{"id":101322,"date":"2026-03-08T05:45:29","date_gmt":"2026-03-08T04:45:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101322"},"modified":"2026-03-08T05:45:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-08T04:45:29","slug":"andrew-korybko-putin-by-mohl-konecne-zasadit-dlouho-ocekavanou-smrtelnou-ranu-ekonomice-eu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/08\/andrew-korybko-putin-by-mohl-konecne-zasadit-dlouho-ocekavanou-smrtelnou-ranu-ekonomice-eu\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Putin by mohl kone\u010dn\u011b zasadit dlouho o\u010dek\u00e1vanou smrtelnou r\u00e1nu ekonomice EU"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pr\u00e1v\u011b na\u0159\u00eddil, aby \u010d\u00e1st rusk\u00e9ho exportu LNG do EU byla p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1na do Asie, a pokud EU nedonut\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho, aby mu na Ukrajin\u011b dal v\u00edce toho, co chce, pak by nebyl d\u016fvod, aby zcela nezastavil rusk\u00fd export do EU, co\u017e by katalyzovalo rozvinutou krizi.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

EU se koncem lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku\u00a0<\/span>dohodla\u00a0<\/span><\/a>na ukon\u010den\u00ed dovozu rusk\u00e9ho LNG do 31. prosince 2026 a dovozu plynu z plynovod\u016f do 30. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2027 s mo\u017enost\u00ed prodlou\u017een\u00ed lh\u016fty do 31. \u0159\u00edjna 2027 v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee z\u00e1soby nebudou dostate\u010dn\u00e9 pro po\u017eadovan\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b napln\u011bn\u00ed. D\u016fvodem bylo, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>USA vyu\u017eily rusofobn\u00ed paranoiu a energetickou geopolitiku jako zbra\u0148 k p\u0159evzet\u00ed kontroly nad Evropou\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c, a proto EU toto rozhodnut\u00ed podporovala, aby n\u00e1sledn\u011b monopolizovala energetick\u00fd trh bloku ve spolupr\u00e1ci se sv\u00fdm katarsk\u00fdm spojencem, dal\u0161\u00ed LNG supervelmoc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161echno se zm\u011bnilo s\u00a0<\/span>t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lkou v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kter\u00e1 za\u010dala\u00a0<\/span>spole\u010dn\u00fdmi americko-izraelsk\u00fdmi \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a od t\u00e9 doby \u00cdr\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span>reagoval na odvetn\u00e9 akce proti v\u0161em kr\u00e1lovstv\u00edm v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>na z\u00e1klad\u011b toho, \u017ee americk\u00e1 infrastruktura na jejich \u00fazem\u00ed je vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na k \u00fatok\u016fm proti Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republice. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je nyn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>fakticky uzav\u0159en\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu omezuj\u00ed produkci energie, proto\u017ee t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dos\u00e1hla sv\u00e9 skladovac\u00ed kapacity. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, \u017ee Katar tak\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>zastavuje zkapal\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed plynu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, jeho\u017e obnoven\u00ed bude trvat t\u00fddny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b z t\u011bchto d\u016fvod\u016f se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 krize, kter\u00e1 by co do glob\u00e1ln\u00edho naru\u0161en\u00ed mohla p\u0159ekonat krizi z doby COVID-19 a dokonce i arabsk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 embargo z roku 1973. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee ropa a plyn z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu jsou prozat\u00edm prakticky mimo hru, jedinou realistickou cestou ke stabilizaci trhu je n\u00e1vrat rusk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f na n\u011bj, co\u017e d\u00e1v\u00e1 do kontextu d\u016fvod, pro\u010d USA do\u010dasn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>upustily od sankc\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>na n\u00e1kup rusk\u00e9 ropy Indi\u00ed. EU by tak\u00e9 mohla zv\u00fd\u0161it dovoz plynu z Ruska p\u0159ed term\u00edny, kter\u00e9 si sama stanovila.<\/span><\/p>\n

S ohledem na hroz\u00edc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetickou krizi Putin minul\u00fd t\u00fdden\u00a0<\/span>ozn\u00e1mil\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee na\u0159\u00eddil sv\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b, aby prozkoumala mo\u017enost p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00e9ho exportu energie do Asie, jeliko\u017e je to ziskov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b se rusk\u00e9 energie zcela nep\u0159estanou dov\u00e1\u017eet, jako to ud\u011bl\u00e1 EU. M\u00edstop\u0159edseda vl\u00e1dy Alexandr Novak kr\u00e1tce pot\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>potvrdil\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee bylo pr\u00e1v\u011b u\u010din\u011bno rozhodnut\u00ed p\u0159esm\u011brovat \u010d\u00e1st (kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 slovo) exportu LNG z Evropy do sp\u0159\u00e1telen\u00fdch zem\u00ed, jako je Indie a \u010c\u00edna.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kdy Rusko zastav\u00ed v\u00fdvoz plynu do EU d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e EU zastav\u00ed dovoz plynu z Ruska, je st\u00e1le na stole, ale Putin se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt v\u00edce zaujat\u00fd vyu\u017eit\u00edm t\u00e9to mo\u017enosti k dosa\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch strategick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, ne\u017e aby se vyh\u00fdbal takov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti jen k potrest\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch protivn\u00edk\u016f. Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem lze Novakovo potvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee se rozhodl p\u0159esm\u011brovat \u010d\u00e1st v\u00fdvozu LNG z Evropy do Asie, vn\u00edmat jako d\u016fkaz Putina, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 signalizuje z\u00e1jem o p\u0159ehodnocen\u00ed situace, pokud budou spln\u011bny ur\u010dit\u00e9 podm\u00ednky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jde o napln\u011bn\u00ed jeho c\u00edl\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b: rusk\u00e1 kontrola nad cel\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm sporn\u00fdch region\u016f, demilitarizace a denacifikace Ukrajiny, obnoven\u00ed jej\u00ed \u00fastavn\u00ed neutrality a absence zahrani\u010dn\u00edch vojsk po skon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. Chce tak\u00e9 zah\u00e1jit jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o reform\u011b evropsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury tak, aby byla pro Rusko m\u00e9n\u011b ohro\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed, a je podez\u0159el\u00fd z toho, \u017ee si p\u0159eje, aby Zelenskyj nekandidoval v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch ukrajinsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch. Ne v\u0161eho se mo\u017en\u00e1 poda\u0159\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout, ale n\u011bkter\u00fdch se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b poda\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b v t\u00e9to dob\u011b, kdy EU \u010del\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krizi zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lkou v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, kter\u00e1 odstavila v\u00fdvoz energie z regionu, se mus\u00ed blok rozhodnout, zda donut\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho, aby Putinovi dal alespo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1st toho, co chce, v\u00fdm\u011bnou za to, \u017ee nep\u0159esm\u011bruje v\u00fdvoz LNG z t\u011bchto zem\u00ed do Asie. USA by jim s t\u00edm mohly pomoci, aby si udr\u017eely kupn\u00ed s\u00edlu jednoho ze sv\u00fdch nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch trh\u016f. Pokud se jim to v\u0161ak nepoda\u0159\u00ed, mohl by Putin kone\u010dn\u011b zasadit ekonomice EU dlouho o\u010dek\u00e1vanou smrtelnou r\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pr\u00e1v\u011b na\u0159\u00eddil, aby \u010d\u00e1st rusk\u00e9ho exportu LNG do EU byla p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1na do Asie, a pokud…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101323,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2145,41,102],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101322"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101322\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101323"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}