Plukovn\u00edk Doug Macgregor: P\u0159ipravujeme se na 3. sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/RYJrmQDhgJI?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Odolnost \u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 jasn\u00fdm zhodnocen\u00edm konfliktu: V\u00e1lka skon\u010d\u00ed \u0161patn\u011b pro USA a Izrael, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159e\u017eije jako v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 civiliza\u010dn\u00ed mocnost. \u00cdr\u00e1n nen\u00ed st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee jen tak zmizet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">I kdyby sou\u010dasn\u00fd teokratick\u00fd re\u017eim padl \u2013 co\u017e pova\u017euje za mo\u017en\u00e9, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee zm\u011bny prob\u00edhaj\u00ed ji\u017e nejm\u00e9n\u011b deset let \u2013, objev\u00ed se nacionalistick\u00fd n\u00e1stupnick\u00fd re\u017eim. Obyvatelstvo z\u016fstane loaj\u00e1ln\u00ed sv\u00e9 zemi a bude si v\u011b\u0159it v jej\u00ed budoucnost.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159edstava, \u017ee bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed a zab\u00edjen\u00ed mull\u00e1h\u016f by mohlo v\u0161echno zm\u011bnit k lep\u0161\u00edmu, je absurdn\u00ed a halucina\u010dn\u00ed. Naopak, masivn\u00ed ni\u010den\u00ed a civiln\u00ed ob\u011bti by traumatizovaly miliony \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f. Nikdo nebude vd\u011b\u010dn\u00fd USA ani Izraeli \u2013 naopak, p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed re\u017eim pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ud\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e, co je v jeho sil\u00e1ch, aby rychle vyvinul jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jadern\u00e1 ironie<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159esn\u011b v tom spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 ho\u0159k\u00e1 ironie americk\u00e9 politiky: Pod z\u00e1minkou zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed tlak a nyn\u00ed i otev\u0159en\u00e1 v\u00e1lka \u00cdr\u00e1n t\u00edmto sm\u011brem jen d\u00e1le posunuly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ajatoll\u00e1hova fatva proti jadern\u00fdm zbran\u00edm z n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f se jeho smrt\u00ed stala neplatnou. Sekul\u00e1rn\u00ed nebo nacionalistick\u00fd re\u017eim by mohl toto omezen\u00ed opustit a doj\u00edt k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee pouze jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b poskytuj\u00ed ochranu p\u0159ed hrozbami ze strany USA a Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Kritika politiky USA<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor ost\u0159e kritizuje d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost USA. Cituje prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed z jedn\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Jareda Kushnera \u2013 v nich\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n trval na sv\u00e9m pr\u00e1vu na obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu v r\u00e1mci Smlouvy o ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed (NPT), co\u017e je pr\u00e1vo, kter\u00e9 smlouva v\u00fdslovn\u011b zaru\u010duje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e1 strana jednodu\u0161e odpov\u011bd\u011bla: \u201eM\u00e1me pr\u00e1vo v\u00e1s zastavit.\u201c To je do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed ignorov\u00e1n\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch dohod.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podobn\u00e1 situace je i s izraelsk\u00fdmi akcemi proti Palestinc\u016fm. Masov\u00e9 vys\u00eddlov\u00e1n\u00ed a zab\u00edjen\u00ed jsou prezentov\u00e1ny jako \u201enezciziteln\u00e9 pr\u00e1vo\u201c \u2013 jednodu\u0161e proto, \u017ee USA to umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed zbran\u011bmi a politickou ochranou. Tento dvoj\u00ed metr ni\u010d\u00ed ve\u0161kerou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed a realita<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Plukovn\u00edk vyvrac\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 narativy. Neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee by \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u011bl v \u00famyslu dob\u00fdt region, pou\u017e\u00edt jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b proti USA nebo ohro\u017eovat Z\u00e1pad. Des\u00edtky let propagandy vytvo\u0159ily zkreslen\u00fd obraz.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">M\u00edsto toho to byly USA a Izrael, kdo za\u00fato\u010dil na v\u011bt\u0161inu zem\u00ed v posledn\u00edch 14 m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch \u2013 nikoli \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sou\u010dasn\u00fd pr\u016fb\u011bh v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1lka ji\u017e vykazuje re\u00e1ln\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rakety zasahuj\u00ed c\u00edle v Tel Avivu a Jeruzal\u00e9m\u011b, americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v Bahrajnu a dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch jsou napad\u00e1ny a ameri\u010dt\u00ed voj\u00e1ci um\u00edraj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po \u010dty\u0159ech dnech v\u00e1lky \u00cdr\u00e1n neprojevuje ani vojensk\u00e9, ani politick\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Netanjahu dokonce tvrdil, \u017ee Trump p\u0159ed sv\u00fdm druh\u00fdm funk\u010dn\u00edm obdob\u00edm vyzval k v\u00e1lce, aby zastavil \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program. Macgregor kontruje ot\u00e1zkou: Kdo se zde vlastn\u011b definuje destrukc\u00ed a fanatismem?<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Strategick\u00fd \u00fastup USA<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 strategick\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed USA z regionu v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Spojenci jako Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty, Katar a Bahrajn se dozv\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee bl\u00edzk\u00fd vztah s Washingtonem je nechr\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 pr\u00e1v\u011b naopak. Americk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany se uk\u00e1zaly jako nedostate\u010dn\u00e9 a americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny jsou napad\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po v\u00e1lce mohly tyto st\u00e1ty zdvo\u0159ile po\u017e\u00e1dat USA o sta\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch vojsk.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor vid\u00ed podobn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj v Asii. V Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreji a Japonsku se ji\u017e diskutuje o tom, pro\u010d tam americk\u00e9 jednotky z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed, pokud nemohou zaru\u010dit ochranu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b krize.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ekonomicky se r\u00fdsuje v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 krize. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je ji\u017e \u201em\u011bkce zablokov\u00e1n\u201c. Ceny ropy vzrostly o jeden\u00e1ct procent, zat\u00edmco Dow Jones\u016fv index kles\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zem\u011b jako Japonsko, kter\u00e9 z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 zhruba 72 procent sv\u00e9 ropy z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 65 procenty, Indie s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 50 procenty a \u010c\u00edna, rovn\u011b\u017e s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 50 procenty, by byly masivn\u011b zasa\u017eeny \u2013 tedy p\u0159esn\u011b ty zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 pat\u0159\u00ed k nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm pil\u00ed\u0159\u016fm sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko z t\u00e9to situace t\u011b\u017e\u00ed a dod\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u00e1hradn\u00ed ropu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA po\u0161kodily nejen \u00cdr\u00e1n, ale i sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed spojence. Poji\u0161\u0165ovny odm\u00edtly pokr\u00fdt n\u00e1klady na tankery. N\u011bkter\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 lod\u011b st\u00e1le proplouvaly \u2013 ale pokud by se Washington pokusil zastavit i je, hrozilo by p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 eskalace.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka \u201en\u00edzk\u00e9 intenzity\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Macgregor popisuje situaci jako \u201et\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku n\u00edzk\u00e9 intenzity\u201c \u2013 p\u0159edehru ke t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dal\u0161\u00ed kroky k eskalaci, jako je nap\u0159\u00edklad nalod\u011bn\u00ed na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 tankery, by mohly vyvolat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed explozi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b jsou prim\u00e1rn\u011b politick\u00e9 zbran\u011b bez vojensk\u00e9ho vyu\u017eit\u00ed. Ji\u017e Stalin si uv\u011bdomoval, \u017ee slou\u017e\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm jako odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed prost\u0159edek. St\u00e1ty bez vlastn\u00edch jadern\u00fdch kapacit se v d\u016fsledku toho st\u00e1vaj\u00ed zraniteln\u00fdmi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159esn\u011b to Z\u00e1pad v sou\u010dasnosti p\u0159edv\u00e1d\u00ed: Dv\u011b jadern\u00e9 mocnosti \u2013 USA a Izrael \u2013 ohro\u017euj\u00ed st\u00e1t bez jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed strategick\u00fdm \u00fapadkem<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011brem Macgregor varuje, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nal\u00e9hav\u011b pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed vyv\u00e1\u017een\u011bj\u0161\u00ed veden\u00ed, kter\u00e9 dok\u00e1\u017ee proniknout propagandou a pochopit sv\u011bt za vlastn\u00edmi hranicemi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sou\u010dasn\u00fd postup vede ke strategick\u00e9 ztr\u00e1t\u011b \u2013 a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ve Washingtonu si jen m\u00e1lokdo skute\u010dn\u011b uv\u011bdomuje d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento konflikt je mnohem v\u00edc ne\u017e jen region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lka. Mohl by znamenat konec americk\u00e9 dominance v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu a zah\u00e1jit z\u00e1sadn\u00ed p\u0159euspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch mocensk\u00fdch vztah\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uprost\u0159ed eskalace v\u00e1lky mezi USA, Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem nab\u00eddl plukovn\u00edk ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f Douglas&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101449,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,107,1052,40,889],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101448"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101448"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101448\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101449"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101448"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101448"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101448"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}