{"id":101363,"date":"2026-03-09T00:23:10","date_gmt":"2026-03-08T23:23:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101363"},"modified":"2026-03-08T14:37:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-08T13:37:24","slug":"rakety-kabely-a-cas-valka-kterou-zapad-nemuze-vyhrat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/09\/rakety-kabely-a-cas-valka-kterou-zapad-nemuze-vyhrat\/","title":{"rendered":"Rakety, kabely a \u010das: v\u00e1lka, kterou Z\u00e1pad nem\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

St\u00e1le v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lky se vyhr\u00e1vaj\u00ed raketami. \u00cdr\u00e1n se ale d\u00edv\u00e1 jinde. Pod bombami, pod kabely, pod medi\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00edm se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed bitva: bitva o dlouhodobou budoucnost. Zde je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d Z\u00e1pad tentokr\u00e1t nemus\u00ed vyhr\u00e1t.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u011bt\u0161ina modern\u00edch v\u00e1lek je l\u00ed\u010dena jako z\u00e1pasy: kdo ude\u0159\u00ed nejsiln\u011bji, kdo zni\u010d\u00ed nejv\u00edce z\u00e1kladen, kdo vyst\u0159el\u00ed nejv\u00edce raket.<\/span>
\nN\u011bkter\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se ale nevedou na vojensk\u00fdch map\u00e1ch.<\/span>
\nVedou se dlouhodob\u011b\u00a0<\/span>.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0A<\/span>
\nv konfliktu, kter\u00fd se dnes odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 mezi Z\u00e1padem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem, by tento rozm\u011br mohl b\u00fdt tou nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zbran\u00ed ze v\u0161ech.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkdy se d\u011bjiny prudce zrychluj\u00ed. Po l\u00e9ta nap\u011bt\u00ed nar\u016fst\u00e1 pomalu, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nepost\u0159ehnuteln\u011b. A\u017e se najednou v\u0161echno za\u010dne h\u00fdbat najednou. D\u011bjiny postupuj\u00ed pomalu, jako tektonick\u00e1 deska. A pak se jednoho dne v\u0161echno zachv\u011bje. Ud\u00e1losti prvn\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f b\u0159ezna 2026 vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b tento dojem: dojem sv\u011bta na pokraji kolapsu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na obrazovk\u00e1ch blikaj\u00ed z\u00e1b\u011bry leteck\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f, raket k\u0159i\u017euj\u00edc\u00edch oblohu a agresivn\u00edch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem b\u0159ezna 2026 sv\u011bt vede sk\u00f3re jako v boxersk\u00e9m z\u00e1pase: Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Izrael zah\u00e1jily masivn\u00ed ofenzivu proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, zam\u011b\u0159enou na srdce re\u017eimu \u2013 od Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti p\u0159es prezidentskou kancel\u00e1\u0159 a\u017e po Shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed expert\u016f v Qomu. Atent\u00e1t na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce\u00a0<\/span>Al\u00edho Chamene\u00edho<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0p\u0159edstavuje zlomov\u00fd bod, odv\u00e1\u017enou s\u00e1zku na zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu. \u00cdr\u00e1n reaguje salvami balistick\u00fdch raket, kter\u00e9 naru\u0161uj\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00fd i n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed provoz, od Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a\u017e po izraelskou oblohu. Trhy se t\u0159esou, ceny ropy prudce stoupaj\u00ed a z\u00e1padn\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed osciluje mezi bezpodm\u00edne\u010dnou podporou a rostouc\u00ed \u00fanavou.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto se za t\u00edmto bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00edm vyno\u0159uje hlub\u0161\u00ed pravda:\u00a0<\/span>\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 odolnost<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, ukut\u00e1 v \u00fatrap\u00e1ch a kontinuit\u011b, nakonec zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed. Nejde o to \u201ezda\u201c, ale \u201ekdy\u201c. A v t\u00e9to rovnici by zoufalci \u2013 zahnan\u00fd Izrael, uv\u00edzl\u00e9 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty \u2013 mohli p\u0159ekro\u010dit jadern\u00fd pr\u00e1h, co\u017e by byl krok podobn\u00fd Hiro\u0161im\u011b, kter\u00fd by zdaleka nezajistil v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, ale naopak urychlil jejich vlastn\u00ed \u00fapadek.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158\u00ed\u0161e ve sp\u011bchu se \u010dasto dopou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed chyby: v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee d\u011bjiny se tvo\u0159\u00ed v dan\u00e9m okam\u017eiku. Trp\u011bliv\u00e9 civilizace naopak v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u010das<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0je zbra\u0148.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159elud rychl\u00fdch v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u010cten\u00e1\u0159i, zaujati zpr\u00e1vami, s\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed \u00fatoky jako body na v\u00fdsledkov\u00e9 tabuli. Izrael a Washington prohla\u0161uj\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bchy: zni\u010den\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch objekt\u016f, eliminaci v\u016fdc\u016f, naru\u0161en\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto vysv\u011btlen\u00ed v\u0161ak ignoruje samotnou podstatu konfliktu: \u00cdr\u00e1n nen\u00ed k\u0159ehk\u00fd re\u017eim, ale\u00a0<\/span>tis\u00edcilet\u00e1 civilizace<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0zvykl\u00e1 absorbovat ot\u0159esy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Historick\u00e1 pam\u011b\u0165 Persie je vzpom\u00ednkou na zemi, kter\u00e1 byla napadena, zni\u010dena a pot\u00e9 v\u017edy znovu vybudov\u00e1na. Alexandrovy arm\u00e1dy vyp\u00e1lily Persepolis. Arabsk\u00e9 v\u00fdboje naru\u0161ily n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed a administrativn\u00ed jazyk. Mongolov\u00e9 pusto\u0161ili m\u011bsta a masakrovali cel\u00e9 obyvatelstvo. P\u0159esto persk\u00e1 civilizace poka\u017ed\u00e9 absorbovala okupanta a nad\u00e1le produkovala svou kulturu, poezii, filozofii a st\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

I ve\u00a0<\/span>20. stolet\u00ed<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159e\u010dkal srovnateln\u00e9 bou\u0159e. Revoluce v roce 1979, po n\u00ed\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 bezprost\u0159edn\u011b n\u00e1sledovala \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, si st\u00e1la t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159\u00a0<\/span>milion \u017eivot\u016f<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Osm let bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, z\u00e1kopov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, chemick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed izolace mohlo zlomit jakoukoli zemi. \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u0161ak p\u0159e\u017eil. A co je je\u0161t\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed, tato zkou\u0161ka upevnila strategickou kulturu zalo\u017eenou na\u00a0<\/span>trp\u011blivosti, odolnosti a sob\u011bsta\u010dnosti<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b minul\u00fdch invaz\u00ed \u2013 arabsk\u00e9, mongolsk\u00e9 nebo v ned\u00e1vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b dlouhodob\u00fdch sankc\u00ed \u2013 Teher\u00e1n transformuje agresi v n\u00e1rodn\u00ed soudr\u017enost. Raketov\u00e9 palby, a\u010dkoli omezen\u00e9 preventivn\u00edmi \u00fadery, si udr\u017euj\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnou disruptivn\u00ed schopnost a nut\u00ed protivn\u00edka rozm\u011bl\u0148ovat sv\u00e9 zdroje. Vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed tlak posiluje vnit\u0159n\u00ed jednotu: n\u00e1rod sjednocen\u00fd existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbou urychluje inovace v oblasti zelen\u00e9 energie, persk\u00e9 um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence a alternativn\u00edch s\u00edt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato odolnost se tak\u00e9 op\u00edr\u00e1 o faktor, kter\u00fd se ve vojensk\u00fdch anal\u00fdz\u00e1ch z\u0159\u00eddka zmi\u0148uje:\u00a0<\/span>demografick\u00fd faktor<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 mladou, vzd\u011blanou populaci, hluboce zn\u00e1rodn\u011bnou \u010dty\u0159iceti lety sankc\u00ed a nap\u011bt\u00ed. Ka\u017ed\u00fd rok se zde vy\u0161kol\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b\u00a0<\/span>80 000 \u017een a 60 000 mu\u017e\u016f v oboru in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed .<\/span><\/strong><\/span>1.<\/span><\/sup><\/a><\/span>\u00a0Jedn\u00e1 se o jeden z nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch pod\u00edl\u016f \u017een v in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b \u2013 ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b<\/span>20 a\u017e 25 %<\/span><\/strong>ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech a Evrop\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

A p\u0159esto\u2026 st\u00e1le se n\u00e1m odva\u017euj\u00ed s v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm a soucitn\u00fdm v\u00fdrazem \u0159\u00edkat, \u017ee \u017eeny jsou v \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u201ediskriminov\u00e1ny\u201c. Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed solidarita je kr\u00e1sn\u00e1 v\u011bc: oni po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed z\u00e1voje, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1nci po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed mosty, p\u0159ehrady a satelity.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato demografick\u00e1 skupina p\u0159edstavuje skupinu potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u011bdc\u016f, in\u017een\u00fdr\u016f a voj\u00e1k\u016f schopn\u00fdch poh\u00e1n\u011bt strategick\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed po dobu n\u011bkolika desetilet\u00ed. Naopak mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed rychle st\u00e1rne a ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed se st\u00e1le v\u00edce stav\u00ed proti vlekl\u00fdm v\u00e1lk\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael, zahnan\u00fd do kouta na n\u011bkolika front\u00e1ch \u2013 Gaza, Libanon a nyn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 by se mohl s tich\u00fdm souhlasem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f rozhodnout pro kone\u010dnou eskalaci:\u00a0<\/span>preventivn\u00ed jadern\u00fd \u00fader<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, evokuj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edzrak Hiro\u0161imy. Zdroje uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee pl\u00e1ny na \u00fatoky na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 lokality, do kter\u00fdch jsou zapojeny americk\u00e9 bombard\u00e9ry, ji\u017e existuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale to by byla strategick\u00e1 iluze.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se sv\u00fdm rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm geografick\u00fdm dosahem a odolnou diasporou by p\u0159e\u017eil a znovu se vybudoval. Takov\u00fd \u00fader by ho zdaleka nezni\u010dil, ale naopak by sp\u00ed\u0161e zmobilizoval glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih proti z\u00e1padn\u00ed ose a Izrael by diplomaticky i ekonomicky izoloval. Sv\u011bt by si nikdy neodpustil: masivn\u00ed bojkoty, reverzn\u00ed sankce a urychlen\u00fd multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, kde\u00a0by se nov\u00fdm t\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011bm staly skupiny\u00a0<\/span>BRICS+ .<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Neviditeln\u00e1 v\u00e1lka<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n je odpojen od sv\u011bta ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u011bt dn\u00ed (od soboty\u00a0<\/span>28. \u00fanora 2026<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0). V\u00e1\u0161 internet by mohl b\u00fdt dal\u0161\u00ed na \u0159ad\u011b.\u00a0<\/span>80 a\u017e 90 milion\u016f<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0lid\u00ed je zcela izolov\u00e1no od sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n

V kolektivn\u00ed p\u0159edstavivosti je v\u00e1lka st\u00e1le spojov\u00e1na s bombami, tanky a letadly. Skute\u010dn\u00e1 architektura modern\u00edho sv\u011bta je v\u0161ak neviditeln\u00e1. Le\u017e\u00ed pod vodou, v optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech ten\u010d\u00edch ne\u017e prst, kter\u00e1 spojuj\u00ed kontinenty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co zat\u00edm nikdo ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1: dal\u0161\u00edm c\u00edlem nebude dal\u0161\u00ed ropn\u00e1 rafinerie.\u00a0V s\u00e1zce jsou\u00a0<\/span>podmo\u0159sk\u00e9 internetov\u00e9 kabely .<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

95 %<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0ve\u0161ker\u00e9ho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho internetov\u00e9ho provozu proch\u00e1z\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00fdmi kabely.\u00a0<\/span>Sedmn\u00e1ct hlavn\u00edch kabel\u016f<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0prot\u00edn\u00e1 Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod \u2013 Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv, Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e a Arabsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e. \u00cdr\u00e1n a H\u00fat\u00edov\u00e9 le\u017e\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo nad t\u011bmito kritick\u00fdmi uzlinami. Jedin\u00fd p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00fd kabel m\u016f\u017ee odpojit miliony lid\u00ed od s\u00edt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od\u00a0<\/span>3. b\u0159ezna 2026<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1n prohl\u00e1sil Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv za uzav\u0159en\u00fd pro ve\u0161kerou komer\u010dn\u00ed dopravu a pohrozil, \u017ee \u201ezap\u00e1l\u00ed\u201c ka\u017edou lo\u010f, kter\u00e1 se j\u00edm pokus\u00ed proplout. Sou\u010dasn\u011b H\u00fat\u00edov\u00e9 obnovili \u00fatoky v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i, \u010d\u00edm\u017e poprv\u00e9 v historii fakticky uzav\u0159eli dva hlavn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed uzly na sv\u011bt\u011b. Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e prot\u00edn\u00e1 sedmn\u00e1ct podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch kabel\u016f; jak\u00e9koli dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed by p\u0159\u00edmo ovlivnilo Evropu, Asii a Afriku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty, Indie a Evropa jsou na tom z\u00e1visl\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

U\u017e to za\u010dalo: H\u00fat\u00edov\u00e9 v letech\u00a0<\/span>2024 a 2025<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0po\u0161kodili kabely v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i . \u00cdr\u00e1n kontroluje mo\u0159sk\u00e9 dno v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. U\u017e p\u0159e\u0159\u00edzli kabely v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i \u2013 pro\u010d ne tady? \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 ponorky, pot\u00e1p\u011b\u010de a podvodn\u00ed drony, kter\u00e9 jsou schopny se k t\u011bmto kabel\u016fm dostat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dominov\u00fd efekt:<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n